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Fast Starts
I couldn't help but notice Tayshaun Prince's 16 rebounds the other night. Where did that come from? This is a guy who has never averaged more than 5.3 rpg in any season of his career, but thanks to a great five-game run, he's up to 8.8 rpg this year. Is it a fluke, or is Michael Curry's new system in Motown somehow responsible? I couldn't tell you for sure, but I can't imagine that he's going to finish the year with such a high mark.

It got me thinking about other players who could be playing over their heads in one or more fantasy categories. Guys like Tony Parker, Chris Duhon, Nate Robinson, Stephen Jackson, Al Horford, Kendrick Perkins, and Rasheed Wallace.

Parker is third in the NBA at 27.4 ppg, and while that's skewed by the double-nickel on November 5, don't forget he only scored four points in the next game before he got hurt. Parker is also crushing his career-highs in field goals percentage (55.6) and free throw percentage (88.9), but those seem more sustainable than the scoring average. He's never averaged more than 19 ppg, and with Manu Ginobili coming back soon to take off the scoring load, the 55-point games will be a thing of the past.

Duhon and Robinson may be beneficiaries of the new sheriff in New York, but Duhon's 6.8 apg and Robinson's 2.4 spg are both well ahead of their career-highs. Robinson started the year with a six-game streak of at least two steals, and Duhon is chipping in about four rebounds a night as well.

With Baron Davis gone, Monta Ellis hurt, and Corey Maggette at less than 100%, Jackson has been the entire offense in Golden State. Not only is he averaging a career-high 22.3 ppg, but the alleged ballhog is averaging six dimes a night. He's stepped into Davis's shoes nicely, at least statistics-wise.

I've been a big Horford fan ever since I saw how he handled the aftermath of last season's flagrant foul on T.J. Ford. He was good enough as a rookie last year, and while most of his numbers look the same so far, he's turning into an elite shotblocker. Thanks to a two-game stretch in which he blocked 11 shots, he's averaging 2.3 bpg.

Speaking of block parties, Perkins went a little nuts recently as well, blocking 15 shots in three games last week. With all of the weapons in Boston right now, Perkins is free to take chances. He's averaging career-highs in blocks (2.2 bpg) and rebounds (7.4 rpg).

Last but not least is Wallace. Every year I think: this is the year 'Sheed finally shows his age. And every year Wallace proves me wrong. Like Perkins, he's averaging career-bests in blocks (2.3 bpg) and rebounds (8.9 rpg). The difference, of course, is that Wallace has been in the league for 14 years and could very well be going to the Hall of Fame. Maybe there is something to that Curry system theory.

Posted by Kenn Ruby at 11/14/2008 6:59:00 PM

Comments (0)

To Drop Or Not To Drop - When To Cut Your Losses
There comes a time in every fantasy owner’s season when they are faced with the dilemma of keeping or dropping a player. Generally, there are four reasons why players get dropped: 1. Injuries 2. Lack of Productivity 3. Decent productivity, but upside players are available on the waiver wire 4. Need to rotate roster spots to combat injuries I have been forced to make some difficult decisions after Week 2 in one of my H2H leagues due to a roster that can’t get healthy. My 2nd round pick, Deron Williams, is still out with an ankle injury. My 3rd round pick, Marcus Camby (sore heel), is on a minutes restriction. Both Corey Maggette (hamstring) and Al Harrington (sore back, trade demands) are both out as well. Plus, my first round pick, Shawn Marion, is no better than Udonis Haslem right now. One of the keys in H2H leagues is to try to keep your head above water while your team deals with injuries or sub-par production. 4-4 ties or even 3-5 losses are OK as long as you stay around .500. I made a tough decision by dropping Manu Ginobili and an easier decision by parting with Al Harrington. Ginobili was a great value in the 12th round, but healthy players are paramount with injuries mounting. Harrington has upside, but is clearly in Don Nelson’s doghouse and won’t have value until traded. I’d rather have two starters (C.J. Watson and Kelenna Azubuike) playing 35+ minutes in the Warriors fantasy friendly offense than waiting for Ginobili to get healthy or Harrington’s back spasms to go away. Only time will tell if these drops will hurt me in the long run.

Posted by Eric at 11/10/2008 10:55:00 AM
Comments (6)

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