Steamer vs. NFBC ADP

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Published on February 27, 2017

Having run the Steamer projections through my dollar-value formula last week, I figured it would be easy to compare the two ranking lists and see where the outliers were. That was before I ran into the excel problem of comparing the rankings for two disparate lists with overlapping names and wasted more than an hour trying unsuccessfully to solve it by searching online. Mercifully, Todd Zola and another Twitter follower (@JJJJShabado) came to the rescue.

A couple notes before we get to the tables: this comparison is most useful for the top-100 players who have clear paths to playing time. Some of Steamer's projections are low because they give someone fewer at-bats (I'd trust the NFBC players more on that front), and once you get out of the top 100, people are drafting for upside, and Steamer doesn't care about that. Put differently, it might be worth taking a shot on a player who has a 20 percent chance to be a significant contributor late in the draft with the idea of dropping him if he doesn't win the job, but Steamer is only looking at his mean-level of projected production.

Steamer also isn't partial to the need for saves, and I didn't make any adjustment for categorical (or position) scarcity in my formula. Accordingly, J.T. Realmuto is not in Steamer's top 300, but he surely would be if we boosted him for being a catcher.

Here are the results:

Rank	NFBC ADP	Pos	Rank	Steamer/Liss	$	Diff
1	Mike Trout	CF	1	Clayton Kershaw	48.41	-4
2	Mookie Betts	RF	2	Mike Trout	42.22	1
3	Jose Altuve	2B	3	Mookie Betts	38.56	1
4	Kris Bryant	3B	4	Manny Machado	35.28	-4
5	Clayton Kershaw	SP	5	Max Scherzer	35.11	-6
6	Nolan Arenado	3B	6	Miguel Cabrera	34.17	-8
7	Paul Goldschmidt	1B	7	Nolan Arenado	34.1	1
8	Manny Machado	3B	8	Jose Altuve	33.3	5
9	Bryce Harper	RF	9	Trea Turner	31.44	-1
10	Trea Turner	2B	10	Bryce Harper	31.25	1
11	Max Scherzer	SP	11	Kris Bryant	30.23	7
12	Josh Donaldson	3B	12	Anthony Rizzo	29.63	-1
13	Anthony Rizzo	1B	13	Noah Syndergaard	29.4	-5
14	Miguel Cabrera	1B	14	Madison Bumgarner	28.81	-1
15	Madison Bumgarner	SP	15	Paul Goldschmidt	28.67	8
16	Charlie Blackmon	CF	16	Josh Donaldson	28.51	4
17	Carlos Correa	SS	17	Charlie Blackmon	26.61	1
18	Noah Syndergaard	SP	18	Chris Sale	26.37	-3
19	Corey Seager	SS	19	Carlos Gonzalez	25.59	-46
20	Jonathan Villar	SS	20	Rougned Odor	25.3	-20
21	Chris Sale	SP	21	Corey Kluber	24.36	-2
22	Joey Votto	1B	22	Carlos Correa	24.17	5
23	Corey Kluber	SP	23	Robinson Cano	23.14	-7
24	Starling Marte	LF	24	Nelson Cruz	23	-17
25	Edwin Encarnacion	1B	25	Corey Seager	22.72	6
26	Freddie Freeman	1B	26	Joey Votto	22.71	4
27	Xander Bogaerts	SS	27	Stephen Strasburg	22.67	-29
28	Francisco Lindor	SS	28	Jon Lester	22.52	-8
29	Trevor Story	SS	29	Freddie Freeman	22.38	3
30	Robinson Cano	2B	30	Xander Bogaerts	22.24	3
31	Jake Arrieta	SP	31	Johnny Cueto	21.75	-12
32	George Springer	RF	32	Francisco Lindor	21.66	4
