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Willie Watch - On or off
Depending on who you believe, the Willie Watch is in full bloom or dying on the vine. According to Adam Rubin of the NY Daily News, Randolph's tenure as Mets manager is in grave danger of ending this weekend and it's believed that bench coach Jerry Manuel would succeed Randolph. However, Jayson Stark reports that Randolph will not be fired and has GM Omar Minaya's backing.

Would all of this conversation have died down if Billy Wagner hadn't blown three straight games, two of which the Mets lost? Or would that have just masked in the short-term the problems surrounding this team that have been evident all year.

Is Randolph completely at fault for the team's sub-.500 record? While some of the blame has to be placed on him for his overuse of the bullpen, inability to motivate and failure to try and make things happen when the team is struggling for runs, a bigger indictment has to be placed on Minaya. When the team is forced to call up Abraham Nunez or Robinson Cancel or Raul Casanova because there is no available talent at Triple-A, that is the GM's fault. Yes, he did trade four prospects for Johan Santana and others for Carlos Delgado and Paul Loduca, but some of the smaller players dealt for Jeff Conine and that ilk and lopsided giveaways of Heath Bell and Matt Lindstrom have hurt the farm system's depth.

What about the contracts bestowed on the injury-prone Orlando Hernandez, was two years and $12 million necessary, $8 million spent on Moises Alou without having a serviceable back up, four years and $32 million on Luis Castillo? Allowing Tony Bernazard to go into the clubhouse and speak Spanish to several of the younger players undercutting Randolph as the main point of contact. His unwillingness to pay above slot for draft picks has robbed the team of its inherent NY, big market advantage, and partailly resulted in the constant stream of relief pitchers while other teams seem to have gotten better through wise drafting.

Say what you want about Randolph, but in my book, Minaya is just as or even more culpable for the team's poor performance.

Feel free to criticize or agree.

Posted by Jan Levine at 6/13/2008 1:58:00 PM

Comments (9)

MLB Notes
I took some heat for spending $30 on Corey Hart in LABR, but after three homers and seven RBI over the last two games, heís now on pace to finish with a 25/25 season. And after Rickie Weeksí latest injury, Hart seems to be enjoying the leadoff spot, a place that will only increase his fantasy value.

J.D. Drewís .371 BABIP wonít be easy to sustain, but thereís a lot to like about his current situation. Since a David Ortiz injury moved him into the three-hole, Drew has clobbered four homers over 35 at-bats with a ridiculous 2:11 K:BB ratio. His on-base percentage is also more than .550. Whether he can stay healthy remains to be seen, but last yearís .796 OPS was more of an aberration than this yearís stellar campaign.

Make sure Joel Zumaya is owned in your league. Since heís already approaching 100 mph during his rehab stint, he should be ready to contribute very soon. Todd Jones hasnít pitched poorly enough to lose the closerís role, but his 9:11 K:BB ratio is embarrassing and suggests major blowups are likely soon in store. Remember, Zumaya has a career 9.54 K/9 IP mark.

For those awaiting Rich Hillís return to the majors, I wouldnít hold my breath. The 31 strikeouts over 25.1 innings in Triple-A are nice, but he was sent down to work on his control, which has actually only gotten worse if you can believe it. Heís walked 24 batters, leaving him with an ugly 1.70 WHIP.

You get the feeling Jim Thome is going to go on a massive hot streak at some point.

Since I normally only complain about the Giants, Iíll go a different direction. Madison Bumgarner, the teamís first round pick last year, is 18 years old and has a 74:10 K:BB ratio with a 1.96 ERA and 0.98 WHIP over 64.1 innings in the minors right now. Tim Alderson has also impressed. And after getting the steal of the draft Buster Posey (heís going to win the college Triple Crown and plays catcher!) and making the shrewd selection of Conor Gilaspie in this yearís draft, things are actually looking up. Four years from now but still.

About 40 percent into the season, the Mariners sit with the worst record in all of baseball. It also looks like theyíve lost J.J. Putz for a while. Itís unlikely Erik Bedard would fetch the same return the Orioles got for him right now, but itís clear Seattle may have to shop him, since heís a free agent after next season.

