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Pitching Value Meter: Falling Angel?

David Regan

David Regan

David Regan is a five-time Fantasy Sports Writers Association award winner, and was named the 2010 Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year.


For the week Sept. 10-16

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Start 'Em

1. Roy Halladay - MIA, @HOU
2. Adam Wainwright - @SD, @LAD
3. Gio Gonzalez - @NYM, @ATL
4. R.A. Dickey - WAS, @MIL
5. Cole Hamels - @HOU
6. Clayton Kershaw - STL
7. Cliff Lee - MIA
8. Matt Cain - @ARI
9. Mat Latos - PIT, @MIA
10. Johnny Cueto - @MIA
11. Stephen Strasburg - @NYM
12. Kris Medlen - WAS
13. Jordan Zimmermann - @NYM
14. Madison Bumgarner - @COL
15. Patrick Corbin - LAD
16. Edwin Jackson - @ATL
17. Wade Miley - SF
18. Tommy Hanson - WAS
19. Jaime Garcia - @SD, @LAD
20. Mike Minor - @MIL, WAS
21. Wandy Rodriguez - @CIN, @CHC
22. A.J. Burnett - @CIN
23. Ian Kennedy - SF
24. Kyle Lohse - @SD
25. Tim Hudson - @MIL
26. Matt Harvey - WAS
27. Jon Niese - @MIL
28. Josh Johnson - @PHI
29. Michael Fiers - NYM
30. Ross Detwiler - @ATL
31. Yovani Gallardo - ATL
32. Jake Westbrook - @LAD
33. Bronson Arroyo - @MIA
34. Tyler Skaggs - SF
35. Kyle Kendrick - MIA, @HOU
36. Ryan Vogelsong - @COL, @ARI
37. Josh Beckett - STL
38. Travis Wood - @HOU
39. Marco Estrada - ATL
40. Tim Lincecum - @COL
41. Casey Kelly - COL
42. Homer Bailey - PIT
43. Mark Buehrle - CIN
44. Trevor Cahill - LAD
45. Tyler Cloyd - @HOU

Borderline Depending on League Format

46. Chris Capuano - STL
47. Paul Maholm - @MIL
48. Shaun Marcum - NYM
49. Drew Pomeranz - @SD
50. Joe Kelly - @LAD
51. Wade LeBlanc - @PHI
52. Wily Peralta - ATL, NYM
53. Eric Stults - STL
54. Lucas Harrell - PHI
55. Joe Blanton - @ARI
56. Andrew Werner - COL
57. Bud Norris - PHI
58. James McDonald - @CHC
59. Ricky Nolasco - CIN
60. Aaron Harang - @ARI, STL
61. Collin McHugh - WAS
62. Mike Leake - PIT
63. Jeremy Hefner - @MIL
64. Clayton Richard - STL
65. Jhoulys Chacin - SF
66. Jeff Locke - @CHC
67. Nathan Eovaldi - @PHI
68. Edinson Volquez - STL

Extreme Caution Advised

69. Barry Zito - @ARI
70. Jacob Turner - CIN
71. Tyler Chatwood - @SD
72. Alex White - SF, @SD
73. Andrew Cashner - COL
74. Fernando Abad - CHC
75. Jeff Francis - SF
76. Jordan Lyles - CHC
77. Jason Berken - PIT
78. Kevin Correia - @CIN
79. Chris Volstad - PIT, @HOU
80. Chris Rusin - PIT
81. Dallas Keuchel - CHC, PHI
82. Edgar Gonzalez - PHI
83. Justin Germano - @HOU

Notes:
You may notice Chris Young is not listed this week. He could get a start in Milwaukee, but if the Mets stick to using six starters while ensuring R.A. Dickey's starts are maximized, Young appears to be the odd man out this week. ... I'm not sure whether John Lannan will start this week or next, but I left him off the list for this week regardless. ... I think the Padres go with a six-man rotation now that Andrew Cashner is back. Cashner offers intriguing strikeout potential, but he'll likely be on a strict pitch count all year. ... It's still hard to trust any Astros pitcher, but Lucas Harrell has a 3.83 ERA, surprisingly. ... Pretty shocking to see Stephen Strasburg lit up on Friday. Perhaps he's gassed? ... I realize the Cubs are terrible, but Justin Germano in the rotation? Really? ... Trevor Cahill should see his name floated in trade rumors this winter given the boatload of young arms in Arizona, and with a 3.98 ERA and reasonable contract, the Diamondbacks should find at least a handful of takers. ... Don't sleep on Wily Peralta in NL-only leagues. He should be able to hold down a rotation spot the rest of the way, and with his quality stuff, he could be of value. ... I mentioned Justin Germano earlier, but sticking with the Cubs, Chris Volstad is also terrible. He's one of a handful of starters who actually loses value with two starts as opposed to one. ... Ben Sheets (shoulder) probably is in line for two more starts at best this year, depending on how his latest rehab goes. ... It's sounding like Tommy John surgery is in store for Chad Billingsley. That could leave the Dodgers with a 2013 rotation of Clayton Kershaw, Zack Greinke, Josh Beckett, Chris Capuano and Aaron Harang. Still not bad.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Start 'Em