33	Yu Darvish	SP	33	George Springer	21.53	1
34	Brian Dozier	2B	34	Giancarlo Stanton	21.4	-4
35	A.J. Pollock	CF	35	Eric Thames	21.34	-153
36	Jon Lester	SP	36	Adam Jones	21.22	-80
37	Daniel Murphy	2B	37	David Price	21.22	-7
38	Giancarlo Stanton	RF	38	Carlos Carrasco	21.14	-19
39	Buster Posey	C	39	Jose Abreu	20.98	-23
40	Rougned Odor	2B	40	Andrew McCutchen	20.98	-27
41	Nelson Cruz	RF	41	Ian Desmond	20.57	-11
42	Justin Verlander	SP	42	Justin Verlander	20.52	0
43	Johnny Cueto	SP	43	Chris Archer	20.42	-10
44	David Price	SP	44	Jonathan Villar	20.21	24
45	Dee Gordon	2B	45	Yu Darvish	20.03	12
46	Aroldis Chapman	MR	46	Starling Marte	20	22
47	Kenley Jansen	MR	47	Carlos Santana	19.9	-72
48	Gary Sanchez	C	48	J.D. Martinez	19.85	-3
49	Ryan Braun	LF	49	Mark Trumbo	19.62	-20
50	Billy Hamilton	CF	50	Christian Yelich	19.57	-10
51	J.D. Martinez	RF	51	A.J. Pollock	19.52	16
52	Ian Desmond	CF	52	Adrian Beltre	19.51	-32
53	Chris Archer	SP	53	Justin Upton	19.46	-30
54	Jonathan Lucroy	C	54	Daniel Murphy	19.35	17
55	Jean Segura	2B	55	Eric Hosmer	19.3	-48
56	Stephen Strasburg	SP	56	Edwin Encarnacion	19.22	31
57	Carlos Carrasco	SP	57	Brian Dozier	18.98	23
58	Wil Myers	1B	58	Ryan Braun	18.68	9
59	Zach Britton	MR	59	Chris Davis	18.35	-22
60	Christian Yelich	LF	60	Jake Arrieta	18.18	29
61	Yoenis Cespedes	CF	61	Evan Longoria	18.14	-46
62	Jose Abreu	1B	62	DJ LeMahieu	17.95	-23
63	Gregory Polanco	RF	63	Yoenis Cespedes	17.94	2
64	Kyle Hendricks	SP	64	Khris Davis	17.79	-34
65	Carlos Gonzalez	RF	65	Hanley Ramirez	16.85	-15
66	Kyle Seager	3B	66	Gary Sanchez	16.82	18
67	Andrew McCutchen	CF	67	Wil Myers	16.79	9
68	Carlos Martinez	SP	68	Kyle Seager	16.73	2
69	Mark Trumbo	RF	69	Kyle Schwarber	16.54	-7
70	Mark Melancon	MR	70	Trevor Story	16.51	41
71	Jacob deGrom	SP	71	Gregory Polanco	16.27	8
72	Matt Carpenter	3B	72	Adam Eaton	16.17	-53
73	Seung Hwan Oh	MR	73	Maikel Franco	16.15	-49
74	Todd Frazier	3B	74	Todd Frazier	16.13	0
75	Ian Kinsler	2B	75	Jean Segura	15.75	20
76	Kyle Schwarber	LF	76	Anthony Rendon	15.5	-14
77	Craig Kimbrel	MR	77	Ian Kinsler	15.35	2
78	Roberto Osuna	MR	78	Dustin Pedroia	15.27	-61
79	Edwin Diaz	MR	79	Matt Kemp	15.27	-17
80	Hanley Ramirez	1B	80	Dee Gordon	14.79	35
81	Chris Davis	1B	81	Albert Pujols	14.76	-55
82	Cole Hamels	SP	82	Matt Carpenter	14.61	10
83	Justin Upton	LF	83	Jose Ramirez	14.48	-11
84	Adrian Beltre	3B	84	Kenley Jansen	14.37	37
85	DJ LeMahieu	2B	85	Jacob deGrom	14.25	14
86	Wade Davis	MR	86	Victor Martinez	14.14	-148
87	Masahiro Tanaka	SP	87	Jason Kipnis	14.13	-6
88	Willson Contreras	C	88	Kole Calhoun	14.06	-99
89	Ken Giles	MR	89	Alex Bregman	14.02	-3
90	Anthony Rendon	3B	90	Rich Hill	13.97	-33
91	David Dahl	LF	91	Dallas Keuchel	13.97	-50
92	Alex Bregman	3B	92	Jose Bautista	13.91	-25
93	Jason Kipnis	2B	93	Justin Turner	13.83	-31
94	Jose Ramirez	3B	94	Aroldis Chapman	13.82	48
95	Zack Greinke	SP	95	Lance McCullers	13.76	-81
96	Matt Kemp	RF	96	Kendrys Morales	13.59	-73
97	Kenta Maeda	SP	97	Buster Posey	13.47	58
