27-Year-Old Pitcher – Free Agent
2017 Fantasy Baseball Outlook
There was no outlook written for Henderson Alvarez in 2017. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
Henderson Alvarez Contract Information:
Agreed to a one-year, $4.25 million contract with the A's in December of 2015.
Alvarez (shoulder) says he will throw a bullpen session in March for interested teams, Manolo Hernandez of Beisbol Porgotas reports.
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Henderson Alvarez Split Stats (View Full Split Stats)
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Henderson Alvarez Defensive Stats
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Henderson Alvarez: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
There was no outlook written for Henderson Alvarez.
Shoulder troubles put Alvarez on the shelf early last season and lingered throughout the entire year, ultimately requiring arthroscopic surgery. With his availability for Opening Day appearing doubtful, Alvarez was non-tendered by the Marlins as he entered his second year of arbitration eligibility despite being just one year removed from an All-Star berth and 12th place finish in the NL Cy Young vote. The A's were quick to swoop in, and while his contract is officially a one-year deal, the team can opt to go to arbitration and keep Alvarez around in 2017 if he returns at full strength. He should have a rotation spot available to him once healthy, but the lack of strikeouts (career 4.7 K/9) will always hurt Alvarez's fantasy value. Further, while the right-hander is still just 25, there is uncertainty regarding his return date and workload, and the jump to the AL could prove tough, so don't be surprised if Alvarez goes undrafted in many mixed leagues.
Alvarez took a massive step forward in 2014, leaning heavily on his 93-mph power sinker to ascend to the top of Miami's rotation. Alvarez tossed three shutouts while compiling an exemplary 2.65 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 111:33 K:BB ratio in 187 innings leading to a 12-7 record. The right-handed hurler trimmed his walk rate to a career-best 4.3% and generated a 53.8% groundball rate during his break-through campaign -- both numbers that ranked him top-10 in the majors among qualified starters. Entering his age-25 season, Alvarez's role is even more important for the Marlins as they await the return of Jose Fernandez from Tommy John surgery. Though he offers only modest strikeout upside, Alvarez has proven to be a durable innings eater, capable of consistently getting deep into games (three complete game shutouts last season) while regularly giving his team a chance to win.
It was a true roller coaster ride for Alvarez during his first season in South Florida. A shoulder injury cost the right-handed sinkerballer the first three months of 2013, but he rallied down the stretch with a 3.08 ERA in six September starts, capped by his first career no-hitter against the Tigers in his last turn of the season. He wrapped up the year with a 5-6 record over 17 starts while putting up a 3.59 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over 102.2 innings pitched. Though he doesn't pile up the strikeouts (5.0 K/9 in 2013), the 23-year-old hurler uses a 93-mph power sinker to induce a strong 53.5 percent groundball rate. Alvarez allowed just two home runs in 102.2 innings pitched in 2013 and will be a middle-of-the-rotation arm for Miami, chewing up innings again this season.
Alvarez had a phenomenal start in 2012 thanks to a devastating sinker and strong defense from Brett Lawrie and Yunel Escobar on the left side of Toronto's infield. Unfortunately, he lacked a pitch to put hitters away and recorded just 79 strikeouts in 187.1 innings. Eventually, the extreme contact tendencies caught up with him as the season wore on. Finishing 9-14 with a 4.85 ERA, Alvarez's rotation spot was in doubt, but his inclusion in the November blockbuster with Miami should keep him in the rotation for Opening Day.
Alvarez earned a callup to Toronto in August despite skipping Triple-A and fared well enough to enter into the picture for a rotation spot this spring. He didn't dominate at Double-A (1.114 WHIP, 6.75 K/9IP) as you might have expected for someone who skipped Triple-A, but he held his own in 10 starts for the Jays (1.131 WHIP, 5.65 K/9IP, 1.13 BB/9IP). While Alvarez will turn 22 in April and there's plenty of growth potential here given his excellent control, keep in mind that his 6.75 K/9IP at Double-A was the highest strikeout rate he posted at any minor league stop. He'll likely have to pitch his way off the roster this spring depending on what the Jays do in the offseason, but expect some bumps along the way.