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Weekly Pitcher Rankings: No Way Jose on Road?

Paul Sporer

Sporer covers pitching for RotoWire. He also writes for Baseball Prospectus and publishes an annual guide on starting pitcher. In his spare time, he roots for the Tigers.

As always, remember that rotations are subject to change, so if you see something that looks incorrect, assume that it was a change that occurred since this was written and feel free to politely bring it up in the comments. I'll let you know where the new arm slots.

For the week Aug. 29 - Sept. 4

AMERICAN LEAGUE

START

RANKPITCHEROPPONENTCOMMENT
1Yu DarvishSEA, HOU5 BB at CIN looks more like a blip than major trouble; 4 BB in 39 IP before that start
2Justin VerlanderCWSSinceJuly 1: .176 AVG (1st), 0.86 WHIP (1st), 2.00 ERA (3rd), and 28% K (t-5th) in 76.7 IP (1st)
3Corey KluberMIN
4Carlos CarrascoMIA
5Jose Quintanaat MINHe's a bumpy June (5.51 ERA) from an insane season: 2.12 ERA before, 2.25 since
6Cole HamelsSEAOnly Kyle Hendricks has a better ERA than Hamels since the break (1.52 to 1.59)
7Danny DuffyDET
8Masahiro Tanakaat KC
9Chris Saleat DET
10Matt ShoemakerCIN, at SEA
11Rick PorcelloTB, at OAKHasn't allowed more than 4 ER in any of his last 15 starts; has logged 7+ IP in each of his last six
12Jake Odorizziat BOS, TORNot an easy slate, but he's got a 1.59 ERA since the break facing BAL, TOR, BOS, TEX, and NYY (2x)
13J.A. Happat BAL
14Michael Fulmerat KCAllowed 6 ER vs. BOS last time out; had allowed 6 ER in previous four starts combined
15Aaron Sanchezat BAL
16David Priceat OAK
17Chris ArcherTORNot only does he lead the AL in strikeouts, but he's got a 3.11 ERA in his last 10 starts
18Marcus Stromanat TBAfter topping 5 Ks just twice in his first 13 starts, he's done in 8 of his last 12 (78 Ks in 75.3 IP)
19Felix Hernandezat TEXSwinging strike rate has surged to 13% in last six starts; was just 8% in first 12
20James Paxtonat TEX, LAASolid in return from DL going 5 IP/3 ER with all the runs coming in the first before allowing 2 H the rest of the way
21Hisashi Iwakumaat TEX, LAA
22Marco Estradaat BAL
23Kevin GausmanNYY
24Drew PomeranzTBDon't look now, but he has a 4.06 ERA w/BOS which is in line w/what we should've expected (had him at ~3.60 personally)
25Dallas Keuchelat TEX
26Carlos Rodonat MIN
27Steven WrightTBKC greeted him rudely from the DL w/5 ER in the first, but allowed 3 H over 5 IP the rest of the way
28Danny SalazarMIA
29Dylan BundyNYY
30Ervin SantanaCWSRemember how Verlander is 3rd in ERA since July 1? He's behind Kyle Hendricks (1.34) and Santana (1.96)
31Drew Smylyat BOS
32Sean Manaeaat HOU, BOSBOS crushed him for 8 ER in just 2.7 IP back in May; pitching much better now, plus it's in OAK
33Trevor BauerMIN, MIA
34CC Sabathiaat KC, at BAL
35Yordano VenturaDET
36Ian KennedyNYYHas allowed just 5 ER in his last six starts; no surprise that he's good when preventing HR, but HR rate always lingers
37Matt BoydCWS, at KCGreat 2.45 ERA since the break, but be mindful of the 1.8 HR/9 in that time; 7 of the 8 HRs were solo shots
38Anibal Sanchezat KCA 4.09 ERA over his last 7 doesn't seem that great, but 40% of his 20 ER came in one outing at TEX (2.70 ERA otherwise)
39Taijuan WalkerLAA
40Daniel NorrisCWS
41Mike FiersOAK
42Eduardo Rodriguezat OAKWas pitching brilliantly before injury: 2.52 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 39 Ks, and 3.3 K:BB ratio in 39.3 IP
43Doug Fisterat TEX
44Kyle GibsonCWS
45Chad Greenat BALHRs usually at the core of his bad starts, including Saturday when BAL popped 3 to chase him after 4.7 IP
46Joe MusgroveOAK, at TEX
47R.A. Dickeyat TB
48Collin McHughOAK
49Blake SnellTBDAlex Cobb is supposed to return but I could see them going to a 6-man
50Michael Pinedaat BALThis matchup terrifies me ... actually just having Pineda on my team terrifies me, too
51Francisco Lirianoat TB
52Tyler Skaggsat SEA
53Edinson VolquezNYY
54Josh TomlinMIN
55Derek HollandHOU
56Matt Andrieseat BOS
57A.J. GriffinTBDColby Lewis is slated to return on Sept. 3 and could push Griffin out; he has a 6.75 ERA in 22.7 August IP
58Ross Detwilerat HOU
59Kendall Gravemanat HOU
60Martin PerezSEA
61Luis Cessaat KC
62Hector Santiagoat CLE
63Ricky NolascoCIN
64Dillon GeeNYY, DET
65Andrew TriggsBOS
66Wade MileyTOR, NYY
67Andrew Albersat CLE, CWS
68James Shieldsat DET, at MIN
69Zach NealBOS
70Yovani GallardoTOR
71Ubaldo JimenezTOR
72Jered WeaverCIN, at SEA
73Anthony Ranaudoat DET, at MIN
73Pat Deanat CLE, CWS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

