RotoWire Partners
RotoWire Blogs
All Sports
Baseball
Football
Basketball
Hockey
Golf
Recent Comments
Featured Bloggers
Chris Liss
Jeff Erickson
Dalton Del Don
Andre' Snellings
Erik Siegrist
Jason Thornbury
Peter Schoenke
Multi-Media
About RSS
Podcasts
More info
FANTASY LEAGUES
Baseball Commissioner
FANTASY FOOTBALL
Fantasy Football News
Fantasy Football Draft Kit
Fantasy Football Magazine
Football Draft Software
FANTASY BASEBALL
Fantasy Baseball News
Draft Kit
Magazine
Draft Software
Email Reports
Email Preferences

RotoWire.com Baseball Blog
Search All of RotoWire.com Blogs:

BlogsAll Sports   Baseball   Football   Basketball   Hockey   Golf  

Ichiro is Japanese for "Super Rich"
The varied reactions to Ichiro's contract extension, which he'll likely sign Friday, have not been surprising. On one hand, Marlins president David Samson called the reported five-year, $18-$20 million contract, "a joke, it's inexcusable, it's complete mismanagement." Samson doesn't stop there either, listen here (if you can get past his movie reviews in the first few minutes -- apparently he likes to play Roger Ebert when he's not firing the manager of the year).

On the other hand, the case has been made that the deal is actually a bargain for the Mariners. If you want the math, read here, but here's the gist: Ichiro is about 60 runs better than the average center fielder, which translates to about eight wins better than a replacement-level center fielder. Factoring in a natural decline in skills makes Ichiro worth about 25 wins to the team over the course of the contract. Teams paid $4 million per win last offseason, meaning Ichiro is worth at least $100 million over the five years, more if you figure in salary inflation.

To me, it's often the years, not the money, that make a deal bad. Forget the money in Zito's deal, that contract is bad because the Giants bought a declining pitcher for seven years. Giving five years to Ichiro, who will approach 39 in the contract's last year, is a bit of a concern.

However, if I'm the Mariners, I'd suck it up if that's the best I could get. The reason goes back to a Bill James theory: "Uniqueness is a fundamental test of quality." Ichiro is arguably the most unqiue player in baseball. And who's better at his position? Sizemore? and ... Beltran? Beltran is owed $18.5 mil per year the next four years. Even though he's 3.5 years younger than Ichiro, who would you rather have at that amount?

Now, if you subscribe to the theory that speedsters don't age any worse than slow guys, then the years shouldn't worry you as much. And as for the money, well, in my book it's not the Arod-sized contracts that kill a club, it's the three-year, $9.15 million to the likes of Scott Spiezio; the four years, $50 million to Richie Sexson; the four years, $37.5 million to Jarrod Washburn, etc. etc.

Posted by Jason Thornbury at 7/13/2007 12:12:00 AM

Comments (5)

Gomes out of the lineup?
On the heels of a Tampa Tribune report that Jonny Gomes might lose playing time when B.J. Upton returns from injury, Gomes is currently 4-for-4 with two doubles, a homer, and three RBI in Sunday's game against Kansas City the last before the All-Star break. Which begs the question: why take Gomes out of the lineup? He showed he could hit with a .534 slugging percentage in 2005, and is quickly proving that his poor last season could be attributed to his injury. With Upton in center, Delmon Young in right field, and Ty Wigginton at second base, the Rays' only options to steal at-bats from Gomes at DH are Greg Norton, Jorge Cantu, Dustan Mohr, and Josh Wilson. If Gomes loses any playing time in favor of that group -- granted, the Tribune report doesn't quote any official source -- then the Rays will really be doing something wrong.

Posted by Bret Cohen at 7/8/2007 2:21:00 PM
Comments (7)

