NBA Value Meter: Grand Theft Basketball

Eric Johnson

Eric Johnson writes about fantasy sports for RotoWire.

Posted on Sunday, January 2, 2011

NBA VALUE METER - WEEK 11

This is our weekly cheat sheet based on our player's projected output and number of games. It assumes an eight-category roto style league with the following categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, three-pointers made, free-throw percentage and field-goal percentage.

These are my rankings. They do not necessarily correspond with the RotoWire cheat sheet or our projections for the season. I use both as a rough guide, but I primarily factor in number of games played for the week, current player trends and pertinent information about the team (injuries, time share situations, etc). The Value Meter takes into account games played Monday through Saturday. We will try to update the meter with any breaking news that happens on Sunday, but in most cases, any injuries, lineup changes, etc. that happen on Sunday won't be accounted for on the Value Meter until the following week.

Week 11 - January 3rd - January 9th

Five Games:	NONE
Four Games:	BOS, CHI, DEN, GSW, HOU, LAL, MIA, MIL, MIN, NO, ORL, PHI, POR, SAS, TOR, UTA
Three Games:	ATL, CHA, CLE, DAL, DET, MEM, NJ, NYK, OKC, PHO, SAC, WAS
Two Games:	IND, LAC
One Game:	NONE
	= new to Value Meter

Point Guards
Rank	Player	Eligible	Team	Games	Comment
1	Chris Paul	[PG]	NO	4	Averaging 18.7 points, 10.5 assists and 5.2 steals over last four games.
2	Deron Williams	[PG]	UTA	4
3	Derrick Rose	[PG]	CHI	4
4	Chauncey Billups	[PG]	DEN	4	Is Mr. Big Shot back? Averaging 26.0 points, 5.2 assists, 3.6 threes and 1.4 steals over last five games.
5	Stephen Curry	[PG,SG]	GSW	4
6	Jrue Holiday	[PG]	PHI	4	Will have to do more with Iguodala out. Averaging 20.8 points, 7.4 assists, 1.0 steals and 1.2 threes over last five games.
7	Tony Parker	[PG]	SAS	4
8	Andre Miller	[PG]	POR	4
9	Jose Calderon *	[PG]	TOR	4	Day-to-day (foot).
10	Raymond Felton	[PG,SG]	NYK	3
11	Russell Westbrook	[PG,SG]	OKC	3
12	John Wall	[PG]	WAS	3
13	Steve Nash	[PG]	PHO	3
14	Jason Kidd	[PG]	DAL	3
15	Devin Harris	[PG,SG]	NJ	3
16	Tyreke Evans	[PG,SG]	SAC	3
17	Luke Ridnour	[PG]	MIN	4	Playing solid minutes despite the return of Jonny Flynn. Averaging 16.0 points, 7.2 assists, 1.6 steals and 1.6 threes in 33 minutes over last five games.
18	Jameer Nelson	[PG,SG]	ORL	4
19	Gilbert Arenas	[PG,SG]	ORL	4
20	Mike Conley, Jr.	[PG,SG]	MEM	3
21	D.J. Augustin	[PG]	CHA	3	Value goes up with new run and gun offense in Charlotte. Scored 27 or more points in two of last three games.
22	Beno Udrih	[PG,SG]	SAC	3
23	Rodney Stuckey *	[PG,SG]	DET	3	Day-to-day (illness).
24	Maurice Williams *	[PG,SG]	CLE	3	Day-to-day (hip).
25	Keyon Dooling	[PG,SG]	MIL	4
26	Nate Robinson	[PG,SG]	BOS	4	Value will plummet when Rajon Rondo returns.
27	Kyle Lowry	[PG,SG]	HOU	4
28	Earl Boykins	[PG]	MIL	4
29	Ty Lawson	[PG]	DEN	4
30	Aaron Brooks	[PG,SG]	HOU	4
31	Mike Bibby	[PG]	ATL	3
32	Darren Collison	[PG]	IND	2
33	Baron Davis	[PG]	LAC	2
34	Ramon Sessions	[PG,SG]	CLE	3	Decent short-term play if Mo Williams misses time this week.
35	Rajon Rondo *	[PG]	BOS	4	Day-to-day (ankle). Might not return until Saturday at the earliest.

