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Boxscore Addict
It's one thing to understand that it makes no sense to check the boxscores every 10 minutes for new developments when you can just wait until the end of the night to get it all at once and quite another to act (or show restraint) on that understanding.

Did Nick Markakis walk again? Perfect, that means he's playing HIS game even at the major league level. Is Isringhausen going to walk the bases loaded for Lieberthal? Ball three. Ball four. Sweet. Got Lieberthal in two leagues. Come on Lieberthal, get me some RBIs and put a hurt on all the people who own Izzy in my various leagues.

Checking the boxscores after the game is like betting on a game, but not watching it. Sure, the result is the same either way, but you lose the drama, the ups and downs. Let's be honest, fantasy ball is one part cool, detached analysis of information and probably two parts enjoying the process of rooting for your guys. Seeing them hit home runs, or at least seeing it in the boxscore in virtual real time.

Checking the boxes after the games, for instance, if you actually had plans one night and couldn't periodically hit refresh at your PC, does have its good points, though. You get to gorge yourself on the information, racing through game after game to see how your guys did. It's kind of like coming home after a long night out to a full fridge and stuffing yourself on 10 different things. Sometimes I'll race through 12 games in a minute or two and think about how long it would take someone who didn't follow baseball to absorb and retain as much information as I did. They'd probably have to study it for a few hours.

What fanatically well-oiled machines we've all become.

One thing I almost never like to do is look at the real time stats for my whole team or my "team boxscore" at the end of the day. It takes all the enjoyment out of going through and finding the information one piece at a time. And also it hurts you because you don't get to incidentally absorb all the information about all the players you don't own at the same time.

Or maybe I'm just speaking for myself here, and I'm the only one that does it this way. It could a relic from my early days of fantasy baseball in the mid-90s when I'd buy a USA Today and sit down in the Italian sandwich shop in my building on 56th and Broadway in Manhattan. I'd get a Proscuitto and Mozzarella sandwich and a coffee, and go through each boxscore, hoping for home runs, steals and saves. When I was in law school (which sucked, by the way,) it was the highlight of my day.

Posted by Chris Liss at 4/6/2006 10:51:00 AM

Comments (5)

Exploring Pitcher Injuries
The Seattle Post-Intelligencer ran an interesting article today detailing the tribulations of Mariners pitching over the last decade or so, including, most disturbingly, the rash of injuries.

Based on a study by InsidethePark.com, the article suggests Mariners pitchers might be injury prone due to underuse, that they've been "babied" and thus haven't built up proper arm strength. It also asserted that U.S kids are more susceptible to injury than Latin kids because they don't throw as much growing up as Latin kids.

Chris and I explored this topic last summer on RotoWire's XM radio baseball show (channel 175, M-F 9-10 PDT). What I pointed out then is there seem to be no common demoninators amoung injured Mariner pitchers (14 in the last seven years, by my count).

Some threw a lot of minor league innings (Jeff Heaverlo), some threw a limited number (Aaron Taylor). Some were from the U.S. (Gil Meche), some were from Latin America (Rafael Soriano). Some were high school pitchers (Ken Cloude), some were college pitchers (Sam Hayes). Some were high draft picks (Ryan Anderson, 1st rnd), some were low draft picks (Scott Atchison, 49th rnd). Some were injured in the minors (Cha Seung Baek), some were injured in the majors (Bobby Madritsch). None of the usual suspects apply across the board.

So, what's going on? Bad luck? That's the Mariners explanation, but that's too easy of a copout. Bad minor league instruction? Maybe, but that's hard to know sitting here. A couple years ago, though, I was watching a Mariners game with an ex-major leaguer and he remarked that the rookie pitching for the M's had a "short stride." Now, let's give the Mariners the benefit of the doubt and say that an improper mechanic like a short stride is not likely to lead to injury. But why would you take the chance? Why not correct it?

One thing is clear, though, teams like the A's and have gone to great links to stamp out injuries before they happen, and have had good success, and other teams like the Brewers have re-thought pitcher development to stem the tide. Why aren't the Mariners doing something similar?

