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Pitching Value Meter: Yu the Man This Week

Paul Sporer

Paul Sporer

Sporer covers pitching for RotoWire. He also writes for Baseball Prospectus and publishes an annual guide on starting pitcher. In his spare time, he roots for the Tigers.

As always, remember that rotations are subject to change so if you see something that's incorrect, assume that it was a change that has occurred since this article was posted. Feel free to bring it up in the comments, and I'll let you know where the new arm slots.

For the week June 24-30

NATIONAL LEAGUE

START

1. Cliff Lee - at SD, at LAD (quietly brilliant this year having yielded more than 3 ER in just two of 15 GS)
2. Gio Gonzalez - ARI, at NYM (1-1 in last 9 GS despite 2.26 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and 57 K over 59.7 IP)
3. Clayton Kershaw - SF
4. Adam Wainwright - at OAK
5. Matt Harvey - WAS
6. Shelby Miller - at OAK
7. Stephen Strasburg - ARI (has given up exactly 1 ER in each of last six netting a 1.46 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in 37 IP)
8. Madison Bumgarner - at LAD, at COL (if the second start wasn't in COL, he'd slot higher)
9. Mike Minor - at KC
10. Lance Lynn - at HOU (14 Ks coming here ... book it!)
11. Jordan Zimmermann - ARI
12. Cole Hamels - at SD (he's been much better in June with a 3.46 ERA; mechanics have improved, too)
13. Jeff Samardzija - at SEA (huge bounce back against in STL after small lull to start June)
14. Hyun-Jin Ryu - SF, PHI
15. Eric Stults - PHI, at MIA (since May 1st: 2.31 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 2.6 K/BB in 70 IP)
16. Mat Latos - at TEX (would be with Zimm & Hamels if his matchup was more favorable)
17. Patrick Corbin - at WAS
18. Andrew Cashner - at MIA (matchup & venue influenced ranking)
19. Francisco Liriano - MIL (he just keeps going)
20. Johnny Cueto - at TEX
21. Homer Bailey - at OAK
22. Matt Cain - at COL (hopefully this doesn't derail his excellent three-start stretch)
23. Zack Greinke - PHI
24. Julio Teheran - ARI (maturing before our eyes)
25. Yovani Gallardo - CHC (3.51 ERA in last 8 GS with 44 K; 1.67 ERA in June alone over 4 GS)
26. Jose Fernandez - MIN
27. Gerrit Cole - MIL (we're seeing immediately why he was a #1 overall pick)
28. Tyler Chatwood - NYM (very underrated)
29. Jeff Locke - at SEA
30. Ricky Nolasco - SD
31. Kris Medlen - at KC (sub-3.00 ERA is a bit of a mirage if 1.27 WHIP remains)
32. Travis Wood - at SEA
33. Paul Maholm - ARI
34. Zack Wheeler - at CWS, WAS (even this is a high ranking after one start)
35. Kyle Kendrick - at SD, at LAD
36. Kyle Lohse - CHC, at PIT
37. Chris Capuano - SF, PHI
38. Edwin Jackson - at MIL, at SEA (skills are far better than a 5.49 ERA)
39. Scott Feldman - at MIL
40. Trevor Cahill - at WAS
41. Tim Hudson - ARI (workhorse June: 1.57 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in 28.7 IP over 4 GS)
42. Mike Leake - at TEX
43. Dillon Gee - WAS (gave up 5+ ER four times in first 10; has allowed 5 total ER in last four combined)
44. Jorge de la Rosa - SF
45. Ian Kennedy - at ATL
46. Nathan Eovaldi - SD (solid debut in Arizona; keep an eye on him)
47. Shaun Marcum - at CWS (skills are far better than a 5.49 ERA and 0-9 record)
48. Jacob Turner - SD
49. Alfredo Figaro - at PIT
50. Jhoulys Chacin - SF
51. Bronson Arroyo - at OAK (the NL's Bartolo Colon?)
52. Jason Marquis - PHI
53. Jeanmar Gomez - at SEA

CAUTION

54. Jeremy Hefner - at COL
55. Tom Koehler - MIN
56. Wade Miley - at WAS
57. Roy Oswalt - at BOS (the 11 Ks were nice, but BOS is much better than the WAS offense that got to him)
58. Matt Garza - at MIL
59. Tim Lincecum - at LAD
60. Randall Delgado - at ATL
61. Jonathan Pettibone - at LAD
62. Juan Nicasio - at BOS, SF
63. Edinson Volquez - at MIA
64. Charlie Morton - MIL
65. Clayton Richard - PHI
66. John Lannan - at LAD
67. Ross Detwiler - at NYM
68. Barry Zito - at COL
69. Dan Haren - at NYM
70. Jake Westbrook - at HOU
71. Donovan Hand - at PIT
72. Tyler Lyons - at OAK
73. Chad Gaudin - at LAD
74. Matt Magill - PHI
75. Wily Peralta - CHC

