Regan's Rumblings: Revised Top 100 Fantasy Players

Regan's Rumblings: Revised Top 100 Fantasy Players

This article is part of our Regan's Rumblings series.

When I come down with a case of writer's block, I always find it interesting to create rankings that inevitably stir up a hornet's nest of loyal subscribers that have their own takes on which guys are too high, too low, or just plain missing altogether. I made a few assumptions with this one:

• You're able to bank the stats already accumulated from the beginning of the season
• Each team has 1 catcher in a 12-team mixed league
• Non-keeper format

Here are a few observations before we drill into these 100 guys:

Manny Machado has risen quickly
• Someone will say I have Trevor Story too low
• I didn't realize how good Starling Marte has been
Miguel Cabrera and Giancarlo Stanton? Outside the top 10

Stats include games through May 10
Stat lines for hitters: AVG-HR-RBI-SB-Runs
Stat lines for pitchers: Wins-Saves-Strikeouts-ERA-WHIP

Regan's Revised Top 100

1. Bryce Harper, WAS, OF (0.252-10-27-5-22) – I'm not too worried about the BA. Obviously in OBP leagues he's a no-brainer #1, but even in traditional 5 X 5 roto, I think he'll get up to .280+ with 40+ HR. A nice bonus with the five steals – tip of the cap to Davey Lopes.

2. Manny Machado, BAL, 3B/SS (0.365-10-23-0-26) – Yes, the temptation was there to put him #1 given the shortstop eligibility. If he's there on your list, I won't argue.

3. Nolan Arenado, COL, 3B (0.308-12-29-0-27) – Lots of guys you

When I come down with a case of writer's block, I always find it interesting to create rankings that inevitably stir up a hornet's nest of loyal subscribers that have their own takes on which guys are too high, too low, or just plain missing altogether. I made a few assumptions with this one:

• You're able to bank the stats already accumulated from the beginning of the season
• Each team has 1 catcher in a 12-team mixed league
• Non-keeper format

Here are a few observations before we drill into these 100 guys:

Manny Machado has risen quickly
• Someone will say I have Trevor Story too low
• I didn't realize how good Starling Marte has been
Miguel Cabrera and Giancarlo Stanton? Outside the top 10

Stats include games through May 10
Stat lines for hitters: AVG-HR-RBI-SB-Runs
Stat lines for pitchers: Wins-Saves-Strikeouts-ERA-WHIP

Regan's Revised Top 100

1. Bryce Harper, WAS, OF (0.252-10-27-5-22) – I'm not too worried about the BA. Obviously in OBP leagues he's a no-brainer #1, but even in traditional 5 X 5 roto, I think he'll get up to .280+ with 40+ HR. A nice bonus with the five steals – tip of the cap to Davey Lopes.

2. Manny Machado, BAL, 3B/SS (0.365-10-23-0-26) – Yes, the temptation was there to put him #1 given the shortstop eligibility. If he's there on your list, I won't argue.

3. Nolan Arenado, COL, 3B (0.308-12-29-0-27) – Lots of guys you can slot here, but he has his BA up 21 points over last year with a declining (from .291 to .272 BABIP). Now if he would just run…

4. Clayton Kershaw, LAD, SP (4-0-64-2.04-0.77) – Maybe Arrieta is making a push for #1 SP status, but I'll go with Kershaw's track record.

5. Mike Trout, LAA, OF (0.314-7-23-2-16) – Lack of quality around him (Pujols, talking to you) hurts his value somewhat.

6. Jose Altuve, HOU, 2B (0.321-9-22-13-31) – Wondering if this is too low. If we assume 155 games, he's on pace for an astounding 41 home runs and 59 stolen bases. Ridiculous.

7. Paul Goldschmidt, ARI, 1B (0.233-7-18-3-18) – Off to a slow start, but BA should recover given BABIP is 107 points off last year's .389.

8. Josh Donaldson, TOR, 3B (0.267-9-21-2-31) – Is a risk for a sharp decline in last year's .297 BA given he hit .255 in 2014.

9. Anthony Rizzo, CHC, 1B (0.281-10-28-2-27) – One of the more consistent guys around and now sits in the middle of baseball's deepest lineup.

10. Andrew McCutchen, PIT, OF (0.248-6-13-1-22) – Former top-three pick has tailed off a bit, due in large part to the lack of stolen bases.

11. Miguel Cabrera, DET, 1B (0.298-4-14-0-16) - .298 for him is like most .300 hitters hitting .240, but track record says he will turn things around. Of course we once said that about Albert Pujols too.

