RotoWire Partners

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Cole Mining for Cy Young

Paul Sporer

Sporer covers pitching for RotoWire. He also writes for Baseball Prospectus and publishes an annual guide on starting pitcher. In his spare time, he roots for the Tigers.

As always, remember that rotations are subject to change, so if you see something that looks incorrect, assume that it was a change that occurred since this was written and feel free to politely bring it up in the comments, I'll let you know where the new arm slots.

For the week Aug. 17-23

AMERICAN LEAGUE

START

RankPitcherOppComments
1David Priceat LAAWas doing a good job avoiding the raindrops (9 H & 0 ER thru 7) until the fateful 8th inning vs. NYY (Beltran PH 3-run HR)
2Corey Kluberat BOSBack-to-back CGs vs. MIN and three CGs in his last four; of course a 5.7 IP/5 ER is the fourth of those starts
3Chris Saleat SEA
4Felix HernandezCWS
5Dallas KeuchelTBUnfazed by the second-best offense vs. LHP: 7 IP/1 ER with 8 Ks; has baseball's 9th-best ERA since start of '14
6Chris Archerat HOU
7Sonny GrayLAD
8Johnny Cuetoat BOSKs are down a little bit as a Royal, but that's heavily influenced by a 2 K outing at DET since he only has three starts
9Carlos Carrascoat NYY
10Danny Salazarat BOS, at NYYSince 4.7 IP/5 ER at PIT: 7 ER in six starts good for a 1.48 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, and 43 Ks in 42.7 IP
11Scott KazmirTB, LADLike Cueto, Ks are down with new team, but it hasn't been just one start; even w/fewer Ks he's remained dominant (1.04 ERA & WHIP w/HOU)
12Cole HamelsSEA, at DET
13Jake Odorizziat HOU, at OAKTwo bad innings (one at TOR, one vs. ATL) have left him w/two 6 ER outings since DL-return, but has 5-plus Ks in six of the seven starts
14Erasmo Ramirezat HOU, at OAK
15Garrett RichardsCWS, TOR
16Taijuan Walkerat TEX, CWS
17Jose Quintanaat LAAJust 5 BB in his last eight starts (3.12 ERA, 1.19 WHIP in 60.7 IP)
18Nate Karnsat HOU
19Masahiro TanakaCLEHis 2.2 HR/9 since the break is fourth-highest in MLB (behind Haren, Bauer, An.Sanchez)
20Hisashi Iwakumaat TEXNo-hitter gets the spotlight, but he's been great in six of his last seven posting a 2.47 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 4.9 K:BB ratio in 51 IP
21Nathan EovaldiMIN, CLE
22Chris TillmanOAK, MIN
23Kevin GausmanNYM, MIN
24Eduardo RodriguezCLE, KCVolatility has been scary: four starts of 6-plus ER, nine of 0-2 ER
25Matt ShoemakerCWS
26Justin VerlanderTEXSpeaking of volatility, his season by ER: 2, 6, 2, 7, 1, 7, 1, 1, 5, 0
27Drew Smylyat OAK
28Marco Estradaat LAA
29Collin McHughTB
30Kyle Gibsonat NYY, at BALAnother inconsistent arm: five starts of 5-plus ER, 14 of 0-2 ER; road ERA of 4.57 makes this two-start a little sketchy
31Andrew HeaneyCWS, TORHasn't completed 6 IP in three Aug. starts; at least he gets to face TOR at home, but they could still erase any good work from the other start
32Jeff Samardzijaat LAA
33Luis SeverinoCLE
34Chris BassittTBHas a 2.27 ERA and 0.98 WHIP since joining the rotation (42.7 IP); if Ks from last three starts (23 in 20.7 IP) are real, he can be an all-formats play
35Ubaldo JimenezNYM
36Aaron Brooksat BAL, TB
37Edinson Volquezat CIN, at BOS
38Hector SantiagoTORAveraging just over 5 IP in his last five starts w/TOR coming in results in a drop for Santiago
39R.A. Dickeyat PHIHe's allowed more than 3 ER just once in his last 14 starts: 2.71 ERA, 1.18 WHIP in 93 IP
40Mark Buehrleat PHIOffense gets a lot of credit (deservedly so), but TOR isn't where they are w/out Dickey & Buehrle dominating (2.16 ERA for MB since Jun 1)
41Martin PerezSEA
42Danny Duffyat BOS
43Wei-Yin ChenMINHas allowed more than 3 ER just twice this year
44Yovani Gallardoat DET
45Mike FiersLAD
46Vidal NunoCWS
47Ivan NovaMINSurvived a back-to-back vs. TOR: one bad (5.3 IP/4 ER) and one good (7 IP/3 ER)
48Carlos Rodonat LAA, at SEA
49Scott FeldmanTB, LADHas a 2.93 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 30.7 IP since returning from the DL; Ks are light with just 14 in that span