98	Khris Davis	LF	98	Mike Moustakas	13.29	-102
99	Danny Duffy	SP	99	Tommy Joseph	13.12	-112
100	Evan Gattis	C	100	Kyle Hendricks	12.86	36
101	Alex Colome	MR	101	Michael Pineda	12.83	-109
102	Aaron Sanchez	SP	102	Odubel Herrera	12.7	-18
103	Eric Hosmer	1B	103	Miguel Sano	12.63	-12
104	Kelvin Herrera	MR	104	Lorenzo Cain	12.57	-24
105	Andrew Miller	MR	105	Matt Shoemaker	12.4	-121
106	Cody Allen	MR	106	Masahiro Tanaka	12.3	19
107	Evan Longoria	3B	107	Stephen Piscotty	12.29	-23
108	Jose Quintana	SP	108	Aledmys Diaz	12.21	-44
109	Rick Porcello	SP	109	Gerrit Cole	12.17	-4
110	Julio Teheran	SP	110	Danny Duffy	12.05	11
111	J.T. Realmuto	C	111	Danny Salazar	12.04	-16
112	Jeurys Familia	MR	112	Melky Cabrera	12	-148
113	Gerrit Cole	SP	113	Jameson Taillon	11.98	-38
114	Eduardo Nunez	SS	114	Robbie Ray	11.91	-100
115	Miguel Sano	RF	115	Jeff Samardzija	11.76	-79
116	Adam Jones	CF	116	James Paxton	11.6	-63
117	Jose Bautista	RF	117	Kevin Kiermaier	11.44	-67
118	Javier Baez	3B	118	Billy Hamilton	11.39	68
119	Carlos Santana	1B	119	Andrew Miller	11.33	14
120	Odubel Herrera	CF	120	Carlos Martinez	10.83	52
121	David Robertson	MR	121	Tim Anderson	10.79	-39
122	Maikel Franco	3B	122	Carlos Gomez	10.68	-31
123	Rich Hill	SP	123	Jose Quintana	10.57	15
124	Justin Turner	3B	124	Marcell Ozuna	10.56	-53
125	Adam Eaton	RF	125	Steven Matz	10.53	-38
126	Salvador Perez	C	126	Matt Holliday	10.37	-132
127	Danny Salazar	SP	127	Yasiel Puig	10.16	-98
128	Lorenzo Cain	CF	128	Brad Miller	10.02	-31
129	A.J. Ramos	MR	129	Jonathan Schoop	9.96	-39
130	Stephen Piscotty	RF	130	Zack Greinke	9.89	35
131	Jose Peraza	2B	131	Nomar Mazara	9.8	-73
132	Francisco Rodriguez	MR	132	Shin-Soo Choo	9.79	#N/A
133	Andrew Benintendi	LF	133	Edwin Diaz	9.75	54
134	Addison Russell	SS	134	Wade Davis	9.51	48
135	Felix Hernandez	SP	135	Adrian Gonzalez	9.5	-30
136	Albert Pujols	1B	136	Aaron Nola	9.37	-73
137	Michael Fulmer	SP	137	Carlos Beltran	9.28	-78
138	Tanner Roark	SP	138	Joc Pederson	9.24	-61
139	Dustin Pedroia	2B	139	Marcus Semien	9.1	-68
140	Alex Reyes	SP	140	Jake Lamb	9.06	-9
141	Dallas Keuchel	SP	141	David Dahl	9.02	50
142	Matt Harvey	SP	142	Rick Porcello	8.99	33
143	Sam Dyson	MR	143	Logan Forsythe	8.85	-81
144	Jackie Bradley Jr.	CF	144	Cole Hamels	8.85	62
145	Yasmani Grandal	C	145	Andrew Benintendi	8.82	12
146	Tony Watson	MR	146	Kenta Maeda	8.7	49
147	Yasmany Tomas	LF	147	Brandon Belt	8.41	-19
148	Byron Buxton	CF	148	Ender Inciarte	8.15	-44
149	Jake Lamb	3B	149	Ryon Healy	8.13	-42
150	Kevin Gausman	SP	150	Rajai Davis	8.13	-48
151	Jameson Taillon	SP	151	Zach Britton	8.12	92
152	Aledmys Diaz	SS	152	Tyler Skaggs	8.11	#N/A
153	Carlos Gomez	CF	153	John Lackey	8.11	-8
154	Adam Duvall	LF	154	Jonathan Lucroy	7.93	100
155	Elvis Andrus	SS	155	Craig Kimbrel	7.89	78
156	Troy Tulowitzki	SS	156	Gregory Bird	7.88	#N/A
157	Marcus Stroman	SP	157	Shawn Kelley	7.86	-62
158	Adam Ottavino	MR	158	Mark Melancon	7.85	88
159	Brad Miller	SS	159	Wei-Yin Chen	7.78	#N/A
160	Tim Anderson	SS	160	David Peralta	7.7	-110
