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Balk at Blatche
Today's discovery that Caron Butler's hip injury is actually a tear will probably send fantasy owners rushing towards his replacement in the starting lineup, young big man Andray Blatche. It's easy to see why - Blatche is tall, talented and in a situation where there's only one other legitimate offensive option (Antawn Jamison). However, upon further examination, Blatche may not be the frontcourt savior that fantasy owners are hoping for.

Blatche has started 13 of the last 15 games for Butler, so let's look at that period of time. In his first four starts of that span, Blatche was looking like another Jamison, averaging 15.3 points and 10 rebounds. Since then however, Blatche has tailed off significantly, to the tune of 9.3 points and 5.8 rebounds per game, including performances of 4/4 and 6/2 in his last two games. Moreover, the Wizards have been giving time lately to Darius Songaila and Dominic McGuire at the power forward spot, further lessening Blatche's potential value.

So where will Butler's shots go? Recently they've been going to the wildly erratic DeShawn Stevenson, who has averaged 16.5 points per game in his last ten contests. Those considering Stevenson however should note that he's a notoriously bad shooter, shooting only 38% from the field this year. Stevenson's fantasy value can be summed up in his last two games: a career high 33 points on 11-21 shooting was followed up by a five-point, 2-12 night from the field. Stevenson could be a nice pickup, but only in leagues that he can't harm you with his oft-bricking shot.

Posted by Ben Zani at 2/28/2008 4:51:00 PM

Comments (1)

Lucky 13
You have to admire what the Rockets did last night.

In their first game after learning all-world center Yao Ming would miss the remainder of the season and playoffs, the Rockets just destroyed the Wizards; the final score was 94-69 but it wasn't even that close, as the Rockets held Washington to a mere 22 points in the first half and were able to coast through extensive gar-BAHGE (Marv Albert inflection) time.

The win was great. The win was much-needed, after a day of doom and gloom. But I was particularly impressed by the way some of the Houston players stepped up and led the team to their thirteenth-straight victory. Consider:
  • 41-year-old Dikembe Mutombo started the game, played a season-high 23 minutes and contributed six boards, five blocks and several wags of his finger. More importantly, his veteran leadership helped to set the tone for the game. As I wrote in Working the Wire this week, I don't expect Deke to offer much fantasy value, even if he does start in Yao's place -- he's got too many miles on his odometer. But it was truly nice to see him step up for a team that needed the lift.
  • Tracy McGrady didn't contribute much -- going 4-of-15 from the floor. But Luther Head stepped up, leading the team in scoring with 18 points in 26 minutes. It appears that Rick Adelman will use Head as the team's sixth man and go-to bench scorer down the stretch.
  • Really nice night for Luis Scola: 7-for-7 from the field for 14 points. Carl Landry was also highly efficient, needing just six shots to score 12.
I don't know if Houston will make the playoffs. I don't know if they should make the playoffs. But I'll be pulling for them.

Posted by Charlie Zegers at 2/27/2008 6:54:00 PM
Comments (0)

That's Amare!
While the arrival of Shaq hasn't translated into the hot start that the Suns had hoped for, one player that certainly has benefited from the arrival of the big guy is Amare Stoudemire.

Shaq has been able to make it impossible to double team Stoudemire, and the results have been very nice for Stoudemire owners. Stoudemire is too quick for any centers and too skilled for many of the leagues power forwards. Simply put, no one can guard Stoudemire one-on-one. In the three games that Stoudemire has played with Shaq, he has averaged 32 points, eight rebounds and over two blocks per game. Stoudemire also has averaged 11 free throw attempts per game. Again with Stoudemire unable to be constantly double teamed, he should continue to get to the foul line at will.

Shaq has shown that even at his best he will not be able to replace the offensive firepower lost with Shawn Marion's departure. Stoudemire seems to be the guy that will benefit the most as Phoenix continues to run. Don't be surprised if the presence of Shaq continues to launch Stoudemire's game into the upper echelon of scorers in the league. For Stoudemire owners, that's Amare!



Posted by Kyle Fisher at 2/26/2008 6:41:00 PM
Comments (0)

NBA Notes
It’s safe to say the Pau Gasol trade is working well for the Lakers, who would look like the clear favorites to win it all with a healthy Andrew Bynum. As is, they are still right in the picture, behind only the Spurs as the team most likely to win the title this season. Gasol isn’t the best defender around, but his passing skills are perfect for the triangle offense. The 2008 NBA playoffs are going to be quite entertaining.

Jeff Green, Brevin Knight and Joakim Noah all need to be added in deeper fantasy leagues. Green has really improved his rebounding in this his fourth month in the Association, Knight should rack up assists and steals with Sam Cassell now out of LA, and Noah has a chance to stake claim as the team’s starting center after the roster shakeup. Noah has really impressed at times during his rookie campaign.

Despite being the No. 1 seed in the West just a few days ago, I’d be mildly shocked if the Hornets make the postseason. The Heat are 1-26 over their last 27 games. Wow.