SIT

RankPitcherOppComments
50Yordano Venturaat BOS
51Trevor Bauerat BOS, at NYYAppeared to building on 2014 earlier this year, but has a 5.49 ERA in 77 IP since the start of June
52Ervin Santanaat NYYHad 21 Ks in his first four starts; has just seven in his last four
53Anibal SanchezTEXTodd Frazier has already reserved Sanchez as his Home Run Derby pitcher for next year to defend his crown
54Miguel GonzalezMINHas completed 6 IP just twice in his last 10 starts
55Wade MileyKC
56Henry OwensKC
57CC SabathiaMIN, CLEBack-to-back QS for CC, but I'm still not confident to trust a two-start week
58Jesse ChavezLAD
59Jered WeaverCWS
60Drew Hutchisonat LAA
61Mike Montgomeryat TEXAnother one young arms who has it go REALLY wrong when he's off (three 5-plus ER starts, two of which he didn't finish 3 IP)
62Colby Lewisat DET
63Trevor Mayat BALJust his second start after a month in the pen so they might still be stretching him out (went 3 IP in first start back)
64Daniel Norrisat CHC, TEX
65Kendall GravemanTB
66Matt BoydTEX
67Tommy Miloneat BAL
68Alfredo Simonat CHC
69John Danksat LAA, at SEA
70Mike Pelfreyat NYY, at BAL
71Steven WrightCLE, KC
72Jeremy Guthrieat CIN
73Joe KellyCLE
74Josh Tomlinat NYY
75Chi-Chi GonzalezSEA, at DET

