According to the Data: Checking in On Preseason Consistency Correlations

Checking in On Preseason Consistency Correlations

My first ever "According to the Data" column here at RotoWire was called Consistency, Volatility, and Predictability: Why You Should Draft Aaron Rodgers Ahead of Calvin Johnson. In that article, I discussed why understanding the consistency of each position on a year-to-year basis is crucial for fantasy owners. Even if you knew the top kicker would score 1,000 points this year, that knowledge would have been useless without an understanding of positional consistency, and thus predictability. That is, if the correlation between kickers' fantasy points in Year X and Year X+1 is zero, there's no reason to draft one before the last round, regardless of your projections.

One of the graphs I used in that inaugural post was a calculation of just how consistent each position is from season to season (below). I didn't include defenses or k

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