12. Giancarlo Stanton, MIA, OF (0.245-10-24-0-17) – Should be in line for 40 homers if the can stay healthy, but losing Gordon hurts RBI opportunities and the batting average is obviously a disappointment.

13. Jake Arrieta, CHC, SP (6-0-44-1.13-0.88) – Needed a "prove it" start to the season for me to move him ahead of Scherzer and others. He's done that and more.

14. Carlos Correa, HOU, SS (0.275-5-16-5-18) – Power is down a bit over last year, but OBP is up 38 points. That's a good sign of course.

15. Kris Bryant, CHC, 3B/OF (0.295-5-22-1-24) – Still think he's a top-five type talent, but that may be a couple years away.

16. Mookie Betts, BOS, OF (0.252-5-19-7-26) – Sneaky value with the steals and runs. BA will come up in time.

17. Noah Syndergaard, NYM, SP (2-0-49-2.58-1.07) – Upside is enormous and should already be considered a #1 starter.

18. Jose Bautista, TOR, OF/DH (0.207-6-22-0-21) – Maybe he's pressing a bit due to his contract status.

19. Max Scherzer, WAS, SP (3-0-46-4.60-1.28) - #2 SP on most draft boards this spring, so he hasn't dropped off too much. Added 20 strikeouts to above total with Wednesday's outing. 20!

20. Robinson Cano, SEA, 2B (0.307-12-33-0-21) – Sure Safeco isn't the easiest place to hit home runs, but that shouldn't prevent Cano from hitting 25-30. He's settling in nicely.

21. Starling Marte, PIT, OF (0.341-3-14-9-19) – This one surprises me, as I really thought he topped out as a .290 level hitter. Still, his BB% of 2.9% is a bit concerning.

22. George Springer, HOU, OF (0.248-6-16-2-21) – The two steals are a disappointment, but 25-25 remains in reach.

23. Yoenis Cespedes, NYM, OF (0.291-11-31-0-20) – 40 bombs and 120 RBI? Perhaps.

24. Chris Sale, CWS, SP (7-0-47-1.79-0.77) – I'd be okay if you put him as the #2 SP. Just worry about the delivery, but perhaps it's time to get over that.

25. Edwin Encarnacion, TOR, 1B/DH (0.246-6-26-0-14) – Seems to be a lock for 30 homers and 100 RBI. Little downside.

26. Chris Davis, BAL, 1B/OF/DH (0.217-8-19-0-22) – 7 hits in his last two games, but not seeing 47 homers again.

27. Jose Abreu, CWS, 1B/DH (0.244-5-22-0-14) – 30 HR seems reasonable, but BABIP drop the last three
years: .360, .334, .281.

28. Nelson Cruz, SEA, OF/DH (0.269-5-17-0-13) – Tough to see him reaching 40+ HR for the third straight year. Walk and strikeout rates improving.

29. Eric Hosmer, KC, 1B (0.325-6-16-3-16) – Seems high at first glance, but really growing into his talent.

30. Carlos Gonzalez, COL, OF (0.306-4-12-0-22) – HRs are a disappointment, but he is healthy.

31. J.D. Martinez, DET, OF (0.230-4-14-0-15) – In a big-time slump, but the 38 homers last year weren't a fluke.

32. Lorenzo Cain, KC, OF (0.270-5-15-3-17) – Relatively slow start, but perhaps three-HR game will kickstart things.

33. Ryan Braun, MIL, OF (0.368-7-26-2-20) – This is pre-PED Braun level performance. Wonder if someone will bite on a trade.

34. Jacob deGrom, NYM, SP (3-0-20-2.12-1.21) – WHIP is a bit high for an ace, but he still has elite stuff.

35. Stephen Strasburg, WAS, SP (5-0-58-2.76-1.04) – Will the $175 million be money well spent? Looks like the Nationals got a discount, but only if Strasburg can stay healthy.

36. Madison Bumgarner, SF, SP (4-0-55-2.93-1.33) – ERA same as last year, and WHIP is a result of a few more walks and a .364 BABIP. A little worried about the drop in velocity from last year's 92.1 mph to 90.7 in 2016.

37. Jose Fernandez, MIA, SP (4-0-58-3.54-1.30) – Has the talent to be a first-round pick, but he's not quite there.

38. Xander Bogaerts, BOS, SS (0.318-2-15-6-25) – Only thing missing is the power, but he was a 17-homer guy in the minors, so be patient.

