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Homer Bailey

28-Year-Old Pitcher – Cincinnati Reds

2015 Stats

W-L

0-1

ERA

5.56

WHIP

1.76

K

3

SV

0

2015 Preseason Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

K

SV

2015 Fantasy Baseball Outlook

Did Bailey peak in 2013, or is there another level still left in him? The Reds bet on Bailey in the form of a six-year, $105 million contract, only to see him struggle early in 2014 and then end the s...

Read more about Homer Bailey

2015 ADP:  230.11

Rank (Overall): Hidden

Rank (SP): Hidden

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STATUS:  15-Day DL     INJURY TYPE:  Forearm     EST. RETURN:  5/15/2015
LEAGUE: Majors   40 MAN: YES   BATS: R   THROWS: R   HT: 6' 4"   WT: 225   DOB: 5/3/1986
BORN: La Grange, TX   COLLEGE: None  DRAFTED: 1st Rd   Show ContractHide Contract

$

Homer Bailey Contract Information:

Agreed to a six-year, $105 million contract with the Reds in February of 2014. Deal includes a mutual option for a seventh year.

April 27, 2015  –  Homer Bailey News

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Bailey has been placed on the 15-day DL with a right elbow ligament sprain.

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Homer Bailey Stats
OPTIONS:   Show Partial SeasonsHide Partial Seasons      Show Minor League StatsHide Minor League Stats       Show 5x5 Stats OnlyShow All Statistics       Click stat headings to sort columns.
Year Age Lg Tm G GS SH IP H ER HR K BB W L SV BS HLD ERA WHIP
2005 19 A DAY 28 21 0 103.2 89 51 5 125 62 8 4 0 4.43 1.46
2006 20 A A 13 13 0 70.2 49 26 6 79 22 3 5 0 3.31 1.01
2006 20 AA CHA 13 13 0 68.0 50 12 1 77 28 7 1 0 1.59 1.15
2007 21 A SAR 2 2 0 8.0 15 9 2 7 5 0 1 0 10.13 2.50
2007 21 AAA LOU 12 12 0 67.3 49 23 4 59 32 6 3 0 3.07 1.20
2007 21 MAJ CIN 9 9 0 45.3 43 29 3 28 28 4 2 0 5.76 1.57
2008 22 AAA LOU 19 19 0 111.3 118 59 10 96 46 4 7 0 4.77 1.47
2008 22 MAJ CIN 8 8 0 36.3 59 32 8 18 17 0 6 0 7.93 2.09
2009 23 AAA LOU 13 13 1 84.3 78 19 7 77 26 8 4 0 2.03 1.23
2009 23 MAJ CIN 22 20 0 113.3 115 57 12 86 52 8 5 0 4.53 1.47
2010 24 A DAY 1 1 0 4.0 4 3 0 5 1 0 1 0 0 0 6.75 1.25
2010 24 AAA LOU 1 3 0 19.0 15 5 0 15 5 2 0 0 0 0 2.37 1.05
2010 24 MAJ CIN 19 19 1 109.0 109 54 11 100 40 4 3 0 0 0 4.46 1.37
2011 25 AAA LOU 6 6 0 30.0 34 10 1 22 6 2 1 0 0 0 3.00 1.33
2011 25 MAJ CIN 22 22 0 132.0 136 65 18 106 33 9 7 0 0 0 4.43 1.28
2012 26 MAJ CIN 33 33 1 208.0 206 85 26 168 52 13 10 0 0 0 3.68 1.24
2013 27 MAJ CIN 32 32 1 209.0 181 81 20 199 54 11 12 0 0 0 3.49 1.12
2014 28 MAJ CIN 23 23 1 145.7 134 60 16 124 45 9 5 0 0 0 3.71 1.23
2015 29 AAA LOU 1 1 0 5.2 5 3 0 3 2 0 1 0 0 0 4.76 1.35
2015 29 MAJ CIN 2 2 0 11.3 16 7 3 3 4 0 1 0 0 0 5.56 1.76
Today's Projections     Subscribe now to see Today's projected stats for Homer Bailey
Next 7 Days     Subscribe now to see our Next 7 Days projections for Homer Bailey
Rest Of Season     Subscribe now to see our Rest Of Season projections for Homer Bailey
Preseason     Subscribe now to see our 2015 projections for Homer Bailey
3-Year Averages     29 29 1 187.6 173 75 20 163 50 11 9 0 0 0 3.60 1.19
Career  (View All)     170 168 4 1,010.0 999 470 117 832 325 58 51 0 4.19 1.31