What a disappointment Curtis Grandersonís been. The home runs are there, and heís actually improved his contact rate, so the fact his current BABIP (.250) is more than 100 points lower than last year (.362) might even qualify him as a decent buy-low option. Hopefully a higher on-base rate will also lead to more steals, as heís already been caught more times this year than he did in all of 2007. One thingís for sure, heís brutal against lefties.

First Travis Hafner and now Victor Martinez, itís safe to say the Indians season hasnít gone quite as planned. VMart is going to enter August with zero home runs.

Iím happy for Kerry Wood. With a 2.48 ERA, 0.83 WHIP and 44:8 K:BB ratio, heís been one of baseballís best relievers in 2008. When healthy, I always thought he had the best pure stuff in the game.

Posted by Dalton Del Don at 6/12/2008 9:06:00 PM
Comments (16)

MLB Notes
Anyone surprised by Jeremy Bondermanís season-ending surgery hasnít been paying attention to him over the past year. Something had clearly not been right with him for a while now. A loss in velocity is a sign of injury, but so is lack of command, which Bonderman struggled with mightily this season.

J.R. Towles is one of the bigger 2008 disappointments. With a .145/.270./.282 line, his demotion to the minors was well warranted. Over 157 at-bats, 31 percent of his career RBI total came in one game.

I was critical of the Aaron Rowand signing at the time and targeted him as a potential fantasy bust, but so far, Iíve been wrong. His defense has slipped some, but heís still one of the best center fielders in the game. His current .912 OPS is actually more than 20 points better than last year, and heís downgraded home ballparks drastically. In fact, Rowandís .393 batting average on the road leads major league baseball. Of course, an injury is probably right around the corner, and heís already on the wrong side of 30, but heís certainly not let the big contract slow him down.

What has happened to Rafael Betancourt? His numbers were bound to regress after last seasonís remarkable campaign, but a current 7.0 ERA and 1.67 WHIP is a bit extreme. Digging deeper, his 3.1:1 K:BB ratio and 28 Ks over 27 innings suggest heís not pitching nearly as poorly as the numbers indicate. Heís already given up six homers and walked as many batters this year as he did all last season, so itís not all bad luck, but his .384 BABIP and .615 strand rate will regress to the mean. Heíll improve, but itís too bad he couldnít take advantage of Joe Borowskiís absence.

Mark Ellis doesnít deserve a .234 average with a 24:27 K:BB ratio. Speaking of ridiculous plate discipline, Joe Mauer is flashing an awesome 15:30 K:BB ratio, so another run at the AL batting crown looks to be in store.

Gavin Floyd is an interesting case study. A former top prospect, his hot start to the season could easily be brushed off as a fluke, as his .211 BABIP, low K rate and 1.61:1 K:BB ratio were far from commensurate to his sparkling ERA and WHIP. But then over his last three starts, heís started pitching much better, recording a 20:1 K:BB rate over 20 innings. Did the luck breed confidence that led to improved pitching ability? I donít have the answers, but I remain skeptical.

The baseball season just hasnít started until Rickie Weeks suffers an injury.

If the Lakers would have won Sunday, that would have been the best comeback Iíve ever witnessed. NBA teams are 3-29 after starting 0-2 in the Finals, but I still see the Lakers winning this series. And the switch to the 2-3-2 format is unconscionable, especially since the travel excuse is such a blatant lie (there were two days off between Games 1 & 2, one day off between Games 2 & 3).

Garrett Atkins has been hitting lefties at a .514/.537/.865 clip this season. Thatís a 1.401 OPS if youíre counting at home. Last year, his OPS was 100 points lower (.782) versus southpaws than it was against right-handers. Yes, baseball isnít all that easy to predict.

After giving up four runs on a whopping 10 hits in Petco Park against possibly the worst offense in baseball Sunday, Pedro Martinez may seem done. However, he had solid velocity, and all 10 hits were singles, so there were some encouraging signs to take out of it. I still think heíll be an asset in even shallow leagues this year in between injuries.

