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The Big Three
I’m so sick of the Big Three.

I know Boston is a league-best 36-8 this year, but ever since Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett joined the Celtics last summer, all we’ve heard about it is their “Big Three.” Three Hall-of-Famers! Greatest team ever! Blah blah blah.

Put aside the fact that Allen and Pierce might not even be Hall of Famers (Hall of Very Good Players, certainly), is the Boston Big Three even the best troika in the league?

In a word, no.

If you were in a 30-team fantasy league and each team had the three best players on a given NBA team, Phoenix would be running away with the league. Would you rather have Garnett, Allen, and Pierce or Steve Nash, Amare Stoudemire, and Shawn Marion?

In addition to the Suns, there are six other teams that have better “Big Threes,” at least fantasy-wise, than the Celtics: Orlando, Denver, New Orleans, Charlotte, Utah, and Golden State. And that doesn’t even count the Lakers, who technically have a better Big Three now that Pau Gasol has been acquired. Now, I’d certainly rather have the Boston threesome than Baron Davis, Andris Biedrins, and Monta Ellis, but the numbers don’t lie.

The most shocking thing about this exercise, however, is who has the worst Big Three? You might think Seattle, Minnesota, Chicago or New York, but you’d be wrong.

It’s Portland.

Brandon Roy, LaMarcus Aldridge, and Travis Outlaw may be the leaders of the 26-19 Blazers, but fantasy-wise, they’re nothing special. On the other hand, if you were to take the top nine players on each team, Portland would probably do a lot better. It’s a testament to their unselfish play and depth that even with only one legitimate star, they could stay be in contention in the tough Western Conference.

Here are the rankings, based on the standard eight categories:

  1. Suns (Amare Stoudemire, Shawn Marion, Steve Nash)
  2. Magic (Dwight Howard, Hidayet Turkoglu, Rashard Lewis)
  3. Nuggets (Marcus Camby, Allen Iverson, Carmelo Anthony)
  4. Hornets (Chris Paul, David West, Tyson Chandler)
  5. Bobcats (Gerald Wallace, Emeka Okafor, Jason Richardson)
  6. Jazz (Carlos Boozer, Deron Williams, Andrei Kirilenko)
  7. Warriors (Baron Davis, Andris Biedrins, Monta Ellis)
  8. Celtics (Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce, Ray Allen)
  9. Grizzlies (Pau Gasol, Mike Miller, Rudy Gay)
  10. Mavericks (Dirk Nowitzki, Josh Howard, Jason Terry)
  11. Pistons (Chauncey Billups, Richard Hamilton, Rasheed Wallace)
  12. Lakers (Kobe Bryant, Andrew Bynum,
  13. 76ers (Andre Iguodala, Samuel Dalembert, Andre Miller)
  14. Nets (Jason Kidd, Vince Carter, Richard Jefferson)
  15. Cavaliers (LeBron James, Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Drew Gooden)
  16. Bucks (Michael Redd, Andrew Bogut, Maurice Williams)
  17. Hawks (Josh Smith, Joe Johnson, Marvin Williams)
  18. Pacers (Mike Dunleavy, Danny Granger, Jermaine O’Neal)
  19. Spurs (Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili, Tony Parker)
  20. Rockets (Yao Ming, Tracy McGrady, Shane Battier)
  21. Raptors (Chris Bosh, Jose Calderon, T.J. Ford)
  22. Wizards (Caron Butler, Antawn Jamison, Gilbert Arenas)
  23. Timberwolves (Al Jefferson, Ryan Gomes, Rashad McCants)
  24. Knicks (Zach Randolph, Jamal Crawford, David Lee)
  25. Clippers (Chris Kaman, Corey Maggette, Sam Cassell)
  26. Bulls (Luol Deng, Ben Gordon, Kirk Hinrich)
  27. Heat (Dwyane Wade, Udonis Haslem, Shaquille O’Neal)
  28. Kings (Kevin Martin, Brad Miller, Ron Artest)
  29. Sonics (Kurt Thomas, Nick Collison, Kevin Durant)
  30. Trail Blazers (Brandon Roy, LaMarcus Aldridge, Travis Outlaw)
Obviously injuries hurt a lot of teams in these rankings, most notably Washington, Toronto, Miami, and Sacramento (I didn’t include Elton Brand for the Clippers because he hadn’t played yet, but they’d fare even worse if I had). I’m as shocked by you by these results. Golden State seventh? New Jersey 14th? Washington 22nd?



