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My Sleepers
Posted by Peter Schoenke at 9/4/2008 1:15:00 PM
View more posts by this author

 

"Who are your sleepers?" It's the question I get asked all the time working for a fantasy sports company. Of course, the context of your league might make one player a sleeper and another overpriced. But after just finishing my 10th draft, here's who I targeted late in many leagues - mostly the second half of the draft. This list is late, but hopefully helps since many are probably still on the waiver wire.

RB

Chris Johnson (TEN) - You have to like it when a rookie is already getting praise from the coach and the starter is someone who's usually out of shape, injury prone you don't have confidence in.

Ray Rice (BAL) - Loved him in college. A promising rookie behind a banged up veteran. Could pay off handsomely.

Kenny Watson (CIN) - I still have visions of his 3-TD game last year. Chris Perry will go higher, but Watson probably has as much upside and he comes late.

Dangelo Williams (CAR) - This is the year! He had such a great college career with entire defenses stacked against him and seems to play well every time he gets a shot in the NFL. With the Panthers maybe giving him his shot to earn the bulk of time, worth a shot. You can usually get him late.

Ryan Torain (DEN) - If you can keep him on the bench for 6 weeks (out with an elbow injury), he's your very cheap lotto pick for the Denver running game.

Steve Slaton (HOU) - I just have a feeling he's going to emerge as the guy who gets the most carries with the Texans, and they're not a bad offense. It wasn't too long ago he was seen as a Heisman Trophy-caliber talent.

WR

Chris Henry (CIN) - He's out four weeks, but has huge upside when back (17 TDs in his last 35 NFL games). I can envision a scenario where Chad Johnson's shoulder lasts only a few weeks and Henry suddenly becomes a main target.

Robert Meachem (NO) - A receiver who has been in the system for a year (even if hurt all last year), has a high pedigree (2007 1st-round pick) and is in a high-powered passing attack - sounds like the perfect late lotto ticket.

QB

JT O'Sullivan (SF) - For a second or third quarterback, why not take a chance on the signal caller in a Mike Martz offense - even if the talent around him is lacking?


Comments....

TE Kevin Boss (NYG) Monster Target, Played well in Shockey's absence. I'll guess we'll see in a couple of hours...
Posted by sydneyshae at 9/4/2008 2:37:00 PM
 
Yeah if you're a Rotowire subscriber or writer and you're in an office or hometown league, then yeah, a Ray Rice may be a sleeper. Otherwise, he may actually be overvalued as you say.

I like Ronald Curry quite a bit.
Posted by vtadave at 9/4/2008 3:48:00 PM
 
I actually think Ahman Green is more of a sleeper than Slaton. We'll see how the year goes.
Posted by kevinccp at 9/4/2008 4:51:00 PM
 
HOW CAN C. JOHNSON OR RAY RICE BE A SLEEPER WHEN EVERONE'S ON THE BANDWAGON? NOW CURRY AND THE OFT INJURED GREEN ARE NOT SLEEPERS, BUT PLAYERS THAT HAVE BEEN AROUND WAY TOO LONG. YOU MIGHT AS WELL HAVE PICKED STEWART AND MCFADDEN, BRUCE AND CRUMPLER, BECAUSE THEY ARE THE POPULAR PICKS. MY FRIENDS A TRUE SLEEPER HAS TO BE OWNED IN LESS THAN 15% OF FANTASY LEAGUES AND NOT ON EVERY EXPERTS LIST, THAT'S WHY RASHIED DAVIS IS MY PICK (NOT THAT I KNOW ANYMORE THEN ANYONE ELSE) AS A TRUE SLEEPER.
Posted by hillbilly legend at 9/4/2008 7:32:00 PM
 
hillbilly - CAPS lock stuck?
Posted by vtadave at 9/4/2008 9:19:00 PM
 
Another deep sleeper, in addition to Torain, is Ashely Lelie.
Javon Walker's body is soon to implode and Lelie would be a
starter as soon as that happens. Curry would draw any possibpe double teams in that scenario and Lelie would get most of the deep balls by the howitzer-armed Russell.
Posted by PMain at 9/5/2008 4:53:00 AM
 