161	John Lackey	SP	161	Jackie Bradley Jr.	7.63	17
162	Brian McCann	C	162	Mike Napoli	7.39	-59
163	Steven Matz	SP	163	Max Kepler	7.11	-72
164	Julio Urias	SP	164	Dexter Fowler	7.1	-25
165	Adrian Gonzalez	1B	165	Adam Duvall	7.08	11
166	Brandon Belt	1B	166	Matt Moore	7	-9
167	Russell Martin	C	167	Josh Reddick	6.98	-125
168	Jonathan Schoop	2B	168	Hunter Pence	6.89	-40
169	Kendrys Morales	DH	169	Ken Giles	6.79	80
170	Raisel Iglesias	SP	170	Starlin Castro	6.72	-67
171	Sean Manaea	SP	171	Seung Hwan Oh	6.69	98
172	Dellin Betances	MR	172	Curtis Granderson	6.62	-101
173	Ben Zobrist	2B	173	Drew Smyly	6.61	-44
174	Welington Castillo	C	174	Elvis Andrus	6.5	19
175	Matt Moore	SP	175	Matt Harvey	6.46	33
176	Lance McCullers	SP	176	Jung Ho Kang	6.32	-68
177	Marcell Ozuna	CF	177	Vince Velasquez	6.3	-6
178	Hernan Perez	3B	178	Ben Zobrist	6.26	5
179	James Paxton	SP	179	Troy Tulowitzki	6.23	23
180	Jon Gray	SP	180	Didi Gregorius	6.22	-72
181	Jake Odorizzi	SP	181	Brett Gardner	6.05	-99
182	Keon Broxton	CF	182	Randal Grichuk	6.02	-30
183	Vince Velasquez	SP	183	Garrett Richards	5.9	-67
184	Kevin Kiermaier	CF	184	Domingo Santana	5.87	-75
185	Dansby Swanson	SS	185	Neil Walker	5.86	-60
186	J.A. Happ	SP	186	Martin Prado	5.83	#N/A
187	Kole Calhoun	RF	187	Denard Span	5.66	#N/A
188	Eric Thames	LF	188	Corey Dickerson	5.63	-102
189	Dexter Fowler	CF	189	Felix Hernandez	5.62	54
190	Yadier Molina	C	190	Julio Teheran	5.59	80
191	Ryon Healy	3B	191	Marcus Stroman	5.56	34
192	Ender Inciarte	CF	192	Jon Gray	5.52	12
193	Jay Bruce	RF	193	Gio Gonzalez	5.49	-101
194	Jeff Samardzija	SP	194	Devon Travis	5.48	-2
195	Carlos Rodon	SP	195	Josh Bell	5.45	-88
196	Devon Travis	2B	196	Kevin Pillar	5.38	-100
197	Matt Wieters	C	197	Kevin Gausman	5.3	47
198	Rajai Davis	CF	198	Nick Castellanos	5.28	-7
199	Joc Pederson	CF	199	Jose De Leon	5.28	#N/A
200	Mike Moustakas	3B	200	Eduardo Nunez	5.22	86
201	Jim Johnson	MR	201	Jason Heyward	5.16	-53
202	Jerad Eickhoff	SP	202	Kelvin Herrera	5.11	98
203	Stephen Vogt	C	203	Roberto Osuna	5.07	125
204	Nomar Mazara	RF	204	Jeurys Familia	5.03	92
205	Nick Castellanos	3B	205	Jacoby Ellsbury	4.92	-46
206	Sonny Gray	SP	206	Cesar Hernandez	4.8	-82
207	Marcus Semien	SS	207	Dansby Swanson	4.79	22
208	Hunter Pence	RF	208	Justin Bour	4.79	#N/A
209	Aaron Nola	SP	209	Dellin Betances	4.77	37
210	Michael Pineda	SP	210	Raisel Iglesias	4.74	40
211	Tommy Joseph	1B	211	Addison Russell	4.65	77
212	Randal Grichuk	CF	212	Collin McHugh	4.59	-67
213	Drew Pomeranz	SP	213	Nick Markakis	4.55	#N/A
214	Robbie Ray	SP	214	Jose Peraza	4.49	83
215	Carlos Beltran	RF	215	Alex Wood	4.48	#N/A
216	Michael Brantley	LF	216	Cam Bedrosian	4.42	-2
217	Drew Smyly	SP	217	Brandon Moss	4.22	#N/A
218	Cam Bedrosian	MR	218	Eugenio Suarez	4.07	-44
219	Shawn Kelley	MR	219	Salvador Perez	4.02	93
220	Tom Murphy	C	220	Michael Fulmer	3.96	83
221	Mike Napoli	1B	221	Hunter Renfroe	3.91	-6
222	Adam Wainwright	SP	222	Yasmany Tomas	3.88	75
223	Anthony DeSclafani	SP	223	Adam Wainwright	3.75	1
