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MLB Notes

How frustrating is David Bush? First his impressive component numbers never matched his ERA. Then he was just plain bad last year. And now he’s posted a ridiculous 20:0 K:BB ratio over his last two starts. It looks like he’s reverted back to his helpful WHIP/hurtful ERA ways, which can be useful in NL-only leagues, but expect more disappointment shortly. And it’s a shame too, because there’s clearly potential here. I’m not going to nitpick the All-Star selections, but it’s unconscionable Jason Varitek is on the team and Johan Santana isn’t. Mariano Rivera is simply amazing. At 36 years old, he’s currently having the best season his already storied career. How about a 1.06 ERA, 0.64 WHIP and a decent 50:4 K:BB ratio. A reliever really shouldn’t be in Cy Young conversations, but he’d finish in my top-5 right now. Mike Pelfrey has allowed one run or fewer in three of his last four starts and five out of his last seven. Still, he was pounded in the other two outings and walked multiple batters in six of those seven starts. He’s finally showing signs of improvement, but I’d concentrate more on his ugly 59:43 K:BB ratio than his 3.93 ERA. How about Mark Mulder’s comeback? Who had the 16th pitch in the pool? Over the last five games, Miguel Cabrera is 11-for-23 with five homers and eight RBI. The time to buy-low has officially come and gone. Midseason awards: NL MVP: Lance Berkman – Chipper Jones and Albert Pujols are worthy candidates playing on superior teams, but Berkman has the better numbers and has played in at least 10 more games than each of them. Berkman leads major league baseball (and by a wide margin) with a .661 slugging percentage. He also paces the NL in total bases, extra-base hits, runs created and times on base. He’s also gone 14-for-16 on the base paths. His 1.107 OPS ranks first in baseball. AL MVP: Milton Bradley – He’s missed 15 games on the year, and the Rangers are in third place. Still, Texas is a surprising 48-44 and remains in the playoff picture, and Bradley currently leads the AL in OBP (.441), slugging (.596) and adjusted OPS+. He’s homered every 15.3 at-bats and has been intentionally walked more than anyone in the league. Teammate Josh Hamilton deserves consideration, but Bradley has a 126-point OPS advantage on him. NL Cy Young: Dan Haren – Most will pick either Edinson Volquez or Tim Lincecum, both of whom have had terrific seasons. But quietly, Haren has been the NL’s best pitcher through the first half of the season. He doesn’t have the gaudy K rate, but he leads the league with a 5.15:1 K:BB ratio, and it’s not even close, thanks in no small part to an NL-best 1.53 BB/9 IP mark. Pitching in possibly the best hitter’s park in the National League, Haren’s league-leading 0.977 WHIP is truly remarkable. AL Cy Young: Cliff Lee - Justin Duchscherer has been the AL’s most dominant starter, but because he missed almost all of April, this one comes down to Lee and Roy Halladay. Although Halladay has pitched nearly 20 more innings, the difference in ERAs more than makes up for it on Lee’s side. Both have equally impressive component stats. With a 1.037 WHIP and 5.21:1 K:BB ratio, Lee gets the nod. Posted by Dalton Del Don at 7/10/2008 4:17:00 PM