Archives
7/13/2014 - 7/19/2014
7/6/2014 - 7/12/2014
6/29/2014 - 7/5/2014
6/22/2014 - 6/28/2014
6/15/2014 - 6/21/2014
6/8/2014 - 6/14/2014
6/1/2014 - 6/7/2014
5/25/2014 - 5/31/2014
5/18/2014 - 5/24/2014
5/11/2014 - 5/17/2014
5/4/2014 - 5/10/2014
4/27/2014 - 5/3/2014
4/20/2014 - 4/26/2014
4/13/2014 - 4/19/2014
4/6/2014 - 4/12/2014
3/30/2014 - 4/5/2014
3/23/2014 - 3/29/2014
3/16/2014 - 3/22/2014
3/9/2014 - 3/15/2014
3/2/2014 - 3/8/2014
2/23/2014 - 3/1/2014
2/16/2014 - 2/22/2014
2/9/2014 - 2/15/2014
2/2/2014 - 2/8/2014
1/26/2014 - 2/1/2014
1/19/2014 - 1/25/2014
1/12/2014 - 1/18/2014
1/5/2014 - 1/11/2014
12/29/2013 - 1/4/2014
12/22/2013 - 12/28/2013
12/15/2013 - 12/21/2013
12/8/2013 - 12/14/2013
12/1/2013 - 12/7/2013
11/24/2013 - 11/30/2013
11/17/2013 - 11/23/2013
11/10/2013 - 11/16/2013
11/3/2013 - 11/9/2013
10/27/2013 - 11/2/2013
10/20/2013 - 10/26/2013
10/13/2013 - 10/19/2013
10/6/2013 - 10/12/2013
9/29/2013 - 10/5/2013
9/22/2013 - 9/28/2013
9/15/2013 - 9/21/2013
9/8/2013 - 9/14/2013
9/1/2013 - 9/7/2013
8/25/2013 - 8/31/2013
8/18/2013 - 8/24/2013
8/11/2013 - 8/17/2013
8/4/2013 - 8/10/2013
7/28/2013 - 8/3/2013
7/21/2013 - 7/27/2013
7/14/2013 - 7/20/2013
7/7/2013 - 7/13/2013
6/30/2013 - 7/6/2013
6/23/2013 - 6/29/2013
6/16/2013 - 6/22/2013
6/9/2013 - 6/15/2013
6/2/2013 - 6/8/2013
5/26/2013 - 6/1/2013
5/19/2013 - 5/25/2013
5/12/2013 - 5/18/2013
5/5/2013 - 5/11/2013
4/28/2013 - 5/4/2013
4/21/2013 - 4/27/2013
4/14/2013 - 4/20/2013
4/7/2013 - 4/13/2013
3/31/2013 - 4/6/2013
3/24/2013 - 3/30/2013
3/17/2013 - 3/23/2013
3/10/2013 - 3/16/2013
3/3/2013 - 3/9/2013
2/24/2013 - 3/2/2013
2/17/2013 - 2/23/2013
2/10/2013 - 2/16/2013
2/3/2013 - 2/9/2013
1/27/2013 - 2/2/2013
1/20/2013 - 1/26/2013
1/13/2013 - 1/19/2013
1/6/2013 - 1/12/2013
12/30/2012 - 1/5/2013
12/23/2012 - 12/29/2012
12/16/2012 - 12/22/2012
12/9/2012 - 12/15/2012
12/2/2012 - 12/8/2012
11/25/2012 - 12/1/2012
11/18/2012 - 11/24/2012
11/11/2012 - 11/17/2012
11/4/2012 - 11/10/2012
10/28/2012 - 11/3/2012
10/21/2012 - 10/27/2012
10/14/2012 - 10/20/2012
10/7/2012 - 10/13/2012
9/30/2012 - 10/6/2012
9/23/2012 - 9/29/2012
9/16/2012 - 9/22/2012
9/9/2012 - 9/15/2012
9/2/2012 - 9/8/2012
8/26/2012 - 9/1/2012
8/19/2012 - 8/25/2012
8/12/2012 - 8/18/2012
8/5/2012 - 8/11/2012
7/29/2012 - 8/4/2012
7/22/2012 - 7/28/2012
7/15/2012 - 7/21/2012
7/8/2012 - 7/14/2012
7/1/2012 - 7/7/2012
6/24/2012 - 6/30/2012
6/17/2012 - 6/23/2012
6/10/2012 - 6/16/2012
6/3/2012 - 6/9/2012
