FantasyDraft MLB: Saturday Values

FantasyDraft MLB: Saturday Values

This article is part of our FantasyDraft MLB series.

PITCHER

Corey Kluber, CLE at CWS ($27,300): Kluber is averaging 28.42 fantasy points per start and has scored between 31.50 and 49.45 fantasy points in six of his last seven. He's also racked up 17 strikeouts over 15 innings in two previous outings versus the White Sox this season, including a complete-game, three-hit effort at Guaranteed Rate Field that netted 44.25 fantasy points. Meanwhile, the White Sox have just a .220 batting average and .301 wOBA versus right-handed pitching at home over the last month.

Sean Newcomb, ATL at PHI ($15,600): Newcomb has suffered through some of the ups and downs typical for a rookie, but he bounced back in his last start with 20.70 fantasy points versus the Dodgers. He has also eclipsed 20 fantasy points in two other starts, and notably, his numbers have been better on the road, where he sports a .217 BAA and just one homer allowed in 16 innings. Furthermore, the Phillies have a 24.3 percent strikeout rate and .264 wOBA versus southpaws at home in the last month.

INFIELD

Kris Bryant, CHC at MIL ($9,900): Brewers starter Junior Guerra has allowed a .375 wOBA, 2.60 HR/9 and 5.46 xFIP to right-handed hitters at Miller Park, while Bryant boasts a .370 wOBA and .228 ISO versus right-handed pitching. He's also wrapping up another strong month, one in which he's compiled a .378 wOBA and season-best 36.1 percent hard contact rate over 85 plate appearances. Meanwhile, Brewers relievers have allowed a .357 wOBA, 23.1 percent HR/FB rate and 43.8 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters at home in the last month.

Adrian Beltre, TEX vs. BAL ($9,300): Following a two-hit night Friday, Beltre is just two short of 3,000, a goal that looks within sight against Orioles starter Kevin Gausman, who's allowed a .408 wOBA and 37.1 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters on the road. Beltre has a .441 wOBA, .328 ISO and 46.9 percent hard contact rate versus righties at Globe Life Park, and a .429 wOBA overall in 89 plate appearances in July.

Dustin Pedroia, BOS vs. KC ($8,000): Pedroia boasts a .398 wOBA over 103 plate appearances in July, including a .375 wOBA against right-handed pitching over that span. Meanwhile, Royals starter Trevor Cahill has allowed a .388 wOBA to right-handed hitters on the road, along with a 20.0 percent HR/FB rate and 33.9 percent hard contact rate. Pedroia has also tagged Cahill for a .500 batting average, including a home run, in eight plate appearances.

OUTFIELD

A.J. Pollock, ARI at STL ($9,600): Pollock has a .409 wOBA against right-handed pitching on the road, and he's posted a 42.9 percent hard contact rate against that handedness overall. He's also produced a .402 wOBA and 45.0 percent hard contact rate in July, while Cardinals starter Mike Leake has allowed a .409 wOBA over the 17.2 innings encompassing his last four starts. Pollock also has a .600 batting average against Leake in 10 plate appearances.

Jose Ramirez, CLE at CWS ($8,700): The switch-hitting Ramirez has a .384 wOBA, .275 ISO and 36.3 percent hard contact rate versus right-handed pitching on the road. On the other side, White Sox starter Miguel Gonzalez has allowed a .352 wOBA, 5.29 xFIP and 34.6 percent hard contact rate to lefty bats, and a .400 batting average, including a homer, and three RBI to Ramirez over 10 plate appearances.

Joey Gallo, TEX vs. BAL ($7,200): Orioles starter Kevin Gausman has also had his share of difficulties versus left-handed hitters, allowing a .390 wOBA, 6.71 xFIP and 34.4 percent hard contact rate on the road. Gallo is in the midst of his best offensive stretch of the season, which includes a .435 wOBA and .394 ISO over 43 plate appearances in July. Furthermore, he's posted a .352 wOBA, .296 ISO, 27.0 percent HR/FB rate and 43.1 percent hard contact rate against righties at Globe Life Park, and has hit 21 of his 25 homers on the season off that handedness.

UTILITY

Freddie Freeman, ATL at PHI ($8,800): Freeman hit the ground running in his return from injury earlier this month, posting a .391 wOBA, .247 ISO and 33.3 percent hard contact rate over 81 plate appearances in July. He's also managed a .481 wOBA, .384 ISO, 29.2 percent HR/FB rate and 38.2 percent hard contact rate versus right-handed pitching, and he has touched up Phillies starter Jerad Eickhoff for a .375 batting average and a pair of solo homers in 19 plate appearances. Eickhoff has also allowed a .368 wOBA, 5.38 xFIP and 35.5 percent hard contact rate to left-handed hitters at Citizens Bank Park.

Travis Shaw, MIL vs. CHC ($8,700): Shaw's breakout 2017 season includes a .412 wOBA, .297 ISO, 22.0 percent HR/FB rate and 42.3 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching at Miller Park. Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks has a 5.40 ERA and allowed a .369 wOBA and 46.4 percent hard contact rate in the 8.1 innings encompassing his last two starts. Moreover, Shaw has a .461 wOBA, .371 ISO and 41.7 percent hard contact rate over 82 plate appearances in July.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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