NATIONAL LEAGUE

START

RankPitcherOppComments
1Gerrit ColeARI, SFHe's allowed more than 3 ER just once all year
2Michael WachaSF, at SD25% K rate since start of June spanning 12 starts (77 Ks in 75 IP)
3Zack Greinkeat HOU
4Clayton Kershawat OAK
5Jake ArrietaATLShutout of MIN on Jun 21 has sent him on a surge: 1.23 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, and 69 Ks in 73.3 IP
6Jacob deGromat BAL
7Jon LesterDETHe's quietly having a fantastic season, including a really strong run of late: 1.92 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, and 63 Ks in 56.3 IP
8Madison Bumgarnerat PIT
9Francisco LirianoARI, SFA tougher slate than you might think at first glance; 4.00 home ERA should be better based on skills (3.38 FIP, 2.49 xFIP)
10Carlos Martinezat SD
11Max Scherzerat COLObviously not benching any of these three super-studs, but they all get a Coors penalty
12Stephen Strasburgat COL20 Ks since returning from the DL in 13 IP
13Matt Harveyat COL
14Noah Syndergaardat BALA couple bad starts on the road inflate his ERA (5.01), but he still has a 24% K rate and 3.61 FIP away from Citi Field
15Gio GonzalezMIL
16Joe RossMIL
17John Lackeyat SDQuietly having a monster season w/a 2.91 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 151.3 IP
18Lance LynnSF
19Mike Leakeat STL, at PITSlated to return from the DL and hopefully pick up where he left off (1.49 ERA in prev. six starts before injury)
20Chris Hestonat STL, at PIT
21Jordan Zimmermannat COL, MILHe's been great for two months (2.90 ERA, 0.98 WHIP), but a trip to COL bumps him down a few spots
22Jason HammelDET, ATLLooking better, but still five straight starts of fewer than 6 IP
23Jaime GarciaSFIncreased velo and a huge GB rate have spurred a nice run for Garcia
24Tyson RossATL
25James ShieldsATL
26Julio Teheranat SDCan he finally take his quality stuff on the road? We've seen some good road starts lately, but still has a 6.75 ERA away from ATL
27Shelby Millerat CHC
28Jimmy Nelsonat WASLast nine: 2.26 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and 52 Ks in 59.7 IP
29Wily PeraltaMIA
30Patrick Corbinat CIN
31Taylor Jungmannat WASWas bound to have a clunker, but I still like the skills we're seeing from him
32Raisel IglesiasKC, ARISince the ASB: 3.56 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and 34 Ks in 30.3 IP; this is a tough two-step, though
33Chase Andersonat PIT, at CIN
34Jake Peavyat PITReally sharp since returning from the DL: 2.74 ERA, 1.03 WHIP in 42.7 IP
35Rubby De La Rosaat CINHas been better vs. LHB since the break, but still not *good*: .781 OPS, 14% K; can he avoid the wrath of Votto-Bruce?
36Brett Andersonat HOU
37Robbie Rayat PITHad a 5% BB rate in his first nine starts, but it's up to 11% in his last five
38Andrew CashnerSTL
39Kyle HendricksATL
40Alex Woodat HOUThose crazy mechanics can really hamper his command and we've seen it with a 10% BB rate in his last six starts
41Aaron NolaTOR, at MIACan't get a more divergent combo of starts; ideally you can use just the at MIA start
42Matt Wislerat SD, at CHC
43Jeremy Hellicksonat PIT, at CIN
44Tom Koehlerat MILHas allowed 9 ER in his last six road starts lowering his road ERA to 4.16
45Anthony DeSclafaniARI
46Dan HarenATLHas now allowed 9 HRs in his last five starts, he's fortunate to have just a 4.76 ERA in that time; ATL not a power team
47Mat Latosat OAKAt least we saw the Ks return in his last outing, but it's still been rough in LA (6.75 ERA in three starts)
48John LambARIPitched better than the 5 ER suggests in his debut; former blue-chip prospect could be something useful rest of way
49Jeff LockeSF

SIT

RankPitcherOppComments
50Jon GrayNYMIf can hang at home, he could be a nice asset down the stretch with big K potential
51David PhelpsPHI
52Mike Foltynewiczat CHC
53Ian KennedySTLHasn't had a HR-free start since June 8th
54Jon Nieseat COLNothing like a trip to Coors to mess with a big streak (2.76 ERA in lsat 78.3 IP)
55Keyvius SampsonKCI'm keeping an eye on him; he wasn't a blue-chip prospect, but he did have some prospect status
56Charlie MortonSF
57Matt GarzaMIA, at WAS
58Williams Perezat SD, at CHCShows flashes but weak skills make him tough to trust, especially twice in a week
59Adam Conleyat MIL, PHI
60Justin Nicolinoat MIL, PHI
61Adam MorganTOR
62Colin ReaATL, STL
63Jorge De La RosaWAS, NYMUsed to have some success in Coors; has a 6.62 ERA there this year
64Aaron Harangat MIA
65Matt Cainat STLJust hasn't been sharp often enough to trust since returning
66Bartolo Colonat COL
67J.A. HappARI
68Tyler CravyMIA
69David HolmbergARI
70Chris RusinNYM
71Yohan FlandeWAS
72Brad HandPHI
73Jerome Williamsat MIA
74David HaleWAS
75David Buchanan Replacementat MIA

