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Pitching Value Meter: Yes Way, Jose

Paul Sporer

Paul Sporer

Sporer covers pitching for RotoWire. He also writes for Baseball Prospectus and publishes an annual guide on starting pitcher. In his spare time, he roots for the Tigers.

As always, remember that rotations are subject to change so if you see something that's incorrect, assume that it was a change that has occurred since this article was posted. Feel free to bring it up in the comments, and I'll let you know where the new arm slots.

For the week of Aug. 19-25

NATIONAL LEAGUE

We have a ton of two-start guys in the NL this week bumping some serious talent down a bit.

START

1. Jose Fernandez - LAD, COL (there may be two guys who can stop the Dodgers and one of is their ace, Fernandez just might be the other)
2. Francisco Liriano - at SD, at SF (bounced back from his Coors Field speed bump with a CG at STL)
3. Patrick Corbin - at CIN, at PHI
4. A.J. Burnett - at SD, at SF (hit a second speed bump in STL after the one in Coors, but this setup is a perfect remedy)
5. Clayton Kershaw - at MIA (unfortunately we don't get to see him square off against Fernandez)
6. Madison Bumgarner - PIT
7. Jordan Zimmermann - at CHC, at KC (unlikely to match the Ks totals of one-start studs, but back on track from late-July hiccup)
8. Stephen Strasburg - at CHC (he has a 2.37 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, 44 Ks in 38 IP over last five; just 1-2 thanks to poor offense)
9. Zack Greinke - at MIA (on fire with a 1.66 ERA in his last seven and now gets baseball's worst-hitting team)
10. Matt Harvey - DET
11. Adam Wainwright - ATL
12. Gio Gonzalez - at KC
13. Cliff Lee - COL (despite a 5.82 ERA in his last three, still has 20 Ks, 4.0 K/BB over the 17 IP)
14. Mat Latos - ARI
15. Cole Hamels - ARI
16. Mike Minor - at STL (Cards aren't nearly as threatening against lefties, and he has a 7-IP/1-ER outing against them from late-July)
17. Shelby Miller - at MIL, ATL (looked fine in his outing after the elbow injury led to one batter and done vs. LAD)
18. Jorge De La Rosa - at PHI, at MIA (better at home ERA-wise, but he gets two of the five worst lefty-hitting teams in baseball this week)
19. Lance Lynn - at MIL, ATL
20. Matt Cain - PIT (looking a lot more like Vintage Cain lately)
21. Travis Wood - at SD
22. Homer Bailey - MIL (one of the most maddeningly inconsistent SPs in the game)
23. Julio Teheran - at STL
24. Mike Leake - ARI
25. Zack Wheeler - ATL (tremendous outing in SD shows upside, but ATL is much more difficult)
26. Dan Haren - at CHC, at KC (healthy Dan Haren is still a very good Dan Haren: 2.30 ERA, 0.91 WHIP in July, Aug.)
27. Tony Cingrani - ARI, MIL
28. Bronson Arroyo - ARI, MIL (after his STL shellacking, put together two 7-IP gems with 7 Ks in each)
29. Andrew Cashner - PIT, CHC (his 2.51 home ERA is nearly half that of his 4.93 road work)
30. Kris Medlen - at NYM, at STL
31. Dillon Gee - at MIN, DET
32. Hyun-Jin Ryu - at MIA, BOS
33. Chris Capuano - at MIA, BOS (both LAD lefties can get fat on Marlins before taking on Red Sox)
34. Jeff Samardzija - WAS, SD
35. Jacob Turner - LAD, COL
36. Randall Delgado - at CIN, at PHI
37. Brandon Beachy - at NYM (getting better by the start)
38. Gerrit Cole - at SD
39. Kyle Lohse - STL
40. Wade Miley - at PHI (averaging nearly 7 IP/start in his last eight with 2.01 ERA in 53.7 IP)
41. Jhoulys Chacin - at MIA
42. Tyson Ross - PIT (26-year-old has been fantastic, and not just at home as his 3.06 road ERA is strong, too)
43. Ian Kennedy - PIT
44. Jeff Locke - at SF (we've seen glimpses of regression, but strong matchups have kept him fantasy worthy)
45. Alex Wood - at STL
46. Jenrry Mejia - DET (Cole through Mejia being this low shows the depth of this week given the 2-start pool)
47. Chris Rusin - WAS, at SD (been quietly good in six starts with a 3.06 ERA, and the Nats are one of baseball's worst against LHP)
48. Ryan Vogelsong - BOS, PIT
49. Marco Estrada - STL, at CIN (Estrada, Vogey are still just two starts back from big DL stints)
50. Tim Lincecum - BOS, PIT
51. Charlie Morton - at SF
52. Trevor Cahill - at CIN (returns from the DL Aug. 17 in Pittsburgh)
53. Eric Stults - CHC
54. Wily Peralta - at CIN
55. Jake Arrieta - WAS (allowed one earned in his two starts, including seven shutout innings vs. STL)
56. Chad Gaudin - BOS (the 49ers edged the Dolphins 14-10 on Friday, and Gaudin was trounced pushing his SP ERA from 2.60 to 3.53 in four wretched IP)
57. Ricky Nolasco - BOS
58. Edwin Jackson - WAS
59. Jon Niese - ATL (this will be the toughest of his three outings since returning from the DL; OK against ARI and rolled SD)
60. Tyler Thornburg - STL (I've been impressed in the small three-start sample, but STL is easily his toughest opponent yet)
61. Yovani Gallardo - at CIN
62. Brandon McCarthy - at CIN

