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Mound Musings

Recent Articles from this Column

Mound Musings: Swing and a Miss

Brad "Bogfella" Johnson talks about why strikeout potential is an important part in evaluating fantasy relevance of starting pitchers

Mound Musings: How to Find the Next Closer

Jim Johnson is already out in Oakland, but what should owners look for in closers-in-waiting?

Mound Musings: The Time to Sell High

Is it too early to sell a pitcher like Justin Masterson? How soon should you considering selling high?

Mound Musings: Pitching Depth as a Fantasy Tactic

You're better off stashing high-upside arms like Derek Holland rather than wasting roster spots on generic utility players barely above replacement level.

Mound Musings: NL West Spotlight

Tim Lincecum's star has fallen, but does that offer a profit-making opportunity on draft day?

Mound Musings: AL West Spotlight

Is Yu Darvish a top-five pitcher? Should fantasy owners treat him as such in drafts? Do the walks matter?

Mound Musings: NL Central Spotlight

There's value to be had with Shelby Miller, whose draft-day value has been driven down by bad memories of last year.

Mound Musings: AL Central Spotlight

Even a modest draft-day discount on Justin Verlander will prove valuable for fantasy owners this season.

Mound Musings: NL East Spotlight

If durability concerns provide a slight discount for Stephen Strasburg this year, it's time to pounce.

Mound Musings: AL East Spotlight

Matt Moore is definitely an arm to watch in the AL East this season, but has he reached his ceiling yet?

Mound Musings: Getting a Hold on the 2014 Season

If Kevin Gausman doesn't make the O's rotation this spring, he could end up a decent sources of holds for fantasy owners.

Mound Musings: Kids on Parade Watch List

Taijuan Walker is one of the younger arms on this year's list of pitchers who made their marks in 2013, but he's also one of the best.

Mound Musings: Looking Back, and Looking Ahead, Part II

Jarred Cosart has plenty of upside, but fantasy owners, and the Astros too, must remember to have ample patience.

Mound Musings: Looking Back, and Looking Ahead

Jose Fernandez is not smoke and mirros - he's for real. This week we look at a number of

Mound Musings: Playing for Keeps

Back from his recent injury trouble, Matt Moore is an easy keeper for next year, provided he's at a reasonable price.

Mound Musings: 2014 Cream of the Crop

Yu Darvish might not be the top starting pitcher entering 2014, but he'll be one of the top hurlers off the board.

Mound Musings: The Trials of Innings Limits

Matt Harvey's is quickly approaching his innings limit this season, creating havoc for fantasy owners.

Mound Musings: Bullpens and Crystal Balls

LaTroy Hawkins is filling in as closer after David Aardsma predictably flopped, but the New York bullpen is a mess.

Mound Musings: Observations A La Carte

Patrick Corbin has been a fantasy surprise in Arizona this year, but how likely is he to continue to perform at his current level?

Mound Musings: Trade Deadline Fallout

Ian Kennedy might be the biggest winner in this year's trade deadline, going from a hitter's haven where he watched his mistakes fly out of the yard to a pitcher's paradise that should help him right the ship.

Mound Musings: State of the Staffs

Stephen Strasburg is young, but this is his time to step up and be a leader for the Nationals, who could be poised for a second-half push.

Mound Musings: Futures Game Fallout

Noah Syndergaard pitches older than his young age and, as he showed at the Futures Game, gives the Mets a lot to like.

Mound Musings: Ticking Time Bombs

Is Dan Haren a ticking time bomb? Here's a look at pitchers to avoid in the second half.

Mound Musings: Digging For Buried Treasure

R.A. Dickey is just one of several arms for the Blue Jays who could have a resurgent second half and provide fantasy owners with a nice payoff.

Mound Musings: Wheeling Into A Rotation Spot

Zack Wheeler's had two starts for the Mets, but what he has showed thus far bodes well for his fantasy future.

Mound Musings: Captain Greybeard

Despite their woes this season, the Marlins boast a trio of impressive pitchers, headlined by greybeard Nathan Eovaldi.

Mound Musings: The Changing Landscape

Teams are increasingly using the draft to find players who are nearly major-league ready. Such is the case with the Astros' first-overall selection of Mark Appel, who could be in Houston later this year.

Mound Musings: Kids on the Rise

Arguably the Astros' best pitching prospect, Jarred Cosart is waiting patiently for his callup to the big-league club.

