Articles by Scott Pianowski

A listing of all the articles written by Scott Pianowski for the RotoWire Blog.

Going Tapioca at the Accenture, Final Day

Final Day of the Accenture. Currently looking at a modest win, but we’re not done with the picks yet. Three more matches to go; start counting the jelly beans. (Selections for entertainment purposes only.)

9-7, +165 (1.65 units)

Semifinal Selections
— Jason Day over Matt Kuchar, 100 to win 125
— Hunter Mahan over Ian Poulter, 60 to win 72

I will try to post a pick on the championship match, assuming there’s time to do so.

Past Results

Pettersson beats Fowler, +115
Woods loses to Howell, -240
Siem loses to Donald, -100

Garrigus beats Oosthuizen, +120
Sterne loses to Mahan, -100
Poulter beats Van Pelt, +100
Fernandez-Castano beats Howell, +120
Hanson loses to Simpson, -100

McDowell beats Lowry, +100
Jacobson loses to Garrigus, -100
Kaymer loses to Mahan, -100
Poulter beats Clark, +100
Fernandez-Castano loses to Simpson, -50

Poulter beats Stricker, +100
Mahan beats Simpson, +100
Day beats McDowell, +100

Going Tapioca at the Accenture, Round 3

Had a winning Round 2, but still have overall work to be done. Here are the Round 3 selections. All selections are in jelly beans; for entertainment purposes only.

— McDowell over Lowry, 130 to win 100
— Jacobson over Garrigus, 100 to win 105
— Kaymer over Mayhan, 110 to win 100
— Poulter over Clark, 160 to win 100
— Fernandez-Castano over Simpson, 50 to win 60

Previous results:

Pettersson beats Fowler, +115
Woods loses to Howell, -240
Siem loses to Donald, -100
Garrigus over Oosthuizen, +120
Sterne loses to Mahan, -100
Poulter over Van Pelt, +100
Fernandez-Castano over Howell, +120
Hanson loses to Simpson, -100

4-4, -.85 unit

Tapioca at the Accenture Match Play – Day 2

Day 1 was bloody (1-2), though at least Carl Pettersson closed his match out this morning. We trudge forward. All units are in jelly beans – for entertainment purposes only.

>> Garrigus over Oosthuizen, 100 to win 120

Fearless player, mad bomber, dangerous in this format.

>> Sterne over Mahan, 100 to win 130

Check Sterne’s European results, he’s healthy and confident again.

>> Poulter over Van Pelt, 135 to win 100

The best match-play golfer in the world at this reasonable price? Yes, please.

>> Round 1 Advancer over Charles Howell, 100-base play

I dare Howell to putt that well for two days in a row. Satisfaction and a letdown might come after the Tiger upset.

>> Hanson over Simpson, 100 to win 125

Enjoy, and good luck,.

Going Tapioca at the Accenture Match Play

Eventually the snow will melt and they’ll have to play golf. Let’s make it more fun with some mythical picks against the number.

For entertainment use, only.

Pettersson over Fowler
100 jelly beans to win 115

Woods over Howell
240 jelly beans to win 100
(yes, it’s generally a horrendous idea to risk a lot to win a little, but this still feels like an overlay)

Siem over Donald
100 jelly beans to win 210

To be continued in Rounds 2 and onward, depending on how many jelly beans I have left.

Super Bowl 46 Themes and Takeaways

Everyone knows the big stories and breakdowns by now; let’s look at some of the lesser factors that are still plenty important.

Hakeem Nicks was New York’s second-best offensive player, collecting 10 catches for 109 yards on 13 targets. Many of those grabs came against solid coverage, plays where Nicks and Eli Manning had to be letter-perfect. The Patriots desperately need to find a player like Nicks, a rangy and physical wide receiver who can challenge the second and third levels. With all due respect to Victor Cruz, I’m sure I’ll have Nicks ranked higher for fantasy in 2012.

— The Giants put the ball on the ground three times but got away with it. Cruz’s red-zone fumble turned into a non-event, wiped out by a New England penalty. Nicks’s bobble was scooped up by an alert Henry Hynoski. If the Giants can’t land Ahmad Bradshaw‘s fumble deep in New York territory, the Patriots winning chances go through the roof.

— All year long it seems like we complain weekly about ticky-tack penalties, and then they mostly go away in the playoffs. Sure, there are less games to analyze in January and February (less potential for referee angst), and sure, a couple of the calls were debatable from Sunday (the Tom Brady grounding call, Kevin Boothe‘s holding flag, some others). But I don’t know any intelligent football fan who doesn’t prefer the hands-off approach that the league takes in the post-season. Let’s see more of this in the regular season.

— New York punter Steve Weatherford had another super game, dropping three kicks inside the 10-yard line (the first pin job set up the first score of the game, the ensuing safety). And if you go back two weeks, he had a fantastic hold on the game-winning field goal at San Francisco.

— Although Bill Belichick certainly made the right call to let the Giants score in the final minute – ensuring New England would see the ball again – the Patriots should have allowed the score on first down, not second down. Similarly, the Giants should have refused to take the touchdown, but that’s not the easiest thing to instill in an offensive player – it goes counter to every natural instinct he has.

— The hidden value of the Mario Manningham 38-yard catch is that the Patriots had to challenge it, and thus, wasted a time-out they desperately needed later. The Giants did what all smart teams do after the initial play, rushing to the line, forcing the Patriots to make their challenge decision without any substantial review time. The play was too close and too critical for Belichick to not challenge, but perhaps he would have kept the flag in-pocket if that post-play sequence flows differently.

— The early safety is the patron saint of anyone screwed in the square pool. It was fun to see some different numbers come into play for a change.

Red Sox and Rays, revisited

No one expected either team to be 0-6, obviously. Now what should we expect?

I’m not here to break down either team or document their failures. Obviously both clubs are a lot better than what we’ve seen to this point. You can decide for yourself how you feel about Manny Ramirez and Jarrod Saltalamacchia.

I just have one simple question: If you were setting over/under win totals for the Red Sox and Rays right now, what would they be?

Pianow’s Over|FRONTS|Unders 2010

Past record on MLB over/unders:

2009: 8-4
2008: 2-7
2007: 7-1
2006: 2-1

Total: 19-13

For 2010:
4 units – Cardinals over 88.5
4 units – Astros under 74.5

3 units – Dodgers over 84
3 units – Cubs under 82
3 units – Angels over 82.5

2 units – Blue Jays under 71
2 units – Pirates under 70.5
2 units – Mets under 81
2 units – Braves over 85.5
2 units – Athletics under 80
2 units – Diamondbacks over 82.5

1 unit – Twins over 82.5
1 unit – Tigers over 80
1 unit – Indians under 75.5

For more over/under talk, go check out Pete Schoenke’s column and Joe Sheehan’s column, and please offer your own leans in the comments.

Line source: Pinnacle.