RotoWire Partners

Pitching Value Meter: Felix Holds Court

David Regan

David Regan

David Regan is a five-time Fantasy Sports Writers Association award winner, and was named the 2010 Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year.

Fun facts to this point:

Yu Darvish (13) and Matt Moore (12) lead the AL in walks.

Matt Treanor hit his second career triple, both of which are off Randy Wolf.

Lance Lynn is 3-0 while Adam Wainwright is 0-3.

Jim Johnson leads the AL with six saves. That is three times as many as Heath Bell.

Pedro Alvarez has two hits in 30 at-bats. That's awful, but at least they were both home runs.

The Pirates bullpen has a 2.18 ERA, third in the NL.

Texas relievers have a 31:3 K:BB in 33.1 innings.

Tampa Bay's bullpen on the other hand is sporting an 8.63 ERA, last in thev.

For the week April 23-29

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Start 'Em

1.Cliff Lee - @ARI, CHC
2.Matt Cain - @CIN, SD
3.Roy Halladay - CHC
4.Zack Greinke - HOU, @STL
5.Clayton Kershaw - WAS
6.Stephen Strasburg - @LAD
7.Madison Bumgarner - @NYM, SD
8.Dan Hudson - PHI, @MIA
9.Matt Garza - STL, @PHI
10.Josh Johnson - ARI
11.Cole Hamels - @ARI
12.Jordan Zimmermann - @SD, @LAD
13.Mat Latos - SF, HOU
14.Tommy Hanson - PIT
15.Jaime Garcia - @CHC, MIL
16.Mark Buehrle - @NYM, ARI
17.Anibal Sanchez - ARI
18.Johnny Cueto - HOU
19.Ian Kennedy - @MIA
20.Yovani Gallardo - @STL
21.Chad Billingsley - WAS
22.Brandon Beachy - @LAD
23.Gio Gonzalez - @LAD
24.Cory Luebke - @SF
25.Kyle Lohse - MIL
26.Mike Minor - @LAD
27.Tim Lincecum - SD
28.Edwin Jackson - @SD
29.Lance Lynn - @CHC
30.Chris Capuano - ATL, WAS
31.Randy Wolf - HOU
32.Erik Bedard - @ATL
33.Shaun Marcum - HOU
34.Vance Worley - @ARI
35.Ricky Nolasco - @NYM
36.Trevor Cahill - PHI
37.Jhoulys Chacin - @PIT
38.Jon Niese - MIA
39.Wandy Rodriguez - @CIN
40.Jake Westbrook - MIL
41.R.A. Dickey - MIA, @COL
42.Joe Blanton - CHC
43.Juan Nicasio - @PIT
44.Bud Norris - @MIL

Borderline Depending on League Format

45.Ryan Dempster - @PHI (check status)
46.Joe Saunders - @MIA (still skeptical)
47.Mike Leake - HOU
48.Lucas Harrell - @MIN, @CIN
49.James McDonald - COL
50.Aaron Harang - ATL
51.Johan Santana - SF, @COL
52.Jeff Samardzija - STL
53.Edinson Volquez - WAS
54.Bronson Arroyo - SF
55.Ted Lilly - ATL
56.Jair Jurrjens - @LAD, PIT
57.Ross Detwiler - @SD
58.J.A. Happ - @MIL
59.A.J. Burnett - @ATL
60.Ryan Vogelsong - @CIN
61.Dillon Gee - @COL
62.Adam Wainwright - @CHC
63.Clayton Richard - WAS, @SF
64.Homer Bailey - SF
65.Barry Zito - @CIN
66.Jeremy Guthrie - NYM
67.Joe Wieland - WAS
68.Randall Delgado - PIT
69.Carlos Zambrano - @NYM
70.Kyle Weiland - @CIN
71.Anthony Bass - @SF

Extreme Caution Advised

72.Mike Pelfrey - MIA
73.Jamie Moyer - @PIT, NYM
74.Wily Peralta - @STL
75.Paul Maholm - @PHI
76.Kevin Correia - @ATL
77.Chris Volstad - STL
78.Josh Collmenter - PHI
79.Drew Pomeranz - NYM
80.Charlie Morton - COL
81.Brad Lincoln - COL

