Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Worth the Price

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Worth the Price

This article is part of our Weekly Pitcher Rankings series.

As always, remember that rotations are subject to change, so if you see something that looks incorrect, assume that it was a change that occurred since this was written and feel free to politely bring it up in the comments. I'll let you know where the new arm slots.

For the week April 11-17

AMERICAN LEAGUE

START

RANKPITCHEROPPONENTCOMMENT
1David PriceBAL, TORA helluva slate, but if anyone can make something out of it, it's Price (I mean, there are a few others, but he's among them for sure). He has a 2.65 career ERA vs. BAL (122.3 IP) and 2.41 vs. TOR (145.7 IP)
2Sonny GrayLAA, KC
3Corey Kluberat TB, NYMWhen his fastball off, it's rough (literally all of the BOS damage was off the heat); FanGraphs' Eno Sarris has tabbed him as a bad-fastball guy, but if it's getting worse, perhaps his margin shrinks? For now, let's monitor and not freak out over one start
4Chris Saleat TB
5Cole HamelsBALHe allowed 2 HR to LHB in 2015; it took 2 innings in 2016 because baseball is weird and awesome; he settled down to have a really good start
6Dallas KeuchelDET
7Carlos Carrascoat TBOne of the biggest reasons not to worry after 1 start (other than common sense) is the super-grimy weather that affects a lot of these April games
8Danny Salazarat TBHRs just seem like a
As always, remember that rotations are subject to change, so if you see something that looks incorrect, assume that it was a change that occurred since this was written and feel free to politely bring it up in the comments. I'll let you know where the new arm slots.

