Like any fantasy position, we can only draft starting pitching based on what we think we know. No one is always right, but being right more often than our opposition is what results in fantasy trophies. I wish this article contained a previously unrevealed holy grail of pitching metrics designed to predict the future, but alas, such a metric does not exist. Could any metric have predicted the following?
*Cliff Lee - 6 wins
*Lance Lynn - 18 wins
*R.A. Dickey - NL Cy Young winner
*Tim Lincecum - 5.18 ERA
*Jake Peavy - 219 innings!
Instead, we can focus on what we think will lead to future success (strikeout rate, advanced metrics, velocity, etc.), try and avoid injury risks (unless the price is right), and simply hope for the best. In this piece, we will look at four topics and try and help you find guys to target and others to avoid.
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