Lastly, the PI article also says the Mariners aren't necessarily more injury prone than any other organization. This study by USSMariner blog, which relied on, in part, RotoWire for its information, shows when it comes to prospect pitches, the Mariners lead the way in injuries. Note which team is on the bottom.

Posted by Jason Thornbury at 4/5/2006 4:37:00 PM

Comments (3)

Enter Sandman
So happy to report that the great "Enter Sandman" controversy is now over as Mariano Rivera said that he has no problem with Billy Wagner entering the game to the same song that he uses on the Bronx side of New York. As a further support, Peter Mensch, Metallica's band manager, is a Mets fan and said Wagner had the song first and told team officials that he could be on stage during a concert if that would entice him to relocate to Flushing. Mike and the Mad Dog spent a better part of Monday afternoon after the Mets game incessantly telling anyone who would listen, how horrible it is that Wagner uses the same song as Rivera and that he needs to change it because he is here in NY. It's amazing (no pun intended) that the two of them stay at the top of the radio talk show ratings given how much of a one-trick pony each of them have become, with Russo ranting about something he is clueless on and Francesca teling everyone how smart he is and how dumb everyone who disagrees with him is.

Posted by Jan Levine at 4/5/2006 7:06:00 AM
Comments (4)

More MLB Predictions
I just completed the Baseball Prospectus Predicatron 2006 in which you attempt to predict the number of wins EACH team in the majors will have in 2006. It's an interesting way to reach the final predictions - I'm not sure if I would have had the same postseason matchups if I'd done it more organically.

My NL lock team was on the Marlins winning fewer than 72 games - I picked 60.

My AL lock team was on the Red Sox winning more than 90 games - I picked 99.

American League Divsion Series:
Boston Red Sox over Anaheim Angels in 4 games
Chicago White Sox over New York Yankees in 5 games

National League Divsion Series:
St. Louis Cardinals over New York Mets in 4 games
Atlanta Braves over Los Angeles Dodgers in 4 games

American League Championship Series:
Boston Red Sox over Chicago White Sox in 6 games

National League Championship Series:
St. Louis Cardinals over Atlanta Braves in 5 games

World Series:
Boston Red Sox over St. Louis Cardinals in 6 games



Posted by Randy Hale at 4/4/2006 12:54:00 PM
Comments (0)

Astros 1, Marlins 0
Fans of both teams should start getting used to that type of score - excellent starting pitchers on the mound, awful offenses. Dontrelle Willis in particular has to be a little disappointed tonight.

Posted by Jeff Erickson at 4/3/2006 8:55:00 PM
Comments (3)

MLB Predictions
AL East: Yankees
AL Central: White Sox
AL West: Oakland
Wild Card: Indians
NL East: Mets
NL Central: Cardinals
NL West: Giants
Wild Card: Braves
AL MVP: Travis Hafner (Take the David Ortiz!)
NL MVP: Albert Pujols
AL Cy Young: Johan Santana
NL Cy Young: Roy Oswalt
AL ROY: Francisco Liriano (If he doesn't win we know that he'll at least properly drown his sorrows.)
NL ROY: Ryan Zimmerman

Posted by Bernie at 4/3/2006 10:05:00 AM
Comments (0)

More MLB predictions

My thanks to Peter and Derek for kicking these off. Without further adieu from Rotowire's Central Florida offices (which, at lunchtime, are located at the Louis Pappas Market Cafe in Safety Harbor, because the dolmades are just too good):

Postseason teams, in order of projected playoff seeding:  AL, Indians, Yankees, Angels, Twins; NL, Mets, Brewers, Diamondbacks, Cardinals.
World Series: Yanks sweep the Brewers.
(Other) Surprising Teams: Devil Rays, Mariners and Marlins (in a good way); Blue Jays, Cubs and Padres (in a bad way).
MVPs: Travis Hafner, Albert Pujols.
Cy Youngs:  Johan Santana, Roy Oswalt.
Date Felix Hernandez goes on the DL:  June 22.
Combined starts from Mark Prior and Kerry Wood:  19.
The first 50-game steroids suspension:  goes to an NL East outfielder.
First three managerial changes:  Nationals, Rangers, Giants.
Pick I'll regret most from the Rotowire magazine mock draft: Yorbit Torrealba, 6th round.

