RotoWire recently hosted a 12-team [9-category (FG%, FT%, Pts, 3PM, Reb, Ast, Stl, Blk, TO), head-to-head] NBA fantasy basketball mock draft with 12 experts. Below are the results of that draft and commentary on each round from some of the experts that participated in the draft.
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|Draft Experts Roster|
|Shannon McKeown||1||1||1||Kevin Durant|
|Frankie Lloyd||2||1||2||LeBron James|
|Alex Rikleen||3||1||3||James Harden|
|Fred Katz||4||1||4||Chris Paul|
|Clay Link||5||1||5||Stephen Curry|
|Scott Malewig||6||1||6||Carmelo Anthony|
|Kyle McKeown||7||1||7||Anthony Davis|
|Michael Chua||8||1||8||Kevin Love|
|James Anderson||9||1||9||Kyrie Irving|
|Justin Hore||10||1||10||Paul George|
|Peter Schoenke||11||1||11||Marc Gasol|
|Chris Morgan||12||1||12||LaMarcus Aldridge|
K. McKeown: This round went pretty much as expected. I was happy to see that Michael picked Kevin Love
in the first round because I feel like Love has been overlooked in some ways this preseason. If healthy, he has top-5 potential.
A. Rikleen: Harden is the clear No. 3.
S. McKeown: The surprise pick of the first round was Davis. But based on his across-the-board production and expected growth during his sophomore season, I don't consider Davis a reach. He has legit top-5 upside this season.
|Expert||O-Pick||Round||Pick||Player||Chris Morgan||13||2||1||Derrick Rose
|Peter Schoenke||14||2||2||John Wall|
|Justin Hore||15||2||3||Russell Westbrook|
|James Anderson||16||2||4||Al Horford|
|Michael Chua||17||2||5||Al Jefferson|
|Kyle McKeown||18||2||6||Deron Williams|
|Scott Malewig||19||2||7||Serge Ibaka|
|Clay Link||20||2||8||Damian Lillard|
|Fred Katz||21||2||9||Brook Lopez|
|Alex Rikleen||22||2||10||Joakim Noah|
|Frankie Lloyd||23||2||11||Larry Sanders|
|Shannon McKeown||24||2||12||Kemba Walker|
K. McKeown: I love the confidence Chris Morgan showed in taking Derrick Rose
at the start of the second round. Rose took the time to get healthy and all the reports say that he's in better shape now than he ever was before the injury. John Wall
getting picked 14th overall is appropriate. The one skill that players consistently get better at over the course of their career is three-pointers, and that's that only area where Wall can fairly be criticized. All of Wall's other numbers are defendable or laudable. The fact that he provides blocks as a point guard is a great boon in nearly any format.
Schoenke: I probably reached for Wall, but love his upside if he can have a full healthy season. Probably should have gone with Lillard instead as I wanted to start the draft with a center and point guard.
F. Katz: I took Brook Lopez
in the second round. Now, I have to hate myself for the next 24 to 48 hours.
A. Rikleen: I punt points almost as a rule, since my own research has indicated that fantasy managers typically overvalue that category. For a team ignoring points and looking to stay strong in FT% (easily Harden's best), very few players approach Noah's quality.
M. Chua: I panicked on this pick, because I was fully expecting Wall to still be available. In hindsight, I should not have taken another big man for my second pick -- this really handicapped me at the guard spots early on.
C. Morgan: If Derrick Rose
is Derrick Rose
, then I think I shall be quite happy with this pick, and Rose did as much as he could to make sure that, when he does return this season, he shall be the Rose we all remember fondly.
S. McKeown: Given his injury, the selection of Russell Westbrook
here seems about one round too early. I was hoping to land one of the many point guards selected (Rose, Wall, Deron or Lillard) prior to my pick. Walker is risky here, but he has the most upside after the group of point guards I missed out on.
|Shannon McKeown||25||3||1||Brandon Jennings|
|Frankie Lloyd||26||3||2||Nicolas Batum|
|Alex Rikleen||27||3||3||Tony Parker|
|Fred Katz||28||3||4||Blake Griffin|
|Clay Link||29||3||5||Mike Conley|
|Scott Malewig||30||3||6||Kawhi Leonard|
|Kyle McKeown||31||3||7||Kevin Martin|
|Michael Chua||32||3||8||Kobe Bryant|
|James Anderson||33||3||9||Nikola Vucevic|
|Justin Hore||34||3||10||Tim Duncan|
|Peter Schoenke||35||3||11||Dirk Nowitzki|
|Chris Morgan||36||3||12||Paul Millsap|
K. McKeown: A lot of people might deride the picking of Kemba Walker
and Brandon Jennings
back to back, but I love the strategy. Walker showed us last season that he can be a factor in the defensive stats, and with Jennings playing in Detroit with a whole host of defense behind him, he should be able to take a lot of risk going after steals this season and average over two per game.