Bad news regarding Shaun Livingston, who is looking more and more unlikely to ever play NBA basketball again.

Any talk of the Yankees rebuilding is beyond laughable. The Rays and Aís are the only two teams in front of them in the wild card standings, so naturally, they should blow it up and start from scratch. Especially with their payroll. And lineup. Speaking of which, Johnny Damon is having one of the better bounce back seasons no one is talking about. His current .900 OPS is easily a career-high. Also, the window to buy Joba Chamberlain may soon be closing.

Since Aaron Harang pitched four innings of relief on May 25, heís allowed 16 runs over 15.1 innings. Thatís still come with a nice 10:1 K:BB ratio, and heís certainly pitched better than his 2-9 record suggests, but Harangís also given up more hits (105) than any pitcher in the National League.

Nothing will ever consume me more than the Scott Peterson trial, since he lived about 15 minutes from where I do right now and was both guilty as sin yet convicted on circumstantial evidence. And with news of a new civil trial Ė with the prosecutor being my dadís lawyer (donít ask), letís just say Iíll be following this one as well.

The Metsí handling of Ryan Church is reprehensible. On May 29, I wrote ďIím more Dr. Van Nostrand than I am James Andrews, but Ryan Churchís prognosis doesnít sound too good to me.Ē This statement was based purely on quotes from Church. Yet somehow, the Mets decided it would be a good idea to put him out in the field two days later. After suffering two concussions in such a short time span, it was obvious from the beginning he should have immediately landed on the DL. Now, they are more worried about his life in the long-term than baseball. Even Dr. Van Nostrand couldnít have botched this worse.

I defy you to come up with a player more jacked than Brian Wilson. Heís absolutely swoll.

Posted by Dalton Del Don at 6/10/2008 4:31:00 PM
Comments (12)

MLB Radio Announcer Report Cards
A couple of weeks ago, I provided my rankings of the MLB television announcers, from top to bottom. Predictably, the list provoked some interesting debates. Here's my list of the radio broadcasters. I think that radio broadcasting is tougher than television broadcasting, because the broadcaster has to paint a picture that the listener cannot see. Still, I give higher overall marks to the MLB radio teams than their TV counterparts. As always, keep those comments coming.

1. Cincinnati: If you haven't tuned in to Marty Brennaman, give him a listen. He strikes a perfect balance between rooting for the Reds and telling it like it is.

2. Seattle: Dave Niehaus is excellent, one of those instantly recognizable voices, and I think Rick Rizzs is a good sidekick.

3. Chicago Cubs: Ron Santo is the dictionary definition of a homer, but he's endearing and a local legend. Play-by-play man Pat Hughes is outstanding.

4. Texas: Eric Nadel leads a crisp broadcast team.

5. San Francisco: I think Jon Miller has good days and bad days -- on his good days, he's among the best in history. Dave Flemming is a strong understudy.

6. Boston: Joe Castiglione is another voice that oozes history and local charm. Dave O'Brien is better suited for TV, but I like him anyway.

7. Kansas City: Denny Matthews means summer and baseball to many midwesterners; even though he's in the Hall of Fame, he's not as well-known as he should be.

8. L.A. Dodgers: Vin Scully's first three innings are exceptional. Rick Monday is pretty solid and Charley Steiner is horrendous.

9. L.A. Angels: Not flashy, but very descriptive and insightful.

10. St. Louis: John Rooney is a classic. I know Cardinals fans love Mike Shannon, but I just don't think he's a very good broadcaster. A regional icon? Yes.

11. Philadelphia: I'm not a big fan of the constant rotation (the Phillies are one of those teams with a handful of announcers that alternate between radio and TV), but there's a lot of talent on this crew. Harry Kalas' voice is great for radio, but unfortunately he spends most of his time on TV.

12. Cleveland: Tom Hamilton goes from talking normally to screaming like a banshee faster than any other MLB announcer. Still, I find the Indians' radio team a good listen.

13. Pittsburgh: Another team that alternates its broadcasters constantly; some think these guys are boring, I think they're smooth and relaxing.