Shooting Guards
Rank	Player	Eligible	Team	Games	Comment
1	Dwyane Wade	[SG]	MIA	4	Averaging 32.0 points, 6.8 assists, 4.3 assists, 1.8 steals and 8.0 free throws made over last five games.
2	Kobe Bryant	[SG]	LAL	4
3	Monta Ellis	[PG,SG]	GSW	4
4	Kevin Martin	[SG]	HOU	4
5	John Salmons	[SG,SF]	MIL	4
6	Wesley Matthews	[SG,SF]	POR	4	Value goes up with Brandon Roy out indefinitely. Averaging 19.4 points, 4.2 rebounds, 1.6 steals and 2.0 threes over last five games.
7	Manu Ginobili	[SG]	SAS	4
8	Jason Richardson	[SG,SF]	ORL	4
9	Ray Allen	[SG]	BOS	4
10	Joe Johnson	[SG]	ATL	3
11	Vince Carter	[SG]	PHO	3
12	Nick Young	[SG,SF]	WAS	3
13	Jamal Crawford	[PG,SG]	ATL	3
14	George Hill *	[PG,SG]	SAS	4	Back in action (toe).
15	Evan Turner	[SG,SF]	PHI	4	Should see bump in minutes with Andre Iguodala out this week. Averaging 17.5 points, 5.5 rebounds and 2.5 steals in 32.5 minutes over last two games.
16	J.R. Smith	[SG]	DEN	4	Value decreases with Carmelo Anthony back.
17	J.J. Redick	[SG]	ORL	4	Still getting solid minutes despite the additions of Arenas and Richardson. Averaging 14.2 points and 2.8 threes in 28 minutes over last five games.
18	Leandro Barbosa	[PG,SG]	TOR	4
19	Aaron Afflalo	[SG]	DEN	4
20	DeMar DeRozan	[SG,SF]	TOR	4
21	Rudy Fernandez	[SG,SF]	POR	4
23	Marco Belinelli	[PG,SG]	NO	4
24	CJ Miles	[SG,SF]	UTA	4	Day-to-day (flu).
24	Jason Terry	[PG,SG]	DAL	3
25	Ben Gordon	[SG]	DET	3
26	James Harden	[SG]	OKC	3
27	Eric Gordon	[SG]	LAC	2
28	O.J. Mayo	[SG]	MEM	3
29	Richard Hamilton	[SG]	DET	3
30	Mickael Pietrus	[SG,SF]	PHO	3	Could be decent source for threes and points if starting gig is permanent. Averaging 17.0 points and 3.3 threes in 27 minutes over last three games.
31	Landry Fields	[SG]	NYK	3
32	Daniel Gibson *	[PG,SG]	CLE	3	Day-to-day (thigh).
33	Tracy McGrady	[SG]	DET	3	Averaging 12.4 points, 3.8 assists, 3.8 rebounds and 1.4 steals in 26 minutes over last five games.
34	Sasha Vujacic	[PG,SG]	NJ	3	Averaging 15.0 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.5 threes in 32 minutes over last two games.
35	Francisco Garcia	[SG,SF]	SAC	3	Starter du jour at small forward for the Kings.

