I say this every year because it's true: this is the column I dread writing more than any other - Week 1 Survivor. Any NFL team can lose to any other. Even if the Raiders were playing in Denver or San Francisco, they'd still have an eight or 10 percent chance to win. While that might not sound like much, consider that Babe Ruth hit a home run in 8.5 percent of his at-bats, and Aaron Rodgers throws a touchdown on 6.4 percent of his passing attempts. If you've ever seen anyone hit a homer or throw a long TD pass, that was a rarer per-trial event than a 14-point underdog pulling off an upset. So the possibility that any team - no matter how good or heavily favored - can lose is real, and that's as true in Week 1 as it is in Week 10.
The difference is when you lose in Week 1, not only are you out your entry fee, but you got zero entertainment value or satisfaction for your purchase. Now consider those feelings of failure, dissatisfaction and
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