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MLB Notes

It doesn’t get much more impressive than Hiroki Kuroda’s performance Monday night. Facing just 28 batters, Kuroda needed only 91 pitches in the gem. And it’s always more satisfying when that first hit is legit, which Mark Teixeira’s certainly was. Kuroda was facing a Braves team that had flown across the country after waiting through a 1-hour, 50-minute rain delay in a 17-inning victory over Houston on Sunday, but nothing should be taken away from Kuroda, who has two complete game shutouts (17:0 K:BB ratio) in two of his last four starts. Jacoby Ellsbury has really slowed down, stealing just one base over the past 18 games and having been caught on each of his past three attempts. He’s going to be an extremely valuable fantasy commodity for years to come, but he’s also not exactly a superstar in real baseball. Outside of hitter-friendly Fenway Park, his line sits at .243/.302/.324 on the year. Speaking of speedy outfielders playing for big markets, Brett Gardner is a must add (and it’s probably too late) for any team looking for help in the stolen base department. With Johnny Damon and Hideki Matsui sidelined, there should be plenty of opportunity for the rookie who had racked up 34 SBs in 282 Triple-A at-bats this season. As a 22-year-old, he swiped 58 bases and has a career success rate of 83 percent in the minors. As someone who can take a walk, Gardner could even outplay the disappointing Melky Cabrera. I’m not sure who looks more pathetic at the plate right now, Wily Mo Pena or Andruw Jones, but either way, it’s ugly. Not that this is a new fad, but was there a rule passed without my knowledge disallowing the words “Brett” or “Favre” ever to be uttered separately? Speaking of whom, has anyone heard anything about what he’s been up to these days during his retirement? Since 2003, no major league outfielder has more RBI than Carlos Lee. After watching Miguel Cabrera this year and J.D. Drew over the last two, I’m more convinced than ever that the impact on hitters switching leagues cannot be underestimated. It’s a definite issue in the short-term. J.R. Towles needs to be reconsidered now back with Houston. His ceiling won’t be too high if he continues to bat eighth in the lineup, but he did post a .954 OPS with five homers and three steals in 61 at-bats after getting sent down to Triple-A. Sure, his first stint in Houston was dreadful, but since he plays catcher, the pickings are thin, and Towles offers unique HR/SB potential. Making sense of the Rich Harden deal: I trust Billy Beane fully, but I’m surprised he couldn’t get a bigger prospect in return, instead going with the quantity over quality route. Not to say there’s no quality in return, as the three major properties in the deal have all failed to live up to expectations in no small part because the Cubs have mishandled them. Matt Murton had a .977 OPS in Triple-A last year and possesses very good plate discipline. However, the power has disappeared this year, and it’s unclear how the A’s will use him. One thing’s for sure, it will be an improvement on how Chicago did. Eric Patterson has good speed with some pop, and his .875 OPS in Triple-A this season could translate into an adequate regular, especially if moved to the infield. Sean Gallagher is young enough to develop into the key of this deal, and he also might be the most fantasy relevant right away. As for Harden, his value gets an obvious boost with the move to the NL and to a team with a loaded lineup and excellent bullpen. But after looking at the return the A’s got, my guess is Beane thinks Harden’s arm is about to fall off. An easy schedule has certainly helped, but watching him pitch (a sometimes dangerous way to evaluate), Ricky Nolasco looks simply fantastic. Where did this stuff come from? I recently wrote about him, so I won’t repeat myself, but would it be crazy to currently treat him like a top-25 starter? Or is that a perfectly sane food to eat? Posted by Dalton Del Don at 7/8/2008 6:38:00 PM

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Harden and Sabathia in the same week!

So, NL-only owners, how do you handle having Harden and Sabathia join in the same week? Do you bid on both? Spend all your money on one in the hopes that you'll get at least one? Sit this one out? In my league, I probably don't have the money to win either, plus any winning bid over 24 must be kept the following season at the same price (interesting strategy: roll the dice on a big bid for Sabathia, banking on the hopes that he'll head back to the AL as a Yankee, thus letting you off the hook) and I'm on the verge of rebuilding. Posted by Kenn Ruby at 7/8/2008 4:30:00 PM