14. Toronto: Jerry Howarth is very good and Alan Ashby has always been one of my favorite analysts.

15. Arizona: Greg Schulte is a rising star and Tom Candiotti is a capable analyst.

16. San Diego: These guys are a fun listen, if not technically sound. Ted Leitner is the real-life Ron Burgundy (Will Ferrell's character from Anchorman), Jerry Coleman has six decades of professional baseball experience and Andy Masur is an up-and-comer.

17. Baltimore: Joe Angel's voice can get on my nerves; I like Fred Manfra.

18. Colorado: They're solidly in the middle of the pack.

19. Oakland: See above.

20. Detroit: More of the same.

21. Milwaukee: Bob Uecker is pretty good, but his monologue style can get tired and he would be way more entertaining if he acted more like his character from the Major League movies.

22. Chicago White Sox: Ed Farmer might be a decent analyst, but as a play-by-play voice, he's one of the worst. Steve Stone is excellent and salvages a respectable ranking for this crew.

23. Houston: I used to really like Milo Hamilton, but he's gotten very curmudgeonly in his age. His young sidekicks are rounding into form.

24. Minnesota: I think these guys are boring and I have a hard time following their descriptions.

25. Washington: They try, but their enthusiasm exceeds their talent.

26. Tampa Bay: See above.

27. Florida: See above.

28. N.Y. Mets: Howie Rose and Wayne Hagin are pretty bland for my ears.

29. Atlanta: If they were boring on TV, Skip Caray and company are unlistenable on radio. They don't give enough description of the action and they're painfully slow.

30. N.Y. Yankees: John Sterling and Suzyn Waldman are just awful. An embarrassment to the nation's largest city and the sport's most storied franchise.

Posted by Ted Rossman at 6/9/2008 11:59:00 AM

Comments (23)

Don't Give Up, Don't Ever Give Up
Iíve done my fair share of bragging, so I wanted to go a different route today. On the ďAsk An ExpertĒ feature on RotoWire, I frequently get questions from people stating some sort of variation of ďmy team is tanking, this is my roster, should I start preparing for fantasy football?Ē Well, I could be asking myself the same question, as my team in my home league currently resides in dead last more than two months into the season. Iíve pretty much been there from the beginning, and Iím 61.5 points out of first place. Right now, the baseball season is approximately 38 percent finished, so the ďitís still earlyĒ excuse no longer flies.

No one wants to hear about my specific fantasy team, but in this case, I want to use my example to highlight a broader point, which is not to throw in the towel, no matter how bleak your current situation looks. I currently have a 1 in both ERA and WHIP. Here is some of my staff: Matt Cain, Chris Young, Brett Myers, Ted Lilly, Derek Lowe, Johnny Cueto, Pedro Martinez, Max Scherzer, Joe Saunders and Jonathan Sanchez. Now, itís possible that group finishes with a 15 (its current total) in a standard 5X5 league, but Iíd say the odds are greater they triple that score by seasonís end than staying put.

Now, this doesnít apply to keeper-leagues the same way; I recently lost David Ortiz, John Smoltz and Nick Johnson to injury in an 18-team keeper format, and Iíll now be looking toward next year (you hear me Staff League 1?). Again, my main point was bigger than my specific team, and maybe Iím overly optimistic in that regard, but really, itís crazy to give up right now. Last year when June began, Ryan Braun was hitting .222/.214/.370 with one homer; he was a consensus top-15 pick in 2008. In Yahoo standard scoring leagues, Ryan Ludwick and Xavier Nady are currently top-25 ranked hitters. Shaun Marcum, Joe Saunders, Ryan Dempster and Justin Duchscherer are top-25 pitchers, all trailing No. 1 ranked Edinson Volquez.

If you are behind the eight ball and down in the standings, that just means you need to be extra diligent with pickups, lineup decisions and be sure not to make panic trades. And if you have trouble with this in your league by other members Ė that is, owners who completely neglect their team because of slow starts - one method of correcting this other than kicking them out is to deploy a tiered payout system. Increase your league entry fee, but make the payouts go to 80 percent of the league, giving incentive to those fighting for 5th-10th place. But I for one am not playing for 5th place. Donít give up, donít ever give up.