START

RankPitcherOpponent(s)Comments
1Jose Fernandezat NYM, at CLEHas a 1.91/4.42 home/road ERA split, but his 13.0 K/9 and 4.5 K:BB ratio on the road suggest better numbers ahead
2Johnny CuetoARI, at CHCOne of baseball's best starters ... again; how does he not get more love?
3Jake ArrietaPIT, SFEven with the elevated walk rate, he hasn't been anything close to bad (2.62 ERA, 1.04 WHIP)
4Max Scherzerat PHIOnly had 4 HR-free starts in the first half (19 total starts), has 5 in 8 over the second half (2.65 ERA, 0.7 HR/9)
5Madison Bumgarnerat CHC
6Kyle HendricksPIT
7Jon LesterSF
8Julio TeheranSD, at PHIBumpy return in ARI (6 IP/6 ER), but this is a great two-step to get back on track
9Tanner Roarkat PHI, at NYMBBs up in 2H (from 2.7 to 3.3 BB/9), but he's still pitching very well (2.96 ERA, 1.16 WHIP)
10Gerrit Coleat CHC, MIL
11Carlos Martinezat MIL, at CINHe's topped 5 Ks just once in the second half (33 in 45 IP)
12Vincent VelasquezATL
13Jason HammelSFHas allowed just 22 ERsince July 1, but 16 came in two horrific starts at NYM and at COL; has a 1.26 ERA otherwise
14Adam Wainwrightat MIL
15Noah SyndergaardMIAEager to see how he throws on Saturday evening after an 8 IP/0 ER gem at SF last time out
16Zack Greinkeat SF
17Kenta Maedaat COL, SD
18Jacob deGromWASBeing skipped earlier in the week so this is no guarantee
19Matt MooreARI
20Steven MatzMIA, WASComing off of the shoulder scare for a two-start so he could be rusty or limited in innings so he's lower than normal
21Gio Gonzalezat PHI
22Zach DaviesSTL, at PITQuietly has a 3.45 ERA over his last 15 starts with a 4.2 K:BB ratio
23Jameson TaillonMIL
24Anthony DeSclafaniSTL
25Jeremy HellicksonATL
26Jerad EickhoffWASSolid 3.53 ERA in his last six starts, but a 1.8 HR/9 has me leery
27Jaime Garciaat CIN3 huge duds and 2 eight-inning gems in his last 5 gives you an idea of the risk attached to starting him
28John LackeySF
29Jeff Samardzijaat CHC
30Dan Strailyat LAA, STLHis 1.98 second-half ERA is tied w/Justin Verlander for 6th-best; hasn't allowed >2 ER in any of the 8 starts
31Tyler AndersonLAD
32Rich Hillat COL, SDLooked filthy in his return, but now I have to trust him in Colorado?
33Ivan NovaMIL
34Robbie Rayat SFFinally turning the Ks into some real success: 1.50 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and 29 Ks in last 24 IP
35Brandon Finneganat LAA
36Mike Leakeat CIN
37Homer BaileySTL
38David Phelpsat NYMIt's crazy how fast it can turn: 3 no-hit innings to open his Friday start, but then 4 ER in a 33-pitch 4th inning ended his night
39Bartolo ColonMIA
40Jimmy Nelsonat PIT
41Jon GrayLAD, ARIBig fan of Gray, but I can't get psyched about 2 home starts for him
42Lucas Giolitoat NYM
43Luke Weaverat MIL
44Mike MontgomeryPITNot sure he can really be a mixed league asset right now, plus Lackey's return likely ends his SP tenure after this week
45Andrew Cashnerat CLE
46Mike Foltynewiczat PHI
47Tom Koehlerat NYM, at CLEHe's been passable this year, but always a much better home pitcher so I'm not chasing 2 on the road from him
48Matt WislerSDBrilliant in his return to the majors (8 IP/1 ER) and gets a start vs. SD to stay hot; still like his stuff, but he's volatile
49Seth LugoMIA
50Jake ThompsonWAS, ATL
51Edwin Jacksonat ATL
52Ryan Vogelsongat CHC
53Jeff HoffmanLADC'mon, gimme some road starts for him
54A.J. Coleat NYM
55Braden Shipleyat COLCoors ...
56Zack Godleyat COLon Coors ...
57Archie Bradleyat COLon Coors
58Christian Friedrichat ATL
59Jarred Cosartat LAD
60John GantSD
61Luis Perdomoat LAD
62Paul Clemensat ATL
63Adam MorganWAS
64Bud Norrisat COLHas returned to earth with LAD: 5.40 ERA and a modest 2.4 K:BB; have fun in Coors
65Jake Peavyat CHC
66Chad Kuhlat CHC
67Wily PeraltaSTL
68Jose Urenaat NYM
69Joel De La Cruzat PHI
70Chad BettisARI
71Clayton Richardat LAD
72Matt GarzaSTL
73Jorge De La RosaARI
74Tim Adlemanat LAA