Rice and C. Johnson may not be sleepers in your league if people are high on them, but I've been in several leagues where they've gone late. League context matters a lot in terms of positions and locale (you're not getting sleepers from teams in your area).
Posted by schoenke at 9/5/2008 7:43:00 AM
 
Desean Jackson.
Posted by kevinccp at 9/5/2008 10:13:00 AM
 
Speaking of quasi-sleepers, I drafted Ronnie Brown 59th overall in a very competitive and knowledgeable 12-team league.

Ricky couldn't stay healthy in the CFL and got injured fairly quickly last year in the NFL.
Posted by PMain at 9/5/2008 1:42:00 PM
 
Rice is $1 and Chris Johnson $3 as default prices in ESPN's auction league. Just one example. They're cheap there if you're in a free league.
Posted by schoenke at 9/5/2008 2:04:00 PM
 
here's a super sleeper in the lightly owned category: Jason Hill WR SF - shot at 50+ catches in the Martz offense look for his play time to increase as the season progresses
Posted by junior775 at 9/5/2008 3:31:00 PM
 
Retards... Rashied Davis? Isaac Bruce? First off, the Bears are terrible and no one on that entire team is worth owning for fantasy purposes. Hester is a sleeper if anything because he can return kickoffs and punts, which might add to his deep threat ability. But no, I wouldn't say Hester is a sleeper anyway because he's one dimensional.

And Isaac Bruce... dude is as old as dirt. Sure he was in Martz system but Bryant Johnson is a straight athlete and should emerge as a true number one. He was a 1st round pick stuck behind Fitz and Boldin and shined when he played. That's a sleeper for you.

And although this guy originally predicted Chris Johnson and Ray Rice to be sleepers, he's got it all wrong. One thing he did get right was DeAngelo Williams blowing up this year. If any of you get a chance to youtube.com some of his highlights I suggest you do because the guy has vision way beyond his years. Plus Jon Stewart really wasn't that good at Oregon and I think it's highly probable he makes the same impact as Rudi Johnson in Detroit, slim to none.

Last but not least, Kevin Smith probably has the best chance to be the rookie of the year. As much as I love Rashard Mendenhall, Willie Parker has been consistent as hell in the past 4 years with Pitt. Smith runs behind a pretty beast offensive line, Detroit is on the rise this year, he reminds me of an old school runner like Gale Sayers/Walter Payton the way his body moves. This is the guy you need to grab and because no one else is really high on him he falls very late behind most of the other rookie RB's.

Not really sleepers, but my own small list of guys who will pay back the value you draft them at by a mile.

QB: Jay Cutler
HB: Marion Barber (if you have 6th or later pick you need to grab him)
WR: Anquan Boldin (better chemistry with Warner, might shake the injury bug for a whole year, a top 5 wideout when healthy)
TE: Tony Scheffler (even if Cutler doesn't become a stud this year, Scheff is his favorite target next to Marshall and is a red zone beast)
Posted by EliSailPass at 9/5/2008 5:13:00 PM
 
lets hope hes right... i have 3 of the 4
Posted by mikeynipps at 9/5/2008 7:33:00 PM
 
what do u guys think about marvin harrison this year. i grabed him in the 5th round in my draft(thought that was a great value)
Posted by mikeynipps at 9/5/2008 7:36:00 PM
 
Love Marvin at 5th round or lower. Maybe he's too old, but huge upside. He could easily get 1,000 yards and 8+ TDs if healthy. Didn't put him here as a sleeper because he's still a pretty early pick compared to these guys.
Posted by schoenke at 9/5/2008 8:14:00 PM
 
No one said I. Bruce was a sleeper, and you my friend need to go out on the proverbial limb. Your sleepers are not sleepers anymore, because everyone is drafting these guys. And if J. Cutler, M. Barber, and A. Boldin go off it dosen't make you f-ing Nostradamus. Try picking Antonio Bryant, J.Hill, or Josh Morgan. Hell give us something that's not so trendy or call Chris Liss and cancel your subscription. And for what is matters, I do think M. Harrison is great value in the 5th round. I Jason Hill could be in the right place at the right time.