Notes:
Some pitchers take a while to round into form after Tommy John surgery. Adam Wainwright (0-3, 9.88 ERA) is clearly one of them. Wainwright's velocity is down nearly two mph over 2010, and he's already allowed three home runs in just 8.2 innings. He should ultimately improve as the season goes along, but for now, cross your fingers when slotting him in there. ... We're projecting Stephen Strasburg to face off against Clayton Kershaw in Dodger Stadium on Friday, April 27. If you're a baseball fan at all, you're tuning into that one. ... It appears A.J. Burnett (eye) will replace Jeff Karstens (shoulder) in the rotation this week. No word on how long Karstens will be out. ... Yeah, I pretty much had Jake Westbrook and Joe Saunders in my April 20 NL ERA pool. Both have 0.64 marks after two starts. ... Aroldis Chapman had more strikeouts (17) than both Roy Halladay (14) and Clayton Kershaw (13). What a waste. ... It's uncertain whether Wily Peralta (recalled Friday) or Marco Estrada will fill in for Chris Narveson (shoulder). Peralta is clearly has the upside, but he's young and could struggle initially. ... Homer Bailey had a nice game Friday (seven innings, one run). I would love to predict a breakout, but his K:BB still stands at just 10:7. ... Ryan Dempster is dealing with a quad injury, so consider him questionable for this week. The always-uninspiring Randy Wells is around if needed. ... Would you rank the Giants starters as follows?: Cain, Bumgarner, Lincecum, Zito, Vogelsong? I would. ... Josh Collmenter allowed four runs in 5.2 innings last time out, but he'll live to make another start while better options await down in Double-A.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Start 'Em

1.Felix Hernandez - @DET, @TOR
2.Jon Lester - @MIN, @CHW
3.CC Sabathia - DET
4.Justin Verlander - @NYY
5.David Price - LAA, @TEX
6.Derek Holland - NYY, TB
7.Bartolo Colon - CHW, @BAL (this just seems high, but...)
8.Ricky Romero - SEA
9.Dan Haren - @CLE
10.Colby Lewis - TB
11.Josh Beckett - @MIN, @CHW
12.Yu Darvish - NYY
13.Jered Weaver - @CLE
14.Ervin Santana - @TB, @CLE
15.James Shields - @TEX
16.C.J. Wilson - @TB
17.John Danks - BOS
18.Neftali Feliz - TB
19.Gavin Floyd - OAK, @BOS
20.Max Scherzer - SEA, @NYY
21.Jake Peavy - OAK, @BOS
22.Brandon McCarthy - @BAL
23.Matt Moore - LAA
24.Justin Masterson - LAA
25.Hiroki Kuroda - @TEX, DET
26.Chris Sale - @OAK
27.Bruce Chen - TOR, @MIN
28.Brandon Morrow - @KC, SEA
29.Rick Porcello - SEA
30.Ivan Nova - @TEX
31.Matt Harrison - NYY
32.Jason Hammel - TOR
33.Ubaldo Jimenez - KC (boy has he dropped off)
34.Jake Arrieta - OAK
35.Clay Buchholz - @MIN
36.Danny Duffy - @MIN
37.Tom Milone - CHW
38.Jason Vargas - @DET
39.Jeremy Hellickson - LAA
40.Blake Beavan - @TOR

Borderline Depending on League Format

41.Henderson Alvarez - @BAL, SEA
42.Philip Humber - BOS
43.Derek Lowe - KC, LAA
44.Wei-Yin Chen - OAK
45.Kyle Drabek - @BAL
46.Jeff Niemann - @TEX
47.Liam Hendriks - BOS
48.Tyson Ross - @BAL
49.Hector Noesi - @DET
50.Graham Godfrey - CHW
51.Kevin Millwood - @TOR
52.Tommy Hunter - TOR, OAK
53.Josh Tomlin - KC
54.Nick Blackburn - BOS
55.Dan Bard - @CHW
56.Jeanmar Gomez - LAA
57.Felix Doubront - @CHW
58.Carl Pavano - KC

Extreme Caution Advised

59.Phil Hughes - @TEX
60.Drew Smyly - @NYY
61.Luke Hochevar - @CLE
62.Luis Mendoza - @CLE
63.Francisco Liriano - KC
64.Brian Matusz - TOR
65.Drew Hutchison - @BAL
66.Freddy Garcia - DET
67.Adam Wilk - SEA
68.Jonathan Sanchez - @CLE, @MIN
69.Jason Marquis - BOS, KC
70.Jerome Williams - @TB

Notes:
Colby Lewis took a slight step back last year after an excellent 2010, but so far this year he's off to a great start - 22:1 K:BB in 19.2 innings. He's safe to start each week in all formats. ... Bartolo Colon is the first starter to three wins in the AL, and it's a legitimate three wins as evidenced by a 19:2 K:BB in 27.2 innings. ... Felix Doubront and Dan Bard both have 1.70-plus WHIPs. You have to wonder how long Bobby Valentine will wait before recalling Aaron Cook or flip-flopping Bard and Alfredo Aceves. ... Aaron Crow isn't even the Royals closer, but yet he is tied for the team lead in saves (one) and leads in holds (also one). I just found that odd. ... In other Royals news, Danny Duffy has pitched well in each of his first two starts (2.13 ERA). Now if they can just find Mike Montgomery's command and John Lamb's (Tommy John) health, they will be in business. ... Angels have played in 13 saves (as of Thursday) and have no team saves. ... Drew Hutchinson will be interesting to watch Saturday in his big-league debut. He comes straight from Double-A where he had a 2.16 ERA in three starts. Hutchinson also posted a strong 10.3 K/9IP last year in the minors, so he's worth an immediate pickup in deeper leagues. ... Look for Andy Pettitte's name to appear in next week's rankings assuming all goes well in his final minor league tune-up. ... With a 4.74 ERA and 1.63 WHIP, it's looking like a good time to buy Matt Moore. Perhaps his fantasy owner has soured a bit.