Mound Musings: More Arms Arriving

Michael Wacha turned in a sterling major-league debut, but long term, what should we expect from him and other prospect pitchers set to be called up?

Mound Musings: New Arms Arriving Daily

Jake Odorizzi finally got an opportunity with the Rays, and other prospect pitchers are about to get theirs as teams reach into the minors for callups.

Mound Musings: Making the Crystal Ball Less Cloudy

High ceiling, low ceiling or no ceiling. When it comes to pitchers, which is easier to spot? And What does that mean for a pitcher like Derek Holland?

Mound Musings: The Days of Whine and Closers

Addison Reed has been one of the reliable closers in a season that has seen seemingly more volatility than most years.

Mound Musings: Location, Location, Location

What do restaurants and pitchers have in common? Location, location, location. Matt Cain's recent struggles can be blamed on inconsistent location.

Mound Musings: Chicks Dig Strikeouts

Few things in baseball compare to the K, especially these days with so many pitch-to-contact hurlers. Stephen Strasburg might be aiming for too much of the latter.

Mound Musings: In the Zone

Does Cliff Lee throw too many strikes? Brad Johnson takes a closer look at the importance of pitch location, and setting up opposing hitters.

Mound Musings: Avoid Time Bombs

Josh Collmenter's over-the-top delivery initially fooled hitters. When hitters adjusted, Collmenter imploded. Here's how to avoid those ticking time bombs.

Mound Musings: Pitching Insanity

Cleveland "ace" Justin Masterson still lacks an effective pitch to get out lefties, so why should you expect different results?

Mound Musings: The Dream Staff

Stephen Strasburg is any easy pick, but who else makes the Dream Team of pitching?

Mound Musings: NL West Spotlight

After a nightmare year last season, Tim Lincecum should come at a healthy discount this season.

Mound Musings: AL West Spotlight

Like many southpaws at this stage of their careers, Derek Holland is still finding, or at least looking for, consistency.

Mound Musings: NL Central Spotlight

Adam Wainwright is high on the list for potential draft-day value this season as he is now healthy.

Mound Musings: AL Central Spotlight

It would be hard to imagine Chis Sale having a better year than he had in 2012, but it's not beyond the realm of possibility.

Mound Musings: NL East Spotlight

This week's installment of the season-opening pitching series turns to the NL East.

Mound Musings: AL East Spotlight

Mounds Musings opens the 2013 season with a new look and with its spotlight on the AL East.

Mound Musings: And the Winner is ...

It's time to hand out season-end awards.Tim Lincecum's highly disappointing season leaves him with only a better-luck-next-year.

Mound Musings: 3 Third-Year Pitchers for 2013

Jeremy Hellickson looks ready for a breakout season in his third year in the league in 2013.

Mound Musings: Starters for the Stretch Run

Shallow leagues that see Marco Estrada on the waiver wire should pounce, as he could be a valuable addition as we head into the home stretch of the season.

Mound Musings: The Strasburg Situation

That Nats' mishandling of Steven Strasburg this season stands in stark contrast to the adroit touch the Braves used with Kris Medlen.

Mound Musings: Top 50 Keepers for 2013

Will the gloves come off in 2013? If so, Stephen Strasburg could be the top fantasy pitcher entering next season.

Mound Musings: Breaking Down Pitcher 'Truths'

Does Jered Weaver's low BABIP mean he's headed for an ugly correction? Or is he an exception to the rule? If so, why?

Mound Musings: Projecting 2013 Closers

Where will Carlos Marmol be in 2013? Despite the this year's turmoil, he might end up right back with the Cubs.

Mound Musings: Pitchers Targeted, Avoided

Targeting Jeff Samardzija this spring has worked out fairly well, but the same can't be said for every spring target.

Mound Musings: A Look at the 30 Rotations

How much longer will the Angels put up with Ervin Santana in the rotation? And who will take his spot once he's dumped?

Mound Musings: Hanley Goes Hollywood

Hanley Ramirez's trade to the Dodgers could be just the beginning of an exciting trade deadline week. What other deals can we expect?

Mound Musings: Second-Half Observations

Felix Hernandez's velocity might be down, but i hasn't seemed to matter.

Mound Musings: Answers for the Second Half

As baseball heads into the second half of the season, is it time to buy or sell Tim Lincecum?