Enjoy the season, one and all. And, switching passions, a special congrats to my son, whose fave Rey Mysterio won the heavyweight title last night. Even if it's not baseball, anything that brings joy is good.



Posted by Gus Papadopoulos at 4/3/2006 8:48:00 AM
Comments (2)

MLB Predictions
AL East: Yankees AL Central: Indians AL West: A's AL Wild Card: White Sox NL East: Mets NL Central: Cardinals NL West: Giants NL Wild Card: Braves ALDS: Yankees over White Sox, A's over Indians NLDS: Cardinals over Braves, Mets over Giants ALCS: A's over Yankees NLCS: Cardinals over Mets WS: A's over Cardinals A die-hard Cubs fan can't pick the Cardinals to win the World Series. For most disappointing team, I'm going with the Red Sox. I think it might be a rude awakening for them and their fans this year.

Posted by Beller at 4/3/2006 8:22:00 AM
Comments (0)

Predictions
AL East - Yankees AL Central - White Sox AL West - Oakland AL Wildcard - Angels NL East - Braves - no idea how, but Cox does it again. NL Central - St. Louis NL West - San Diego NL Wildcard - MILWAUKEE AL - NY over Chicago NL - STL over SD WS - NY over STL Most disappointing team - Chicago Cubs I know, my NL looks crazy, but Milwaukee is a damn good team that nobody talks about. Solid staff (Davis, Sheets, Capuano, Turnbow), solid offense - Fielder, Weeks, Hardy, Lee, etc... As for the NL West - Yuck. Piazza? Nomar? Bonds? Terribly old and fragile.

Posted by Rog at 4/3/2006 8:13:00 AM
Comments (0)

Managing Multiple Leagues
By the nature of my job, I'm cursed (some would say "blessed") into having to run a bare minimum of five fantasy baseball teams. There's the FSTA NL only experts league, there's LABR, there's the RotoWire Staff Keeper League, the Yahoo Experts League and, of course, my home league (where the big money prize is at).

Now if five sounds like a lot to some of you, it's actually not very many by industry standards. Some of my colleagues have 10-15, or more. Of course that means they own just about everyone in at least one league, and of course, are rooting for and against just about everyone. The good thing about owning 15 leagues, I suppose, is that it's very hard not to win at least a couple. That is, unless you're so overwhelmed on Sunday nights that you're unable to make proper free agent moves or set your lineups for any of them.

Now you could just leave for dead your three or four worst teams each month, and by September you'd only have to care about the three or four still in contention, but you have to wonder whether you've cheated a little bit. It's like setting up a tout service for picking NFL games against the spread and telling 32 people to pick the home team and 32 others to pick the away team the first week. The 32 you gave the win to can call you next week, and you can do the same thing - tell 16 to take the home team and 16 the away team. The 16 who win call you the next week, and you split it 8 and 8. The 8 that win have now gotten three straight money-winning picks from you - you're a genius! The four people you get it right for again will swear by you. But you can see this is a scam.

Is it any different to own 15 fantasy teams and stick with your three or four best? One of them has to have sleepers who pan out and stars who stay healthy.

Even my five teams is too much, but I have a couple things going for me. LABR is AL only, and FSTA is NL only - those two don't bother each other thankfully. In the RotoWire Staff League, I co-own the team with RotoWire CFO, Tim Schuler, who handles most of the weekly transactions well enough to win us the league last year. And my home league has odd Thursday to Wednesday weeks, so I don't have to set lineups on Sunday for it. And free agent pickups in that league are only once a month. So on a weekly basis, I'm dealing with just three leagues, and since the yahoo league has daily moves, I don't need to do anything special on Sunday night. So it's only my two expert leagues, one for the AL and one for the NL.