Small Forwards
Rank	Player	Eligible	Team	Games	Comment
1	LeBron James	[SF]	MIA	4
2	Dorell Wright	[SG,SF]	GSW	4	Averaging 24.6 points, 6.4 rebounds, 4.4 threes and 2.0 steals over last five games.
3	Paul Pierce	[SG,SF]	BOS	4
4	Carmelo Anthony	[SF]	DEN	4
5	Kevin Durant	[SG,SF]	OKC	3
6	Michael Beasley	[SF,PF]	MIN	4
7	Luol Deng	[SG,SF]	CHI	4
8	Hedo Turkoglu	[SF,PF]	ORL	4	Apparently, Turkoglu can only play well in a Magic uniform. Averaging 14.6 points, 5.4 rebounds, 4.8 assists and 2.6 threes over last five games.
9	Stephen Jackson	[SG,SF]	CHA	3
10	Gerald Wallace	[SF,PF]	CHA	3
11	Rudy Gay *	[SG,SF]	MEM	3	Day-to-day (flu).
12	Wilson Chandler	[SF,PF]	NYK	3
13	Danilo Gallinari	[SF]	NYK	3
14	Linus Kleiza	[SF,PF]	TOR	4
15	Richard Jefferson	[SF]	SAS	4
16	Trevor Ariza	[SF]	NO	4
17	Shane Battier	[SF]	HOU	4
18	Nicolas Batum	[SF]	POR	4
19	Andrei Kirilenko *	[SG,SF]	UTA	4	Day-to-day (back).
20	Danny Granger	[SF]	IND	2
21	Grant Hill	[SG,SF]	PHO	3
22	Rashard Lewis	[SF]	WAS	3
23	Shawn Marion *	[SF,PF]	DAL	3	Day-to-day (thigh). Could see bump in value if Caron Butler misses time.
24	Thaddeus Young	[SF,PF]	PHI	4
25	Martell Webster	[SG,SF]	MIN	4
26	Andres Nocioni	[SF,PF]	PHI	4	Should see bump in minutes with Andre Iguodala out this week.
27	Wesley Johnson	[SF]	MIN	4	Averaging 11.6 points, 2.6 threes and 1.0 steals in 29 minutes over last five games.
28	Ron Artest	[SF]	LAL	4
29	Corey Maggette	[SF]	MIL	4
30	Tayshaun Prince	[SF]	DET	3
31	Travis Outlaw	[SF,PF]	NJ	3
32	Jared Dudley	[SG,SF]	PHO	3
33	Gordon Hayward	[SG,SF]	UTA	4	Getting more minutes with Andre Kirilenko and C.J. Miles banged up. Averaging 13.6 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.3 threes in 33 minutes over last three games.
34	Chase Budinger	[SG,SF]	HOU	4	Averaging 16.5 points, 5.0 rebounds and 3.0 threes in 20 minutes over last two games.
35	Caron Butler *	[SF]	DAL	3	Suffered potentially serious knee injury on Saturday.

Power Forwards
Rank	Player	Eligible	Team	Games	Comment
1	Kevin Love	[PF,C]	MIN	4
2	LaMarcus Aldridge	[PF,C]	POR	4	Averaging 23.0 points, 10.0 rebounds, 1.8 steals and 2.4 blocks over last five games.
3	Carlos Boozer	[PF]	CHI	4
4	Pau Gasol	[PF,C]	LAL	4
5	Chris Bosh	[PF,C]	MIA	4
6	Tim Duncan	[PF,C]	SAS	4
7	David West	[PF]	NO	4
8	Paul Millsap	[SF,PF]	UTA	4
9	Luis Scola	[SF,PF]	HOU	4
10	Lamar Odom	[PF]	LAL	4	Value decreases a bit with move to sixth man.
11	David Lee	[PF]	GSW	4
12	Elton Brand	[PF]	PHI	4
13	Zach Randolph	[PF]	MEM	3	Averaging 22.4 points and 14.2 rebounds over last five games.
14	Josh Smith	[SF,PF]	ATL	3
15	Andray Blatche	[PF,C]	WAS	3
16	Blake Griffin	[PF]	LAC	2
17	Glen Davis	[PF]	BOS	4	Moves into starting lineup with Kevin Garnett out.
18	Antawn Jamison	[PF]	CLE	3
19	Charlie Villanueva	[PF]	DET	3
20	Dirk Nowitzki *	[PF]	DAL	3	Day-to-day (knee). Status unclear for this week.
21	Amir Johnson	[PF,C]	TOR	4
22	Brandon Bass	[SF,PF]	ORL	4
23	Boris Diaw	[SF,PF]	CHA	3
24	Kris Humpries	[PF]	NJ	3
25	Jeff Green	[SF,PF]	OKC	3	Only averaging 10.0 points on 39% shooting from the field over last five games.
26	Ersan Ilyasova	[SF,PF]	MIL	4
27	Ryan Anderson	[PF]	ORL	4	Averaging 10.0 points, 6.0 rebounds, 1.4 steals and 1.8 threes in 23 minutes over last five games.
28	Ed Davis	[PF]	TOR	4	Getting extra minutes with Andrea Bargnani out. Averaging 7.6 points, 7.6 rebounds, 1.6 steals and 1.6 blocks in 25 minutes over last three games.
29	Jordan Hill	[PF]	HOU	4	Could see bump in minutes with Chuck Hayes (ankle) out.
30	J.J. Hickson	[PF,C]	CLE	3	Could see bump in minutes with Anderson Varajeo out. (21 points and 8 rebounds in 32 minutes on Saturday).
31	Channing Frye	[PF,C]	PHO	3
32	Carl Landry	[SF,PF]	SAC	3
33	Taj Gibson	[PF]	CHI	4
34	Al Harrington *	[SF,PF]	DEN	4	Day-to-day (thumb).
35	Tyrus Thomas *	[SF,PF]	CHA	3	Day-to-day (calf).