224	Logan Forsythe	2B	224	Alcides Escobar	3.55	#N/A
225	Yasiel Puig	RF	225	Byron Buxton	3.23	77
226	Matt Shoemaker	SP	226	Jake Odorizzi	3.17	45
227	Hunter Renfroe	RF	227	Javier Baez	3.05	109
228	C.J. Cron	1B	228	David Robertson	3.04	107
229	Marco Estrada	SP	229	Blake Snell	2.94	-4
230	Hector Neris	MR	230	Keon Broxton	2.86	48
231	Taijuan Walker	SP	231	Alex Colome	2.8	130
232	Ryan Madson	MR	232	Michael Brantley	2.62	16
233	Blake Snell	SP	233	Anthony DeSclafani	2.59	10
234	Victor Martinez	DH	234	Cody Allen	2.55	128
235	Max Kepler	RF	235	Matt Duffy	2.46	#N/A
236	Brandon Maurer	MR	236	Tony Watson	2.39	90
237	Starlin Castro	2B	237	Joe Ross	2.35	-6
238	Yoan Moncada	3B	238	Carlos Rodon	2.27	43
239	Leonys Martin	CF	239	Brandon Crawford	2.2	-2
240	Jarrod Dyson	CF	240	Hisashi Iwakuma	2.15	-26
241	Brandon Crawford	SS	241	Travis Jankowski	2.14	-46
242	Jedd Gyorko	2B	242	Julio Urias	2.07	78
243	Joe Ross	SP	243	Jaime Garcia	2.03	#N/A
244	Jung Ho Kang	3B	244	Jay Bruce	2.01	51
245	Neil Walker	2B	245	Joe Mauer	1.89	#N/A
246	Manuel Margot	CF	246	Alex Gordon	1.66	#N/A
247	Greg Bird	1B	247	Yulieski Gurriel	1.51	#N/A
248	Cameron Rupp	C	248	Scott Kazmir	1.5	#N/A
249	Ian Kennedy	SP	249	Joe Panik	1.49	#N/A
250	Garrett Richards	SP	250	Hyun Soo Kim	1.47	#N/A
251	Jacoby Ellsbury	CF	251	Brandon Maurer	1.46	15
252	Didi Gregorius	SS	252	J.A. Happ	1.35	66
253	Brandon Drury	LF	253	Grant Dayton	1.28	#N/A
254	Jason Heyward	RF	254	Drew Pomeranz	1.28	41
255	Wilson Ramos	C	255	Ian Kennedy	1.25	6
256	Jharel Cotton	SP	256	Yunel Escobar	1.24	#N/A
257	Chris Carter	1B	257	Asdrubal Cabrera	1.21	-15
258	Matt Holliday	LF	258	Ivan Nova	1.21	-10
259	Domingo Santana	RF	259	Josh Harrison	1.09	-10
260	Melky Cabrera	LF	260	Lucas Duda	1.08	#N/A
261	Orlando Arcia	SS	261	Jayson Werth	1.08	#N/A
262	Eugenio Suarez	3B	262	Sean Doolittle	1.06	#N/A
263	Fernando Rodney	MR	263	Yangervis Solarte	0.95	-15
264	Addison Reed	MR	264	Jedd Gyorko	0.87	22
265	Nate Jones	MR	265	Aaron Sanchez	0.82	163
266	Hisashi Iwakuma	SP	266	Neftali Feliz	0.69	-32
267	Yuli Gurriel	3B	267	Ricky Nolasco	0.69	#N/A
268	Ivan Nova	SP	268	Matt Andriese	0.54	#N/A
269	Josh Harrison	2B	269	Arodys Vizcaino	0.44	#N/A
270	David Peralta	RF	270	Stephen Vogt	0.3	67
271	Dylan Bundy	SP	271	Evan Gattis	0.29	171
272	Asdrubal Cabrera	SS	272	Koji Uehara	0.26	#N/A
273	Curtis Granderson	RF	273	Manuel Margot	0.16	27
274	Brandon Kintzler	MR	274	Willson Contreras	0.14	186
275	Derek Norris	C	275	Bartolo Colon	0.1	#N/A
276	Junior Guerra	SP	276	C.J. Cron	0.01	48
277	Sandy Leon	C	277	A.J. Ramos	-0.1	148
278	Yangervis Solarte	3B	278	Sam Dyson	-0.1	135
279	Collin McHugh	SP	279	Taijuan Walker	-0.1	48
280	Brett Gardner	LF	280	Fernando Rodney	-0.18	17
281	Tyler Glasnow	SP	281	Jharel Cotton	-0.21	25
282	Jorge Soler	LF	282	Mike Leake	-0.25	#N/A
283	Josh Bell	RF	283	Jerad Eickhoff	-0.35	81
284	Brandon Phillips	2B	284	Sean Manaea	-0.54	113
285	Mike Zunino	C	285	Scott Schebler	-0.55	#N/A
286	Daniel Norris	SP	286	Yasmani Grandal	-0.55	141