5/27/2012 - 6/2/2012
5/20/2012 - 5/26/2012
5/13/2012 - 5/19/2012
5/6/2012 - 5/12/2012
4/29/2012 - 5/5/2012
4/22/2012 - 4/28/2012
4/15/2012 - 4/21/2012
4/8/2012 - 4/14/2012
4/1/2012 - 4/7/2012
3/25/2012 - 3/31/2012
3/18/2012 - 3/24/2012
3/11/2012 - 3/17/2012
3/4/2012 - 3/10/2012
2/26/2012 - 3/3/2012
2/19/2012 - 2/25/2012
2/12/2012 - 2/18/2012
2/5/2012 - 2/11/2012
1/29/2012 - 2/4/2012
1/22/2012 - 1/28/2012
1/15/2012 - 1/21/2012
1/8/2012 - 1/14/2012
1/1/2012 - 1/7/2012
12/25/2011 - 12/31/2011
12/18/2011 - 12/24/2011
12/11/2011 - 12/17/2011
12/4/2011 - 12/10/2011
11/27/2011 - 12/3/2011
11/20/2011 - 11/26/2011
11/13/2011 - 11/19/2011
11/6/2011 - 11/12/2011
10/30/2011 - 11/5/2011
10/23/2011 - 10/29/2011
10/16/2011 - 10/22/2011
10/9/2011 - 10/15/2011
10/2/2011 - 10/8/2011
9/25/2011 - 10/1/2011
9/18/2011 - 9/24/2011
9/11/2011 - 9/17/2011
9/4/2011 - 9/10/2011
8/28/2011 - 9/3/2011
8/21/2011 - 8/27/2011
8/14/2011 - 8/20/2011
8/7/2011 - 8/13/2011
7/31/2011 - 8/6/2011
7/24/2011 - 7/30/2011
7/17/2011 - 7/23/2011
7/10/2011 - 7/16/2011
7/3/2011 - 7/9/2011
6/26/2011 - 7/2/2011
6/19/2011 - 6/25/2011
6/12/2011 - 6/18/2011
6/5/2011 - 6/11/2011
5/29/2011 - 6/4/2011
5/22/2011 - 5/28/2011
5/15/2011 - 5/21/2011
5/8/2011 - 5/14/2011
5/1/2011 - 5/7/2011
4/24/2011 - 4/30/2011
4/17/2011 - 4/23/2011
4/10/2011 - 4/16/2011
4/3/2011 - 4/9/2011
3/27/2011 - 4/2/2011
3/20/2011 - 3/26/2011
3/13/2011 - 3/19/2011
3/6/2011 - 3/12/2011
2/27/2011 - 3/5/2011
2/20/2011 - 2/26/2011
2/13/2011 - 2/19/2011
2/6/2011 - 2/12/2011
1/30/2011 - 2/5/2011
1/23/2011 - 1/29/2011
1/16/2011 - 1/22/2011
1/9/2011 - 1/15/2011
1/2/2011 - 1/8/2011
12/26/2010 - 1/1/2011
12/19/2010 - 12/25/2010
12/12/2010 - 12/18/2010
12/5/2010 - 12/11/2010
11/28/2010 - 12/4/2010
11/21/2010 - 11/27/2010
11/14/2010 - 11/20/2010
11/7/2010 - 11/13/2010
10/31/2010 - 11/6/2010
10/24/2010 - 10/30/2010
10/17/2010 - 10/23/2010
10/10/2010 - 10/16/2010
10/3/2010 - 10/9/2010
9/26/2010 - 10/2/2010
9/19/2010 - 9/25/2010
9/12/2010 - 9/18/2010
9/5/2010 - 9/11/2010
8/29/2010 - 9/4/2010
8/22/2010 - 8/28/2010
8/15/2010 - 8/21/2010
8/8/2010 - 8/14/2010
8/1/2010 - 8/7/2010
7/25/2010 - 7/31/2010
7/18/2010 - 7/24/2010
7/11/2010 - 7/17/2010
7/4/2010 - 7/10/2010
6/27/2010 - 7/3/2010
6/20/2010 - 6/26/2010
6/13/2010 - 6/19/2010
6/6/2010 - 6/12/2010
5/30/2010 - 6/5/2010
5/23/2010 - 5/29/2010
5/16/2010 - 5/22/2010
5/9/2010 - 5/15/2010
5/2/2010 - 5/8/2010
4/25/2010 - 5/1/2010
4/18/2010 - 4/24/2010
4/11/2010 - 4/17/2010