Posted by hillbilly legend at 9/5/2008 9:16:00 PM
 
What about Eddie Royal out of VA Tech and plugged into the Bronco starting lineup right off the bat?

2nd round pick that seems to be completely overlooked.
Posted by XWedge at 9/6/2008 1:36:00 PM
 
I like the Antonio Bryant pick as a deep sleeper.
Clayton was a one-year wonder for T-Bay, Galoway's 37
and Hilliard is weak. Somebody has to catch the rock.
Posted by PMain at 9/7/2008 6:46:00 AM
 
"Wahhhhhhhh everyone is picking these guys wahhhhhhhhhh, go get some real sleepers wahhhhhhh".

Ok jerkoff, first off those guys ARE sleepers because they normally go way late after the 3rd and 4th tier guys are already taken. And you can't justify your response by saying everyone takes these guys. Atleast 200 or more players get drafted in every fantasy draft, would you like me to give you guys who don't get drafted at all? Is that your definition of a sleeper? Retard.

True sleepers just for hillbilly redneck:

Fred Jackson RB Buffalo - 90% of all rookie RB's who break 1,000 yds don't repeat the next season. It's obvious that Adrian Peterson will repeat, and probably shatter last year's statistics. But Lynch is probably looking at an injury or a decline in production. Normally I wouldn't suggest drafting this guy and no one will, but he's a better handcuff in the league that no one knows about.

Rob Royal TE Buffalo - Developed good chemistry with Edwards in the preseason, look for him to be on someone's roster after the first week or two. Won't put up top fantasy numbers but should be consistent enough to warrant a roster spot.

Chris Perry RB Cincinnatti - Oh I'm sorry, now that Rudi is in Detroit everyone is going to be drafting him right. Yea but he's still going to be better than most of the RB's taken before him. Good goal line runner, good open field runner. Kenny Watson is a great handcuff too.

Darrell Jackson WR Denver - Clearly was a top fantasy receiver in one of his only healthy seasons for Seattle. Week 1 Marshall will be out and I think he'll shine over rookie Eddie Royal. It might move him up a bit on the depth chart if he has a huge game.

Kevin Walter WR Houston - Often overlooked, maybe because he's white? Guy will put up elite WR2 numbers even with Andre Johnson's presence.

Derek Hagan WR Miami - Pennington isn't the best QB, but Ginn's one dimenionsal play style isn't going to make him fantasy gold. Hagan is a tall target, plays almost the same as Cotchery does and was a top 5 WR coming out of college at Arizona St. Look for him to put up good WR3 numbers if any of your better starters go down.

Devery Henderson WR Saints - Guy never gets drafted but is #2 on their depth chart. Go and grab him, although Meachem who is listed as 4th on the chart will probably move up in the 2nd half of the year.

Dustin Keller TE NYJ - Baker's presence in the offense is the only thing keeping him from being a top fantasy option. It was clear he was Favre's 2nd favorite target next to Cotchery and if the Jets plan on running a bunch of two tight end sets, look for him to be a top 7 or 8 tight end.

Jordan Kent WR SEA - If this guy can crack #3 on the depth chart, it won't be long before he's next to Burleson. Guy was hands down their best receiver in the preseason and if Seattle knows what they have in him, he'll be the next Marques Colston.

Go suck on that for a whil
Posted by EliSailPass at 9/7/2008 6:52:00 AM
 
yes, I took most of these ... and had a great year. Thanks Dangelo!
Posted by schoenke at 12/22/2008 10:44:00 PM
 

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