Centers
Rank	Player	Eligible	Team	Games	Comment
1	Dwight Howard	[C]	ORL	4
2	Andrew Bogut	[C]	MIL	4
3	Emeka Okafor	[PF,C]	NO	4	Averaging 13.6 points, 11.6 rebounds (4.4 offensive) and 1.4 blocks over last five games.
4	Al Jefferson	[PF,C]	UTA	4
5	Marcus Camby	[C]	POR	4
6	Nene	[PF,C]	DEN	4
7	Amare Stoudemire	[C]	NYK	3
8	Al Horford	[PF,C]	ATL	3
9	Brook Lopez	[C]	NJ	3
10	Andrew Bynum	[C]	LAL	4	Value goes up with move to starting lineup. Averaging 13.0 points and 10.5 rebounds over last two games.
11	Darko Milicic *	[PF,C]	MIN	4	Day-to-day (thigh).
12	JaVale McGee	[PF,C]	WAS	3
13	Marc Gasol	[C]	MEM	3
14	DeMarcus Cousins	[C]	SAC	3
15	Tyson Chandler	[C]	DAL	3
16	Andrea Bargnani *	[PF,C]	TOR	4	Day-to-day (calf).
17	Spencer Hawes	[C]	PHI	4
18	Kurt Thomas	[PF,C]	CHI	4
19	Anderson Varejeo *	[PF,C]	CLE	3	Day-to-day (ribs).
20	Serge Ibaka	[PF,C]	OKC	3
21	Shaquille O'Neal	[C]	BOS	4
22	DeJuan Blair	[PF,C]	SAS	4
23	Zydrunas Ilgauskas	[C]	MIA	4
24	Matt Bonner	[PF,C]	SAS	4
25	Brad Miller	[C]	HOU	4	Could see bump in minutes with Chuck Hayes (ankle) out.
26	Chris Anderson	[C]	DEN	4
27	Jermaine O'Neal	[PF,C]	BOS	4	Back in action. Could be in timeshare with Shaq for as long as Kevin Garnett is out.
28	Nazr Mohammed	[C]	CHA	3
29	Ben Wallace	[C]	DET	3
30	Samuel Dalembert	[C]	SAC	3
31	Roy Hibbert	[C]	IND	2
32	Marcin Gortat	[C]	PHO	3	Has played more minutes than starter Robin Lopez in last three games. Averaging 9.3 points and 6.3 rebounds in 31 minutes over last three.
33	Robin Lopez	[C]	PHO	3
34	Nenad Krstic	[C]	OKC	3
35	DeAndre Jordan	[C]	LAC	2

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NBA Value Meter: Grand Theft Basketball

Eric Johnson