Age is determined on July 1st of each season.       Jump To:     ▼ Advanced Stats

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Homer Bailey Game Log    (View Full Game Log)
# of Days To Display:    Show 14Show 14    Show 30Show 30    Show 60Show 60
DATE OPP IP H R ER HR BB K HBP WP CG W-L SV BS HLD ERA WHIP
Apr. 23 @Mil 5.7 7 2 2 2 1 3 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 5.56 1.76
Apr. 18 @StL 5.7 9 5 5 1 3 0 0 0 0 L 0 0 0 7.94 2.12
Last 14 Days
2 Games:  Avg. 5.7 IP/G
11.3 16 7 7 3 4 3 0 0 0 0-1 0 0 0 5.56 1.76
Last 30 Days
2 Games:  Avg. 5.7 IP/G
11.3 16 7 7 3 4 3 0 0 0 0-1 0 0 0 5.56 1.76
Last 60 Days
2 Games:  Avg. 5.7 IP/G
11.3 16 7 7 3 4 3 0 0 0 0-1 0 0 0 5.56 1.76

Homer Bailey Split Stats    (View Full Split Stats)

Vs. Left

Year Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR BAA
2015212110202.500
20142644326621315.270
2013422933110123211.264

Vs. Right

Year Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR BAA
201530136201.222
201434081197216011.230
201342710623801519.205

Home

Year IP W L SV K BB HR ERA WHIP
201472.7620622073.101.16
201396.75301072573.351.03

Away

Year IP W L SV K BB HR ERA WHIP
201511.30103435.561.76
201473.0330622594.321.30
2013112.36909229133.611.20
Homer Bailey Advanced Stats
OPTIONS:   Show Partial SeasonsHide Partial Seasons      Show Minor League StatsHide Minor League Stats      Click stat headings to sort columns.
Year Age Lg Tm G GS IP K/9 BB/9 K/BB HR/9 GB/FB Ratio Strand % Fastball ERA FIP BABIP
2005 19 A DAY 28 21 103.2 10.90 5.41 2.02 0.44 68.5% 4.43 3.21 .336
2006 20 A A 13 13 70.2 10.13 2.82 3.59 0.77 69.2% 3.31 3.21 .265
2006 20 AA CHA 13 13 68.0 10.19 3.71 2.75 0.13 85.7% 1.59 2.45 .299
2007 21 A SAR 2 2 8.0 7.88 5.63 1.40 2.25 61.1% 10.13 6.57 .455
2007 21 AAA LOU 12 12 67.3 7.89 4.28 1.84 0.53 75.3% 3.07 3.65 .256
2007 21 MAJ CIN 9 9 45.3 5.56 5.56 1.00 0.60 1.04 61.8% 5.76 4.74 .286
2008 22 AAA LOU 19 19 111.3 7.76 3.72 2.09 0.81 68.2% 4.77 3.96 .331
2008 22 MAJ CIN 8 8 36.3 4.46 4.21 1.06 1.98 1.00 64.7% 91.5 MPH 7.93 6.52 .376
2009 23 AAA LOU 13 13 84.3 8.22 2.77 2.96 0.75 87.6% 2.03 3.52 .306
2009 23 MAJ CIN 22 20 113.3 6.83 4.13 1.65 0.95 1.11 71% 94.4 MPH 4.53 4.48 .306
2010 24 A DAY 1 1 4.0 11.25 2.25 5.00 0.00 40% 6.75 1.45 .389
2010 24 AAA LOU 1 3 19.0 7.11 2.37 3.00 0.00 75% 2.37 2.57 .280
2010 24 MAJ CIN 19 19 109.0 8.26 3.30 2.50 0.91 1.24 68.8% 92.8 MPH 4.46 3.86 .321
2011 25 AAA LOU 6 6 30.0 6.60 1.80 3.67 0.30 76.9% 3.00 2.77 .345
2011 25 MAJ CIN 22 22 132.0 7.23 2.25 3.21 1.23 1.07 68.9% 92.2 MPH 4.43 4.23 .307
2012 26 MAJ CIN 33 33 208.0 7.27 2.25 3.23 1.13 1.28 74.6% 92.5 MPH 3.68 4.07 .301
2013 27 MAJ CIN 32 32 209.0 8.57 2.33 3.69 0.86 1.45 71.6% 94.1 MPH 3.49 3.46 .292
2014 28 MAJ CIN 23 23 145.7 7.66 2.78 2.76 0.99 1.99 73% 94.2 MPH 3.71 4.00 .292
2015 29 AAA LOU 1 1 5.2 5.19 3.46 1.50 0.00 57.1% 4.76 3.78 .300
2015 29 MAJ CIN 2 2 11.3 2.38 3.18 0.75 2.38 2.09 76.5% 91.1 MPH 5.56 7.17 .310
Today's Projections     0 0 .0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.00 0.00 .000
Next 7 Days     0 1 6.3 7.60 2.53 3.00 1.22 74.4% 3.73 4.11 .291
Rest Of Season     0 29 185.2 7.60 2.55 2.98 1.01 73% 3.73 3.83 .296
Preseason     Subscribe now to see our 2015 projections for Homer Bailey
3-Year Averages     29 29 187.6 7.82 2.40 3.26 0.96 72.9% 3.60 3.65 .295
Career     170 168 1,010.0 7.41 2.90 2.56 1.04 70.8% 4.19 4.06 .304