CAUTION

63. Nathan Eovaldi - LAD
64. Joe Kelly - ATL
65. Kyle Kendrick - COL
66. Taylor Jordan - at CHC
67. Henderson Alvarez - LAD
68. John Lannan - COL, ARI
69. Jeff Manship - at PHI, at MIA
70. Jake Westbrook - at MIL
71. Juan Nicasio - at PHI
72. Edinson Volquez - CHC
73. Ethan Martin - COL, ARI
74. Tom Koehler - COL
75. Chad Bettis - at PHI

AMERICAN LEAGUE

START

1. David Price - at BAL, NYY (still hasn't gone fewer than 7 IP in nine starts since returning from DL)
2. Ervin Santana - CWS, WAS (Ks are down a bit lately, but results remain strong)
3. Yu Darvish - at CWS (CWS has the fourth-lowest K% vs. RHP, Yu will change that)
4. Max Scherzer - at NYM
5. Anibal Sanchez - MIN (1.90 ERA, 1.06 WHIP in 23.7 IP across four starts vs. Twins this year)
6. Hiroki Kuroda - TOR (MLB's most underrated SP has a 1.69 ERA, 0.66 WHIP in 21.3 IP across three starts vs. the Jays this year)
7. Felix Hernandez - LAA
8. Matt Garza - HOU (allowed 4 ER in each of his last three, but managed a win and 8 Ks Aug. 9 at HOU)
9. Felix Doubront - at SF (trip to SF is the best remedy for back-to-back 4-IP outings with 10.13 ERA)
10. Jered Weaver - CLE, at SEA (this is less an overreaction to the NYY outing and more an acknowledgment of SEA's sweet-swinging)
11. Derek Holland - HOU
12. Chris Sale - TEX (might be right on Kuroda's tail for that underrated tag)
13. Jon Lester - at SF
14. James Shields - CWS (picked on the White Sox this year, allowing 5 ER in 26 IP)
15. Justin Verlander - MIN (strong outing in defeat vs. KC gives him four QS in his last five)
16. Hisashi Iwakuma - at OAK
17. Ivan Nova - TOR, at TB
18. Jarrod Parker - SEA, at BAL (couple of tough outings, but Parker's been great since both of these teams hit him in April)
19. Rick Porcello - MIN, at NYM (since 7-ER outing vs. LAA on June 25: 2.84 ERA in eight starts, 50.7 IP)
20. Miguel Gonzalez - TB, OAK
21. Danny Salazar - at LAA, MIN (sputtered a bit vs. MIN, but Ks remain a big asset)
22. Doug Fister - at NYM
23. Alex Cobb - at BAL (great in DL return against tough SEA team)
24. John Lackey - at LAD
25. Jake Peavy - at SF
26. Justin Masterson - at LAA (Angels got to him on Aug. 11 in a 4.3-IP/4-ER start as he allowed 7 H and 4 BB)
27. Bruce Chen - WAS (gets biggest challenge in seven starts this weekend against DET)
28. Hector Santiago - TEX