F. Katz: I promise it's not a coincidence that the one Clippers writer took both Chris Paul
and Blake Griffin
. Isn't Griffin poised for a 20-10-4 season? He was 20 and 10 his first two seasons in the league. Once his minutes go back up this year, he'll be there again.
A. Rikleen: Parker is only 31 and spent most of last season inside the top 10 for fantasy production.
M. Chua: I may have gotten hammered for taking the Mamba this early, and it is understandable given his age and the severity of his injury. However, if anyone is going to come back strong from an Achilles rupture, it's Kobe. Mambas don't need legs to devour their prey.
C. Morgan: I was hoping that Dirk Nowitzki
would fall to me, so clearly I feel it was a good pick one spot before I had to settle for Millsap.
S. McKeown: The plan heading into the draft was to target point guards early - there's a lot of good frontcourt value to be had in the middle rounds. Jennings might not have been as safe as some of the remaining point guards on the market, but he has more upside. Just 24, Jennings still hasn't reached his peak, and I expect improved efficiency and playmaking in his first season with the Pistons. Love the Batum, Leonard and Vucevic picks, but they didn't mesh with my draft strategy. Mr. Katz reached a bit for Griffin here. While Griffin can be a monster source of double-double production, his lack of blocks and struggles from the charity stripe has kept him from ever cracking the top-50 in fantasy.
|Chris Morgan||37||4||1||Ryan Anderson|
|Peter Schoenke||38||4||2||Amir Johnson|
|Justin Hore||39||4||3||Thaddeus Young|
|James Anderson||40||4||4||Derrick Favors|
|Michael Chua||41||4||5||Jeff Teague|
|Kyle McKeown||42||4||6||Jeff Green|
|Scott Malewig||43||4||7||Chandler Parsons|
|Clay Link||44||4||8||DeMarcus Cousins|
|Fred Katz||45||4||9||Dwight Howard|
|Alex Rikleen||46||4||10||Ricky Rubio|
|Frankie Lloyd||47||4||11||Dwyane Wade|
|Shannon McKeown||48||4||12||Josh Smith|
K. McKeown: Round four had a lot of guys who are considered boring go off the board (Ryan Anderson
, Amir Johnson
, Thaddeus Young
, Jeff Teague
, Dwyane Wade
), but the consistent production they give fantasy teams on a nightly basis can't be overlooked. I would have been happy taking any of those guys.
F. Katz: Dwight Howard
just texted me and said he wants to be traded to Shannon's team.
J. Anderson: With Favors and Vucevic, I may have secured two of the top-5 rebounders in the league. I think it's easier to lock up elite big men and point guards early and go for wing players in the later rounds.
A. Rikleen: ESPN has Rubio in the top 20 this year. While that is obviously too high, getting him at 46 still feels like a bargain, especially for a team that will punt points and will target free-throw percentage.
M. Chua: As much as I needed a point guard at this point, I regret not taking Josh Smith
. I didn't realize he slipped this far down, and I believe he was well worth it for Shannon in the late fourth.
C. Morgan: I hope Josh Smith
is a value at this point, but I'm just saying that as a Pistons fan. If you are going to punt free-throw percentage, getting Howard at 45 would leave me feeling enthused.
S. McKeown: J-Smoove's fantasy value dipped last season due to his horrible percentages. I expect his percentages to be a drain once again, but this is a H2H league and I needed the defensive production. That said, I was sniped by Fred Katz, as I had Howard targeted for this spot. Howard will kill your free-throw percentage, but I already had Durant on my roster to offset some of that damage.
|Shannon McKeown||49||5||1||Eric Bledsoe|
|Frankie Lloyd||50||5||2||Klay Thompson|
|Alex Rikleen||51||5||3||Tobias Harris|
|Fred Katz||52||5||4||David Lee|
|Clay Link||53||5||5||Monta Ellis|
|Scott Malewig||54||5||6||Rudy Gay|
|Kyle McKeown||55||5||7||Goran Dragic|
|Michael Chua||56||5||8||Andre Drummond|
|James Anderson||57||5||9||Gordon Hayward|
|Justin Hore||58||5||10||JaVale McGee|
|Peter Schoenke||59||5||11||Kentavious Caldwell-Pope|
|Chris Morgan||60||5||12||O.J. Mayo|
J. Anderson: A lot of breakout candidates went in this round. I would have preferred to have Bledsoe or Harris, but I wasn't complaining about ending up with Hayward, who is still just 23 years old.