MLB TOP 100

RANKPITCHEROPPONENTCOMMENT
1Jose Fernandezat NYM, at CLEHas a 1.91/4.42 home/road ERA split, but his 13.0 K/9 and 4.5 K:BB ratio on the road suggest better numbers ahead
2Johnny CuetoARI, at CHCOne of baseball's best starters ... again; how does he not get more love?
3Jake ArrietaPIT, SFEven with the elevated walk rate, he hasn't been anything close to bad (2.62 ERA, 1.04 WHIP)
4Yu DarvishSEA, HOU5 BB at CIN looks more like a blip than major trouble; 4 BB in 39 IP before that start
5Justin VerlanderCWSSinceJuly 1: .176 AVG (1st), 0.86 WHIP (1st), 2.00 ERA (3rd), and 28% K (t-5th) in 76.7 IP (1st)
6Max Scherzerat PHIOnly had 4 HR-free starts in the first half (19 total starts), has 5 in 8 over the second half (2.65 ERA, 0.7 HR/9)
7Corey KluberMIN
8Madison Bumgarnerat CHC
9Kyle HendricksPIT
10Carlos CarrascoMIA
11Jon LesterSF
12Jose Quintanaat MINHe's a bumpy June (5.51 ERA) from an insane season: 2.12 ERA before, 2.25 since
13Cole HamelsSEAOnly Kyle Hendricks has a better ERA than Hamels since the break (1.52 to 1.59)
14Danny DuffyDET
15Julio TeheranSD, at PHIBumpy return in ARI (6 IP/6 ER), but this is a great two-step to get back on track
16Tanner Roarkat PHI, at NYMBBs up in 2H (from 2.7 to 3.3 BB/9), but he's still pitching very well (2.96 ERA, 1.16 WHIP)
17Gerrit Coleat CHC, MIL
18Carlos Martinezat MIL, at CINHe's topped 5 Ks just once in the second half (33 in 45 IP)
19Masahiro Tanakaat KC
20Chris Saleat DET
21Matt ShoemakerCIN, at SEA
22Rick PorcelloTB, at OAKHasn't allowed more than 4 ER in any of his last 15 starts; has logged 7+ IP in each of his last six
23Jake Odorizziat BOS, TORNot an easy slate, but he's got a 1.59 ERA since the break facing BAL, TOR, BOS, TEX, and NYY (2x)
24Vincent VelasquezATL
25Jason HammelSFHas allowed just 22 ERsince July 1, but 16 came in two horrific starts at NYM and at COL; has a 1.26 ERA otherwise
26J.A. Happat BAL
27Adam Wainwrightat MIL
28Noah SyndergaardMIAEager to see how he throws on Saturday evening after an 8 IP/0 ER gem at SF last time out
29Michael Fulmerat KCAllowed 6 ER vs. BOS last time out; had allowed 6 ER in previous four starts combined
30Aaron Sanchezat BAL
31David Priceat OAK
32Chris ArcherTORNot only does he lead the AL in strikeouts, but he's got a 3.11 ERA in his last 10 starts
33Zack Greinkeat SF
34Kenta Maedaat COL, SD
35Marcus Stromanat TBAfter topping 5 Ks just twice in his first 13 starts, he's done in 8 of his last 12 (78 Ks in 75.3 IP)
36Jacob deGromWASBeing skipped earlier in the week so this is no guarantee
37Matt MooreARI
38Steven MatzMIA, WASComing off of the shoulder scare for a two-start so he could be rusty or limited in innings so he's lower than normal
39Gio Gonzalezat PHI
40Zach DaviesSTL, at PITQuietly has a 3.45 ERA over his last 15 starts with a 4.2 K:BB ratio
41Felix Hernandezat TEXSwinging strike rate has surged to 13% in last six starts; was just 8% in first 12
42James Paxtonat TEX, LAASolid in return from DL going 5 IP/3 ER with all the runs coming in the first before allowing 2 H the rest of the way
43Hisashi Iwakumaat TEX, LAA
44Marco Estradaat BAL
45Jameson TaillonMIL
46Anthony DeSclafaniSTL
47Jeremy HellicksonATL