Still, even with all that in order, it's still too many players to pull for, so I try to have as much overlap as possible. To that end I have Kerry Wood in four of five leagues (couldn't get him in my AL-only league, of course). I have Curt Schilling in yahoo, home league and LABR (couldn't get him in NL FSTA of course). I got Vic Martinez in my home league and the RotoWire Staff League. I got Felix Hernandez in my home league and LABR. I got Juan Pierre in yahoo, FSTA and my home league, and I have Carlos Beltran in FSTA and yahoo, to name a few. If those players have huge years, then, all things being equal, I should have almost all my teams in contention. It also means that a Kerry Wood win is four times as important as, for example, a Ben Sheets win, because I have Sheets in just one league. If Wood gets a win, I should be as happy as if four different players owned in one league each all got wins. Same thing when Juan Pierre steals a base.

It's a different way to play roto than when I started with one team that I'd give everything to - now it's more like managing a portfolio of stocks with a different percentage of my holdings in each. There's definitely something to that as well, but I do miss the days of going nuts for my one big home league draft.



Posted by Chris Liss at 4/2/2006 8:52:00 PM

Comments (4)

2006 MLB Predictions

AL East: New York
AL Central: Chicago
AL West: Oakland
AL Wild Card: Los Angeles Angels of the Greater Southern California Area

NL East: Atlanta
NL Central: St. Louis
NL West: San Francisco
NL Wild Card: Milwaukee

ALCS: New York over Chicago
NLCS: St. Louis over Atlanta

WS: St. Louis over New York

Most Disappointing Team: Blue Jays

I feel like the Blue Jays might be the Orioles of last year and come charging out of the gate, but they'll slide around June and absolutely fall apart.

Posted by Derek VanRiper at 4/2/2006 12:58:00 PM
Comments (0)