4/4/2010 - 4/10/2010
3/28/2010 - 4/3/2010
3/21/2010 - 3/27/2010
3/14/2010 - 3/20/2010
3/7/2010 - 3/13/2010
2/28/2010 - 3/6/2010
2/21/2010 - 2/27/2010
2/14/2010 - 2/20/2010
2/7/2010 - 2/13/2010
1/31/2010 - 2/6/2010
1/24/2010 - 1/30/2010
1/17/2010 - 1/23/2010
1/10/2010 - 1/16/2010
1/3/2010 - 1/9/2010
12/27/2009 - 1/2/2010
12/20/2009 - 12/26/2009
12/13/2009 - 12/19/2009
12/6/2009 - 12/12/2009
11/29/2009 - 12/5/2009
11/22/2009 - 11/28/2009
11/15/2009 - 11/21/2009
11/8/2009 - 11/14/2009
11/1/2009 - 11/7/2009
10/25/2009 - 10/31/2009
10/18/2009 - 10/24/2009
10/11/2009 - 10/17/2009
10/4/2009 - 10/10/2009
9/27/2009 - 10/3/2009
9/20/2009 - 9/26/2009
9/13/2009 - 9/19/2009
9/6/2009 - 9/12/2009
8/30/2009 - 9/5/2009
8/23/2009 - 8/29/2009
8/16/2009 - 8/22/2009
8/9/2009 - 8/15/2009
8/2/2009 - 8/8/2009
7/26/2009 - 8/1/2009
7/19/2009 - 7/25/2009
7/12/2009 - 7/18/2009
7/5/2009 - 7/11/2009
6/28/2009 - 7/4/2009
6/21/2009 - 6/27/2009
6/14/2009 - 6/20/2009
6/7/2009 - 6/13/2009
5/31/2009 - 6/6/2009
5/24/2009 - 5/30/2009
5/17/2009 - 5/23/2009
5/10/2009 - 5/16/2009
5/3/2009 - 5/9/2009
4/26/2009 - 5/2/2009
4/19/2009 - 4/25/2009
4/12/2009 - 4/18/2009
4/5/2009 - 4/11/2009
3/29/2009 - 4/4/2009
3/22/2009 - 3/28/2009
3/15/2009 - 3/21/2009
3/8/2009 - 3/14/2009
3/1/2009 - 3/7/2009
2/22/2009 - 2/28/2009
2/15/2009 - 2/21/2009
2/8/2009 - 2/14/2009
2/1/2009 - 2/7/2009
1/25/2009 - 1/31/2009
1/18/2009 - 1/24/2009
1/11/2009 - 1/17/2009
1/4/2009 - 1/10/2009
12/28/2008 - 1/3/2009
12/21/2008 - 12/27/2008
12/14/2008 - 12/20/2008
12/7/2008 - 12/13/2008
11/30/2008 - 12/6/2008
11/23/2008 - 11/29/2008
11/16/2008 - 11/22/2008
11/9/2008 - 11/15/2008
11/2/2008 - 11/8/2008
10/26/2008 - 11/1/2008
10/19/2008 - 10/25/2008
10/12/2008 - 10/18/2008
10/5/2008 - 10/11/2008
9/28/2008 - 10/4/2008
9/21/2008 - 9/27/2008
9/14/2008 - 9/20/2008
9/7/2008 - 9/13/2008
8/31/2008 - 9/6/2008
8/24/2008 - 8/30/2008
8/17/2008 - 8/23/2008
8/10/2008 - 8/16/2008
8/3/2008 - 8/9/2008
7/27/2008 - 8/2/2008
7/20/2008 - 7/26/2008
7/13/2008 - 7/19/2008
7/6/2008 - 7/12/2008
6/29/2008 - 7/5/2008
6/22/2008 - 6/28/2008
6/15/2008 - 6/21/2008
6/8/2008 - 6/14/2008
6/1/2008 - 6/7/2008
5/25/2008 - 5/31/2008
5/18/2008 - 5/24/2008
5/11/2008 - 5/17/2008
5/4/2008 - 5/10/2008
4/27/2008 - 5/3/2008
4/20/2008 - 4/26/2008
4/13/2008 - 4/19/2008
4/6/2008 - 4/12/2008
3/30/2008 - 4/5/2008
3/23/2008 - 3/29/2008
3/16/2008 - 3/22/2008
3/9/2008 - 3/15/2008
3/2/2008 - 3/8/2008
2/24/2008 - 3/1/2008