Mound Musings: Good Surprises, Bad Surprises

Ervin Santana's been among the surprise pitchers this season - but not on the good side. What can we expect in the second half?

Mound Musings: Second-Half Names to Know

Mound Musings: Shallow League Material

For all his flaws, Francisco Liriano misses bats, and he's probably available in shallow formats.

Mound Musings: Swing and a Miss

Jeff Samardzija is enjoying the benefit of a making batters miss. What can we learn from swinging-strike rate?

Mound Musings: Reaching Into the Mailbag

You've got questions, we've got answers. Such as, should owners trust Francisco Lirano?

Mound Musings: A Stroll Around 30 Rotations

Will Roy Halladay's shoulder injury doom the Phillies? Answers to that and more as we stroll around the league's 30 rotations.

Mound Musings: 9 Surprises So Far

Johan Santana's re-emergence has been one of the biggest surprises of the year. We've got eight more for you.

Mound Musings: Help is on the Way

Dellin Betances projects as a No. 2 starter, but his lack of control this year could easily derail that projection. When should we expect him in the bigs?

Mound Musings: Pitching Predictions

Will Stephen Strasburg pitch enough innings to win the NL Cy Young crown this season?

Mound Musings: Pitchers to Target & Avoid

For Roy Halladay, strikeouts are way down and walks are up. Is his sub-2.00 ERA set to explode?

Mound Musings: Fast Starts, Slow Starts

Adam Wainwright has had a tough start to the year, but what should we expect for the rest of the season?

Mound Musings: Closers in Waiting

Matt Thornton isn't the closer yet on the South Side, but he appears next in line. Which relievers should you target now for saves later?

Mound Musings: Early Questions, Early Answers

Jeff Samardzija's sparkling season debut makes us ask, where did that come from? The answer to that and more is here.

Mound Musings: 30 Teams, 30 Questions

Is the Mariners' Double-A rotation, beaming with three strandout prospects, better than the one in Seattle?

Mound Musings: Sleeper Relievers: Finding Saves

Matt Thornton looks to have the edge in a three-way battle for saves on the South Side. Where else can fantasy owners find saves on the cheap?

Mound Musings: A Fresh Perspective

Instead of looking at K, BB and GB rates, what if we looked at a pitcher's percentages in those stats? How would that change our view of a pitcher like Tim Lincecum? Let's find out.

Mound Musings: Giving Pitchers the Eye Test

Mound Musings: Ranking the 30 Closers

Rafael Betancourt is the top-ranked closer? Dave Regan says so. Check out his unqiue rankings formula.

Mound Musings: Predictions & Observations

Where does Tim Lincecum rank ... on his own team? Dave Regan offers predictions and observations for 2012.

Mound Musings: 30 Rotations Entering Spring

Wade Davis' bid to land a Rays rotation spot is but one of many spring pitching battles around the league. Find out how it's all likely to shake out.

Mound Musings: Top 100 Starting Pitchers

Clayton Kershaw could approach 300 strikeouts this season. Does that vault him over Justin Verlander as the league's top starter?

Mound Musings: 2012 Breakout Candidates

Ricky Nolasco might not

Mound Musings: Top-50 Relievers for 2012

Mariano Rivera is the all-time saves leaders, but where does he rank among closers entering next season?

Mound Musings: Top 100 Starters for 2012

Justin Verlander is the top fantasy pitcher heading into next season, but a few others are close behind.

Mound Musings: Pitchers for the Stretch Run

Rich Harden's ERA after the break sits at just 4.55, but in 57.1 innings, Harden has 74 strikeouts for a solid 11.6 K/9.

Mound Musings: Notes From Around the League

A year after Tommy John surgery, Stephen Strasburg is ready to get back on the mound for the Nationals.

Mound Musings: 2012 Breakout Candidates

A maturing and improving Mat Latos is primed for a breakout 2012 campaign in San Diego.

Mound Musings: Rotation Watch

A look around the league at the status of each team's rotation, including the drama in New York with A.J. Burnett and the Yankees.

Mound Musings: ERA vs. xFIP

Johnny Cueto's xFIP says his ERA should be higher, but an improved groundball rate is helping him overcome a diminishing strikeout rate. Which pitchers are due for a increase or decrease in ERA?

Mound Musings: Random Notes From the Hill

Musings examines mound questions from around the league, includingTrevor Cahill's tough second half.