MLB TOP 100

RankPitcherOppComments
1Gerrit ColeARI, SFHe's allowed more than 3 ER just once all year
2Michael WachaSF, at SD25% K rate since start of June spanning 12 starts (77 Ks in 75 IP)
3Zack Greinkeat HOU
4Clayton Kershawat OAK
5Jake ArrietaATLShutout of MIN on Jun 21 has sent him on a surge: 1.23 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, and 69 Ks in 73.3 IP
6Jacob deGromat BAL
7David Priceat LAAWas doing a good job avoiding the raindrops (9 H & 0 ER thru 7) until the fateful 8th inning vs. NYY (Beltran PH 3-run HR)
8Corey Kluberat BOSBack-to-back CGs vs. MIN and three CGs in his last four; of course a 5.7 IP/5 ER is the fourth of those starts
9Chris Saleat SEA
10Felix HernandezCWS
11Dallas KeuchelTBUnfazed by the second-best offense vs. LHP: 7 IP/1 ER with 8 Ks; has baseball's 9th-best ERA since start of '14
12Jon LesterDETHe's quietly having a fantastic season, including a really strong run of late: 1.92 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, and 63 Ks in 56.3 IP
13Madison Bumgarnerat PIT
14Chris Archerat HOU
15Sonny GrayLAD
16Johnny Cuetoat BOSKs are down a little bit as a Royal, but that's heavily influenced by a 2 K outing at DET since he only has three starts
17Carlos Carrascoat NYY
18Danny Salazarat BOS, at NYYSince 4.7 IP/5 ER at PIT: 7 ER in six starts good for a 1.48 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, and 43 Ks in 42.7 IP
19Scott KazmirTB, LADLike Cueto, Ks are down with new team, but it hasn't been just one start; even w/fewer Ks he's remained dominant (1.04 ERA & WHIP w/HOU)
20Francisco LirianoARI, SFA tougher slate than you might think at first glance; 4.00 home ERA should be better based on skills (3.38 FIP, 2.49 xFIP)
21Carlos Martinezat SD
22Max Scherzerat COLObviously not benching any of these three super-studs, but they all get a Coors penalty
23Stephen Strasburgat COL20 Ks since returning from the DL in 13 IP
24Matt Harveyat COL
25Noah Syndergaardat BALA couple bad starts on the road inflate his ERA (5.01), but he still has a 24% K rate and 3.61 FIP away from Citi Field
26Gio GonzalezMIL
27Joe RossMIL
28John Lackeyat SDQuietly having a monster season w/a 2.91 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 151.3 IP
29Lance LynnSF
30Mike Leakeat STL, at PITSlated to return from the DL and hopefully pick up where he left off (1.49 ERA in prev. six starts before injury)
31Chris Hestonat STL, at PIT
32Cole HamelsSEA, at DET
33Jake Odorizziat HOU, at OAKTwo bad innings (one at TOR, one vs. ATL) have left him w/two 6 ER outings since DL-return, but has 5-plus Ks in six of the seven starts
34Erasmo Ramirezat HOU, at OAK
35Garrett RichardsCWS, TOR
36Taijuan Walkerat TEX, CWS
37Jose Quintanaat LAAJust 5 BB in his last eight starts (3.12 ERA, 1.19 WHIP in 60.7 IP)
38Nate Karnsat HOU
39Masahiro TanakaCLEHis 2.2 HR/9 since the break is fourth-highest in MLB (behind Haren, Bauer, An.Sanchez)
40Hisashi Iwakumaat TEXNo-hitter gets the spotlight, but he's been great in six of his last seven posting a 2.47 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 4.9 K:BB ratio in 51 IP
41Jordan Zimmermannat COL, MILHe's been great for two months (2.90 ERA, 0.98 WHIP), but a trip to COL bumps him down a few spots
42Jason HammelDET, ATLLooking better, but still five straight starts of fewer than 6 IP
43Jaime GarciaSFIncreased velo and a huge GB rate have spurred a nice run for Garcia
44Tyson RossATL
45James ShieldsATL
46Julio Teheranat SDCan he finally take his quality stuff on the road? We've seen some good road starts lately, but still has a 6.75 ERA away from ATL
47Shelby Millerat CHC