2/17/2008 - 2/23/2008
2/10/2008 - 2/16/2008
2/3/2008 - 2/9/2008
1/27/2008 - 2/2/2008
1/20/2008 - 1/26/2008
1/13/2008 - 1/19/2008
1/6/2008 - 1/12/2008
12/30/2007 - 1/5/2008
12/23/2007 - 12/29/2007
12/16/2007 - 12/22/2007
12/9/2007 - 12/15/2007
12/2/2007 - 12/8/2007
11/25/2007 - 12/1/2007
11/18/2007 - 11/24/2007
11/11/2007 - 11/17/2007
11/4/2007 - 11/10/2007
10/28/2007 - 11/3/2007
10/21/2007 - 10/27/2007
10/14/2007 - 10/20/2007
10/7/2007 - 10/13/2007
9/30/2007 - 10/6/2007
9/23/2007 - 9/29/2007
9/16/2007 - 9/22/2007
9/9/2007 - 9/15/2007
9/2/2007 - 9/8/2007
8/26/2007 - 9/1/2007
8/19/2007 - 8/25/2007
8/12/2007 - 8/18/2007
8/5/2007 - 8/11/2007
7/29/2007 - 8/4/2007
7/22/2007 - 7/28/2007
7/15/2007 - 7/21/2007
7/8/2007 - 7/14/2007
7/1/2007 - 7/7/2007
6/24/2007 - 6/30/2007
6/17/2007 - 6/23/2007
6/10/2007 - 6/16/2007
6/3/2007 - 6/9/2007
5/27/2007 - 6/2/2007
5/20/2007 - 5/26/2007
5/13/2007 - 5/19/2007
5/6/2007 - 5/12/2007
4/29/2007 - 5/5/2007
4/22/2007 - 4/28/2007
4/15/2007 - 4/21/2007
4/8/2007 - 4/14/2007
4/1/2007 - 4/7/2007
3/25/2007 - 3/31/2007
3/18/2007 - 3/24/2007
3/11/2007 - 3/17/2007
3/4/2007 - 3/10/2007
2/25/2007 - 3/3/2007
2/18/2007 - 2/24/2007
2/11/2007 - 2/17/2007
2/4/2007 - 2/10/2007
1/28/2007 - 2/3/2007
1/21/2007 - 1/27/2007
1/14/2007 - 1/20/2007
1/7/2007 - 1/13/2007
12/31/2006 - 1/6/2007
12/24/2006 - 12/30/2006
12/17/2006 - 12/23/2006
12/10/2006 - 12/16/2006
12/3/2006 - 12/9/2006
11/26/2006 - 12/2/2006
11/19/2006 - 11/25/2006
11/12/2006 - 11/18/2006
11/5/2006 - 11/11/2006
10/29/2006 - 11/4/2006
10/22/2006 - 10/28/2006
10/15/2006 - 10/21/2006
10/8/2006 - 10/14/2006
10/1/2006 - 10/7/2006
9/24/2006 - 9/30/2006
9/17/2006 - 9/23/2006
9/10/2006 - 9/16/2006
9/3/2006 - 9/9/2006
8/27/2006 - 9/2/2006
8/20/2006 - 8/26/2006
8/13/2006 - 8/19/2006
8/6/2006 - 8/12/2006
7/30/2006 - 8/5/2006
7/23/2006 - 7/29/2006
7/16/2006 - 7/22/2006
7/9/2006 - 7/15/2006
7/2/2006 - 7/8/2006
6/25/2006 - 7/1/2006
6/18/2006 - 6/24/2006
6/11/2006 - 6/17/2006
6/4/2006 - 6/10/2006
5/28/2006 - 6/3/2006
5/21/2006 - 5/27/2006
5/14/2006 - 5/20/2006
5/7/2006 - 5/13/2006
4/30/2006 - 5/6/2006
4/23/2006 - 4/29/2006
4/16/2006 - 4/22/2006
4/9/2006 - 4/15/2006
4/2/2006 - 4/8/2006
3/26/2006 - 4/1/2006
3/19/2006 - 3/25/2006
3/12/2006 - 3/18/2006
3/5/2006 - 3/11/2006
2/26/2006 - 3/4/2006
2/19/2006 - 2/25/2006
2/12/2006 - 2/18/2006
2/5/2006 - 2/11/2006
1/29/2006 - 2/4/2006
1/22/2006 - 1/28/2006
1/15/2006 - 1/21/2006
1/8/2006 - 1/14/2006
1/1/2006 - 1/7/2006