287	Travis Jankowski	CF	287	Francisco Liriano	-0.55	#N/A
288	Cesar Hernandez	2B	288	Yadier Molina	-0.6	98
289	Travis d'Arnaud	C	289	Seth Smith	-0.64	#N/A
290	Corey Dickerson	LF	290	Kyle Barraclough	-0.76	#N/A
291	Cameron Maybin	CF	291	Francisco Rodriguez	-0.8	159
292	Josh Reddick	RF	292	Jorge Polanco	-0.83	#N/A
293	Eduardo Rodriguez	SP	293	Howie Kendrick	-0.88	#N/A
294	Gio Gonzalez	SP	294	Jose Iglesias	-0.94	#N/A
295	Chris Tillman	SP	295	Trevor Plouffe	-0.97	#N/A
296	Kevin Pillar	CF	296	Mike Fiers	-1.01	#N/A
297	Zach Davies	SP	297	Sonny Gray	-1.04	91
298	Neftali Feliz	MR	298	Tyler Anderson	-1.04	#N/A
299	Devin Mesoraco	C	299	Lance Lynn	-1.07	#N/A
300	Chris Owings	CF	300	Tyler Glasnow	-1.13	19

A negative number in the "Diff" column means Steamer likes the player better. A positive number means the NFBC ADP prefers him.

Here's the table showing which players have the biggest discrepancies in value between the two lists:

Rank	Player	Diff	Rank	Player	Diff	Rank	Player	Diff	Rank	Player	Diff
1	Eric Thames	-153	76	Randal Grichuk	-30	151	Josh Donaldson	4	226	Nate Jones	65
2	Victor Martinez	-148	77	Stephen Strasburg	-29	152	Joey Votto	4	227	J.A. Happ	66
3	Melky Cabrera	-148	78	Andrew McCutchen	-27	153	Francisco Lindor	4	228	Stephen Vogt	67
4	Matt Holliday	-132	79	Hisashi Iwakuma	-26	154	Jose Altuve	5	229	Billy Hamilton	68
5	Josh Reddick	-125	80	Jose Bautista	-25	155	Carlos Correa	5	230	Yasmany Tomas	75
6	Matt Shoemaker	-121	81	Dexter Fowler	-25	156	Ben Zobrist	5	231	Addison Russell	77
7	Tommy Joseph	-112	82	Lorenzo Cain	-24	157	Corey Seager	6	232	Byron Buxton	77
8	David Peralta	-110	83	Jose Abreu	-23	158	Ian Kennedy	6	233	Craig Kimbrel	78
9	Michael Pineda	-109	84	DJ LeMahieu	-23	159	Kris Bryant	7	234	Julio Urias	78
10	Mike Moustakas	-102	85	Stephen Piscotty	-23	160	Paul Goldschmidt	8	235	Ken Giles	80
11	Corey Dickerson	-102	86	Chris Davis	-22	161	Gregory Polanco	8	236	Julio Teheran	80
12	Curtis Granderson	-101	87	Rougned Odor	-20	162	Ryan Braun	9	237	Jerad Eickhoff	81
13	Gio Gonzalez	-101	88	Mark Trumbo	-20	163	Wil Myers	9	238	Jose Peraza	83
14	Robbie Ray	-100	89	Carlos Carrasco	-19	164	Matt Carpenter	10	239	Michael Fulmer	83
15	Kevin Pillar	-100	90	Brandon Belt	-19	165	Anthony DeSclafani	10	240	Eduardo Nunez	86
16	Kole Calhoun	-99	91	Odubel Herrera	-18	166	Danny Duffy	11	241	Jarrod Dyson	87
17	Brett Gardner	-99	92	Nelson Cruz	-17	167	Adam Duvall	11	242	Brandon Drury	87
18	Yasiel Puig	-98	93	Matt Kemp	-17	168	Yu Darvish	12	243	Addison Reed	87
19	Josh Bell	-88	94	Danny Salazar	-16	169	Andrew Benintendi	12	244	Mark Melancon	88
20	Cesar Hernandez	-82	95	Hanley Ramirez	-15	170	Jon Gray	12	245	Junior Guerra	89
21	Lance McCullers	-81	96	Asdrubal Cabrera	-15	171	Jacob deGrom	14	246	Tony Watson	90
22	Logan Forsythe	-81	97	Yangervis Solarte	-15	172	Andrew Miller	14	247	Chris Carter	90
23	Adam Jones	-80	98	Anthony Rendon	-14	173	Jose Quintana	15	248	Sonny Gray	91