Posted by Dalton Del Don at 6/8/2008 11:51:00 PM
Comments (12)

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10/4/2009 - 10/10/2009
9/27/2009 - 10/3/2009
9/20/2009 - 9/26/2009
9/13/2009 - 9/19/2009
9/6/2009 - 9/12/2009
8/30/2009 - 9/5/2009
8/23/2009 - 8/29/2009
8/16/2009 - 8/22/2009
8/9/2009 - 8/15/2009
8/2/2009 - 8/8/2009
7/26/2009 - 8/1/2009
7/19/2009 - 7/25/2009
7/12/2009 - 7/18/2009
7/5/2009 - 7/11/2009
6/28/2009 - 7/4/2009
6/21/2009 - 6/27/2009
6/14/2009 - 6/20/2009
6/7/2009 - 6/13/2009
5/31/2009 - 6/6/2009
5/24/2009 - 5/30/2009
5/17/2009 - 5/23/2009
5/10/2009 - 5/16/2009
5/3/2009 - 5/9/2009
4/26/2009 - 5/2/2009
4/19/2009 - 4/25/2009
4/12/2009 - 4/18/2009
4/5/2009 - 4/11/2009
3/29/2009 - 4/4/2009
3/22/2009 - 3/28/2009
3/15/2009 - 3/21/2009
3/8/2009 - 3/14/2009
3/1/2009 - 3/7/2009
2/22/2009 - 2/28/2009
2/15/2009 - 2/21/2009
2/8/2009 - 2/14/2009
2/1/2009 - 2/7/2009
1/25/2009 - 1/31/2009
1/18/2009 - 1/24/2009
1/11/2009 - 1/17/2009
1/4/2009 - 1/10/2009
12/28/2008 - 1/3/2009
12/21/2008 - 12/27/2008
12/14/2008 - 12/20/2008
12/7/2008 - 12/13/2008
11/30/2008 - 12/6/2008
11/23/2008 - 11/29/2008
11/16/2008 - 11/22/2008
11/9/2008 - 11/15/2008
11/2/2008 - 11/8/2008
10/26/2008 - 11/1/2008
10/19/2008 - 10/25/2008
10/12/2008 - 10/18/2008
10/5/2008 - 10/11/2008
9/28/2008 - 10/4/2008
9/21/2008 - 9/27/2008
9/14/2008 - 9/20/2008
9/7/2008 - 9/13/2008
8/31/2008 - 9/6/2008
8/24/2008 - 8/30/2008
8/17/2008 - 8/23/2008
8/10/2008 - 8/16/2008
8/3/2008 - 8/9/2008
7/27/2008 - 8/2/2008
7/20/2008 - 7/26/2008
7/13/2008 - 7/19/2008
7/6/2008 - 7/12/2008
6/29/2008 - 7/5/2008
6/22/2008 - 6/28/2008
6/15/2008 - 6/21/2008
6/8/2008 - 6/14/2008
6/1/2008 - 6/7/2008
5/25/2008 - 5/31/2008
5/18/2008 - 5/24/2008
5/11/2008 - 5/17/2008
5/4/2008 - 5/10/2008
4/27/2008 - 5/3/2008
4/20/2008 - 4/26/2008
4/13/2008 - 4/19/2008
4/6/2008 - 4/12/2008
3/30/2008 - 4/5/2008
3/23/2008 - 3/29/2008
3/16/2008 - 3/22/2008
3/9/2008 - 3/15/2008
3/2/2008 - 3/8/2008
2/24/2008 - 3/1/2008
2/17/2008 - 2/23/2008
2/10/2008 - 2/16/2008
2/3/2008 - 2/9/2008
1/27/2008 - 2/2/2008
1/20/2008 - 1/26/2008
1/13/2008 - 1/19/2008
1/6/2008 - 1/12/2008
12/30/2007 - 1/5/2008
12/23/2007 - 12/29/2007
12/16/2007 - 12/22/2007
12/9/2007 - 12/15/2007
