37-Year-Old Kicker – Oakland Raiders
2015 Fantasy Football Outlook
One could look at Janikowski's poor 2014 season (27th in scoring) and point to the Raiders' 31st-ranked scoring offense, though the issues were even worse from Janikowski's perspective. The Raiders we...
Sebastian Janikowski Contract Information:
Signed a four-year, $18.9 million contract extension with the Raiders in August of 2013.
Janikowski made both field goal attempts and his only extra point attempt in Sunday's loss to the Lions.
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|Field Goals||20-29 Yds||30-39 Yds||40-49 Yds||50+ Yds||Extra Points|
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|2015 Proj||37||OAK||Subscribe now to see our 2013 projections for Sebastian Janikowski|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
|Fantasy Points Per Game||Kicking Stats|
|Year||Age||Team||G||Standard||PPR||0.5 PPR||Total Points||Points/Game|
|2015 Proj||37||OAK||Subscribe now to see our 2015 projections for Sebastian Janikowski|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
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A blank stat line is used above whenever a player was not on the field for any plays in the game that week.
Sebastian Janikowski: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
Janikowski saw his scoring drop for the fourth consecutive season in 2013, finishing with just 100 points. Although the Raidersí three-headed quarterback disaster didnít do him many favors, Janikowski failed to capitalize on his limited opportunities, connecting on a league-worst 70 percent of his kicks. The lack of accuracy was a surprising development, considering he hit a career-best 91.2 percent of his field goals a season earlier. The solid accuracy rates and long-range capabilities Janikowski demonstrated prior to 2013 would seem to foretell improvement, but an offense that still appears to lack explosive playmakers looms as a major hindrance to his scoring total.
Considering the Raiders finished 26th in scoring offense, Janikowski's 118 points last season are a respectable output. Even so, it was far off the pace of his previous two seasons in which he scored 142 and 129 points, respectively. Janikowski has improved his accuracy over the years and last season converted a career-high 91.2 percent of his field goals (31-of-34). His problem was the Raiders afforded him only 25 PATs. That probably won't change this season, unless it gets worse. But Janikowski still holds value, especially in leagues that reward long-distance kicks. He has perhaps the strongest leg in the league, hitting 6-of-9 from 50-plus last season. The last two years, he's made 13 field goals from long range.
Janikowski took a step back from his 142-point 2010 performance, but he still posted a fantasy-worthy 129 points last season. For leagues that reward long-distance field goals, he was even more valuable, hitting 7-of-10 from 50-plus. Few kickers are as trusted from long range as Janikowski, who has attempted at least seven field goals of 50-plus in six consecutive seasons, including making an NFL record-tying 63-yarder in Week 1 last season. Unlike many top kickers, though, Janikowski isnít supported by a prolific offense, which is why it was reasonable to assume the Raiders wouldnít again offer Janikowski 40-plus field goals and 40-plus PATs as they did in 2010. Still, 35 and 36, respectively, are healthy numbers, and Janikowski helped himself by improving his field-goal accuracy to 88.6 percent. Improved play from Carson Palmer this season should give Janikowski enough opportunities to match last seasonís production at the very least.
Janikowski came out of nowhere last season to finish second in kicker scoring with 142 points. The Raiders' 44 touchdowns were an amazing 27-touchdown improvement over 2009, and it was the team's highest total since 2002. Janikowski made a career-high 33 field goals in 2010 and tied for the league-lead with 41 attempts. The obvious concern is that it will be difficult for the Raiders to duplicate 2010 when almost everything went right for the offense. While the Raiders passing attack was much improved over the days of JaMarcus Russell, the combination of Jason Campbell and Bruce Gradkowski still produced just 18 passing touchdowns. Janikowski has two things going for him entering 2011, though. First, he has one of the NFL's strongest legs, making a league-leading 19 field goals beyond 50 yards the last four seasons (4-of-7 last year). Second, despite the great running game, the Raiders only scored touchdowns on 52.1 percent of their red-zone opportunities last season. Given the quarterback situation, that number can't be expected to improve significantly, which means more field goals for Janikowski. Accuracy has never been Janikowski's strong suit, but if he kicks closer to 2009's 89.7 percent than last year's 80.5 percent, it might help offset a drop in opportunities. Janikowski likely wonít repeat his 2010 performance, but he should still have decent value.