A. Rikleen: Maybe I've been reading too many Orlando Sentinel articles, but I see Tobias Harris
as possibly being the next Paul George
. The strengths/skill set and the general athleticism make sense for that comparison.
M. Chua: It may have seemed like I reached for Drummond a bit here, but I have no regrets. His double-double potential, high field-goal percentage and good defensive stats are well worth the reach, even for a guy who struggles at the free-throw line.
C. Morgan: I love Andre Drummond
. Everybody loves Andre Drummond
. But even if you are punting free-throw percentage, this seems like a big swing to take at this point.
S. McKeown: The Bledsoe hype has been a bit overblown at RotoWire HQ, but I was still convinced enough to grab him at this spot. His lack of a quality jumper could lead to struggles, but Bledsoe could be a defensive monster at the guard position. I think KCP was a panic pick. He'll likely start the season as a reserve, which will limit his production early on. Expect him to breakout later in the year. With that being the case, there were a handful of rookies who should have went before Caldwell-Pope.
|Chris Morgan||61||6||1||Jose Calderon|
|Peter Schoenke||62||6||2||Enes Kanter|
|Justin Hore||63||6||3||Kyle Lowry|
|James Anderson||64||6||4||Jrue Holiday|
|Michael Chua||65||6||5||Ty Lawson|
|Kyle McKeown||66||6||6||Jonas Valanciunas|
|Scott Malewig||67||6||7||Danny Green|
|Clay Link||68||6||8||Greg Monroe|
|Fred Katz||69||6||9||Luol Deng|
|Alex Rikleen||70||6||10||Roy Hibbert|
|Frankie Lloyd||71||6||11||Chris Bosh|
|Shannon McKeown||72||6||12||Trey Burke|
A. Rikleen: I like Roy Hibbert
for a bounce-back year, and between him and Noah, I should do well in blocks. Lost in last year's terrible season for Hibbert was that his free-throw shooting improved noticeably during the season.
M. Chua: James took my pick (Holiday). I feel at a loss taking up the consolation prize (Lawson).
S. McKeown: This is where I wanted to start my run of big men. Unfortunately, all of my targets (Kanter, Valanciunas, Monroe) were scooped up before my turn. Burke is a nice consolation prize, though. He's a legit ROY candidate and could be this year's Damian Lillard
. Holiday and Lawson are steals in the sixth round.
|Shannon McKeown||73||7||1||Pau Gasol|
|Frankie Lloyd||74||7||2||Andre Iguodala|
|Alex Rikleen||75||7||3||David West|
|Fred Katz||76||7||4||Bradley Beal|
|Clay Link||77||7||5||Evan Turner|
|Scott Malewig||78||7||6||Andrew Bynum|
|Kyle McKeown||79||7||7||Ersan Ilyasova|
|Michael Chua||80||7||8||DeMar DeRozan|
|James Anderson||81||7||9||George Hill|
|Justin Hore||82||7||10||Kenneth Faried|
|Peter Schoenke||83||7||11||Victor Oladipo|
|Chris Morgan||84||7||12||Nikola Pekovic|
F. Katz: Bradley Beal
was a different player after John Wall
came back last year. He's going to get me loads of threes. The Wizards were one of the best corner-three shooting teams in the league last season (that's why Martel Webster is a good sleeper, by the by), and I figure Beal will help them get there again this year.
J. Anderson: I got sniped on Beal and Gasol here, great picks by Fred and Shannon.
A Rikleen: Shannon stole Pau from me, so I went with a roughly similar (though I think much worse) big (West). I like the out of position assists from Pau, especially.
C. Morgan: I like the risk of taking Bynum at this point. If he's healthy, this is a major coup.
M. Chua: Beal and Turner, both who were on my fantasy team last year, were on my radar here. Both will improve from last season, and because I got sniped, I'm stuck with DeRozan at the two. While I don't expect DeRozan to be an utter disappointment, his touches may go down with Rudy Gay
chucking away and Valanciunas expected to have a bigger role.