For the week April 11-17

AMERICAN LEAGUE

START

RANKPITCHEROPPONENTCOMMENT
1David PriceBAL, TORA helluva slate, but if anyone can make something out of it, it's Price (I mean, there are a few others, but he's among them for sure). He has a 2.65 career ERA vs. BAL (122.3 IP) and 2.41 vs. TOR (145.7 IP)
2Sonny GrayLAA, KC
3Corey Kluberat TB, NYMWhen his fastball off, it's rough (literally all of the BOS damage was off the heat); FanGraphs' Eno Sarris has tabbed him as a bad-fastball guy, but if it's getting worse, perhaps his margin shrinks? For now, let's monitor and not freak out over one start
4Chris Saleat TB
5Cole HamelsBALHe allowed 2 HR to LHB in 2015; it took 2 innings in 2016 because baseball is weird and awesome; he settled down to have a really good start
6Dallas KeuchelDET
7Carlos Carrascoat TBOne of the biggest reasons not to worry after 1 start (other than common sense) is the super-grimy weather that affects a lot of these April games
8Danny Salazarat TBHRs just seem like a part of his game now, but at least a lot were solos last year, as was Frazier's on Friday
9Chris ArcherCLE
10Felix Hernandezat NYYCommand was unquestionably shaky in debut, but the stuff was still nasty (15% SwStr, 69% GB) so I'm far from panicked. I'd inquire about trades just to see if a discount is out there
11Justin Verlanderat HOU
12Garrett Richardsat MIN
13Marcus StromanNYYNever ceases to amaze how quickly a start can turn, for good/bad. Looked like he was going to roll BOS very early on, but pitching is never static. The stuff is evolving pitch-to-pitch based on so many variables. Oh, and BOS is really good
14Jake OdorizziCWS
15Jose Quintanaat TB
16Jordan Zimmermannat PITI think he's just going to be really solid and steady all year; not special, but very good
17Hisashi IwakumaTEX, at NYY
18Masahiro TanakaSEABattled to have a decent start against a tough team in 36-degree weather w/18 mph winds
19Ervin SantanaLAAFeel like we could've gotten a solid two-start week if not for that rain on Opening Day
20Taijuan WalkerTEX
21Drew SmylyCLEGee, TOR blasted a lefty? That's weird. Doesn't get much easier in Baltimore this weekend
22Yordano Venturaat HOU
23Carlos Rodonat MIN, at TB7 IP, 1 BB; it likely won't all come at once, but he only had 4 starts of 6-plus IP, 0-1 BB last year and they all came in last 11 starts (3.00 ERA, 1.22 WHIP)
24Aaron SanchezNYY, at BOSHe's right by Rodon for a reason. He had just 1 one of those 6-plus IP/0-1 BB starts last year: his last one on June 5; tough slate, but this is one of the early movers w/a ton of intrigue
25Anibal SanchezPIT, at HOU
26Kyle GibsonCWS, LAALast time he walked 5 guys in a start? His 2015 debut on April 9. Not sure that meager coincidence means anything, but he walked 2.8 per 9 the rest of the way
27Matt MooreCLE, CWSOne bad inning vs. the lefty-killing Jays (4 H, 3 ER in 3rd), but other 4 IP were really solid
28Shane GreenePIT, at HOUI'd be happier about that save if I didn't have him benched because he wasn't going to start!
29Kris Medlenat HOU, at OAKMakes his season debut this week
30Cody AndersonNYM
31J.A. HappNYY
32Collin McHughKC, DETI'm trying not to overreact on these 4 arms for HOU/NYY ...
33Mike FiersKC, DET ... but I'm probably failing by dropping this much
34Michael Pinedaat TOR, SEAThat said, the matchups, the rough debuts, the lack certainty already tied to all of them ...
35Luis Severinoat TOR ... makes this slotting feel right. Still starting in many leagues, but not universally this week
36Ian Kennedyat HOUHere to the end of the starts is a bunch of guys who had a mixed debuts or have yet to debut, but you drafted them for a reason, so I wouldn't sit them just off of one start
37Nate Karnsat NYYDebuts on Saturday
38Wade MileyTEX
39Hector Santiagoat OAK
40Edinson Volquezat OAK
41Derek Hollandat SEA, BAL
42Chris Youngat HOU, at OAKMight not be great in HOU, but should make it up in OAK
43Nicholas Tropeanoat OAK, at MIN
44Chris Tillmanat TEX
45Yovani Gallardoat BOS, at TEX
46Mat Latosat MINIt was kind of a good Phil Hughes-type outing with just 1 K and just 4 swings-and-misses in 88 pitches
47Martin PerezBALOnly 6 swings-and-misses for him, also in 88 pitches
48A.J. Griffinat SEAOnly 1 K, but not a bad return for his first start since 2013
49Kendall GravemanLAA
50Nathan Eovaldiat TORDo we even want to mess w/TOR with right-handed starters?
51R.A. Dickeyat BOSHe's a set-it-and-forget-it guy so if he was draftable in your league, you just gotta ride it out
52Rick PorcelloTORThe weather in CLE pushed him to at TOR/TOR to start the season ... ouch

SIT

RANKPITCHEROPPONENTCOMMENT
53Clay BuchholzBAL, TORNot dealing with him in this two-start slate
54Phil HughesCWSHe can maybe help WHIP, but he just doesn't miss enough bats for fantasy viability in many leagues
55Chris BassittKCBassitt, Fister already struggle for Ks as-is let alone facing the toughest team to K so I just don't see much upside w/either this week
56Doug FisterKC
57Josh TomlinNYM
58Ubaldo Jimenezat BOS, at TEXI never really fall for Ubaldo anymore these days. Good to luck those of you who definitely will
59Mike Pelfreyat PIT
60Ricky NolascoLAAI'm not really interested even if he somehow rolls KC
61CC SabathiaSEA
62Colby Lewisat SEA, BAL
63Rich HillKCI don't think I'm overreacting. Rotten spring was way too reminiscent of previous failures and then a first-start bombing. Be careful.
64Matt Shoemakerat OAKHis 2014 was believeable for the skills he was showing at the time, but the reason he was such a question mark was because we didn't know if the command would maintain; it hasn't
65Scott FeldmanKC
66Eric SurkampLAA
67Joe KellyBAL
68Jered Weaverat MIN
69Mike Wrightat BOS
70Tyler Wilsonat TEX
71John Danksat MIN
72Tommy MiloneCWS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

