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FantasyDraft MLB: Wednesday Values

Greg Vara

Vara is the lead golf writer at RotoWire. He was named the 2013 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. In addition to producing the weekly preview and the bulk of the draft kit content, Vara participates in Yahoo!'s "Experts Picks" where he routinely dominates. He also picks college football games against the spread in his "College Capper" article.

PITCHER

Corey Kluber, CLE vs. BOS ($24,600):
It had been quite a while since Kluber laid an egg in a start, but he did just that in his most recent outing thanks to an ankle injury. He appears to be healthy and with no restrictions in place, he is again the top choice at the position. The Red Sox are certainly no pushover, but Kluber is locked in, striking out at least 11 in five of his past seven starts.

Luis Severino, NYY at DET ($24,000): Some nights the top two options are the best plays because there are no good value options, and some nights the top two options are simply the best plays on the board. This is one of those nights. Severino has been in the zone since the end of June, recording at least seven strikeouts in seven of his past 10 starts. The matchup against the Tigers is favorable, as the Tigers are a bottom-10 team in wOBA against righties this season and their K% is in the lower half as well.

INFIELD

Paul Goldschmidt, AZ at NYM ($10,800):
Goldschmidt enters with a .421 wOBA against righties this season, which leads the Diamondbacks and is top-10 in the majors. Meanwhile, he'll face righty Chris Flexen, who has a 6.55 ERA this year.

Alex Avila, CHC at CIN ($7,200): Reds starter Asher Wojciechowski had an impressive stretch a couple weeks ago when he went 17.2 innings while allowing just two runs, but then he ran into the Cubs. During that start against the Cubs, Wojciechowski surrendered seven runs in just 3.2 innings. While he’ll undoubtedly make adjustments, I doubt he has enough in his arsenal to make much of an impact. With that said, I’ll be targeting plenty of Cubs and start with Avila, who enters with a team-high .393 wOBA against righties this season.

Jorge Polanco, MN at CHW ($7,200): The Twins have been one of the hottest lineups in the majors over the past week and there’s little chance that James Shields can do anything about that. Shields has been better this season at avoiding the blow up, but he’s still surrendering multiple runs each and every game. The Twins provide an interesting stack because their collective prices are lower than the top-tier teams. Case in point: Polanco, who is one of the hottest hitters in baseball yet is still priced very low. He has been much better against righties this season, and he comes in having hit home runs in his past three games.

OUTFIELD

Aaron Judge, NYY at DET ($8,800):
Now that Judge’s price has been adjusted for his slower pace, he’s again someone you should consider. The matchup against Jordan Zimmermann looks really good, as Judge has a .421 wOBA against righties while Zimmerman has allowed seven runs in each of his past two starts.

Yasiel Puig, LAD at PIT ($7,200): Trevor Williams takes the hill for the Pirates, and while he’s been good in certain spots this season, he allowed 11 runs in his last nine innings. The fact that prior to that streak he pitched seven scoreless innings in a start against Detroit is preventing me from recommending a Dodgers stack, but there are some guys worth targeting. Puig is one because he’s had success against righties this season (.373 wOBA) and comes at a discounted price.

Eddie Rosario, MN at CHW ($8,800): Even with a full slate of games, there’s a surprising lack of reliably bad pitching out there to take advantage of, so I’ll continue to target guys who are always good for a few runs, like Shields. Rosario, who has a team-high .372 wOBA against righties this season, is a huge reason the Twins have put up so many runs over the past week and he’ll be a big reason they get to Shields as well.

UTILITY

Adrian Beltre, TEX at LAA ($9,900):
Andrew Heaney was fairly productive as a starter is his most recent full season in the majors, but injuries have derailed any momentum he might have had over the past couple years. He allowed five runs in five innings in his first start of the season last week and if there’s a chance he’s that guy again, then you’d better have some Rangers ready to go. Beltre is usually at the top of any list of Rangers hitters, especially thanks to his .418 wOBA against lefties this year.

Giancarlo Stanton, MIA at PHI ($10,800): Stanton came at a hefty price Tuesday night, be he came through with yet another home run. He’s carrying an even highr price on this slate, but he once again has a nice matchup, so at minimum you should consider finding some room for him. Stanton enters with a .414 wOBA against righties this season, which is best on the Marlins and 11th-best in the majors. Mark Leiter Jr. takes the hill for the Phillies, and he comes in with a 4.38 ERA this season.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire.