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According to the Data: How to Find Value on Second-Year Receivers

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales is the author of the Fantasy Football for Smart People book series. In addition to RotoWire, Jonathan also provides content to the New York Times, Dallas Morning News, DallasCowboys.com, and NBC.

How to Find Value on Second-Year Receivers

Although consensus fantasy football rankings have improved dramatically over the past few years, the general public still overpays for bulk stats. That is, owners generally draft players who have already posted respectable fantasy numbers over those who have yet to produce. That's not necessarily a bad thing, of course; all other things equal, you'd obviously prefer a "sure thing" over an unknown commodity. Having said that, one of the easiest ways to acquire value in fantasy football drafts is to identify those players on the verge of breaking out - the players in the Dez Bryant/Demaryius Thomas mold whose past production doesn't properly reflect their potential output.

Last week, I explained how to acquire value on second-year running backs; when everyone else is paying for carries and yards, look for second-year backs that were highly efficienct in their first years, yet didn't necessarily produce big-time fant

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