29. Martin Perez - at CWS (great in last three with a 1.59 ERA including two against LAA)
30. Scott Kazmir - MIN
31. Wei-Yin Chen - TB (silver lining of 6.3-IP/4-ER outing against COL was 7 Ks)
32. Jeremy Hellickson - at BAL
33. Chris Tillman - TB
34. C.J. Wilson - CLE (salvaged win in CLE despite 11 baserunners in 5.3 IP)
35. CC Sabathia - at TB
36. Garrett Richards - at SEA (getting better with each start in his last four since rejoining the rotation in late-July)
37. Zach McAllister - at LAA
38. Sonny Gray - SEA (love what we've seen out of him, but SEA is no joke and it's only his third start)
39. A.J. Griffin - SEA
40. Jeremy Guthrie - CWS (owned CWS as a Royal save his last outing against them in June)
41. Jose Quintana - at KC (KC has been the AL version of PIT with modest offense, so you can still spot-start against them)
42. R.A. Dickey - at NYY (he's building up our trust ... which usually means he drops a 6-ER outing on our face sometime soon)
43. Jarred Cosart - at TEX (the ugly 1:1 K:BB ratio still gives me pause)
44. Jason Vargas - at SEA (this trip to his old stomping grounds will be just his third start back from the DL)
45. Mark Buehrle - at NYY
46. Dan Straily - at BAL (despite failing to complete 5 IP in three of them, Straily has a 2.88 ERA in his last seven starts)
47. Brett Oberholtzer - TOR
48. Samuel Deduno - at CLE
49. Bartolo Colon - at BAL (wobbly as the innings pile up; trip to BAL isn't a great remedy)
50. Roberto Hernandez - NYY
51. Bud Norris - OAK
52. Scott Feldman - OAK

CAUTION

53. Ryan Dempster - at LAD
54. Ubaldo Jimenez - MIN
55. Andrew Albers - at DET (still skeptical, especially against Detroit)
56. Erasmo Ramirez - LAA (showing control, but no command with 2.1 HR/9)
57. Phil Hughes - TOR
58. Chris Archer - NYY (didn't look right in his first start after forearm tightness)
59. Alexi Ogando - HOU, at CWS (we still don't know if he'll make either start let alone both)
60. Kyle Gibson - NYM, at CLE
61. John Danks - at KC, TEX
62. Esmil Rogers - at NYY, at HOU
63. Andre Rienzo - at KC
64. Todd Redmond - at HOU
65. Joe Saunders - at OAK
66. Andy Pettitte - TOR
67. J.A. Happ - at NYY
68. Jerome Williams - CLE
69. Erik Bedard - at TEX
70. Wade Davis - WAS
71. Dallas Keuchel - TOR
72. Jordan Lyles - at TEX
73. Brad Peacock - TOR
74. Kevin Correia - at DET
75. Mike Pelfrey - at DET, at CLE
76. Aaron Harang - at OAK, LAA