START

RankPitcherOpponent(s)Comments
1Clayton KershawSFHe good
2Stephen StrasburgATL, at PHIThe NL East two-fer! A lot of these for WAS, NYM, MIA SPs this year
3Max Scherzerat PHI
4Jake ArrietaCOL7 IP on 89 pitches in his debut. Looked a lot like 2H Arrieta, albeit vs. Angels who have little to fear beyond Trout, Pujols
5Zack Greinkeat SDDon't even love him this year and I'm still not freaking out over the first start as the flu likely played a role
6Matt Harveyat CLE
7Jose Fernandezat NYMStill notched 13 Ks even allowing 5 ER in 5.7 IP; he's going to be fine
8Noah SyndergaardMIAHis 93 mph slider was the talk of baseball after his debut, but I was locked in on 9 Ks vs. KC! That's like 15 vs. anyone else
9Jon LesterCIN, COL
10Patrick Corbinat LAD, at SDStill went 7 IP and only allowed 4 ER despite 3 HR (including one to Story and another to lefty-destroyer Ryan Raburn)
11Jacob deGromMIABack issue that popped up in spring returned and forced him out after 6 in debut; a situation to monitor
12Michael WachaMIL, CINTwo home starts vs. bottom feeders is really nice for a guy w/a career 2.69 ERA at home
13Madison Bumgarnerat LADHow much of it was flu and how much was the foot neuroma? Color me concerned on Bummy
14Gerrit ColeDETRib cage inflammation pushed his debut, but he finally opens his '16 on Saturday
15Johnny Cuetoat LAD
16Francisco LirianoMIL
17Shelby Millerat SDGoing to SD is the perfect situation to rebound from the ugly debut
18Adam WainwrightCIN
19Raisel Iglesiasat CHCReally eager to see him face a stiff test like at CHC after an A+ debut, albeit vs. lowly PHI
20Carlos MartinezCINOpens at ATL this weekend and then gets CIN, could be a really fast start for the impressive 24-year old
21Julio Teheranat WAS
22Jason HammelCIN
23Tyson RossARIAt least it wasn't 9 BB, but 4 2B and 5 1B made for a rough opener (just 1 BB and 5 Ks in 5.3 IP, though); sit tight
24Jaime GarciaMIL
25Kenta MaedaARI, SFSmashing SD not as impressive as his homer!! Eager to watch him twice this week and see what we've got
26James Shieldsat PHI, ARIThe only SD SP who did anything worth a lick in his debut and it was still just a baseline QS
27Aaron NolaSD, WASA bit underrated being on the Phillies, but if he smashes this double-up, the hype will start in earnest
28Wei-Yin Chenat NYM, ATLDET eating him up was no surprise, but getting drilled in the forearm is the bigger concern; supposed to be fine, though
29Steven MatzMIA, at CLE
30Vincent VelasquezSD
31Mike LeakeMIL
32Juan Nicasioat DET, MILTurning the lights on for real didn't faze Nicasio as he managed a huge debut to follow the big spring; DET is tough, but the right lineup for his two-pitch arsenal as it's right-handed heavy and plays into that devastating slider
33Gio GonzalezATL, at PHI
34Andrew Cashnerat PHI, ARIInclination is to freak because bad debut feels like carryover from wretched '15, but it's still one start vs. a good LAD lineup; but he's on notice now
35Scott KazmirSFHow seriously can we take starts vs. SD as indicative of something good?
36Jimmy Nelsonat PIT
37Tanner RoarkATLRain messed w/his start, though he did come back after the delay
38Joe RossATLDebuts Saturday, eager to see how he does
39Jerad EickhoffSDInitial start looked exactly like '15 debut: domination of RHB (.536 OPS), hit by LHB (.804); love just about anyone vs. SD, though
40Kyle HendricksCOL
41John LackeyCINHe'll be a mid-to-high 3.00s ERA so don't flip out over the debut, but he won't be that '15 version
42Adam Conleyat NYMCouldn't command his stuff for anything in debut; seemed over-amped and was aiming instead of pitching; hang with 'em
43Brandon Finneganat STL
44Drew Pomeranzat PHI
45Matt Wislerat WASInitial start looked exactly like '15 debut: domination of RHB (.533 OPS), hit by LHB (1.098); don't let Harper beat you, Matt!!
46Robbie Rayat LADNot a bad start (6 IP, 2 ER) when you consider what the Cubs did in ARI
47Bartolo Colonat CLE
48Anthony DeSclafaniat STL
49Jeremy HellicksonWASDid nab 10 swings-and-misses in 79 pitches, but it was CIN; a lot of NL teams that have that caveat this year
50Tom KoehlerATLIf you're not using him here, you're never using him. At home vs. bottom-feeder is perfect stream setup (3.29 career ERA at home)
51Ross StriplingARIListen, I understand why they did it, but I'm not sure I'd have pulled him mid-no-no; even w/the big debut, still far from auto-start