Mound Musings: Trade Deadline Fallout

Ubaldo Jimenez is among a number of pitchers whose trade deadline status will impact fantasy rotations and bullpens.

Mound Musings: Is Michael Pineda Fading?

Michael Pineda has looked much better than a mere rookie this season, but is he hitting a first-year wall already?

Mound Musings: Scouting Japanese Pitchers

Mound Musings: Questions for the Second Half

Will Joe Nathan regain the closer role for the Twins? That's just one of a bevy of questions we tackle, looking ahead to the second half.

Mound Musings: All-Stars, Strand Rates, Bullpens

James Shields sports a likely unsustainable strand rate. Does that mean he's due for an ERA correction?

Mound Musings: Pitchers on the Fringe

Fausto Carmona was supposed to be the anchor for a young Indians rotation, but he's been anything but. What should we expect from him?

Mound Musings: 30 Questions for 30 Rotations

The A's dodged a bullet with Brett Anderson, and hopefully they'll be equally as lucky with Trevor Cahill, who is clearly not himself these days.

Mound Musings: Answering the Mailbag

Is Ubaldo Jimenez back? That's but one of the questions in the Mound Musings mailbag that gets answered this week.

Mound Musings: The Shaun Marcum Story

How does Toronto's Shaun Marcum do it with a Reganesque Fastball?

Mound Musings: The Volstad Burlesque Show

Chris Volstad is more than a tease, but he could be on the verge of respectability or better.

Mound Musings: 30 Bullpen Sleepers

Neftali Feliz is back in the saddle for the Rangers, but is Tanner Scheppers a name we should know?

Mound Musings: Five Burning Questions

Francisco Liriano just threw a no-hitter, but his velocity is down this year. Does velocity matter?

Mound Musings: Top Keeper Pitchers

Felix Hernandez leads the list of top starting-pitcher keepers. Who's the top-ranked reliever?

Mound Musings: Learning From xFIP

Wade Davis has had a lot of unsustainable good fortune this season, but not all

Mound Musings: Starters, Relievers and Stuff

Ryan Franklin is out as the St. Louis closer. So, who does that mean is in?

Mound Musings: Advanced Metrics Analysis

What do advanced pitching metrics like O-Swing% and Z-Contact% tell us about a pitcher like Kyle McClellan?

Mound Musings: Opening-Week Reflections

The Dodgers' lifeless bats prevented Clayton Kershaw from notching two wins in the first week, but he still posted a 17:2 K:BB in 13 innings.

Mound Musings: Rotation Surprises

Mound Musings: Examining the 30 Bullpens

Joe Nathan is back, but how much can you expect from him this season? Those and other bullpen questions from around the league are answered in this week's Musings.

Mound Musings: Top 100 Starting Pitchers

Who's better than Mariners ace and reigning American League Cy Young winner Felix Hernandez?

Mound Musings: Regan's Top 10s (Or Close to it)

Mound Musings: Philly Phantastic

Cole Hamels is almost an afterthought given the state of the Phillies rotation, but he could be in store for huge things this year.

Mound Musings: Back of the Rotation Candidates

Derek Holland is one of a handful of candidates vying for a the last couple remaining spots in the Rangers rotation.

Mound Musings: Spotting Overvalued and Undervalued Starting Pitchers

Felix Hernandez wasn't a casualty of the Verducci Effect in 2010

Mound Musings: Undervalued, Overvalued for 2011

Mound Musings: Vegas Breakfasts & Pitching Prospects

Mound Musings: Let's Hand out the Hardware

Mound Musings: 2011 Top 50 Revised

How the 2010 second half has affected next year's pitcher rankings in this look ahead.

Mound Musings: Changes in Velocity

Mound Musings: 30 Rotations Heading into Sept.

Mound Musings: Kershaw Drops the Walks

Mound Musings: Ten for Your Consideration

Mound Musings: The Year of the Pitcher

Mound Musings: Studs and Duds

Mound Musings: Can they Keep It Up?

Mound Musings: 10 Burning Questions

Mound Musings: Observations at the Break

Mound Musings: The Best Prospect Pitchers

Mound Musings: 2011 SP Draft Board

Mound Musings: Closers in Waiting

Mound Musings: BABIP Check-in

Mound Musings: Examining 30 No. 5 Starters