24	Jeff Samardzija	-79	99	Johnny Cueto	-12	174	Brandon Maurer	15	249	Zach Britton	92
25	Carlos Beltran	-78	100	Miguel Sano	-12	175	A.J. Pollock	16	250	Jeurys Familia	92
26	Domingo Santana	-75	101	Ian Desmond	-11	176	Michael Brantley	16	251	Daniel Norris	92
27	Kendrys Morales	-73	102	Jose Ramirez	-11	177	Daniel Murphy	17	252	Salvador Perez	93
28	Nomar Mazara	-73	103	Chris Archer	-10	178	Jackie Bradley Jr.	17	253	Seung Hwan Oh	98
29	Aaron Nola	-73	104	Christian Yelich	-10	179	Fernando Rodney	17	254	Kelvin Herrera	98
30	Carlos Santana	-72	105	Ivan Nova	-10	180	Gary Sanchez	18	255	Yadier Molina	98
31	Max Kepler	-72	106	Josh Harrison	-10	181	Masahiro Tanaka	19	256	Hector Neris	99
32	Didi Gregorius	-72	107	Jake Lamb	-9	182	Elvis Andrus	19	257	Jonathan Lucroy	100
33	Marcus Semien	-68	108	Matt Moore	-9	183	Tyler Glasnow	19	258	Ryan Madson	101
34	Jung Ho Kang	-68	109	Miguel Cabrera	-8	184	Jean Segura	20	259	Leonys Martin	104
35	Kevin Kiermaier	-67	110	Jon Lester	-8	185	Zach Davies	21	260	David Robertson	107
36	Starlin Castro	-67	111	John Lackey	-8	186	Starling Marte	22	261	Javier Baez	109
37	Garrett Richards	-67	112	Robinson Cano	-7	187	Dansby Swanson	22	262	Sean Manaea	113
38	Collin McHugh	-67	113	David Price	-7	188	Jedd Gyorko	22	263	Roberto Osuna	125
39	James Paxton	-63	114	Kyle Schwarber	-7	189	Brian Dozier	23	264	Brandon Phillips	126
40	Shawn Kelley	-62	115	Nick Castellanos	-7	190	Troy Tulowitzki	23	265	Cody Allen	128
41	Dustin Pedroia	-61	116	Max Scherzer	-6	191	Jonathan Villar	24	266	Brandon Kintzler	128
42	Joc Pederson	-61	117	Jason Kipnis	-6	192	Jorge Soler	24	267	Alex Colome	130
43	Neil Walker	-60	118	Vince Velasquez	-6	193	Jharel Cotton	25	268	Dylan Bundy	133
44	Mike Napoli	-59	119	Hunter Renfroe	-6	194	Manuel Margot	27	269	Sam Dyson	135
45	Albert Pujols	-55	120	Joe Ross	-6	195	Jake Arrieta	29	270	Cameron Maybin	136
46	Adam Eaton	-53	121	Noah Syndergaard	-5	196	Edwin Encarnacion	31	271	Yasmani Grandal	141
47	Marcell Ozuna	-53	122	Clayton Kershaw	-4	197	Rick Porcello	33	272	A.J. Ramos	148
48	Jason Heyward	-53	123	Manny Machado	-4	198	Matt Harvey	33	273	Jim Johnson	158
49	Dallas Keuchel	-50	124	Giancarlo Stanton	-4	199	Marcus Stroman	34	274	Chris Owings	158
50	Maikel Franco	-49	125	Gerrit Cole	-4	200	Dee Gordon	35	275	Francisco Rodriguez	159
51	Eric Hosmer	-48	126	Blake Snell	-4	201	Zack Greinke	35	276	Aaron Sanchez	163
52	Rajai Davis	-48	127	Chris Sale	-3	202	Kyle Hendricks	36	277	Tanner Roark	164
53	Carlos Gonzalez	-46	128	J.D. Martinez	-3	203	Kenley Jansen	37	278	Derek Norris	164
54	Evan Longoria	-46	129	Alex Bregman	-3	204	Dellin Betances	37	279	Adam Ottavino	166
55	Jacoby Ellsbury	-46	130	Corey Kluber	-2	205	Eduardo Rodriguez	39	280	Wilson Ramos	166
56	Travis Jankowski	-46	131	Devon Travis	-2	206	Raisel Iglesias	40	281	Marco Estrada	168
57	Aledmys Diaz	-44	132	Cam Bedrosian	-2	207	Trevor Story	41	282	Evan Gattis	171
58	Ender Inciarte	-44	133	Brandon Crawford	-2	208	Drew Pomeranz	41	283	Russell Martin	171
59	Drew Smyly	-44	134	Trea Turner	-1	209	Carlos Rodon	43	284	Willson Contreras	186