48Kevin GausmanNYY
49Drew PomeranzTBDon't look now, but he has a 4.06 ERA w/BOS which is in line w/what we should've expected (had him at ~3.60 personally)
50Dallas Keuchelat TEX
51Carlos Rodonat MIN
52Steven WrightTBKC greeted him rudely from the DL w/5 ER in the first, but allowed 3 H over 5 IP the rest of the way
53Danny SalazarMIA
54Jerad EickhoffWASSolid 3.53 ERA in his last six starts, but a 1.8 HR/9 has me leery
55Tyler AndersonLAD
56Jaime Garciaat CIN3 huge duds and 2 eight-inning gems in his last 5 gives you an idea of the risk attached to starting him
57Rich Hillat COL, SDLooked filthy in his return, but now I have to trust him in Colorado?
58John LackeySF
59Ivan NovaMIL
60Jeff Samardzijaat CHC
61Dylan BundyNYY
62Dan Strailyat LAA, STLHis 1.98 second-half ERA is tied w/Justin Verlander for 6th-best; hasn't allowed >2 ER in any of the 8 starts
63Ervin SantanaCWSRemember how Verlander is 3rd in ERA since July 1? He's behind Kyle Hendricks (1.34) and Santana (1.96)
64Drew Smylyat BOS
65Sean Manaeaat HOU, BOSBOS crushed him for 8 ER in just 2.7 IP back in May; pitching much better now, plus it's in OAK
66Trevor BauerMIN, MIA
67CC Sabathiaat KC, at BAL
68Yordano VenturaDET
69Ian KennedyNYYHas allowed just 5 ER in his last six starts; no surprise that he's good when preventing HR, but HR rate always lingers
70Matt BoydCWS, at KCGreat 2.45 ERA since the break, but be mindful of the 1.8 HR/9 in that time; 7 of the 8 HRs were solo shots
71Robbie Rayat SFFinally turning the Ks into some real success: 1.50 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and 29 Ks in last 24 IP
72Brandon Finneganat LAA
73Anibal Sanchezat KCA 4.09 ERA over his last 7 doesn't seem that great, but 40% of his 20 ER came in one outing at TEX (2.70 ERA otherwise)
74Mike Leakeat CIN
75Homer BaileySTL
76Taijuan WalkerLAA
77Daniel NorrisCWS
78Mike FiersOAK
79Eduardo Rodriguezat OAKWas pitching brilliantly before injury: 2.52 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 39 Ks, and 3.3 K:BB ratio in 39.3 IP
80David Phelpsat NYMIt's crazy how fast it can turn: 3 no-hit innings to open his Friday start, but then 4 ER in a 33-pitch 4th inning ended his night
81Bartolo ColonMIA
82Jimmy Nelsonat PIT
83Doug Fisterat TEX
84Jon GrayLAD, ARIBig fan of Gray, but I can't get psyched about 2 home starts for him
85Kyle GibsonCWS
85Lucas Giolitoat NYM
86Luke Weaverat MIL
87Chad Greenat BALHRs usually at the core of his bad starts, including Saturday when BAL popped 3 to chase him after 4.7 IP
88Mike MontgomeryPITNot sure he can really be a mixed league asset right now, plus Lackey's return likely ends his SP tenure after this week
89Andrew Cashnerat CLE
90Mike Foltynewiczat PHI
91Tom Koehlerat NYM, at CLEHe's been passable this year, but always a much better home pitcher so I'm not chasing 2 on the road from him
92Joe MusgroveOAK, at TEX
93R.A. Dickeyat TB
94Collin McHughOAK
96Blake SnellTBDAlex Cobb is supposed to return but I could see them going to a 6-man
97Seth LugoMIA
98Jake ThompsonWAS, ATL
99Matt WislerSDBrilliant in his return to the majors (8 IP/1 ER) and gets a start vs. SD to stay hot; still like his stuff, but he's volatile
100Edwin Jacksonat ATL