1. Felix Hernandez - @TOR
2. Justin Verlander - @CHW
3. David Price - @NYY (check status)
4. Doug Fister - @CHW, @CLE
5. Chris Sale - DET
6. Max Scherzer - @CHW
7. Ryan Dempster - CLE, SEA
8. CC Sabathia - TB
9. Matt Moore - @BAL
10. Dan Haren - OAK, @KC
11. Brett Anderson - @LAA
12. Clay Buchholz - @TOR
13. Hiroki Kuroda - @BOS
14. James Shields - @NYY
15. Brandon Morrow - SEA, BOS
16. Jake Peavy - DET, @MIN
17. Jered Weaver - OAK (tentative)
18. Jarrod Parker - @LAA, BAL
19. Zack Greinke - @KC
20. Derek Holland - CLE
21. Yu Darvish - SEA
22. Jeremy Hellickson - @BAL
23. Anibal Sanchez - @CLE
24. A.J. Griffin - @LAA
25. Jon Lester - NYY, @TOR
26. Zach Britton - @OAK
27. Alex Cobb - @NYY, @BAL
28. Jeremy Guthrie - LAA
29. Matt Harrison - SEA
30. Joe Saunders - @OAK
31. Jason Hammel - TB
32. Freddy Garcia - @BOS, TB
33. Carlos Villanueva - BOS
34. Scott Diamond - KC
35. Dan Straily - @LAA, BAL (tentative to get 2 starts)

Borderline Depending on League Format

36. Jason Vargas - @TEX
37. Wei-Yin Chen - TB
38. C.J. Wilson - OAK
39. Miguel Gonzalez - TB
40. Ivan Nova - TB
41. Phil Hughes - @BOS
42. Ervin Santana - OAK, @KC (tentative for KC start)
43. Tom Milone - BAL
44. Scott Feldman - CLE
45. Rick Porcello - @CHW, @CLE
46. Hisashi Iwakuma - @TEX
47. Blake Beavan - @TOR, @TEX
48. Luis Mendoza - @MIN
49. Sam Deduno - CLE, CHW
50. Justin Masterson - @MIN, DET
51. Kevin Millwood - @TOR
52. Felix Doubront - @TOR
53. Hector Santiago - @MIN
54. Bruce Chen - LAA

Extreme Caution Advised

55. Will Smith - @MIN
56. Francisco Liriano - DET
57. Henderson Alvarez - SEA
58. Luke Hochevar - @MIN, LAA
59. Cole DeVries - CHW
60. Ubaldo Jimenez - @TEX, DET
61. Ricky Romero - SEA
62. Liam Hendriks - KC
63. Aaron Laffey - BOS
64. Aaron Cook - NYY
65. Daisuke Matsuzaka - NYY
66. Corey Kluber - DET
67. P.J. Walters - KC
68. Jeanmar Gomez - @TEX
69. Esmerling Vasquez - CHW
70. Zach McAllister - @TEX
71. Jose Quintana - DET, @MIN

Notes: David Price
's sore shoulder is the big news this week. You're going to want to track his progress over the weekend. He's expected to miss just one start, Saturday, Sept. 8 ... Chris Tillman looks to be out for this week due to elbow issues, so I'll have the O's on a five-man rotation. By the way, who would start Game 1 of the ALDS for them - Miguel Gonzalez? ... Ivan Nova (shoulder) appears set to return to the rotation on Sunday, Sept. 9. It would appear that would make Freddy Garcia a two-start starter this week instead of Hiroki Kuroda, but I'm not 100 percent sure there. ... Jered Weaver's shoulder has already caused him to miss one start, but I'm going to guess he returns to the rotation at some point this week. Watch his player notes over the weekend for further information. ... Let's just hope Brandon McCarthy returns strong next year after that scary head injury. A headline on ESPN Friday was this scary "McCarthy facing life-threatening situation." I feel bad for Erick Aybar, whose batted ball led to this frightening situation. Thoughts and prayers if you're so inclined should go McCarthy's way. I'm projecting Dan Straily to start Monday. ...The Rays recalled Chris Archer, who will soon replace Alex Cobb in the rotation. Cobb has showed flashes of being a solid No. 4 starter, and the Rays want to limit his innings to keep him fresh for 2013. ... Jose Quintana has allowed 12 runs in five innings over his last two starts. That's just in case you were wondering about the low ranking. ... A.J. Griffin has to be used in most formats right now, but I worry about two things: a sub-90 mph fastball and a .227 BABIP. ... Ryan Dempster has notched four consecutive quality starts, so after a rough introduction to the AL, he's settled in nicely. ... Jason Berken replaced Jeff Samardzija in the rotation this week, as the Cubs are shutting Samardzija down after his Sept. 8 start. He could be the team's Opening Day starter next year depending on how things shake out this offseason. ... Aaron Laffey will replace J.A. Happ (broken foot) in the Toronto rotation. Safe to say the Jays need to upgrade their rotation this winter. ... Hector Noesi could start for the Mariners this week, but as I'm not sure when that will happen, I left him off. Hopefully you're not in a position where you really NEED his start this week. ... Royals top prospect Jake Odorizzi could get a couple starts for the Royals this week. He might immediately be the team's top starter. ... I really have no idea whether Roy Oswalt start this week, so I left him off.

