27-Year-Old Pitcher – Cincinnati Reds
2015 Fantasy Baseball Outlook
Projection systems typically suggest that Leake overperforms his component stats, usually because he's a groundball pitcher (53.4% of batted balls against Leake in 2014 were on the ground) with a good...
Mike Leake Contract Information:
Agreed to a one-year, $9.775 million contract with the Reds in January of 2015, avoiding arbitration.
Leake got pounded to the tune of nine earned runs in five innings pitched in the 11-2 loss to the Giants on Saturday.
To instantly reveal our fantasy analysis of every player – including Mike Leake – simply subscribe now.
|Today's Projections||Subscribe now to see Today's projected stats for Mike Leake|
|Next 7 Days||Subscribe now to see our Next 7 Days projections for Mike Leake|
|Rest Of Season||Subscribe now to see our Rest Of Season projections for Mike Leake|
|Preseason||Subscribe now to see our 2015 projections for Mike Leake||3-Year Averages||31||31||0||195.2||203||83||23||134||46||11||9||0||0||0||3.83||1.28|
|Career (View All)||155||150||0||946.3||975||410||121||641||239||55||44||0||–||–||3.90||1.28|
Age is determined on July 1st of each season. Jump To: ▼ Advanced StatsNo No No
|Last 14 Days
2 Games: Avg. 5.5 IP/G
|Last 30 Days
5 Games: Avg. 6.8 IP/G
|Last 60 Days
8 Games: Avg. 6.8 IP/G
Mike Leake Split Stats (View Full Split Stats)
|Year||Age||Lg||Tm||G||GS||IP||K/9||BB/9||K/BB||HR/9||GB/FB Ratio||Strand %||Fastball||ERA||FIP||BABIP|
|Next 7 Days||0||2||12.6||6.28||2.19||2.87||1.13||–||74.7%||–||3.71||4.16||.296|
|Rest Of Season||0||30||189.2||6.29||2.17||2.90||1.02||–||73.9%||–||3.70||4.00||.297|
|Preseason||Subscribe now to see our 2015 projections for Mike Leake||3-Year Averages||31||31||195.2||6.18||2.12||2.91||1.06||–||73.5%||–||3.83||4.07||.302|
2015 Stat Review for Mike Leake As compared to the top 100 starting pitchers in 2014 (min 145 in)
A collection of stats that measure different skills.
A few general measures of a pitcher's effectiveness.
Balls in play avg. and % of runners left stranded.
Cincinnati Reds Roster
MajorsBadenhop, Burke (P)
AAAAdcock, Nate (P)
AADuran, Juan (OF)
A+Arias, Junior (OF)
AAstin, Barrett (P)
RookieAquino, Aristides (P)
Mike Leake: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
Despite multiple calls for manager Dusty Baker to pull Leake from the rotation, Baker persisted and kept Leake in there and was rewarded with a solid bounce back season, as Leake posted a 3.37 ERA and 1.25 WHIP while making 31 starts. However, there are some warning signs for those looking to invest for 2014. Leake is a pitch-to-contact hurler, cut out of the Bronson Arroyo mold. His strikeout rate remained perilously low (15.2%) and he struggled down the stretch with an extended workload, posting a 4.39 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over the last 60 days. Because he's well below league-average for a fantasy starting pitcher in strikeouts, Leake relies on the team context to provide value, and chances are the Reds will decline a little from the last two years, so he may not match the 14 wins he netted in 2013.
Leake has become a poor man's Bronson Arroyo on the mound, striking out just 5.8 K/9 last year while allowing 1.3 HR/9. By the time September rolled around, it was clear that Homer Bailey's spot in the rotation was secure for the playoffs and that Leake was the fifth starter and thus the odd man out in the playoffs. Johnny Cueto's ill-timed oblique injury pressed Leake into service and he was woefully inadequate against the Giants. The 2013 season presents a big challenge to Leake in saving his rotation spot, as prospects Anthony Cingrani and Daniel Corcino are knocking at the door. At least Leake can hit, though the value of that skill is diminished considerably if he's working out of the bullpen.
After an embarrassing shoplifting incident and a brief demotion in May, Leake once again outperformed expectations (and his component numbers) before getting shut down in mid-September. He's still not a dominant starter (6.33 K/9IP), but he has excellent control and ended up with modest improvements in his component numbers. He's unlikely to ever become an ace, but he could maintain a reasonable career as a third or fourth starter. When looking at his numbers, keep in mind that he has just two minor league appearances in his professional career.
Leake helped keep the Reds afloat early in the season when they were scuffling with Aaron Harang's slow start, but he declined sharply in the second half with a 6.91 ERA after the All-Star break. His drop-off can in part be attributed to fatigue, having never pitched as many innings as he did in his rookie season after bypassing the minors, and in part because he was overachieving to begin with - his xFIP ERA for April and May was nearly two runs higher than his actual ERA, and he faced only two above-average NL offenses in that stretch. Leake will have to earn his spot in the rotation in spring training, following the emergence of Travis Wood last season. He might very well begin 2011 in Triple-A Louisville.
The Reds drafted Leake with the eighth pick in the 2009 draft, with the expectation that he'll advance fairly rapidly. Leake sits between 88-92 mph with his fastball, but he has a complete four-pitch arsenal that also includes a curveball, slider and changeup. Further, he commands his pitches well and didn't show any hesitation to throw any of his pitches regardless of the count during a very successful collegiate career at Arizona State. His ceiling isn't as high as others in this draft class, but he'll ultimately profile as a No. 3 starter type. Look for him to debut in 2011.