AMERICAN LEAGUE

START

1. Yu Darvish - at NYY, CIN (has 46 Ks in last 5 GS; Jeremy Guthrie has 45 in 15 GS)
2. Chris Sale - NYM, CLE (should build a nice cushion v. NYM to sustain some damage v. CLE)
3. Hiroki Kuroda - TEX, at BAL (he's given up more than 3 ER just twice in 15 GS)
4. James Shields - at MIN
5. Max Scherzer - at TB (the 1a to Darvish's 1 as best SP in AL thus far)
6. Justin Verlander - at TB (placing Scherzer as the top DET SP is the most “panic” you'll get from me; he's fine)
7. Felix Hernandez - PIT (a soft landing to bounce back from the epic collapse in LAA)
8. Hisashi Iwakuma - CHC
9. Ervin Santana - ATL, at MIN
10. Clay Buchholz - COL, TOR (slated to return from the DL Tuesday)
11. Justin Masterson - at BAL, at CWS
12. Jarrod Parker - STL (8 straight QS and 9 of 10 with 2.97 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 66.7 IP)
13. John Lackey - TOR (he has a 2.42 ERA in 44.7 IP over his last 7 GS)
14. Doug Fister - LAA
15. CC Sabathia - at BAL
16. Derek Holland - at NYY
17. Bartolo Colon - STL (makes up for lack of Ks with sparkling ERA, WHIP, and win total)
18. Corey Kluber - at BAL (getting better every outing)
19. Josh Johnson - at BOS
20. C.J. Wilson - at DET, at HOU (10 QS in last 13 having allowed more than 3 ER just once)
21. Jon Lester - TOR (good luck dealing with these next three)
22. Matt Moore - TOR (you can't bench them because of their upside)
23. Jered Weaver - at DET (but they've been absolutely maddening of late)
24. Chris Tillman - CLE, NYY
25. Rick Porcello - LAA, at TB (tough outing v. BAL shouldn't dissuade you as he's truly grown)
26. Andy Pettitte - TEX
27. Bud Norris - LAA
28. Jose Quintana - CLE (he's avoided the complete disaster all season giving up 5 ER just once)
29. Tommy Milone - CIN
30. Scott Kazmir - at BAL
31. Miguel Gonzalez - CLE
32. Dan Straily - STL
33. Jordan Lyles - LAA (never would've bet I'd have three HOU SPs above the Caution line)
34. Hector Santiago - CLE
35. A.J. Griffin - CIN
36. Jeremy Hellickson - TOR, DET (not really sold based on one good start, especially facing these two lineups)
37. Jeremy Guthrie - at MIN
38. Jeremy Bonderman - CHC
39. Joe Saunders - PIT (could shutout the '27 Yankees at home)
40. David Phelps - at BAL
41. R.A. Dickey - at TB
42. Esmil Rogers - at TB, at BOS (improving each start, but tough slate and lack of track record tempers expectations)
43. Kevin Correia - at MIA, KC
44. Zach Britton - CLE, NYY
45. Ubaldo Jimenez - at BAL, at CWS
46. Trevor Bauer - at CWS
47. Jerome Williams - at HOU (since getting trounced in first start of the season: 3.13 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 3.3 K/BB in 46 IP)
48. Felix Doubront - TOR (hasn't allowed more than 3 ER in any of last 7 GS posting a 2.81 ERA in 41.7 IP)
49. Dallas Keuchel - LAA (surprised by his inclusion? 2.59 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in last 5 GS)
50. Mark Buehrle - at TB, at BOS
51. Phil Hughes - TEX
52. Ryan Dempster - CLE
53. Aaron Harang - CHC (he has a 3.64 ERA in 8 GS since the start of May)
54. Luis Mendoza - ATL (hit around by CLE last time out, but still has 3.35 ERA in last 9 GS)
55. John Danks - NYM