SIT

RANKPITCHEROPPONENTCOMMENT
52Alex WoodARIUse at your own risk
53Jon Nieseat DET, MILKnocked around a bit in opener, but 7 Ks was nice; still sitting w/at DET on the slate
54Jeff Samardzijaat COL, at LADOpens at MIL, COL, LAD. I don't think I'm starting him in a two-pack on the road that includes Coors
55Jorge De La RosaSF
56Charlie MortonSD, WAS
57Tyler ChatwoodSF, at CHC
58Rubby De La Rosaat LAD
59Taylor Jungmannat STL, at PIT
60Chad Bettisat CHCMuch better on the road, but I think CHC is quickly becoming an avoid w/anyone but studs
61Alfredo Simonat CHC
62Tim Melvilleat CHC, at STLRobert Stephenson got the spot-start where Melville was supposed to go last week, so who knows?!
63Wily Peraltaat STL
64Chase Andersonat STL
65Jeff LockeDET
66Jarred CosartATL
67Jake Peavyat COLNooooope
68Matt Cainat COL
69Williams Perezat MIA
70Colin Reaat PHIGoing from at COL to at PHI definitely improves his outlook, but still not someone to start
71Jhoulys Chacinat WAS, at MIA
72Bud Norrisat WAS, at MIAYou have fun if you wanna buy into that first start!
73Tyler Cravyat PITIn for Matt Garza, expected out 4-6 weeks
74Jordan LylesSF

