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According to the Data: Which Draft Slot Typically Returns the Most Value?

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales is the author of the Fantasy Football for Smart People book series. In addition to RotoWire, Jonathan also provides content to the New York Times, Dallas Morning News, DallasCowboys.com, and NBC.


Which Draft Position Is the Most Valuable?

In 2007, LaDainian Tomlinson was the first pick in fantasy drafts across the country. LT delivered in a big way that year, racking up 310 fantasy points even in standard leagues - 28 more than second-place running back Brian Westbrook.
The 2007 season might not seem like anything special, but that was the last time the top overall fantasy selection ended the season No. 1 at his position (LT was really the third-best fantasy player that season, behind record-breaking years from Tom Brady and Randy Moss).

In the world of fantasy football, many of us are guilty of thinking we're better prognosticators than we really are. The truth is that predicting the outcomes of something as complex as football is really, really tough, so it's no surprise that fantasy owners, even as a whole, are far from perfect.

But just how good (or bad) is the general public? What's the difference between the first draft

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