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10/19/2008 - 10/25/2008
10/12/2008 - 10/18/2008
10/5/2008 - 10/11/2008
9/28/2008 - 10/4/2008
9/21/2008 - 9/27/2008
9/14/2008 - 9/20/2008
9/7/2008 - 9/13/2008
8/31/2008 - 9/6/2008
8/24/2008 - 8/30/2008
8/17/2008 - 8/23/2008
8/10/2008 - 8/16/2008
8/3/2008 - 8/9/2008
7/27/2008 - 8/2/2008
7/20/2008 - 7/26/2008
7/13/2008 - 7/19/2008
7/6/2008 - 7/12/2008
6/29/2008 - 7/5/2008
6/22/2008 - 6/28/2008
6/15/2008 - 6/21/2008
6/8/2008 - 6/14/2008
6/1/2008 - 6/7/2008
5/25/2008 - 5/31/2008
5/18/2008 - 5/24/2008
5/11/2008 - 5/17/2008
5/4/2008 - 5/10/2008
4/27/2008 - 5/3/2008
4/20/2008 - 4/26/2008
4/13/2008 - 4/19/2008
4/6/2008 - 4/12/2008
3/30/2008 - 4/5/2008
3/23/2008 - 3/29/2008
3/16/2008 - 3/22/2008
3/9/2008 - 3/15/2008
3/2/2008 - 3/8/2008
2/24/2008 - 3/1/2008
2/17/2008 - 2/23/2008
2/10/2008 - 2/16/2008
2/3/2008 - 2/9/2008
1/27/2008 - 2/2/2008
1/20/2008 - 1/26/2008
1/13/2008 - 1/19/2008
1/6/2008 - 1/12/2008
12/30/2007 - 1/5/2008
12/23/2007 - 12/29/2007
12/16/2007 - 12/22/2007
12/9/2007 - 12/15/2007
12/2/2007 - 12/8/2007
11/25/2007 - 12/1/2007
11/18/2007 - 11/24/2007
11/11/2007 - 11/17/2007
11/4/2007 - 11/10/2007
10/28/2007 - 11/3/2007
10/21/2007 - 10/27/2007
10/14/2007 - 10/20/2007
10/7/2007 - 10/13/2007
9/30/2007 - 10/6/2007
9/23/2007 - 9/29/2007
9/16/2007 - 9/22/2007
9/9/2007 - 9/15/2007
9/2/2007 - 9/8/2007
8/26/2007 - 9/1/2007
8/19/2007 - 8/25/2007
8/12/2007 - 8/18/2007
8/5/2007 - 8/11/2007
7/29/2007 - 8/4/2007
7/22/2007 - 7/28/2007
7/15/2007 - 7/21/2007
7/8/2007 - 7/14/2007
7/1/2007 - 7/7/2007
6/24/2007 - 6/30/2007
6/17/2007 - 6/23/2007
6/10/2007 - 6/16/2007
6/3/2007 - 6/9/2007
5/27/2007 - 6/2/2007
5/20/2007 - 5/26/2007
5/13/2007 - 5/19/2007
5/6/2007 - 5/12/2007
4/29/2007 - 5/5/2007
4/22/2007 - 4/28/2007
4/15/2007 - 4/21/2007
4/8/2007 - 4/14/2007
4/1/2007 - 4/7/2007
3/25/2007 - 3/31/2007
3/18/2007 - 3/24/2007
3/11/2007 - 3/17/2007
3/4/2007 - 3/10/2007
2/25/2007 - 3/3/2007
2/18/2007 - 2/24/2007
2/11/2007 - 2/17/2007
2/4/2007 - 2/10/2007
1/28/2007 - 2/3/2007
1/21/2007 - 1/27/2007
1/14/2007 - 1/20/2007
1/7/2007 - 1/13/2007
12/31/2006 - 1/6/2007
12/24/2006 - 12/30/2006
12/17/2006 - 12/23/2006
12/10/2006 - 12/16/2006
12/3/2006 - 12/9/2006
11/26/2006 - 12/2/2006
11/19/2006 - 11/25/2006
11/12/2006 - 11/18/2006
11/5/2006 - 11/11/2006
10/29/2006 - 11/4/2006
10/22/2006 - 10/28/2006
10/15/2006 - 10/21/2006
10/8/2006 - 10/14/2006
10/1/2006 - 10/7/2006
9/24/2006 - 9/30/2006
9/17/2006 - 9/23/2006
9/10/2006 - 9/16/2006
9/3/2006 - 9/9/2006
8/27/2006 - 9/2/2006
8/20/2006 - 8/26/2006
8/13/2006 - 8/19/2006
8/6/2006 - 8/12/2006
7/30/2006 - 8/5/2006
7/23/2006 - 7/29/2006
7/16/2006 - 7/22/2006
7/9/2006 - 7/15/2006
7/2/2006 - 7/8/2006
6/25/2006 - 7/1/2006
6/18/2006 - 6/24/2006
6/11/2006 - 6/17/2006
6/4/2006 - 6/10/2006
5/28/2006 - 6/3/2006
5/21/2006 - 5/27/2006
5/14/2006 - 5/20/2006
5/7/2006 - 5/13/2006
4/30/2006 - 5/6/2006
4/23/2006 - 4/29/2006
4/16/2006 - 4/22/2006
4/9/2006 - 4/15/2006
4/2/2006 - 4/8/2006
3/26/2006 - 4/1/2006
3/19/2006 - 3/25/2006
3/12/2006 - 3/18/2006
3/5/2006 - 3/11/2006
2/26/2006 - 3/4/2006
2/19/2006 - 2/25/2006
2/12/2006 - 2/18/2006
2/5/2006 - 2/11/2006
1/29/2006 - 2/4/2006
1/22/2006 - 1/28/2006
1/15/2006 - 1/21/2006
1/8/2006 - 1/14/2006
1/1/2006 - 1/7/2006