MLB TOP 100

RankPitcherOpponent(s)Comments
1Clayton KershawSFHe good
2Stephen StrasburgATL, at PHIThe NL East two-fer! A lot of these for WAS, NYM, MIA SPs this year
3David PriceBAL, TORA helluva slate, but if anyone can make something out of it, it's Price (I mean, there are a few others, but he's among them for sure). He has a 2.65 career ERA vs. BAL (122.3 IP) and 2.41 vs. TOR (145.7 IP)
4Max Scherzerat PHI
5Jake ArrietaCOL7 IP on 89 pitches in his debut. Looked a lot like 2H Arrieta, albeit vs. Angels who have little to fear beyond Trout, Pujols
6Sonny GrayLAA, KC
7Corey Kluberat TB, NYMWhen his fastball off, it's rough (literally all of the BOS damage was off the heat); FanGraphs' Eno Sarris has tabbed him as a bad-fastball guy, but if it's getting worse, perhaps his margin shrinks? For now, let's monitor and not freak out over one start
8Zack Greinkeat SDDon't even love him this year and I'm still not freaking out over the first start as the flu likely played a role
9Matt Harveyat CLE
10Jose Fernandezat NYMStill notched 13 Ks even allowing 5 ER in 5.7 IP; he's going to be fine
11Chris Saleat TB
12Noah SyndergaardMIAHis 93 mph slider was the talk of baseball after his debut, but I was locked in on 9 Ks vs. KC! That's like 15 vs. anyone else
13Cole HamelsBALHe allowed 2 HR to LHB in 2015; it took 2 innings in 2016 because baseball is weird and awesome; he settled down to have a really good start
14Jon LesterCIN, COL
15Patrick Corbinat LAD, at SDStill went 7 IP and only allowed 4 ER despite 3 HR (including one to Story and another to lefty-destroyer Ryan Raburn)
16Dallas KeuchelDET
17Carlos Carrascoat TBOne of the biggest reasons not to worry after 1 start (other than common sense) is the super-grimy weather that affects a lot of these April games
18Danny Salazarat TBHRs just seem like a part of his game now, but at least a lot were solos last year, as was Frazier's on Friday
19Chris ArcherCLE
20Jacob deGromMIABack issue that popped up in spring returned and forced him out after 6 in debut; a situation to monitor
21Michael WachaMIL, CINTwo home starts vs. bottom feeders is really nice for a guy w/a career 2.69 ERA at home
22Felix Hernandezat NYYCommand was unquestionably shaky in debut, but the stuff was still nasty (15% SwStr, 69% GB) so I'm far from panicked. I'd inquire about trades just to see if a discount is out there
23Madison Bumgarnerat LADHow much of it was flu and how much was the foot neuroma? Color me concerned on Bummy
24Gerrit ColeDETRib cage inflammation pushed his debut, but he finally opens his '16 on Saturday
25Justin Verlanderat HOU
26Garrett Richardsat MIN
27Johnny Cuetoat LAD
28Marcus StromanNYYNever ceases to amaze how quickly a start can turn, for good/bad. Looked like he was going to roll BOS very early on, but pitching is never static. The stuff is evolving pitch-to-pitch based on so many variables. Oh, and BOS is really good
29Jake OdorizziCWS
30Francisco LirianoMIL
31Jose Quintanaat TB
32Jordan Zimmermannat PITI think he's just going to be really solid and steady all year; not special, but very good
33Hisashi IwakumaTEX, at NYY
34Masahiro TanakaSEABattled to have a decent start against a tough team in 36-degree weather w/18 mph winds
35Shelby Millerat SDGoing to SD is the perfect situation to rebound from the ugly debut
36Adam WainwrightCIN
37Raisel Iglesiasat CHCReally eager to see him face a stiff test like at CHC after an A+ debut, albeit vs. lowly PHI
38Carlos MartinezCINOpens at ATL this weekend and then gets CIN, could be a really fast start for the impressive 24-year old
39Ervin SantanaLAAFeel like we could've gotten a solid two-start week if not for that rain on Opening Day
40Taijuan WalkerTEX
41Julio Teheranat WAS
42Jason HammelCIN
43Drew SmylyCLEGee, TOR blasted a lefty? That's weird. Doesn't get much easier in Baltimore this weekend
44Yordano Venturaat HOU
45Carlos Rodonat MIN, at TB7 IP, 1 BB; it likely won't all come at once, but he only had 4 starts of 6-plus IP, 0-1 BB last year and they all came in last 11 starts (3.00 ERA, 1.22 WHIP)
46Aaron SanchezNYY, at BOSHe's right by Rodon for a reason. He had just 1 one of those 6-plus IP/0-1 BB starts last year: his last one on June 5; tough slate, but this is one of the early movers w/a ton of intrigue
47Anibal SanchezPIT, at HOU
48Kyle GibsonCWS, LAALast time he walked 5 guys in a start? His 2015 debut on April 9. Not sure that meager coincidence means anything, but he walked 2.8 per 9 the rest of the way