MIXED LEAGUE TOP 100

1. Roy Halladay - MIA, @HOU
2. Adam Wainwright - @SD, @LAD
3. Gio Gonzalez - @NYM, @ATL
4. R.A. Dickey - WAS, @MIL
5. Felix Hernandez - @TOR
6. Justin Verlander - @CHW
7. Cole Hamels - @HOU
8. Clayton Kershaw - STL
9. Cliff Lee - MIA
10. Matt Cain - @ARI
11. Mat Latos - PIT, @MIA
12. Johnny Cueto - @MIA
13. David Price - @NYY (check status)
14. Stephen Strasburg - @NYM
15. Kris Medlen - WAS
16. Doug Fister - @CHW, @CLE
17. Chris Sale - DET
18. Jordan Zimmermann - @NYM
19. Madison Bumgarner - @COL
20. Max Scherzer - @CHW
21. Ryan Dempster - CLE, SEA
22. CC Sabathia - TB
23. Matt Moore - @BAL
24. Dan Haren - OAK, @KC
25. Patrick Corbin - LAD
26. Edwin Jackson - @ATL
27. Brett Anderson - @LAA
28. Wade Miley - SF
29. Tommy Hanson - WAS
30. Clay Buchholz - @TOR
31. Hiroki Kuroda - @BOS
32. James Shields - @NYY
33. Jaime Garcia - @SD, @LAD
34. Brandon Morrow - SEA, BOS
35. Jake Peavy - DET, @MIN
36. Mike Minor - @MIL, WAS
37. Jered Weaver - OAK (tentative)
38. Jarrod Parker - @LAA, BAL
39. Zack Greinke - @KC
40. Wandy Rodriguez - @CIN, @CHC
41. A.J. Burnett - @CIN
42. Ian Kennedy - SF
43. Kyle Lohse - @SD
44. Tim Hudson - @MIL
45. Derek Holland - CLE
46. Matt Harvey - WAS
47. Jon Niese - @MIL
48. Yu Darvish - SEA
49. Josh Johnson - @PHI
50. Michael Fiers - NYM
51. Ross Detwiler - @ATL
52. Yovani Gallardo - ATL
53. Jeremy Hellickson - @BAL
54. Anibal Sanchez - @CLE
55. Jake Westbrook - @LAD
56. A.J. Griffin - @LAA
57. Jon Lester - NYY, @TOR
58. Bronson Arroyo - @MIA
59. Tyler Skaggs - SF
60. Kyle Kendrick - MIA, @HOU
61. Ryan Vogelsong - @COL, @ARI
62. Zach Britton - @OAK
63. Josh Beckett - STL
64. Travis Wood - @HOU
65. Marco Estrada - ATL
66. Tim Lincecum - @COL
67. Casey Kelly - COL
68. Homer Bailey - PIT
69. Mark Buehrle - CIN
70. Alex Cobb - @NYY, @BAL
71. Trevor Cahill - LAD
72. Jeremy Guthrie - LAA
73. Matt Harrison - SEA
74. Joe Saunders - @OAK
75. Tyler Cloyd - @HOU
76. Jason Hammel - TB
77. Freddy Garcia - @BOS, TB
78. Carlos Villanueva - BOS
79. Scott Diamond - KC
80. Dan Straily - @LAA, BAL (tentative to get 2 starts)
81. Chris Capuano - STL
82. Paul Maholm - @MIL
83. Shaun Marcum - NYM
84. Drew Pomeranz - @SD
85. Joe Kelly - @LAD
86. Jason Vargas - @TEX
87. Wade LeBlanc - @PHI
88. Wily Peralta - ATL, NYM
89. Eric Stults - STL
90. Wei-Yin Chen - TB
91. Lucas Harrell - PHI
92. C.J. Wilson - OAK
93. Miguel Gonzalez - TB
94. Ivan Nova - TB
95. Phil Hughes - @BOS
96. Ervin Santana - OAK, @KC (tentative for KC start)
97. Tom Milone - BAL
98. Joe Blanton - @ARI
99. Scott Feldman - CLE
100. Rick Porcello - @CHW, @CLE

Regan, a five-time Fantasy Sports Writers Association award winner, was named the 2010 Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year.

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