39. Matt Harvey, NYM, SP (3-0-35-4.50-1.48) – Pretty rough start, but he doesn't appear to be hurt.

40. Gerrit Cole, PIT, SP (3-0-32-3.78-1.35) – Seen a few takes on how he's overrated, but velocity is still in line with prior years.

41. Hunter Pence, SF, OF (0.293-5-25-0-19) – He's not an exciting fantasy option, but has been consistent.

42. Jason Kipnis, CLE, 2B (0.263-3-14-3-18) – Hasn't really elevated his game after hitting 17 homers with a .366 OBP four years ago, but he's still solid and dependable.

43. Buster Posey, SF, C/1B (0.275-4-11-1-15) – Much of his value lies in his position, but this seems about right given the numbers.

44. Rougned Odor, TEX, 2B (0.309-7-21-4-25) – He's now hitting lefties even better than RHP, though 3.5% BB% isn't helping.

45. Adrian Gonzalez, LAD, 1B (0.281-3-18-0-10) – Lack of power and runs is disappointing, but he's still quite steady.

46. Charlie Blackmon, COL, OF (0.260-1-7-2-12) – Just have to hope last year wasn't a fluke.

47. Freddie Freeman, ATL, 1B (0.273-5-9-1-12) – Brutal start, but he's turning back into his normal self lately.

48. Adrian Beltre, TEX, 3B (0.283-5-24-0-15) – Future Hall-of-Famer off to his usual solid start.

49. Gregory Polanco, PIT, OF (0.284-4-19-3-21) – Got the long-term deal, but don't expect him to get fat and happy.

50. Stephen Piscotty, STL, OF (0.318-5-21-2-22) – Better than I thought he'd be this early in his career. Power is a nice surprise.

51. Justin Upton, DET, OF (0.220-2-9-1-14) – Nothing good so far here, but I still believe in the talent.

52. Joey Votto, CIN, 1B (0.234-5-20-1-14) - .360 OBP gives him far more value in those formats.

53. Zack Greinke, ARI, SP (3-0-40-5.15-1.44) – Dodgers fans love this stat line, but ERA and WHIP should only go down.

54. Ian Kinsler, DET, 2B (0.299-6-17-3-27) – Plenty of positional value and power from this consistent veteran.

55. Matt Carpenter, STL, 3B (0.264-6-21-0-21) – Not sure he reaches 75 XBH again, but still very consistent.

56. Todd Frazier, CWS, 3B (0.218-10-30-2-21) – We knew the BA wouldn't be much more than .250, but this is a big disappointment.

57. Gerardo Parra, COL, OF (0.296-3-19-5-18) – Remains a bit underrated, but 20/20 very doable.

58. David Price, BOS, SP (4-0-53-6.75-1.38) – Tied for 8th in strikeouts, so ERA should continue to drop.

59. Francisco Lindor, CLE, SS (0.310-2-13-5-20) – Offense has come around quicker than I anticipated.

60. Miguel Sano, MIN, OF/DH (0.226-3-12-0-13) - .250 wouldn't be a surprise, but where's the power?

61. David Ortiz, BOS, DH (0.321-9-29-1-18) – Going out strong.

62. Yasiel Puig, LAD, OF (0.235-3-12-3-13) – Has hit the ball hard lately, so results should come.

63. Matt Kemp, SD, OF (0.268-8-23-0-15) – No longer a 30 SB guy, but the power is clearly still there.

64. Christian Yelich, MIA, OF (0.333-4-16-3-21) – Breakout appears imminent.

65. Johnny Cueto, SF, SP (4-0-44-3.02-1.13) – Ballpark change sure isn't hurting, though he's yet to be dominant.

66. David Peralta, ARI, OF (0.260-3-12-2-18) – Underrated OF should fare well in Arizona.

67. Kyle Seager, SEA, 3B (0.236-7-20-0-19) – ISO up from .185 to .260 and .232 BABIP should result in BA trending up.

68. Corey Kluber, CLE, SP (2-0-45-4.14-1.07) – Solid WHIP and lots of K's, so ERA will drop.

69. Chris Archer, TB, SP (2-0-49-4.23-1.51) – 11.5 K/9, but walks and home runs are way up.

70. Trevor Story, COL, SS (0.269-11-27-2-23) – Average won't be high, but 30+ homers is reasonable.

71. Evan Longoria, TB, 3B (0.232-6-17-0-15) – Good to see the power and still think he can be a .280 hitter.

72. Jose Quintana, CHW, SP (5-0-42-1.38-0.99) – Solid three-year run, but may be taking game to another level.

73. Ben Revere, WAS, OF (0.120-0-1-0-2) - Has hit .300 or higher in each of the last three seasons.

74. Brian Dozier, MIN, 2B (0.230-4-14-2-16) – Love the power/speed combo, but yes, the BA is a drag on any fantasy team.

75. Michael Brantley, CLE, OF (0.231-0-7-1-5) – Just remember what he did a couple years ago. Could explode now that he's healthy.