60	Eugenio Suarez	-44	135	Anthony Rizzo	-1	210	Jake Odorizzi	45	285	Hernan Perez	202
61	Ryon Healy	-42	136	Madison Bumgarner	-1	211	Kevin Gausman	47	286	Brian McCann	207
62	Hunter Pence	-40	137	Justin Verlander	0	212	Aroldis Chapman	48	287	J.T. Realmuto	210
63	Tim Anderson	-39	138	Todd Frazier	0	213	Wade Davis	48	288	Sandy Leon	218
64	Jonathan Schoop	-39	139	Mike Trout	1	214	Keon Broxton	48	289	Cameron Rupp	219
65	Jameson Taillon	-38	140	Mookie Betts	1	215	C.J. Cron	48	290	Welington Castillo	226
66	Steven Matz	-38	141	Nolan Arenado	1	216	Taijuan Walker	48	291	Yoan Moncada	233
67	Khris Davis	-34	142	Bryce Harper	1	217	Kenta Maeda	49	292	Matt Wieters	237
68	Rich Hill	-33	143	Charlie Blackmon	1	218	David Dahl	50
69	Adrian Beltre	-32	144	George Springer	1	219	Jay Bruce	51
70	Neftali Feliz	-32	145	Adam Wainwright	1	220	Carlos Martinez	52
71	Justin Turner	-31	146	Yoenis Cespedes	2	221	Edwin Diaz	54
72	Carlos Gomez	-31	147	Kyle Seager	2	222	Felix Hernandez	54
73	Brad Miller	-31	148	Ian Kinsler	2	223	Orlando Arcia	55
74	Justin Upton	-30	149	Freddie Freeman	3	224	Buster Posey	58
75	Adrian Gonzalez	-30	150	Xander Bogaerts	3	225	Cole Hamels	62

Then there were some players not ranked in the top-300 by NFBC drafters that Steamer did rank:

Rank	Steamer/Liss	$	Diff
132	Shin-Soo Choo	9.79	#N/A
152	Tyler Skaggs	8.11	#N/A
156	Gregory Bird	7.88	#N/A
159	Wei-Yin Chen	7.78	#N/A
186	Martin Prado	5.83	#N/A
187	Denard Span	5.66	#N/A
199	Jose De Leon	5.28	#N/A
208	Justin Bour	4.79	#N/A
213	Nick Markakis	4.55	#N/A
215	Alex Wood	4.48	#N/A
217	Brandon Moss	4.22	#N/A
224	Alcides Escobar	3.55	#N/A
235	Matt Duffy	2.46	#N/A
243	Jaime Garcia	2.03	#N/A
245	Joe Mauer	1.89	#N/A
246	Alex Gordon	1.66	#N/A
247	Yulieski Gurriel	1.51	#N/A
248	Scott Kazmir	1.5	#N/A
249	Joe Panik	1.49	#N/A
250	Hyun Soo Kim	1.47	#N/A
253	Grant Dayton	1.28	#N/A
256	Yunel Escobar	1.24	#N/A
260	Lucas Duda	1.08	#N/A
261	Jayson Werth	1.08	#N/A
262	Sean Doolittle	1.06	#N/A
267	Ricky Nolasco	0.69	#N/A
268	Matt Andriese	0.54	#N/A
269	Arodys Vizcaino	0.44	#N/A
272	Koji Uehara	0.26	#N/A
275	Bartolo Colon	0.1	#N/A
282	Mike Leake	-0.25	#N/A
285	Scott Schebler	-0.55	#N/A
287	Francisco Liriano	-0.55	#N/A
289	Seth Smith	-0.64	#N/A
290	Kyle Barraclough	-0.76	#N/A
292	Jorge Polanco	-0.83	#N/A
293	Howie Kendrick	-0.88	#N/A
294	Jose Iglesias	-0.94	#N/A
295	Trevor Plouffe	-0.97	#N/A
296	Mike Fiers	-1.01	#N/A
298	Tyler Anderson	-1.04	#N/A
299	Lance Lynn	-1.07	#N/A

Overall, there are some interesting outliers. Steamer (via my formula) seems to like Clayton Kershaw, Miguel Cabrera, Manny Machado, Max Scherzer, Carlos Gonzalez, Rougned Odor, Nelson Cruz, Stephen Strasburg, Eric Thames and Adam Jones. The NFBC drafters prefer Jose Altuve, Paul Goldschmidt, Corey Seager, Carlos Correa, Jonathan Villar, Yu Darvish, Starling Marte and Edwin Encarnacion.

For more info on how I derived my dollar values, based on Steamer's projections, click here and here.