Age is determined on July 1st of each season.       Jump To:     ▲ Basic Stats      ▲ Split Stats

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2015 Stat Review for Homer Bailey    As compared to the top 100 starting pitchers in 2014 (min 145 in)

K/BB/HR Stats

A collection of stats that measure different skills.

Explain This

0.75 K/BB
TERRIBLE
2.38 K/9
TERRIBLE
3.18 BB/9
WEAK
91.1 MPH Fastball
WEAK
2.4 HR/9
TERRIBLE
2.09 GB/FB Ratio
EXTREME GROUNDBALLER
ERA/WHIP/FIP

A few general measures of a pitcher's effectiveness.

Explain This

5.56 ERA
TERRIBLE
1.76 WHIP
TERRIBLE
7.17 FIP
TERRIBLE
BABIP/Strand

Balls in play avg. and % of runners left stranded.

Explain This

.310 BABIP
HIGH
76.5% Strand Rate
ABOVE AVERAGE

Cincinnati Reds Roster

Homer Bailey: Past News Updates   ( ▲ View most recent update )

Bailey and Mike Leake will switch spots in the order of the Reds rotation as a result of Saturday's rainout.

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Bailey allowed two runs -- both on solo homers -- over 5.2 innings Thursday against the Brewers. He struck out three, walked one and gave up seven hits. He didn't have his full velocity, getting clocked between 89-91 mph on his fastball for most of the start. He averaged 94.2 mph on his fastball last season.

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Bailey struggled in his first start of the season Saturday, allowing five runs on nine hits and three walks in 5.2 innings without striking out a batter.

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Bailey (forearm) has been activated from the disabled list for his scheduled start Saturday against St. Louis.

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Bailey (forearm) won't be on a tight pitch count when he makes his first start of the season Saturday against the Cardinals.

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Bailey (forearm) will return from the DL on Saturday to start against the Cardinals.

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Bailey (forearm) threw 75 pitches over five innings at the Reds' spring training facility Wednesday, the Reds' official site reports.

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RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks

2015

Subscribe now to see our 2015 outlook.

2014

Bailey followed up his 2012 breakout campaign with an even better 2013 season, highlighted by his second career no-hitter. Even though it wasn't reflected in his record, Bailey improved across the board, posting a better ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate and home-run rate. The key for Bailey was a spike in his fastball velocity - after averaging 92.5 mph in 2012, his velocity rose to 94.1 mph in 2013. That translated into great results with that pitch (18.9 runs above average, according to Fangraphs). Bailey's name could come up frequently at the trade deadline this year if the Reds don't get off to a good start, as he'll be eligible for free agency after the 2014 season.

2013

Bailey finally had the breakthrough we've all been waiting for, making it through a full season unscathed for the first time in his career. He had a 3.21 ERA over the second half, also lowering his walk and home run rates, culminating in a no-hitter against the Pirates followed by a sterling start in the playoffs against the Giants. Bailey had a couple of extreme splits that might be bankable next season - at home he had a 5.16 ERA with 21 homers allowed in 99.1 innings, compared to a 2.32 road ERA with five homers allowed in 108.2 innings; he also had a 5.02 ERA during the day and a 3.23 ERA at night. Bailey is at the point where he'll start to get expensive for the team - this matters to you insomuch that the Reds have to decide if he has a long-term future with the team or if they should trade him before he reaches free agency. The latter could boost his value depending where he lands.

2012

How many ways can we describe Homer Bailey's unfulfilled potential? It seems as if we could write similar profiles for him every year. Once again, he spent time on the DL with a shoulder problem. Once again, he was a little unlucky, with a 69 percent strand rate. He turned in a nearly identical ERA from 2010, while striking out one less batter per nine innings. And yet, and stop us if you've heard this before, he's still relatively young, turning 26 in May. This is a critical season for Bailey, as he'll start to become more expensive for the Reds, and they'll have to decide how much of a commitment they want to make toward him.

2011

Bailey demonstrated some improvement in 2010, raising his strikeout rate while maintaining decent walk and home run rates. His overall record looks a little worse than it could have been, thanks to a 68-percent strand rate and a .321 BABIP against. Will it be enough to stick in the starting rotation? His spot is pretty tenuous, with Travis Wood, Mike Leake and perhaps even Aroldis Chapman battling with Bailey for the final two spots after Bronson Arroyo, Johnny Cueto and Edinson Volquez. He has the talent to succeed, and he's still young enough to turn that talent into performance.

2010

Investing in pitching prospects is often a matter of faith without evidence - there are times when you have to trust the scouting reports and pedigree and hope that the pitcher in question eventually fulfills his promise. Bailey is finally on that path, finishing the season on a 6-1 run with a sub-2.00 ERA. While many will point to his starts against the Astros and Pirates as the reason for his success, he also had great home starts against the Cardinals and Dodgers in that stretch. Furthermore, his velocity, often dormant in 2008, returned in 2009, as he frequently was clocked in the 95-97 mph range deep into his starts. There's enough here to believe that he's for real.

2009

There's no way to sugarcoat Bailey's awful 2008 season - his 7.93 ERA accurately reflects just how poorly he pitched at the major league level. His fastball has lost a couple of mph from previous seasons, and he hasn't successfully adjusted to that reality. Still, Bailey has a lot of raw talent remaining, and he'll be just 23 in 2009. Patience should be the order of the day, both for the Reds (or a possible trade partner) and for you in dynasty leagues. Just keep him on your reserve roster as long as you can.

2008

Many Reds fans will tell you that the Reds waited too long to call up Bailey, but the opposite is probably more likely to be true. Bailey had a hard time finishing off hitters, both in the majors and at Triple-A Louisville. He often struggled to command his offspeed pitches, and that lack of a second pitch led to his problems finishing off hitters. If you own him in a keeper league, don't get too discouraged - this is all part of the normal developmental cycle - we've just been spoiled by so many good rookie seasons the past few years. He'll likely start 2008 at the major league level as the third or fourth starter, barring a spring training collapse.

2007

Bailey's timetable to reach the majors got accelerated following a superb 2006 season. After blowing through High-A Sarasota, he maintained his strikeout rate in Double-A Chattanooga while keeping his walks and hits allowed down. Reds GM Wayne Krivsky has said that he intends to have Bailey begin the year at Triple-A Louisville, and there are good reasons (both developmental and financial) to do so. Don't be surprised if he's not up until midseason, no matter how good he looks (and how poor the Reds' fifth starter alternatives appear) this spring.

2006

The Reds' first-round pick in 2004 showed glimpses of potential in 2005 at Low-A Dayton, but he's still a long-term project. His strikeout and hit rates are both impressive, but his command (particularly of his curveball) is lacking. Don't expect him to reach the majors in any significant capacity until 2008.

2005

The Reds first-round draft pick and the number seven player drafted overall, Bailey was considered to be the high school pitcher with the most upside in the 2004 draft. He was used sparingly after signing with the team and is on a long developmental track. His selection was a bit of a surprise, given the Reds' brutal history with high school pitchers taken in the first round (Chris Gruler, Jeremy Sowers, Ty Howington).

2004

Has a smooth, easy motion that belies an explosive mid-90s fastball and a quality curveball. Needs to further develop a changeup and like most high school pitchers, hasnít yet been tested. From the ranks of the Texas high school system, he's considered the next Josh Beckett by most of the Lone Star faithful.