CAUTION

56. Scott Diamond - at MIA
57. Jose Alvarez - LAA (he's been great in his first two outings, but he gets a third straight tough offense; be careful)
58. Chris Archer - DET
59. Carlos Carrasco - at CWS
60. Jason Hammel - CLE
61. Nick Tepesch - CIN
62. Tommy Hanson - at DET
63. Lucas Harrell - STL
64. Martin Perez - CIN
65. Alex Colome - DET
66. Erik Bedard - STL
67. Dylan Axelrod - CLE
68. Justin Grimm - at NYY
69. Roberto Hernandez - TOR
70. Chien-Ming Wang - at BOS
71. Samuel Deduno - KC
72. Wade Davis - at MIN
73. Freddy Garcia - NYY
74. Mike Pelfrey - KC
75. P.J. Walters - KC

MLB TOP 100

1. Yu Darvish - at NYY, CIN
2. Cliff Lee - at SD, at LAD
3. Chris Sale - NYM, CLE
4. Hiroki Kuroda - TEX, at BAL
5. Gio Gonzalez - ARI, at NYM
6. James Shields - at MIN
7. Clayton Kershaw - SF
8. Adam Wainwright - at OAK
9. Max Scherzer - at TB
10. Matt Harvey - WAS
11. Shelby Miller - at OAK
12. Stephen Strasburg - ARI
13. Justin Verlander - at TB
14. Felix Hernandez - PIT
15. Hisashi Iwakuma - CHC
16. Madison Bumgarner - at LAD, at COL
17. Mike Minor - at KC
18. Lance Lynn - at HOU
19. Jordan Zimmermann - ARI
20. Cole Hamels - at SD
21. Jeff Samardzija - at SEA
22. Hyun-Jin Ryu - SF, PHI
23. Eric Stults - PHI, at MIA
24. Justin Masterson - at BAL, at CWS
25. Ervin Santana - ATL, at MIN
26. Clay Buchholz - COL, TOR
27. Jarrod Parker - STL
28. John Lackey - TOR
29. Doug Fister - LAA
30. CC Sabathia - at BAL
31. Mat Latos - at TEX
32. Patrick Corbin - at WAS
33. Andrew Cashner - at MIA
34. Francisco Liriano - MIL
35. Johnny Cueto - at TEX
36. Homer Bailey - at OAK
37. Derek Holland - at NYY
38. Bartolo Colon - STL
39. Corey Kluber - at BAL
40. Josh Johnson - at BOS
41. Matt Cain - at COL
42. Zack Greinke - PHI
43. Julio Teheran - ARI
44. Yovani Gallardo - CHC
45. Jose Fernandez - MIN
46. Gerrit Cole - MIL
47. C.J. Wilson - at DET, at HOU
48. Tyler Chatwood - NYM
49. Jeff Locke - at SEA
50. Ricky Nolasco - SD
51. Kris Medlen - at KC
52. Travis Wood - at SEA
53. Paul Maholm - ARI
54. Jon Lester - TOR
55. Matt Moore - TOR
56. Jered Weaver - at DET
57. Chris Tillman - CLE, NYY
58. Rick Porcello - LAA, at TB
59. Zack Wheeler - at CWS, WAS
60. Kyle Kendrick - at SD, at LAD
61. Kyle Lohse - CHC, at PIT
62. Chris Capuano - SF, PHI
63. Edwin Jackson - at MIL, at SEA
64. Scott Feldman - at MIL
65. Trevor Cahill - at WAS
66. Tim Hudson - ARI
67. Mike Leake - at TEX
68. Dillon Gee - WAS
69. Jorge de la Rosa - SF
70. Andy Pettitte - TEX
71. Bud Norris - LAA
72. Jose Quintana - CLE
73. Tommy Milone - CIN
74. Scott Kazmir - at BAL
75. Miguel Gonzalez - CLE
76. A.J. Griffin - CIN
77. Dan Straily - STL
78. Jordan Lyles - LAA
79. Hector Santiago - CLE
80. Jeremy Hellickson - TOR, DET
81. Jeremy Guthrie - at MIN
82. Jeremy Bonderman - CHC
83. Joe Saunders - PIT
84. David Phelps - at BAL
85. R.A. Dickey - at TB
86. Esmil Rogers - at TB, at BOS
87. Kevin Correia - at MIA, KC
88. Zach Britton - CLE, NYY
89. Ubaldo Jimenez - at BAL, at CWS
90. Ian Kennedy - at ATL
91. Nathan Eovaldi - SD
92. Trevor Bauer - at CWS
93. Shaun Marcum - at CWS
94. Jerome Williams - at HOU
95. Jacob Turner - SD
96. Alfredo Figaro - at PIT
97. Jhoulys Chacin - SF
98. Bronson Arroyo - at OAK
99. Felix Doubront - TOR
100. Dallas Keuchel - LAA