Janikowski might have been the Raidersí best offensive player last season. Despite the team scoring just 17 touchdowns, Janikowski totaled 95 points thanks to improved field-goal accuracy. He converted a career-high 89.7 percent, going 26-of-29. He also impressed from long distance, making 6-of-8 from 50-plus. Janikowski has attempted 33 field goals from that distance the last four years, making 18. The Raiders offense should improve with new quarterback Jason Campbell, whose accuracy and decision making are far superior to that of last yearís QB, JaMarcus Russell. If that happens, Janikowski might actually crack 100 points for the first time since 2004.
Janikowski hasnít broken 100 points since 2004, and the pieces in Oakland donít appear to be there for it to happen in 2009. The Raiders, who finished 29th in scoring and last in passing yards last season, expect marked improvement from quarterback JaMarcus Russell this season, but questions abound about Javon Walkerís health and rookie Darrius Heyward-Beyís NFL readiness. And even if Oakland improves, Janikowskiís accuracy isnít helpful. His field-goal percentage over the last four years is 72.6, and after kicking six 50-yarders in 2007, he had three last year.
Despite attempting his most field goals since 2002 and kicking 12 more extra points in 2007 than in 2006, Janikowski still failed to crack 100 points for the third straight season. His leg remains strong ‚Äď an NFL-leading six field goals from beyond 50 yards last season ‚Äď but his accuracy is still lousy. He was 23-of-32 last season and is just 72.4 percent over the last three. (Even excluding his 21 attempts from beyond 50 yards, he's still only at 78.8 percent the last three years.) The Raiders offense should improve, if only slightly, this season with another year of experience for JaMarcus Russell and the addition of running back Darren McFadden. If so, Janikowski might finally break 100 points, but he's still a long way from being a reliable fantasy starter.
The 2006 Raiders offense was one of the worst in NFL history. The team scored just 16 touchdowns, which would have placed them third among NFL running backs. Janikowski has struggled the past two seasons, hitting just 38-of-55 field goal attempts. With the loss of Randy Moss and inexperience at quarterback, the Raiders will struggle to score once again. Coach Lane Kiffin might get it turned around in Oakland, but itís likely to take a couple seasons.
He appeared to be settling in after a rough start to his career, but dropped to a 66.7 percent conversion rate in 2005 as the Raiders regressed as a franchise. Janikowski can be a valuable kicker with a good offense, but unless Randy Moss returns to his pre-injury form, we donít see a lot of improvement for the Raiders on that side of the ball this season.
The Raiders offense dropped off the last two seasons, finishing below the league average in touchdowns and field goal attempts. That has served to limit Janikowski to 94 and 106 points in 2003 and 2004, respectively. Those are middle-of-the-pack numbers. Heís done whatís asked of him, hitting 88.7 percent (47-of-53) over that time. Last seasonís improvement should continue in 2005 with the addition of Randy Moss, and quarterback Kerry Collins in charge of the Raiders offense for the second consecutive season. If the Raiders can find the end zone more often and get Janikowski more FGA, Sea Bass should return to the 115-120-point level.
After a shaky rookie season, Janikowski has hit 82.6 percent of his kicks over the last three years. He could be ranked higher if the Raiders offense were a sure thing in 2004. Janikowski fell off by 34 points in 2003, including 22 fewer extra points. The club only needs modest offensive improvement to return Janikowski to triple-digits.
Janikowski gets a bump largely because he kicks for a team that moves the ball. Oakland's offense ranked No. 1 in the league last year, resulting in Janikowski's most prolific season with 128 points (50 from extra points). He still has trouble with consistency from 40-49 yards (21 of 35, 60 percent), but he was a perfect 2 of 2 from beyond the 50.