Posted by Kenn Ruby at 2/1/2008 8:54:00 PM

Comments (4)

Thoughts on the Gasol trade
By dealing a couple spare parts (Kwame Brown and Javaris Crittendon) and two first round picks to the Lakers for Pau Gasol, the Lakers make up for what has easily been one of the worst trades in the history of the NBA when they dealt Caron Butler to the Wizards for Brown. In doing so, they obviously upgrade their team and could seriously challenge the Suns for the Pacific Division crown (and a Top 3 seed). But this deal has a ripple impact on a lot of other players, and has some interesting storylines:

  • Obviously, this deal makes Kobe Bryant really really really really happy. Gasol is the best big man to come to the Lakers since Shaq left, and there will be no more talk of Kobe out of LA. Gasol has two more years left on his contract after this one and Kobe has three. Andrew Bynum and Lamar Odom are only inked through next season, and it will be interesting to see what the team does to retain those two. Maybe now the team mortgages it all and deals Bynum for Jason Kidd? They'll have a serious shot in each of the next three playoffs to do some serious damage. Can Gasol and Bynum coexist in the low post? Can Gasol guard quicker Fours with outside games? Our Dave Regan seems to think that Bynum will be a top 15 player next year. If they keep him around, the team will have to find a replacement for Odom in 2009-10
  • Brown, in turn, is dealt as an expiring contract for the player selected two spots behind him in the 2001 NBA Draft. Way to evaluate talent, MJ.
  • Memphis now currently is paying at least $15 million to arguably two of the biggest draft busts in the history of the NBA: Brown and Darko Milicic (think Joe Dumars would now mind Carmelo, Wade, or Bosh (or even Kaman, Hinrich, Ford, West, or Howard) over Darko?)
  • Bynum's status with the Lakers now is in a bit of limbo. Will Gasol move to Power Forward to accommodate both seven-footers in the lineup? If so, that moves Odom (6'10") down to the Small Forward position, and with Kobe (6'6") at Shooting Guard, the Lakers could have one of the biggest and best-rebounding teams in the league.
  • With the team finally signing a consistent post presence, Kobe Bryant is sounding a sigh of relief -- Gasol should make double-teams slightly less frequent. Gasol, in turn, should see a boost in efficiency, as he'll see much fewer double-teams in Los Angeles than he saw in Memphis.
  • The big winners might be Derek Fisher, Vladimir Radmanovic, and Sasha Vujacic. Plenty of open threes for them on Kobe drives and Gasol posts.
  • Crittendon is clearly an unpolished product, but the Grizzlies add a third talented sub-22 point to their roster. Is it an acknowledgment that they need insurance because Mike Conley might be too injury prone? It's probably just stockpiling talent (though maybe they should have insisted on receiving Jordan Farmar), but Kyle Lowry -- the only second-round pick of the three -- might be the best of the bunch.
  • With Kwame off the books next year, who do the Grizzlies make a run at? They're set at the 1-2-3 with Conley/Lowry/Crittendon at the One, Mike Miller and Juan Carlos Navarro at the Two, and Rudy Gay at the Three. Most of the best big men slated to hit the market, however, are restricted free agents: Josh Smith, Emeka Okafor, Luol Deng (Gay to the Four?), Andris Biedrins, Nenad Krstic, Shawn Marion. Unrestricted free agent Antawn Jamison might make sense as well, especially if the Wizards break the bank to pay Gilbert Arenas and can't sign both, as he'll provide another outside threat and rebounding presence. Who do the Grizz target? This could be the opportunity for Marion to finally have top billing on his team, as he complained about this summer. And with Mark Iavaroni wanting to run an up-tempo offense, a lineup of Conley/Lowry, Miller, Gay, Marion, and Milicic/Swift could really make teams work for victories (though not necessarily have to guard the perimeter).

