31-Year-Old Wide Receiver – Green Bay Packers
2016 Fantasy Football Outlook
Who knew Nelson was the league's MVP? With Nelson tearing his ACL last August, QB Aaron Rodgers' alI-time great numbers cratered ó his YPA went from 8.4 in 2014 to 6.7 last year, and the Packers' offe...
Jordy Nelson Contract Information:
Signed a four-year, $39 million extension with the Packers in July of 2014. The deal includes $14.2 million in guaranteed money, with $11.5 million of that coming from a signing bonus.
Nelson (knee) won't participate in 11-on-11 activities until training camp, even though he said he would be able to play in a game if the Packers had one this weekend, Rob Demovsky of ESPN.com reports.
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|Receiving||Rec Distance||Big Rec Games||Rushing||Kick Ret||Punt Ret||Fumbles|
|2016 Proj||31||GB||Subscribe now to see our 2013 projections for Jordy Nelson|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
|Fantasy Points Per Game||Receiving Stats||Red Zone Targets||Rushing Stats||Red Zone Runs|
|2016 Proj||31||GB||Subscribe now to see our 2016 projections for Jordy Nelson|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
|Snap Count||Receiving||Rec Distance||Rushing||Fumbles||Kick Ret||Punt Ret||Red Zone Targets||Red Zone Runs|
A blank stat line is used above whenever a player was not on the field for any plays in the game that week.
Jordy Nelson: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
The league's most efficient per-play receiver for half a decade, Nelson finally saw heavy volume last year and did not disappoint; he finished as the No. 2 fantasy receiver behind only Antonio Brown, maintained his elite per-target average (10.1 yards, 2nd) and was second in the NFL in catches of 40 or more yards (8), behind only DeSean Jackson. At 6-3, 217, with 4.51 speed, Nelson profiles as a typical No. 1 NFL receiver, but it's his rapport with league MVP Aaron Rodgers that sets him apart. Rodgers looks for Nelson deep downfield and also in the red zone (28 targets, 3rd) and near the goal line (15 targets inside the 10, 4th), often on perfectly timed back-shoulder throws. Despite running deeper routes (15.5 YPC), Nelson caught 65 percent of the balls thrown his way and dropped only four of his 151 targets. Alas, a serious right injury ended his 2015 campaign in August, which opens the door for Davante Adams to see added looks in the Green Bay offense.
After an otherworldly showing in 2011 and an injury-riddled 2012, Nelson consolidated his breakout in 2013 even though quarterback Rodgers missed nearly half the season. Nelson posted his usual elite per-play numbers (10.3 YPT, 3rd) and had 19 catches of 20-yards or more on only 127 targets. he also saw his share of work in the red zone (19 targets) and inside the 10 (10). At 6-3, 217 and with 4.51 speed, Nelson profiles like most of the other top receivers on the board, and he benefits from his uncanny rapport with Rodgers, the leagueís most efficient quarterback. In fact, if you take the eight games where both Nelson and Rodgers were healthy, Nelsonís line was 49-810-7, numbers that prorate to 98-1620-14 on 11.6 YPT, a mark that would have easily led the league. Even in Nelsonís 12-game 2012, he averaged 10.2 YPT and scored seven times. Toss in his 15-TD, 13.2 YPT (the highest mark in the last 10 years at least) in 2011, and the Nelson-Rodgers combo has been the gold standard in per-play efficiency the last three years. While Randall Cobb should be healthy again, and Eddie Lacy will no doubt see plenty of work near the goal line, Nelson should continue to be the teamís primary downfield weapon, and Rodgersí top target in the red zone.
Of course, Nelson was going to regress from a historically efficient season of 13.2 YPT. And he did Ė to a merely elite 10.2. Nelson had only 73 targets, thanks to ankle, foot and hamstring injuries costing him the better part of five games. When healthy, Nelson saw 12 red-zone targets, converting four, and struck for four catches of 40-plus yards. At 6-3, 217, Nelson has excellent size and decent speed, and Aaron Rodgers often looks to him for the downfield strike. With Greg Jennings now in Minnesota, Nelson will split the receiving targets with Randall Cobb, James Jones and tight end Jermichael Finley, but as always in Green Bay thereís enough opportunity for everyone. Nelson had a procedure done his knee in July that was performed to clear up a lingering problem, with the expectation being that he'll be ready to go in Week 1.
The big-play receiver in one of the most prolific offenses in recent memory, Nelson averaged an ungodly 13.2 YPT, easily the most by any 90-target receiver in the last decade. Itís simply unheard of for a receiver to average 18.6 YPC and catch 71 percent of the balls thrown his way. Nelson had seven catches of 40-plus yards (tied for 3rd) and scored 15 touchdowns, second among all wide receivers, despite seeing just 96 targets. It helps that Nelson is 6-3, 217, with good speed and that Aaron Rodgers has a cannon for an arm and can buy time on broken plays. It also helped that Nelson saw 10 targets from inside the 10 (5th) and five targets from inside the five (5th). While Nelson is still a strong option in one of the leagueís top offenses, there will almost certainly be regression to the mean Ė even if itís still a strong 11 yards per target and a touchdown every 10 targets instead of every six. As such, a sharp increase in volume would be necessary to sustain last yearís numbers, something thatís not too likely with so much talent on the team, and Rodgers willing to throw to whoever is open.
Nelson was one of the Packersí four main receivers last year and could very well be one their top-two in 2011, thanks to a huge game in the Super Bowl and the decline of Donald Driver. Of course, despite Nelson's nine catches for 140 yards and a score in the big game, he dropped three passes (two of which were admittedly tough catches). Still, Nelson was easily the team's best per-play receiver other than Greg Jennings last year with 9.1 YPT. At 6-3, 217, Nelson's got plenty of size and good speed, and clearly Aaron Rodgers trusted him enough to target him 15 times in the biggest game of their lives. There's upside here if Nelson's role grows.
Nelson will continue to return some kicks and compete for the third WR spot.
Nelson will be in a training camp battle with James Jones for the No. 3 receiver spot in Green Bayís pass-friendly offense, although the end result may likely be a rotation between the two players. Once Donald Driver leaves, there will be an opening for either Jones or Nelson to become a starter, but Driver is still productive at age 34 and will keep the two youngsters on the bench for at least another season. Donít expect a huge increase from Nelsonís 2008 totals (33 catches, 366 yards, two touchdowns).
Nelson was taken in the second round of the 2008 draft and will need to fight for playing time in a crowded wide receiver group. It's hard to imagine him getting much playing time this season unless there are a series of injuries in front of him, but he has a bright future.