S. McKeown: Gasol is criminally underrated this season. With Kobe Bryant
out for an extended period to open the season, Gasol will have to carry the load for the Lakers. He should have went 2-3 rounds earlier. Look for breakouts from Beal and Turner.
|Chris Morgan||85||8||1||Danny Granger|
|Peter Schoenke||86||8||2||Rajon Rondo|
|Justin Hore||87||8||3||Wilson Chandler|
|James Anderson||88||8||4||Kyle Korver|
|Michael Chua||89||8||5||Paul Pierce|
|Kyle McKeown||90||8||6||Marcin Gortat|
|Scott Malewig||91||8||7||Jimmy Butler|
|Clay Link||92||8||8||Danilo Gallinari|
|Fred Katz||93||8||9||Tyreke Evans|
|Alex Rikleen||94||8||10||Arron Afflalo|
|Frankie Lloyd||95||8||11||Carlos Boozer|
|Shannon McKeown||96||8||12||Andrew Bogut|
A Rikleen: Afflalo is talented, and while his minutes will be on the decline, his field-goal percentage will go up as the Magic (and Tobias Harris
) get better. I feel like getting a very serviceable shooting guard this late in the draft counts as a bargain.
C. Morgan: This was a weird round. A lot of interesting, odd picks. A lot of high variance choices.
S. McKeown: Here's where things got ugly. The eighth round was full of players with injury concerns (Granger, Rondo, Gallinari, Bogut) or diminishing roles/skills (Pierce, Gortat, Evans, Afflalo, Boozer). Malewig stole the breakout performer of the round with his selection of Jimmy Butler
|Shannon McKeown||97||9||1||Tyson Chandler|
|Frankie Lloyd||98||9||2||Gerald Henderson|
|Alex Rikleen||99||9||3||Zach Randolph|
|Fred Katz||100||9||4||Eric Gordon|
|Clay Link||101||9||5||Samuel Dalembert|
|Scott Malewig||102||9||6||Tiago Splitter|
|Kyle McKeown||103||9||7||Greivis Vasquez|
|Michael Chua||104||9||8||Spencer Hawes|
|James Anderson||105||9||9||Harrison Barnes|
|Justin Hore||106||9||10||Vince Carter|
|Peter Schoenke||107||9||11||Caron Butler|
|Chris Morgan||108||9||12||J.J. Redick|
A Rikleen: I view H2H almost as a checklist, where the goal is to reach five "checks". So far, I think I'm one of the best teams in the league in free-throw percentage (Harden, Rubio, and none below 75 percent) and steals (Harden, Rubio, Noah) and doing really well in blocks (Noah and Hibbert). I thought adding Z-Bo to Noah (and less-so Harris, West, and Hibbert) should put me near the top in rebounds as well, without really hurting any of my other strengths.
M. Chua: Kyle got an absolute steal here taking Vasquez this late. Despite being on the Kings with a possible timeshare with Isaiah Thomas
, Vasquez averaged 9.0 assists last season, and at the very least should be helping teams in that category heavily compared to other options in round nine.
S. McKeown: Per MockDraftCentral's setup, I needed two centers, hence the back-to-back picks of Bogut and Chandler. Not in love with either player, but I viewed them as the best available options at the position, and my other center targets were pulled out from under my feet earlier in the draft.
|Chris Morgan||109||10||1||Robin Lopez|
|Peter Schoenke||110||10||2||Steve Nash|
|Justin Hore||111||10||3||Shawn Marion|
|James Anderson||112||10||4||Raymond Felton|
|Michael Chua||113||10||5||Jeremy Lin|
|Kyle McKeown||114||10||6||Brandon Knight|
|Scott Malewig||115||10||7||Anderson Varejao|
|Clay Link||116||10||8||Andray Blatche|
|Fred Katz||117||10||9||Cody Zeller|
|Alex Rikleen||118||10||10||Michael Carter-Williams|
|Frankie Lloyd||119||10||11||Jarrett Jack|
|Shannon McKeown||120||10||12||Ben McLemore|
F. Katz: Zeller is going to get minutes; why the heck not? He was great in summer league, and if he can garner enough burn to put up 13 points and about eight rebounds a night, he's worth a risk in the 10th round.
A Rikleen: The pool of desirables was shrinking, so I went with someone likely to get a lot of minutes at point guard. Entering the round, I had Nash, Lin, Robin Lopez
, and Cody Zeller
ahead of the the Philly rookie, but apparently I was not the only one valuing those guys.
C. Morgan: Steve Nash
can still shoot. Maybe I should have taken him instead of Lopez. Still like Lopez though.