49Matt MooreCLE, CWSOne bad inning vs. the lefty-killing Jays (4 H, 3 ER in 3rd), but other 4 IP were really solid
50Shane GreenePIT, at HOUI'd be happier about that save if I didn't have him benched because he wasn't going to start!
51Tyson RossARIAt least it wasn't 9 BB, but 4 2B and 5 1B made for a rough opener (just 1 BB and 5 Ks in 5.3 IP, though); sit tight
52Jaime GarciaMIL
53Kenta MaedaARI, SFSmashing SD not as impressive as his homer!! Eager to watch him twice this week and see what we've got
54James Shieldsat PHI, ARIThe only SD SP who did anything worth a lick in his debut and it was still just a baseline QS
55Aaron NolaSD, WASA bit underrated being on the Phillies, but if he smashes this double-up, the hype will start in earnest
56Wei-Yin Chenat NYM, ATLDET eating him up was no surprise, but getting drilled in the forearm is the bigger concern; supposed to be fine, though
57Steven MatzMIA, at CLE
58Vincent VelasquezSD
59Kris Medlenat HOU, at OAKMakes his season debut this week
60Cody AndersonNYM
61J.A. HappNYY
62Mike LeakeMIL
63Juan Nicasioat DET, MILTurning the lights on for real didn't faze Nicasio as he managed a huge debut to follow the big spring; DET is tough, but the right lineup for his two-pitch arsenal as it's right-handed heavy and plays into that devastating slider
64Gio GonzalezATL, at PHI
65Andrew Cashnerat PHI, ARIInclination is to freak because bad debut feels like carryover from wretched '15, but it's still one start vs. a good LAD lineup; but he's on notice now
66Scott KazmirSFHow seriously can we take starts vs. SD as indicative of something good?
67Jimmy Nelsonat PIT
68Tanner RoarkATLRain messed w/his start, though he did come back after the delay
69Joe RossATLDebuts Saturday, eager to see how he does
70Collin McHughKC, DETI'm trying not to overreact on these 4 arms for HOU/NYY ...
71Mike FiersKC, DET ... but I'm probably failing by dropping this much
72Michael Pinedaat TOR, SEAThat said, the matchups, the rough debuts, the lack certainty already tied to all of them ...
73Luis Severinoat TOR ... makes this slotting feel right. Still starting in many leagues, but not universally this week
74Kyle HendricksCOL
75Ian Kennedyat HOUHere to the end of the starts is a bunch of guys who had a mixed debuts or have yet to debut, but you drafted them for a reason, so I wouldn't sit them just off of one start
76John LackeyCINHe'll be a mid-to-high 3.00s ERA so don't flip out over the debut, but he won't be that '15 version
77Nate Karnsat NYYDebuts on Saturday
78Adam Conleyat NYMCouldn't command his stuff for anything in debut; seemed over-amped and was aiming instead of pitching; hang with 'em
79Wade MileyTEX
80Brandon Finneganat STL
81Hector Santiagoat OAK
82Drew Pomeranzat PHI
83Edinson Volquezat OAK
84Derek Hollandat SEA, BAL
85Chris Youngat HOU, at OAKMight not be great in HOU, but should make it up in OAK
86Nicholas Tropeanoat OAK, at MIN
87Chris Tillmanat TEX
88Yovani Gallardoat BOS, at TEX
89Mat Latosat MINIt was kind of a good Phil Hughes-type outing with just 1 K and just 4 swings-and-misses in 88 pitches
90Jerad EickhoffSDInitial start looked exactly like '15 debut: domination of RHB (.536 OPS), hit by LHB (.804); love just about anyone vs. SD, though
91Matt Wislerat WASInitial start looked exactly like '15 debut: domination of RHB (.533 OPS), hit by LHB (1.098); don't let Harper beat you, Matt!!
92Robbie Rayat LADNot a bad start (6 IP, 2 ER) when you consider what the Cubs did in ARI
93Bartolo Colonat CLE
94Martin PerezBALOnly 6 swings-and-misses for him, also in 88 pitches
95Anthony DeSclafaniat STL
96Jeremy HellicksonWASDid nab 10 swings-and-misses in 79 pitches, but it was CIN; a lot of NL teams that have that caveat this year
97A.J. Griffinat SEAOnly 1 K, but not a bad return for his first start since 2013
98Tom KoehlerATLIf you're not using him here, you're never using him. At home vs. bottom-feeder is perfect stream setup (3.29 career ERA at home)
99Ross StriplingARIListen, I understand why they did it, but I'm not sure I'd have pulled him mid-no-no; even w/the big debut, still far from auto-start
100Kendall GravemanLAA

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Paul Sporer
Sporer covers pitching for RotoWire. He also writes for Baseball Prospectus and publishes an annual guide on starting pitcher. In his spare time, he roots for the Tigers.
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