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MLB Notes

At worst, Grady Sizemore is a top-10 fantasy player and probably top-5. Since April ended, he has 19 home runs. While he’s not a big asset in batting average, he can take a walk, and his stolen base success rate has been fantastic (87 percent). Few leadoff/speed guys offer his kind of RBI potential, although poor campaigns from Travis Hafner and Victor Martinez will hurt his otherwise fine runs scored total. Sizemore is going to be baseball’s next 40/40 member. Johnny Cueto has allowed three runs or fewer in nine of his last 10 starts, but because he still lacks command, he rarely pitches deep into games and hasn’t been a big help in WHIP. However, there’s reason for optimism, since he’s allowed just one homer over his last four outings. Cueto’s K rate remains elite, and his LIPS ERA suggests he’s pitching much better than his cosmetic stats indicate. There’s some concern Cueto could be shut down early with the Reds out of contention, but he’s the type of player to gamble on who could help win your league for you over the second half of the season. I cringed when the Angels gave Torii Hunter a $90 million contract this offseason, and the first year of the deal has only solidified that sentiment. Hunter will turn 33 years old in two weeks, and he sports a career OBP of .324 – and that’s not even factoring in his subpar SB rate. His past production was solid for a Gold Glove centerfielder, but this is a player in decline, both in the field and at the plate. Over the last month, he’s taken one walk. Grant Balfour was a terrific prospect back in the day for Minnesota before he was ravaged by injuries, so his 2007 has to be looked at as more real than mirage. He still walks far too many batters, but it doesn’t get much better than just six hits allowed over 17.2 innings. Few pitchers can match his velocity, evidenced by his remarkable 14.1 K/9 IP mark. Manny Ramirez is clearly playing hurt right now. He’s seen his slugging percentage drop from .564 on June 10 all the way down to .495 currently. He has just three extra base hits in what nearly amounts to a month. I wouldn’t exactly be selling my farm system to acquire Matt Holliday if I’m a contending MLB team right now. Don’t get me wrong, he’s a fine player and might have even deserved the MVP award last season, but the fact he calls Coors Field home cannot be underestimated. He has a career .790 OPS on the road with just 38 homers over 1,173 at-bats. His slugging drops from .660 to .450. Holliday has improved his hitting away from home over the past couple of years, and his current .873 OPS on the road is a career-high, but it hardly screams elite player either. Additionally, he’s going to command a huge contract in 2010. They don’t call him Da Meat Hook for nothing. Check out Dmitri Young’s listed weight. I’m picking up Sean Marshall if available. It looks like he has a chance at sticking in the Cubs’ rotation, was excellent during his start Sunday and has a 12:2 K:BB ratio over his last two outings. He posted a 4.2:1 K:BB ratio in Triple-A this season with a 1.01 WHIP. Moreover, he gets the Giants next time out. How good was the Roger Federer/Rafael Nadal Wimbledon final? I’m not typically a big tennis watcher, but that match was nothing short of fantastic and one of the best I’ve ever seen. After a solid April but a down May, Nick Markakis has really turned it on. He hit .339 in June with more walks than Ks and also has 15 RBI and 17 runs over the past two weeks. Remember, this is someone who hit .325/.389/.550 with 14 HR/61 RBI after the break last season, and he’s improved his OPS by 175 points against lefties this year. Markakis has big potential moving forward. And what’s going on with teammate Aubrey Huff? He’s having one of the bigger surprise seasons of anyone in baseball in 2008. Help a bald brother out. And stop cancer. My thoughts on the C.C. Sabathia to Brewers trade? I’m conflicted you see, as it certainly helps my preseason bet I placed on Milwaukee to win the World Series this year (25/1 odds), but also, I blew all my FAAB in NL-LABR, so some team is about to get a whole lot better. Oh, you meant from a fantasy perspective and not selfishly? Sabathia gets a nice bump moving to the NL and there isn’t a pitcher I’d rather own. Also, pick up Matt LaPorta even in mixed medium sized leagues. Great article on “The Freak,” AKA Tim Lincecum. I especially liked the part where Lincecum’s dad throws Mark Prior under the bus. And apparently Dice-K and Jake Peavy are next. And how is Rick Peterson unemployed right now? But someone needs to tell Tom Verducci (and the general media) win/loss records mean nothing in regards to pitching performance. My favorite part was Lincecum’s reasoning for not icing his arm after games: “Never. Like my dad says, ‘Ice is made for two things: injuries and my drinks.’ ” Posted by Dalton Del Don at 7/6/2008 5:32:00 PM

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1/29/2006 - 2/4/2006
1/22/2006 - 1/28/2006
1/15/2006 - 1/21/2006
1/8/2006 - 1/14/2006
1/1/2006 - 1/7/2006