FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Value Plays

FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Value Plays

This article is part of our FanDuel MLB series.

Pitcher

Jose Berrios, MIN vs. CWS ($9,000): Berrios has been significantly better at home (2.87 ERA, 24.9 percent strikeout rate) than on the road (5.12 ERA, 20.4 percent strikeout rate). The White Sox rank 28th against right-handers with a .306 wOBA, also bringing an 89 wRC+ and –47.2 wRAA. Berrios also owns 17 strikeouts and a .170 BAA in 13.1 innings against the White Sox this season.

Catcher

Nick Hundley, SFG at SDP ($2,200): This game pits two of the worst starting options against two of the league's worst offenses, making it difficult to feel great about exploiting the bad arms. Hundley and his .401 wOBA and 151 wRC+, paired with Buster Posey's likely absence due to a thumb injury, offer a nice low-risk, moderate-reward buy against the Padres' Travis Wood and his 6.00 second-half ERA.

First Base

Joey Votto, CIN vs. NYM ($4,200): This column evolved into a lot of risky, high-upside options. Votto seems to offer the safe floor while also bringing huge potential against a struggling starter in Rafael Montero, who has a 5.34 road ERA. Votto sports a team-leading .432 wOBA and 167 wRC+ against opposite-handed arms.

Second Base

Scooter Gennett, CIN vs. NYM ($3,300): Gennett is the opposite of Votto, in that we've seen his capability of producing huge outings, but also plenty of goose eggs. He's second to Votto among Reds regulars against righties with a .387 wOBA and 137 wRC+, and the aforementioned Montero has been victimized to the tune of a .414 wOBA and 1.000 OPS on the road against same-handed bats.

Third Base

Mike Moustakas, KAN vs. TAM ($3,200): Moustakas hasn't gone deep since August 15, which has caused his price to fall too low for a player with 35 bombs to date. He sports a .364 wOBA and .252 ISO at home against righties entering a matchup with a struggling Jake Odorizzi, who has a 6.75 ERA and 1.85 WHIP in August, lasting only 21.1 innings in his last five starts.

Shortstop

Amed Rosario, NYM at CIN ($2,600): Rosario's splits aren't ideal, but in 37 at bats on the road against same-handed pitchers, he sports a respectable .361 wOBA and 125 wRC+. The play here is more against likely starter Homer Bailey, who has a 12.10 home ERA, where he's allowing same-handed bats to post an obscene .554 wOBA and 1.351 OPS. Even in a limited Mets' lineup, that seems worth betting against.

Outfield
Byron Buxton, MIN vs. CWS ($3,800):
The numbers suggest Buxton is a near-automatic play, an amazing thing to write after Buxton hit .216 in the season's first half. He now carries a season-long .379 wOBA and 136 wRC+ against lefties, numbers that bloat to .634/311 in August. Yes, Buxton is that hot, and adds a 1.551 OPS in that span against opposite-handed arms. White Sox starter Derek Holland continues to be ripe for the picking, sporting a 7.02 road ERA and 9.00 in August, while also allowing a .427 wOBA and 1.013 OPS to righties outside of Chicago.

Kyle Schwarber, CHC vs. PIT ($3,600): The price feels too high here for a guy that could go 0-for-4 with three Ks, but Schwarber could also go deep twice. He's posted a solid .363 wOBA, 122 wRC+ and .258 ISO in August against righties despite a 35.1 percent strikeout rate. Meanwhile, Pirates' starter Ivan Nova is limping to the finish, sporting a 6.00 ERA while allowing a .433 wOBA and 1.056 OPS to lefties since the All-Star break.

Manuel Margot, SDP vs. SFG ($3,000): Giants' starter Ty Blach has been awful on the road (5.64 ERA) and against righties (.398 wOBA away). We noted how bad the offenses are here, so I'm not fully in on exploiting the woeful starters in this tilt, but Margot and his .360 wOBA and 124 wRC+ appear to offer enough potential on the dollar to roll the dice.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Chris Bennett plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: k30kittles, DraftKings: k30kittles.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Bennett
Bennett covers baseball, college football and college basketball for RotoWire. Before turning to fantasy writing, he worked in scouting/player development for the Atlanta Braves and Montreal Expos. He's also a fan of the ACC.
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