MIXED LEAGUE TOP 100

1.Cliff Lee - @ARI, CHC
2.Matt Cain - @CIN, SD
3.Felix Hernandez - @DET, @TOR
4.Jon Lester - @MIN, @CHW
5.Roy Halladay - CHC
6.CC Sabathia - DET
7.Justin Verlander - @NYY
8.Zack Greinke - HOU, @STL
9.David Price - LAA, @TEX
10.Clayton Kershaw - WAS
11.Stephen Strasburg - @LAD
12.Derek Holland - NYY, TB
13.Madison Bumgarner - @NYM, SD
14.Dan Hudson - PHI, @MIA
15.Bartolo Colon - CHW, @BAL (this just seems high, but...)
16.Matt Garza - STL, @PHI
17.Josh Johnson - ARI
18.Cole Hamels - @ARI
19.Jordan Zimmermann - @SD, @LAD
20.Mat Latos - SF, HOU
21.Tommy Hanson - PIT
22.Ricky Romero - SEA
23.Dan Haren - @CLE
24.Jaime Garcia - @CHC, MIL
25.Mark Buehrle - @NYM, ARI
26.Anibal Sanchez - ARI
27.Colby Lewis - TB
28.Josh Beckett - @MIN, @CHW
29.Johnny Cueto - HOU
30.Ian Kennedy - @MIA
31.Yu Darvish - NYY
32.Jered Weaver - @CLE
33.Ervin Santana - @TB, @CLE
34.Yovani Gallardo - @STL
35.James Shields - @TEX
36.C.J. Wilson - @TB
37.John Danks - BOS
38.Neftali Feliz - TB
39.Gavin Floyd - OAK, @BOS
40.Max Scherzer - SEA, @NYY
41.Chad Billingsley - WAS
42.Brandon Beachy - @LAD
43.Jake Peavy - OAK, @BOS
44.Gio Gonzalez - @LAD
45.Brandon McCarthy - @BAL
46.Matt Moore - LAA
47.Cory Luebke - @SF
48.Kyle Lohse - MIL
49.Mike Minor - @LAD
50.Tim Lincecum - SD
51.Edwin Jackson - @SD
52.Lance Lynn - @CHC
53.Justin Masterson - LAA
54.Hiroki Kuroda - @TEX, DET
55.Chris Capuano - ATL, WAS
56.Randy Wolf - HOU
57.Erik Bedard - @ATL
58.Chris Sale - @OAK
59.Bruce Chen - TOR, @MIN
60.Shaun Marcum - HOU
61.Vance Worley - @ARI
62.Ricky Nolasco - @NYM
63.Brandon Morrow - @KC, SEA
64.Rick Porcello - SEA
65.Trevor Cahill - PHI
66.Jhoulys Chacin - @PIT
67.Jon Niese - MIA
68.Ivan Nova - @TEX
69.Matt Harrison - NYY
70.Jason Hammel - TOR
71.Ubaldo Jimenez - KC (boy has he dropped off)
72.Jake Arrieta - OAK
73.Wandy Rodriguez - @CIN
74.Jake Westbrook - MIL
75.Clay Buchholz - @MIN
76.Danny Duffy - @MIN
77.Tom Milone - CHW
78.Jason Vargas - @DET
79.Jeremy Hellickson - LAA
80.R.A. Dickey - MIA, @COL
81.Joe Blanton - CHC
82.Juan Nicasio - @PIT
83.Bud Norris - @MIL
84.Ryan Dempster - @PHI (check status)
85.Blake Beavan - @TOR
86.Joe Saunders - @MIA (still skeptical)
87.Henderson Alvarez - @BAL, SEA
88.Mike Leake - HOU
89.Lucas Harrell - @MIN, @CIN
90.James McDonald - COL
91.Philip Humber - BOS
92.Aaron Harang - ATL
93.Derek Lowe - KC, LAA
94.Wei-Yin Chen - OAK
95.Kyle Drabek - @BAL
96.Jeff Niemann - @TEX
97.Liam Hendriks - BOS
98.Johan Santana - SF, @COL
99.Jeff Samardzija - STL
100.Edinson Volquez - WAS

Regan, a five-time Fantasy Sports Writers Association award winner, was named the 2010 Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year.

Follow @vtadave on Twitter.