    Posted by Bret Cohen at 2/1/2008 12:56:00 PM
  • Comments (7)

    Lakers - Back to the Finals?
    As a Lakers fan, I've been one of Mitch Kupchak's bigger detractors over the last few years. From wasted draft picks (Devean George, Kareem Rush, Mad Dog Madsen, etc.) to not getting enough for Shaq.

    Has Mitch turned things around lately?

    With today's reported trade bringing Pau Gasol to LA for a bucket of balls and a couple of (hopefully) late first-round picks, the starting lineup headed into the playoffs should look like this:

    PG - Fisher
    SG - Kobe
    SF - Odom - needs to pick up his game
    PF - Gasol - a legit 20/10 threat every night
    C - Bynum - may be a top 15 player in the entire league by next year. And to think, lots of us (myself and Kobe) included were calling for this kid to be traded as PART of a package for the likes of Jason Kidd.

    Man that's a starting lineup that most teams would be envious of. He even managed to get rid of Kwame Brown, though of course only because he was in the last year of his deal - but still...

    I also like the Ariza pickup and Farmar has showed flashes at times. I only worry that there's not much firepower off the bench, but if this team is 100% going into the playoffs, things could get interesting.

    Nice job Mitch!

    Posted by Dave Regan at 2/1/2008 12:28:00 PM
    Comments (5)

    Is it Groundhog Day again?
    About a month ago Kyle pointed out that Tim Duncan had returned to the consistent double-double threat that he had once been in yesteryear. Today, I am here to point out that Duncan’s throw-back campaign has picked up speed and seems likely to continue to accelerate in the near-term. For the last month Duncan has averaged 21.9 points, 12.7 rebounds, 2.9 assists, and 1.9 blocks in 37.2 minutes per game. Duncan last averaged numbers like that for an entire season in 2004, and not coincidentally has not played that many minutes per game for a season since he won his last MVP in 2003.

    The minutes are one of the keys to Duncan’s re-improved production, but there are others. For one, the Spurs are not dominating this season the way that many expected them to. In fact, as of January 30 they are only 2.5 games ahead of the team in NINTH place in the Western conference. While nobody expects them to really miss the playoffs this year, the fact that a legitimate discussion could be held on the possibility speaks volumes. Also, the Spurs have been/are fighting key injuries, including the current absences of Tony Parker and Brent Barry, which causes them to have to rely more heavily upon the man once dubbed Groundhog Day.

    I think that Duncan is a great trade-for prospect in the short term because he is currently out-producing his expectations, but here is the key question: will these increased minutes and production by Duncan continue for the second half of the season? Since there is the legitimate (and ridiculous) chance that 10 teams in the West could approach 50 wins this season, for the first time in recent memory Duncan and the Spurs may have to play at a higher level than anticipated for most of the season to ensure that there is a post-season to prepare for. This makes Duncan a great player to own for much of the second half of the year.

    My only worry in fully endorsing Duncan as a “buy” candidate is that, presuming that Parker has returned to health and the Spurs have clinched their playoff position by early April I could definitely imagine Duncan scaling it way back over the last couple of weeks of the season to try to get fresh for the playoffs. Since those last couple of weeks corresponds to the fantasy playoffs, I would probably advise acquiring/holding Duncan until closer to your league’s trade deadline then trying to trade him high then.

    But that is my opinion. Anyone else have any thoughts on whether to buy, hold, or sell the Big Fundamental?



    Posted by Professor at 1/31/2008 1:47:00 PM
    Comments (2)

    Mr. Under The Radar
    In all sports there are guys that consistently float under the radar. Torry Holt comes to mind in the NFL. He is rarely mentioned as one of the top three or four receivers in the game, yet he seems to consistently put up All-Pro numbers every year.