12/2/2007 - 12/8/2007
11/25/2007 - 12/1/2007
11/18/2007 - 11/24/2007
11/11/2007 - 11/17/2007
11/4/2007 - 11/10/2007
10/28/2007 - 11/3/2007
10/21/2007 - 10/27/2007
10/14/2007 - 10/20/2007
10/7/2007 - 10/13/2007
9/30/2007 - 10/6/2007
9/23/2007 - 9/29/2007
9/16/2007 - 9/22/2007
9/9/2007 - 9/15/2007
9/2/2007 - 9/8/2007
8/26/2007 - 9/1/2007
8/19/2007 - 8/25/2007
8/12/2007 - 8/18/2007
8/5/2007 - 8/11/2007
7/29/2007 - 8/4/2007
7/22/2007 - 7/28/2007
7/15/2007 - 7/21/2007
7/8/2007 - 7/14/2007
7/1/2007 - 7/7/2007
6/24/2007 - 6/30/2007
6/17/2007 - 6/23/2007
6/10/2007 - 6/16/2007
6/3/2007 - 6/9/2007
5/27/2007 - 6/2/2007
5/20/2007 - 5/26/2007
5/13/2007 - 5/19/2007
5/6/2007 - 5/12/2007
4/29/2007 - 5/5/2007
4/22/2007 - 4/28/2007
4/15/2007 - 4/21/2007
4/8/2007 - 4/14/2007
4/1/2007 - 4/7/2007
3/25/2007 - 3/31/2007
3/18/2007 - 3/24/2007
3/11/2007 - 3/17/2007
3/4/2007 - 3/10/2007
2/25/2007 - 3/3/2007
2/18/2007 - 2/24/2007
2/11/2007 - 2/17/2007
2/4/2007 - 2/10/2007
1/28/2007 - 2/3/2007
1/21/2007 - 1/27/2007
1/14/2007 - 1/20/2007
1/7/2007 - 1/13/2007
12/31/2006 - 1/6/2007
12/24/2006 - 12/30/2006
12/17/2006 - 12/23/2006
12/10/2006 - 12/16/2006
12/3/2006 - 12/9/2006
11/26/2006 - 12/2/2006
11/19/2006 - 11/25/2006
11/12/2006 - 11/18/2006
11/5/2006 - 11/11/2006
10/29/2006 - 11/4/2006
10/22/2006 - 10/28/2006
10/15/2006 - 10/21/2006
10/8/2006 - 10/14/2006
10/1/2006 - 10/7/2006
9/24/2006 - 9/30/2006
9/17/2006 - 9/23/2006
9/10/2006 - 9/16/2006
9/3/2006 - 9/9/2006
8/27/2006 - 9/2/2006
8/20/2006 - 8/26/2006
8/13/2006 - 8/19/2006
8/6/2006 - 8/12/2006
7/30/2006 - 8/5/2006
7/23/2006 - 7/29/2006
7/16/2006 - 7/22/2006
7/9/2006 - 7/15/2006
7/2/2006 - 7/8/2006
6/25/2006 - 7/1/2006
6/18/2006 - 6/24/2006
6/11/2006 - 6/17/2006
6/4/2006 - 6/10/2006
5/28/2006 - 6/3/2006
5/21/2006 - 5/27/2006
5/14/2006 - 5/20/2006
5/7/2006 - 5/13/2006
4/30/2006 - 5/6/2006
4/23/2006 - 4/29/2006
4/16/2006 - 4/22/2006
4/9/2006 - 4/15/2006
4/2/2006 - 4/8/2006
3/26/2006 - 4/1/2006
3/19/2006 - 3/25/2006
3/12/2006 - 3/18/2006
3/5/2006 - 3/11/2006
2/26/2006 - 3/4/2006
2/19/2006 - 2/25/2006
2/12/2006 - 2/18/2006
2/5/2006 - 2/11/2006
1/29/2006 - 2/4/2006
1/22/2006 - 1/28/2006
1/15/2006 - 1/21/2006
1/8/2006 - 1/14/2006
1/1/2006 - 1/7/2006