The Big Fly-Diamonds in the Rough-Pitchers
Posted by Thomas10966 (2691 days ago)
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Here are my current top 10 at 5% ownership and under in Yahoo leagues:
1.Bucholz-has actually gone down from 5% to 3%, mainly because he's in the minors. He may have been in the rotation already, but he had some minor hamstring issues when Dice K got hurt, so the Sox are using Masterson for now. Awesome potential here.
2.Carrasco-Phil-1%-he should be in the Phils rotation at some point and also has a high ceiling like Bucholz. In AAA last year he had a 1.72 ERA with a 46/36.2 K/BB ratio. So far in 2009 he's even better at 1.50, 10/12, and a nifty .917 WHIP. If you have room to stash a player like him, it could reap huge rewards. Titles are won with moves like this.
3.Brett Anderson-Oak-5%-he tore up the minors, posting excellent K rates in the process, and is now in the Oakland rotation. He may be a little raw and thus far has a 4.85 ERA, 1.231 WHIP, and 7/13 K/IP ratio. The key is that he's already in the rotation. If he's available in your league, certainly he's better than Chan Ho Park or some other veteran on your roster. Grab him now.
4.Morales-Col-1%-he flashed his potential in the majors in 2007, then disappointed in 2008. He should get plenty of chances with the Rocks before the season is over. He already started once, going six innings, allowing only one ER with a .833 WHIP and 6 K's. In his AAA start he pitched six shutout innings. Buy low before the window closes.
5.Hampton-Hou-5%-he was an ace prior to years of injury problems. He's not a sure thing, but his line of 2.45 ERA, 1.182 WHIP, and 13/11 K ratio makes him worth the risk. My best guess is he'll post nice numbers in the first half. I'd then trade him around that point.
6.Nunez-Flor-has fallen from 5% to 3% since Lindstrom is healthy for now. Nunez is the real deal, as he showed last year in KC, and Lindstrom is not exactly etched in stone as the closer, plus he had shoulder isues this spring. Add it all together and he could pay off big time.
7.McDonald-LA-2%-like others above him, he has the pedigree and potential. He bagan the year in the rotation and is now hanging by a thread since Eric Stults has outpitched him. Still, it's a long season, so even if he fails the initial audition he'll still have time to right himself and earn another opportunity.
8.Stults-LA-4%-I remember not liking his track record when he came up last year and he pitched fine, with a 3.49 ERA, 1.319 WHIP, and 30/38.2 K rate. I'm still not sure what to think, but he's 2-0 with a 2.61 ERA, so I picked him up for two of my four teams.
9.Lannan-Wash-3%-pitched better in his last start, allowing one run in six innings vs. a good Marlin offense. Unfortunately, the Nationals don't have nearly as good an offense, so wins are hard to come by, even for the team's #1 starter. Hey, at least they're using Dukes now!
10.Hawkins-Hou-1%-I have a feeling something is wrong with Valverde and he's next in line. I could be wrong (wouldn't be the first time), but if you have the roster space go ahead and take a shot, as the situation should resolve shortly.
Others to watch:
Marshall-5%, Andrew Miller-2%, Ohlendorf-1%, Gio Gonzalez-1%, Richmond-1%, Daniel Cabrera-1%, Pedro Martinez-1% (you can stop laughing now), Jo Jo Reyes-1%, Happ-1%, and Paulino-1% (I love 100 MPH fastballs).
By the way, feel free to email me at email@example.com or post comments on my blog at http://thebigfly.blogspot.com/here with any questions or comments. I'd be happy to hear from you. Good luck
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ST09 commented 2690 days ago
Just for the record, Morales did have 5 walks in that Triple A start against Reno. Colorado is going to blow anyway, I could see Carrasco lighting things up soon, but the real guy to own is Tommy Hanson. Ridiculous strikeout rates in the minors right now, he's going to get called up as Jo-Jo Reyes is just holding his place until Glavine admits he's going to retire.
Thomas10966 (Blog Author) commented 2690 days ago
Hanson blows away anyone on this list. I just looked and he is already owned in 13% of Yahoo leagues, so he didn't qualify using my criteria. It's amazing that he's available in 87%. I know he's in AAA right now, but he is a STUD and, like you said, he'll be up shortly.
HeirToKetwerp commented 2658 days ago
Grabbed Andrew Miller yesterday for a spot start against Arizona and he was very effective. Granted, Diamondbacks are a pitcher's best friend, but Miller made a slight change to his delivery that will hopefully allow him to go deeper into games. His potential is unlimited, and as a spot starter, he might be very useful in fantasy this season... especially if you need strikeouts.