76. Felix Hernandez, SEA, SP (3-0-33-2.27-1.19) – Yet another drop in velocity, so maybe it's time to get concerned.

77. Brett Gardner, NYY, OF (.240-4-9-5-15) – Counting stats should be there, but will average climb into the .270s?

78. Troy Tulowitzki, TOR, SS (.178-6-16-0-11) – The good news is the six home runs. The bad is everything else. Had him off this list originally, but couldn't resist adding him back.

79. Jon Lester, CHC, SP (4-0-42-1.96-1.02) – Making the Cubs not regret six-year deal.

80. Kenley Jansen, LAD, RP (1-11-15-0.63-0.56) – Who else would you put as fantasy's top closer?

81. Alex Gordon, KC, OF (0.234-3-7-3-16) – Chalk this up to a slow start.

82. Jason Heyward, CHC, OF (0.211-0-13-4-16) – Money well spent? Not sure there, but numbers should improve.

83. Sonny Gray, OAK, SP (3-0-34-6.00-1.56) – Last three starts have been pretty ugly, but I have to think he'll turn it around.

84. Corey Seager, LAD, SS (0.264-2-15-1-18) – Not quite what we were hoping for after last September, but he has the look of a future star.

85. Aroldis Chapman, NYY, RP (0-1-3-4.50-1.50) – Slides right back into the closer position.

86. Wade Davis, KC, RP (1-8-11-0.00-0.75) – He and Jansen are the clear top two closers.

87. Danny Salazar, CLE, SP (3-0-43-1.91-0.90) – Looking like an All-Star and just needs to maintain some sort of consistency. Numbers above don't reflect 10-strikeout game Wednesday.

88. Maikel Franco, PHI, 3B (0.256-7-18-0-11) – He's a guy who could hit 15 homers…in a month.

89. Dexter Fowler, CHC, OF (0.339-3-17-6-25) – Locked in as an everyday guy in that lineup should result in 15 HR, 65 RBI, 20 SB, and 110 Runs. Monster numbers.

90. Cole Hamels, TEX, SP (4-0-36-2.68-1.22) – Tough pitcher's park isn't dragging him down too much.

91. Dallas Keuchel, HOU, SP (2-0-38-4.70-1.52) – Wondering whether I should be more worried than this ranking suggests…

92. Carlos Carrasco, CLE, SP (2-0-20-2.45-0.95) – Needs to stay off the DL, but I see Cy Young-level stuff when I watch him.

93. Hanley Ramirez, BOS, 1B/OF (0.301-4-19-4-21) – Not quite the Hanley of old, but I do like the steals.

94. Kenta Maeda, LAD, SP (3-0-35-1.66-0.95) – Hey didn't some former Dodger have a 1.66 ERA last year? What was his name again?

95. Masahiro Tanaka, NYY, SP (1-0-39-3.11-0.93) – Good year for Japanese pitchers so far.

96. Daniel Murphy, WAS, 2B/3B (0.398-5-20-1-22) – Hey look, he finally got moved to cleanup!

97. Marcell Ozuna, MIA, OF (0.294-6-17-0-16) – Perhaps plate discipline will improve under Barry Bonds' tutelage, but I like what I've seen overall.

98. Nick Castellanos, DET, 3B (0.378-7-28-1-15) – Seems as if every time I watch him, he does something special. Maybe the sample size is too small to warrant a top-100 ranking, but it's not like he's not talented as a (real-life) first-round pick.

99. Brandon Belt, SF, 1B (0.319-4-21-0-18) – I'm not sure he'll develop 30-HR power, but he's a very nice player.

100. Marcus Stroman, TOR, SP (4-0-36-3.60-1.02) – Still learning and should improve 6.5 K/9 with experience.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
David Regan
David Regan is a six-time Fantasy Sports Writers Association award winner, including the 2015 Baseball Article of the Year and the 2010 Baseball Writer of the Year.
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