    Some readers of last weeks column pointed out a player that for my money certainly fits the under the radar criteria: Antawn Jamison.

    It may start out with the fact that he is the third most well known player on his own team, or he is at best, only the third most well known current NBA player from the University of North Carolina. It might even stem from the fact that with his unique spelling of his first name, most people misspell it.

    Whatever the reason, a guy averaging 21 points and 10 rebounds this year and 19.5 points and 7.8 rebounds for his career shouldn't be under the radar.

    With Jamison having a career-year and helping Caron Butler lead the Wizards to an unexpected playoff run, here's hoping your named to the Eastern Conference All-Star Team. Maybe you can finally be where you belong, on the radar, instead of under it.



    Posted by Kyle Fisher at 1/30/2008 11:08:00 AM
    Comments (1)

    Kidd-ing Around
    The conventional wisdom seems to think that Dallas will be a major player in the Jason Kidd sweepstakes. Makes sense. The Mavs weren't good enough to win the championship last season, and though they're generally considered a contender, few observers would make the case that their chances in '08 are any better than they were in '07.

    A splashy addition like J-Kidd would seem to fit Mark Cuban's modus operandi. And the injury to Devin Harris -- reportedly out for two-to-three weeks with a bone bruise in his ankle -- might create some urgency, right?

    Maybe not.

    According to a report in the Dallas Morning News, the Mavs are looking at Harris' injury as an opportunity to take an extended look at Jose Barea -- and Cuban isn't eager to take on Kidd's salary and the associated luxury tax. So for the time being, Jason Terry will slide into the starting point guard spot and Barea will take over as his primary backup. He's shooting better than 40 percent from three this season in limited minutes and could emerge as a decent backcourt option for players in deep leagues. As of now he's zero percent owned in Ultimate Fantasy Commissioner.

    In other point guard news, it appears that Damon Stoudamire's destination, once he clears waivers, will be San Antonio. In the short term that likely means a nice bump in value, as Tony Parker is suffering from bone spurs in his heel. But if you do make a claim on Mighty Mouse, do it knowing that he's likely to be a short-term play at best. It's pretty unlikely that he'll steal too much playing time from Parker, Manu Ginobili or even Brent Barry when (if) the Spurs get healthy down the stretch.



    Posted by Charlie Zegers at 1/30/2008 11:07:00 AM
    Comments (0)

    Mike Conley's Latest Injury
    I was in the house for the Wizards-Grizzlies game last Friday, and though the Memphis Commerical Appeal is reporting Mike Conley's latest injury as a chest/rib contusion, I wouldn't be surprised if it was a recurrence of his shoulder injury he suffered earlier in the season. I had four surgeries on my chronically dislocating shoulder from 2001 to 2004, and when I saw Conley get up from his collision, he was holding his arm out and away from his body, much as one does when their shoulder is dislocated (being unable to rotate it back into place). Now, I just searched through our notes on Conley since suffered his original shoulder injury, and the reports have only indicated that the injury was a "strained shoulder," and there was no indication as to a dislocation. While I'm no Stephania Bell, from my own experience I know that the problem with shoulder dislocations is that they stretch out the ligaments holding the joint in place, essentially resulting in a chronic "strain" on the ligaments, with symptoms immediately following a dislocation. If I'm correct in what I saw happen to Conley, and he indeed is having problems with shoulder dislocation (which happened to me on numerous occasions playing basketball), there could be serious long-term implications (see Nick Collison's nonexistent rookie season). For those of you with Conley in keeper leagues, if indeed his shoulder is dislocating, and normal strength training and therapy can't prevent it from happening, he might need surgery that could keep him out for a large part of a season -- if not a full season -- like Collison.