S. McKeown: If Varejao can stay healthy (a HUGE if), he's a steal here. McLemore should be one of the top targeted rookies of the 2013 draft class. He's a steal in this spot.
|Shannon McKeown||121||11||1||Nene Hilario|
|Frankie Lloyd||122||11||2||Joe Johnson|
|Alex Rikleen||123||11||3||Kris Humphries|
|Fred Katz||124||11||4||Kevin Garnett|
|Clay Link||125||11||5||Jamal Crawford|
|Scott Malewig||126||11||6||J.R. Smith|
|Kyle McKeown||127||11||7||Wesley Matthews|
|Michael Chua||128||11||8||Chris Kaman|
|James Anderson||129||11||9||Reggie Jackson|
|Justin Hore||130||11||10||Jameer Nelson|
|Peter Schoenke||131||11||11||Patrick Beverley|
|Chris Morgan||132||11||12||Tristan Thompson|
F. Katz: Garnett will probably be a backup for me but that's fine. He doesn't have the minutes to make a real fantasy impact, but if the Nets struggle with their front line or suffer a couple injuries, Garnett could end up getting 25-plus minutes. That's a fine backup for my already-stacked forwards and centers.
J. Anderson: Did people forget about Jackson? I know I did, otherwise I would've grabbed him a couple rounds sooner.
A Rikleen: I believe in the contract year phenomenon when applied to Kris Humphries
. The chance of nightly double-doubles this late is worth picking, and I feel confident in Hump's ability to rack up meaningless stats this year.
S. McKeown: Offseason antics and surgery have dropped Smith's stock. If he only misses 10-15 games, he's a great value here. Jackson will be a beast for the first 4-6 weeks of the season, but his value takes a huge hit when Westbrook returns.
|Chris Morgan||133||12||1||Kelly Olynyk|
|Peter Schoenke||134||12||2||Manu Ginobili|
|Justin Hore||135||12||3||Anthony Bennett|
|James Anderson||136||12||4||Maurice Harkless|
|Michael Chua||137||12||5||DeAndre Jordan|
|Kyle McKeown||138||12||6||Jeremy Lamb|
|Scott Malewig||139||12||7||Jared Dudley|
|Clay Link||140||12||8||Al-Farouq Aminu|
|Fred Katz||141||12||9||Louis Williams|
|Alex Rikleen||142||12||10||Nick Collison|
|Frankie Lloyd||143||12||11||Andrea Bargnani|
|Shannon McKeown||144||12||12||Michael Kidd-Gilchrist|
A Rikleen: I like OKC as a fan. As such, I have to remain optimistic that eventually Scott Brooks will realize that Collison is his best center, and that Perkins is not worthy of NBA minutes, let alone for a playoff contender. Should such a realization ever occur, big Nick could be a quality pick.
S. McKeown: Lots of darts thrown here. I expect mine to be a near bullseye, as MKG takes a leap in his second season. Everyone involved in this draft needs to be slapped for allowing Harkless to drop this far.
|Shannon McKeown||145||13||1||Isaiah Thomas|
|Frankie Lloyd||146||13||2||Alec Burks|
|Alex Rikleen||147||13||3||Otto Porter|
|Fred Katz||148||13||4||Andrei Kirilenko|
|Clay Link||149||13||5||Nate Robinson|
|Scott Malewig||150||13||6||Chauncey Billups|
|Kyle McKeown||151||13||7||Gerald Wallace|
|Michael Chua||152||13||8||Nick Young|
|James Anderson||153||13||9||Donatas Motiejunas|
|Justin Hore||154||13||10||Giannis Antetokounmpo|
|Peter Schoenke||155||13||11||Corey Brewer|
|Chris Morgan||156||13||12||Sergey Karasev|
A Rikleen: Since the last-round pick is almost guaranteed waiver fodder, I try to use it on either a rookie or a veteran everyone expects to be too old to contribute anymore. I'm weakest at small forward, and I'm not impressed by Martell Webster
(and baffled by his contract).
C. Morgan: I was hoping to get Isaiah Thomas
here, but it was not to be. So I went with Karasev, hoping his shooting ability will get him into the Cavs' lineup.
S. McKeown: Thomas has a chance to start at PG for the Kings. If he doesn't land the gig, he would be my first drop. Burks, Porter, Motiejunas and Antetokounmpo are great last-round fliers. The veterans selected in this round will all have too limited of roles to make much of an impact in a league this size.
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