48Jimmy Nelsonat WASLast nine: 2.26 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and 52 Ks in 59.7 IP
49Nathan EovaldiMIN, CLE
50Chris TillmanOAK, MIN
51Kevin GausmanNYM, MIN
52Eduardo RodriguezCLE, KC Volatility has been scary: four starts of 6-plus ER, nine of 0-2 ER
53Wily PeraltaMIA
54Patrick Corbinat CIN
55Taylor Jungmannat WASWas bound to have a clunker, but I still like the skills we're seeing from him
56Raisel IglesiasKC, ARISince the ASB: 3.56 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and 34 Ks in 30.3 IP; this is a tough two-step, though
57Chase Andersonat PIT, at CIN
58Jake Peavyat PITReally sharp since returning from the DL: 2.74 ERA, 1.03 WHIP in 42.7 IP
59Rubby De La Rosaat CINHas been better vs. LHB since the break, but still not *good*: .781 OPS, 14% K; can he avoid the wrath of Votto-Bruce?
60Matt ShoemakerCWS
61Justin VerlanderTEXSpeaking of volatility, his season by ER: 2, 6, 2, 7, 1, 7, 1, 1, 5, 0
62Drew Smylyat OAKWatch his weekend start to get a bette read, but donít overreact either way
63Marco Estradaat LAA
64Collin McHughTB
65Brett Andersonat HOU
66Robbie Rayat PITHad a 5% BB rate in his first nine starts, but it's up to 11% in his last five
67Andrew CashnerSTL
68Kyle HendricksATL
69Alex Woodat HOUThose crazy mechanics can really hamper his command and we've seen it with a 10% BB rate in his last six starts
70Kyle Gibsonat NYY, at BALAnother inconsistent arm: five starts of 5-plus ER, 14 of 0-2 ER; road ERA of 4.57 makes this two-start a little sketchy
71Andrew HeaneyCWS, TORHasn't completed 6 IP in three Aug. starts; at least he gets to face TOR at home, but they could still erase any good work from the other start
72Jeff Samardzijaat LAA
73Luis SeverinoCLE
74Chris BassittTBHas a 2.27 ERA and 0.98 WHIP since joining the rotation (42.7 IP); if Ks from last three starts (23 in 20.7 IP) are real, he can be an all-formats play
75Ubaldo JimenezNYM
76Aaron Brooksat BAL, TB
77Edinson Volquezat CIN, at BOS
78Hector SantiagoTORAveraging just over 5 IP in his last five starts w/TOR coming in results in a drop for Santiago
79R.A. Dickeyat PHIHe's allowed more than 3 ER just once in his last 14 starts: 2.71 ERA, 1.18 WHIP in 93 IP
80Mark Buehrleat PHIOffense gets a lot of credit (deservedly so), but TOR isn't where they are w/out Dickey & Buehrle dominating (2.16 ERA for MB since Jun 1)
81Aaron NolaTOR, at MIACan't get a more divergent combo of starts; ideally you can use just the at MIA start
82Matt Wislerat SD, at CHC
83Jeremy Hellicksonat PIT, at CIN
84Martin PerezSEA
85Danny Duffyat BOS
86Wei-Yin ChenMINHas allowed more than 3 ER just twice this year
87Tom Koehlerat MILHas allowed 9 ER in his last six road starts lowering his road ERA to 4.16
88Anthony DeSclafaniARI
89Dan HarenATLHas now allowed 9 HRs in his last five starts, he's fortunate to have just a 4.76 ERA in that time; ATL not a power team
90Mat Latosat OAKAt least we saw the Ks return in his last outing, but it's still been rough in LA (6.75 ERA in three starts)
91John LambARIPitched better than the 5 ER suggests in his debut; former blue-chip prospect could be something useful rest of way
92Jeff LockeSF
93Jon GrayNYMIf can hang at home, he could be a nice asset down the stretch with big K potential
94Yovani Gallardoat DET
95Mike FiersLAD
96Vidal NunoCWS
97Ivan NovaMINSurvived a back-to-back vs. TOR: one bad (5.3 IP/4 ER) and one good (7 IP/3 ER)
98Carlos Rodonat LAA, at SEA
99Scott FeldmanTB, LADHas a 2.93 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 30.7 IP since returning from the DL; Ks are light with just 14 in that span
100Yordano Venturaat BOS