    Posted by Bret Cohen at 1/27/2008 2:38:00 PM
    Comments (3)

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    9/13/2009 - 9/19/2009
    9/6/2009 - 9/12/2009
    8/30/2009 - 9/5/2009
    8/23/2009 - 8/29/2009
    8/16/2009 - 8/22/2009
    8/9/2009 - 8/15/2009
    8/2/2009 - 8/8/2009
    7/26/2009 - 8/1/2009
    7/19/2009 - 7/25/2009
    7/12/2009 - 7/18/2009
    7/5/2009 - 7/11/2009
    6/28/2009 - 7/4/2009
    6/21/2009 - 6/27/2009
    6/14/2009 - 6/20/2009
    6/7/2009 - 6/13/2009
    5/31/2009 - 6/6/2009
    5/24/2009 - 5/30/2009
    5/17/2009 - 5/23/2009
    5/10/2009 - 5/16/2009
    5/3/2009 - 5/9/2009
    4/26/2009 - 5/2/2009
    4/19/2009 - 4/25/2009
    4/12/2009 - 4/18/2009
    4/5/2009 - 4/11/2009
    3/29/2009 - 4/4/2009
    3/22/2009 - 3/28/2009
    3/15/2009 - 3/21/2009
    3/8/2009 - 3/14/2009
    3/1/2009 - 3/7/2009
    2/22/2009 - 2/28/2009
    2/15/2009 - 2/21/2009
    2/8/2009 - 2/14/2009
    2/1/2009 - 2/7/2009
    1/25/2009 - 1/31/2009
    1/18/2009 - 1/24/2009
    1/11/2009 - 1/17/2009
    1/4/2009 - 1/10/2009
    12/28/2008 - 1/3/2009
    12/21/2008 - 12/27/2008
    12/14/2008 - 12/20/2008
    12/7/2008 - 12/13/2008
    11/30/2008 - 12/6/2008
    11/23/2008 - 11/29/2008
    11/16/2008 - 11/22/2008
    11/9/2008 - 11/15/2008
    11/2/2008 - 11/8/2008
    10/26/2008 - 11/1/2008
    10/19/2008 - 10/25/2008
    10/12/2008 - 10/18/2008
    10/5/2008 - 10/11/2008
    9/28/2008 - 10/4/2008
    9/21/2008 - 9/27/2008
    9/14/2008 - 9/20/2008
    9/7/2008 - 9/13/2008
    8/31/2008 - 9/6/2008
    8/24/2008 - 8/30/2008
    8/17/2008 - 8/23/2008
    8/10/2008 - 8/16/2008
    8/3/2008 - 8/9/2008
    7/27/2008 - 8/2/2008
    7/20/2008 - 7/26/2008
    7/13/2008 - 7/19/2008
    7/6/2008 - 7/12/2008
    6/29/2008 - 7/5/2008
    6/22/2008 - 6/28/2008
    6/15/2008 - 6/21/2008
    6/8/2008 - 6/14/2008
    6/1/2008 - 6/7/2008
    5/25/2008 - 5/31/2008
    5/18/2008 - 5/24/2008
    5/11/2008 - 5/17/2008
    5/4/2008 - 5/10/2008
    4/27/2008 - 5/3/2008
    4/20/2008 - 4/26/2008
    4/13/2008 - 4/19/2008
    4/6/2008 - 4/12/2008
    3/30/2008 - 4/5/2008
    3/23/2008 - 3/29/2008
    3/16/2008 - 3/22/2008
    3/9/2008 - 3/15/2008
    3/2/2008 - 3/8/2008
    2/24/2008 - 3/1/2008
    2/17/2008 - 2/23/2008
    2/10/2008 - 2/16/2008
    2/3/2008 - 2/9/2008
    1/27/2008 - 2/2/2008
    1/20/2008 - 1/26/2008
    1/13/2008 - 1/19/2008
    1/6/2008 - 1/12/2008
    12/30/2007 - 1/5/2008
    12/23/2007 - 12/29/2007
    12/16/2007 - 12/22/2007
    12/9/2007 - 12/15/2007
    12/2/2007 - 12/8/2007
    11/25/2007 - 12/1/2007
