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FantasyDraft MLB: Saturday Values

Juan Carlos Blanco

Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for close to 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, and the NFL for Rotowire.com, including serving as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' beat writer. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports.

PITCHER

Hyun-Jin Ryu, LAD vs. SF ($17,600): Rich Hill became the latest lefty to dominate the Giants, and Ryu is certainly capable of providing an encore. He’s scored between 15.05 and 20.70 fantasy points in four of his last five starts, and he dominated the Giants over seven innings the last time he faced them at Dodger Stadium, leading to 26.15 fantasy points. San Francisco also has a 25.6 percent strikeout rate and .291 wOBA against southpaws on the road in the last month, while Ryu boasts a 2.36 ERA and .280 wOBA allowed over 49.2 second-half innings.

Lance Lynn, STL at PIT ($14,000): Lynn boasts a .214 BAA and solid 3.14 ERA over 97.1 road innings, and a .294 wOBA allowed and 2.41 ERA in 78.1 second-half frames. He also stymied the Pirates in his one previous encounter with them at PNC Park on July 15, scoring 19.45 fantasy points on the strength of 6.1 scoreless frames. Meanwhile, the Pirates check in with a 22.2 percent strikeout rate and .285 wOBA against right-handed pitching in the last month.

INFIELD

Paul Goldschmidt, ARI vs. MIA ($10,800): Goldschmidt has pounded lefties at home for a .404 wOBA, .283 ISO and 50.0 percent hard contact rate, making him an appealing target against Marlins rookie southpaw Dillon Peters, who has allowed a 4.90 xFIP to right-handed hitters. Additionally, Miami relievers have a 6.16 ERA and .421 wOBA allowed (including seven homers) against righty bats on the road in September, and they could be fatigued after Friday’s 13-11 slugfest.

Matt Carpenter, STL at PIT ($8,800): The red-hot Cardinals have several bats that can be deployed against Pirates starter Gerrit Cole, and Carpenter’s .385 wOBA, .262 ISO and 43.1 percent hard contact rate versus righties on the road makes him one. Cole has allowed a .338 wOBA (including 18 homers) to left-handed hitters, along with a 41.0 percent hard contact rate when facing them at home. Pirates relievers have also yielded a .347 wOba to left-handed hitters at home in September.

Freddy Galvis, PHI at ATL ($6,400): Braves starter Julio Teheran’s struggles versus lefty bats at SunTrust Park include a .403 wOBA (including 12 homers), 5.95 xFIP and 39.4 percent hard contact rate allowed. The switch-hitting Galvis flashes most of his power against righties (10 of 12 homers on the season) and his bargain price allows you to spend up elsewhere.

OUTFIELD

J.D. Martinez, ARI vs. MIA ($10,800): Martinez has a .752 wOBA, .825 ISO, 50.0 percent HR/FB rate and 64.5 percent hard contact rate at home, which lines up well with Dillon Peters' struggles, which were detailed earlier.

Tommy Pham, STL at PIT ($9,600): Pham has a .447 wOBA, .270 ISO, 31.7 percent HR/FB rate and 41.3 percent hard contact rate versus righties on the road and boasts a .405 wOBA in 66 September plate appearances overall. Meanwhile, Pirates starter Gerrit Cole has allowed 12 homers to right-handed hitters, and he has a 5.04 ERA over three September starts.

Wil Myers, SD vs. COL ($7,600): Myers boasts a .327 wOBA, .216 ISO and 37.5 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching, while Rockies starter Chad Bettis has allowed a .375 wOBA to right-handed hitters (including .516 on the road), along with a 40.9 percent hard contact rate when facing them away from Coors Field. Bettis is also allowing a .415 wOBA when throwing his four-seam fastball, a pitch that Myers has a .338 wOBA against.

UTILITY

Manny Machado, BAL vs. TB ($9,200): Machado sports a .372 wOBA, .257 ISO, 21.0 percent HR/FB rate and 41.7 percent hard contact rate versus right-handed pitching at Camden Yards, while Rays starter Jake Odorizzi has allowed a .341 wOBA (including eight homers), 6.05 xFIP and 38.5 percent hard contact rate to righty bats on the road.

Lucas Duda, TB at BAL ($6,800): Orioles starter Jeremy Hellickson has allowed a .414 wOBA and has an 8.20 ERA in his four home stats at Camden Yards, including a .441 wOBA and 10.38 ERA versus the 41 lefty bats he’s faced over that stretch. Duda has smacked 24 of his 29 homers on the season off righties and boasts a .363 wOBA, .303 ISO and 43.8 percent hard contact rate versus that handedness, while also sporting a .378 wOBA versus Hellickson’s trademark changeup.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.