Since the NFL season we have been pent up, building out our NBA, MLB, and most significantly, March Madness products. You can create your own pool, challenge us, or just use our analytics to bolster your picks at MarchRadnessChallenge.com.
Now, onto the projections and sleepers.
Not surprisingly, Kentucky is our top team to take home the National Championship, and by a long shot; we currently have them at 22.6|PERCENT| to cut down the nets. Our No. 2 team, however, may take some people aback. Currently, Ohio State has the second best odds at 10.9|PERCENT|. OSU’s 88.6 points allowed per 100 possessions – after adjusting for strength of conference and opponents – is the fifth best in the nation and better than any of the No. 1 seeds. The least likely No. 1 seed to make the final four? Michigan State at 22.1|PERCENT|.
Some other teams we love include the New Mexico Lobos and Wisconsin Badgers who have the No. 4 and No. 3 opponent-adjusted defenses respectively. In fact, if the Lobos face the Michigan State Spartans in the Elite 8, it should be a coin flip, projected out at 65-65.
Look out for the first round upset from Virginia over Florida. We have the Cavaliers making it out of the first round 53|PERCENT| of the time. As for a 12 over a 5? Everyone has heard the stat that 24 out of the last 27 years at least one 12 seed has made it out of the first round. We’re looking at Harvard to take down Vanderbilt. Harvard dominated the Ivy League (which is not saying much), but they bring in one of the most consistent teams in Division I against a Vanderbilt team that has been utterly inconsistent. Vandy may be a hot team for many given their SEC Title win over Kentucky, but we have them at only a 52|PERCENT| chance to take down the Crimson. Give me those pot odds any day.
For more predictions and analysis, check out our bracket features and team analytics pages. You can create a pool or join any public pool, including this one where you’ll face off against myself and the other guys at numberFire