    11/18/2007 - 11/24/2007
    11/11/2007 - 11/17/2007
    11/4/2007 - 11/10/2007
    10/28/2007 - 11/3/2007
    10/21/2007 - 10/27/2007
    10/14/2007 - 10/20/2007
    10/7/2007 - 10/13/2007
    9/30/2007 - 10/6/2007
    9/23/2007 - 9/29/2007
    9/16/2007 - 9/22/2007
    9/9/2007 - 9/15/2007
    9/2/2007 - 9/8/2007
    8/26/2007 - 9/1/2007
    8/19/2007 - 8/25/2007
    8/12/2007 - 8/18/2007
    8/5/2007 - 8/11/2007
    7/29/2007 - 8/4/2007
    7/22/2007 - 7/28/2007
    7/15/2007 - 7/21/2007
    7/8/2007 - 7/14/2007
    7/1/2007 - 7/7/2007
    6/24/2007 - 6/30/2007
    6/17/2007 - 6/23/2007
    6/10/2007 - 6/16/2007
    6/3/2007 - 6/9/2007
    5/27/2007 - 6/2/2007
    5/20/2007 - 5/26/2007
    5/13/2007 - 5/19/2007
    5/6/2007 - 5/12/2007
    4/29/2007 - 5/5/2007
    4/22/2007 - 4/28/2007
    4/15/2007 - 4/21/2007
    4/8/2007 - 4/14/2007
    4/1/2007 - 4/7/2007
    3/25/2007 - 3/31/2007
    3/18/2007 - 3/24/2007
    3/11/2007 - 3/17/2007
    3/4/2007 - 3/10/2007
    2/25/2007 - 3/3/2007
    2/18/2007 - 2/24/2007
    2/11/2007 - 2/17/2007
    2/4/2007 - 2/10/2007
    1/28/2007 - 2/3/2007
    1/21/2007 - 1/27/2007
    1/14/2007 - 1/20/2007
    1/7/2007 - 1/13/2007
    12/31/2006 - 1/6/2007
    12/24/2006 - 12/30/2006
    12/17/2006 - 12/23/2006
    12/10/2006 - 12/16/2006
    12/3/2006 - 12/9/2006
    11/26/2006 - 12/2/2006
    11/19/2006 - 11/25/2006
    11/12/2006 - 11/18/2006
    11/5/2006 - 11/11/2006
    10/29/2006 - 11/4/2006
    10/22/2006 - 10/28/2006
    10/15/2006 - 10/21/2006
    10/8/2006 - 10/14/2006
    10/1/2006 - 10/7/2006
    9/24/2006 - 9/30/2006
    9/17/2006 - 9/23/2006
    9/10/2006 - 9/16/2006
    9/3/2006 - 9/9/2006
    8/27/2006 - 9/2/2006
    8/20/2006 - 8/26/2006
    8/13/2006 - 8/19/2006
    8/6/2006 - 8/12/2006
    7/30/2006 - 8/5/2006
    7/23/2006 - 7/29/2006
    7/16/2006 - 7/22/2006
    7/9/2006 - 7/15/2006
    7/2/2006 - 7/8/2006
    6/25/2006 - 7/1/2006
    6/18/2006 - 6/24/2006
    6/11/2006 - 6/17/2006
    6/4/2006 - 6/10/2006
    5/28/2006 - 6/3/2006
    5/21/2006 - 5/27/2006
    5/14/2006 - 5/20/2006
    5/7/2006 - 5/13/2006
    4/30/2006 - 5/6/2006
    4/23/2006 - 4/29/2006
    4/16/2006 - 4/22/2006
    4/9/2006 - 4/15/2006
    4/2/2006 - 4/8/2006
    3/26/2006 - 4/1/2006
    3/19/2006 - 3/25/2006
    3/12/2006 - 3/18/2006
    3/5/2006 - 3/11/2006
    2/26/2006 - 3/4/2006
    2/19/2006 - 2/25/2006
    2/12/2006 - 2/18/2006
    2/5/2006 - 2/11/2006
    1/29/2006 - 2/4/2006
    1/22/2006 - 1/28/2006
    1/15/2006 - 1/21/2006
    1/8/2006 - 1/14/2006
    1/1/2006 - 1/7/2006