Hakim Warrick is proving to be a more than capable NBA player since being inserted into the starting five once Pau Gasol was shipped out of town. He could stand to block a few more shots, but he’s averaged 20.8 points over the last six contests and is a huge help in field goal percentage.

Is it too early to declare LeBron James the second greatest player of all-time? What he’s doing as a 23-year-old is simply amazing. Very few players in the history of the league are capable of averaging 30 ppg while shooting nearly 50 percent from the field, and he’s also fast becoming one of the game’s best defenders. Last week, he averaged a triple-double over four games (28.8 points, 12.3 rebounds and 10.5 assists).

Manu Ginobili is a top-10 player in NBA basketball. The only reason few realize this is because he’s averaged just 27 minutes per game throughout his career, as the Spurs continuously focus on long-term goals. In fact, Ginobili has come off the bench in nearly half his games during his career. When on the floor, there’s nothing he can’t do. A terrific defender, Ginobili can get to the rim with the best of them and sports deadly touch on his shot, including from long range. If the league held a one-on-one tournament, he’d be a top-5 pick.

The Jose Calderon versus TJ Ford battle over the rest of the season should be interesting. No way Calderon is quickly removed from the starting lineup after what he’s done this year, but Ford is awfully valuable when healthy as well. At 6-3, 210 lbs, the team might try experimenting with moving Calderon to the two and playing both guards at the same time. Either way, both players’ fantasy value takes a slight hit with the current arrangement.

Posted by Dalton Del Don at 2/26/2008 9:43:00 AM
Comments (7)

Young Point Guard to Own?
Due to all of the trades and injuries in the NBA this season, there are at least 10 young point guards out there that are in new situations where they could change their expected production for the rest of the season: Devin Harris and Marcus Williams in New Jersey, Nate Robinson in New York, Delonte West in Cleveland, Travis Diener in Indianapolis, Marcus Banks in Miami, Earl Watson in Seattle, Randy Foye in Minnesota, Beno Udrih in Sacramento, and Mike Conley Jr. in Memphis. All of the guards on this list now have some degree of fantasy relevance over the last 30 games of the season, but which are the most likely to make an impact? I would put them in tiers, with tier 1 as the best bets and tier 3 as the borderline waiver wire guys that are worth keeping an eye on.

Tier 1: Devin Harris, Earl Watson, Randy Foye, Beno Udrih

Tier 2: Mike Conley Jr., Delonte West, Nate Robinson

Tier 3: Travis Diener, Marcus Williams, Marcus Banks

Watson and Udrih have each shown this season that they could produce on their current team, and now that some of their competition has been traded they should be safe bets to do well. Harris and Foye are both high potential guys coming off injury to new situations, so even though they have some competition at their position (Marcus Williams and Sebastian Telfair) they are still in the top tier due to their high ceilings.

Conley should play as large of a role as his body will allow for the struggling Grizzlies down the stretch, but questions about his durability and the fact that he’s a rookie point guard keep him from tier 1. West was a great fantasy option in Boston two years ago, but he struggled in Seattle this year, so he is a bit of an enigma. West should now have a chance to produce in Cleveland if LeBron doesn’t steal all of his assist opportunities. Robinson hasn’t stepped up much yet this season since taking over for Stephon Marbury, but he showed at the end of last season that he could put up numbers for a struggling team so he could step it up down the stretch.

Finally, tier 3 consists of the back-ups to other point guards. Diener heads this list because he is currently starting and Jamaal Tinsley’s injuries are lingering, but if Tinsley returns Diener probably goes back to the bench. Williams is also currently starting and doing well in New Jersey, but Harris is due back soon and as the centerpiece of the Jason Kidd trade you have to feel that Harris will get the job upon his return. Banks is currently the back-up in Miami, but with the Heat going nowhere and both Dwyane Wade and Jason Williams having some health issues it is conceivable that Banks could be the one to start the most down the stretch.



Posted by Professor at 2/25/2008 7:46:00 AM
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7/9/2006 - 7/15/2006
7/2/2006 - 7/8/2006
6/25/2006 - 7/1/2006
6/18/2006 - 6/24/2006
6/11/2006 - 6/17/2006
6/4/2006 - 6/10/2006
5/28/2006 - 6/3/2006
5/21/2006 - 5/27/2006
5/14/2006 - 5/20/2006
5/7/2006 - 5/13/2006
4/30/2006 - 5/6/2006
4/23/2006 - 4/29/2006
4/16/2006 - 4/22/2006
4/9/2006 - 4/15/2006
4/2/2006 - 4/8/2006
3/26/2006 - 4/1/2006
3/19/2006 - 3/25/2006
3/12/2006 - 3/18/2006
3/5/2006 - 3/11/2006
2/26/2006 - 3/4/2006
2/19/2006 - 2/25/2006
2/12/2006 - 2/18/2006
2/5/2006 - 2/11/2006
1/29/2006 - 2/4/2006
1/22/2006 - 1/28/2006
1/15/2006 - 1/21/2006
1/8/2006 - 1/14/2006
1/1/2006 - 1/7/2006