MLB TOP 100

1. Jose Fernandez - LAD, COL
2. Francisco Liriano - at SD, at SF
3. Patrick Corbin - at CIN, at PHI
4. A.J. Burnett - at SD, at SF
5. David Price - at BAL, NYY
6. Ervin Santana - CWS, WAS
7. Clayton Kershaw - at MIA
8. Madison Bumgarner - PIT
9. Jordan Zimmermann - at CHC, at KC
10. Yu Darvish - at CWS
11. Max Scherzer - at NYM
12. Anibal Sanchez - MIN
13. Hiroki Kuroda - TOR
14. Felix Hernandez - LAA
15. Matt Garza - HOU
16. Zack Greinke - at MIA
17. Felix Doubront - at SF
18. Matt Harvey - DET
19. Adam Wainwright - ATL
20. Stephen Strasburg - at CHC
21. Gio Gonzalez - at KC
22. Cliff Lee - COL
23. Jered Weaver - CLE, at SEA
24. Derek Holland - HOU
25. Chris Sale - TEX
26. Mat Latos - ARI
27. Cole Hamels - ARI
28. Jon Lester - at SF
29. Mike Minor - at STL
30. James Shields - CWS
31. Justin Verlander - MIN
32. Hisashi Iwakuma - at OAK
33. Shelby Miller - at MIL, ATL
34. Jorge De La Rosa - at PHI, at MIA
35. Ivan Nova - TOR, at TB
36. Lance Lynn - at MIL, ATL
37. Jarrod Parker - SEA, at BAL
38. Rick Porcello - MIN, at NYM
39. Miguel Gonzalez - TB, OAK
40. Matt Cain - PIT
41. Travis Wood - at SD
42. Homer Bailey - MIL
43. Julio Teheran - at STL
44. Mike Leake - ARI
45. Zack Wheeler - ATL
46. Dan Haren - at CHC, at KC
47. Tony Cingrani - ARI, MIL
48. Bronson Arroyo - ARI, MIL
49. Andrew Cashner - PIT, CHC
50. Kris Medlen - at NYM, at STL
51. Dillon Gee - at MIN, DET
52. Hyun-Jin Ryu - at MIA, BOS
53. Chris Capuano - at MIA, BOS
54. Jeff Samardzija - WAS, SD
55. Jacob Turner - LAD, COL
56. Randall Delgado - at CIN, at PHI
57. Danny Salazar - at LAA, MIN
58. Doug Fister - at NYM
59. Alex Cobb - at BAL
60. John Lackey - at LAD
61. Jake Peavy - at SF
62. Justin Masterson - at LAA
63. Bruce Chen - WAS
64. Hector Santiago - TEX
65. Martin Perez - at CWS
66. Scott Kazmir - MIN
67. Wei-Yin Chen - TB
68. Brandon Beachy - at NYM
69. Gerrit Cole - at SD
70. Jeremy Hellickson - at BAL
71. Chris Tillman - TB
72. Kyle Lohse - STL
73. Wade Miley - at PHI
74. C.J. Wilson - CLE
75. CC Sabathia - at TB
76. Garrett Richards - at SEA
77. Zach McAllister - at LAA
78. Sonny Gray - SEA
79. Dan Straily - at BAL
80. Jeremy Guthrie - CWS
81. Jose Quintana - at KC
82. R.A. Dickey - at NYY
83. Jarred Cosart - at TEX
84. Jason Vargas - at SEA
85. Mark Buehrle - at NYY
86. Jhoulys Chacin - at MIA
87. Tyson Ross - PIT
88. Ian Kennedy - PIT
89. Jeff Locke - at SF
90. Alex Wood - at STL
91. Jenrry Mejia - DET
92. Chris Rusin - WAS, at SD
93. Ryan Vogelsong - BOS, PIT
94. Marco Estrada - STL, at CIN
95. Tim Lincecum - BOS, PIT
96. Charlie Morton - at SF
97. Trevor Cahill - at CIN
98. Eric Stults - CHC
99. Wily Peralta - at CIN
100. A.J. Griffin - SEA