Pianowski had another 10-win week to pull into sole possession of first place. I went 8-7-1 and am now two games back. Stopa turned it around after a bad Week 1, going 9-6-1 and is not back in the thick of things. We also went 4-3-1 on our eight consensus picks last week, which doesn't sound too impressive, but if you made seven $11 bets at -110, you'd win $40 and lose $33 for a profit of $7 after paying the juice, i.e., 4-3 is 57 percent. This week we have three consensus picks: Seahawks, Jaguars and Dolphins.
Enjoy the games.
|49ers -2 at Chiefs||49ers||49ers||49ers||Chiefs||49ers|
|Bengals -3 at Panthers||Bengals||Panthers||Panthers||Panthers||Panthers|
|Browns +11 at Ravens||Ravens||Ravens||Ravens||Browns||Ravens|
|Lions +11.5 at Vikings||Lions||Lions||Lions||Vikings||Lions|
|Titans +3 at Giants||Giants||Titans||Giants||Giants||Giants|
|Steelers -2.5 at Buccaneers||Steelers||Steelers||Buccaneers||Buccaneers||Steelers|
|Falcons +3.5 at Saints||Saints||Falcons||Falcons||Falcons||Falcons|
|Bills +14.5 at Patriots||Bills||Patriots||Bills||Bills||Bills|
|Cowboys +3 at Texans||Texans||Cowboys||Cowboys||Cowboys||Cowboys|
|Redskins -3.5 at Rams||Rams||Rams||Rams||Rams||Redskins|
|Eagles -3 at Jaguars||Jaguars||Jaguars||Jaguars||Jaguars||Jaguars|
|Chargers -5.5 at Seahawks||Seahawks||Seahawks||Seahawks||Seahawks||Seahawks|
|Colts -6 at Broncos||Broncos||Colts||Broncos||Broncos||Broncos|
|Raiders +4 at Cardinals||Raiders||Raiders||Cardinals||Raiders||Raiders|
|Jets +1.5 at Dolphins||Dolphins||Dolphins||Dolphins||Dolphins||Dolphins|
|Packers -3 at Bears||Packers||Packers||Bears||Packers||Bears|
|Last Week's Record||8-7-1||10-5-1||8-7-1||9-6-1||7-8-1|
|Best Bet Record||1-1||0-1-1||1-1||1-0-1||0-1-1|
|Consensus Pick Record||5-4-1|
This week we have three consensus picks: Jaguars, Seahawks and Dolphins.
Last week we went 4-3-1 on consensus picks, winning with the Bengals, Steelers, Chargers and 49ers, losing with the Browns, Panthers and Giants and pushing with the Redskins.
We're 5-4-1 on consensus picks this year. We finished 2009 at 19-23-1 on consensus picks, and were 24-19-2 on them in 2008.
|Erickson||There are a lot of "trap" lines this week, some of which I'm going to jump right into, like Bengals-Panthers. Love the Lions getting so many points - while their LB/DB's need work, they're still a much better team than they were a year ago. Plus, they've given the Vikings their share of fits over the last couple of years.|
|Pianowski||I recognize Dallas hasn't shown a thing, but desperation and a line adjustment makes for an obvious lean... I get the idea I might be on the Rams most of the year, not sure how I feel about that.|
|Liss||By far the toughest week to date. A lot strange lines that seem too good to be true, and the question is whether the obvious is the sucker play, or just the obvious.|
|Stopa||The Jaguars, Broncos and Seahawks have significant home/road splits over the past few years. I'll take all three as home dogs... I agree with what Chris said about the Dolphins in ECO... The Steelers can't go undefeated without Roethlisberger at QB, can they? I don't see the Chiefs or Bucs as 3-0 teams, but I'll take both getting points at home... Last week the Bills got less than 14; this week it's more. It's only a point, but that point is huge, I think... Best bet is a Raiders team that is markedly better with Gradkowski under center. I see that as a 50/50 type of game, so getting more than a FG against a bad Cardinals team is nice value.|
|Del Don||Not one "best bet" jumped out at me this week, and I know I'm taking the sucker side with S.F. - a road favorite coming off a short week after playing Monday night.|