FantasyDraft MLB: Saturday Values

FantasyDraft MLB: Saturday Values

This article is part of our FantasyDraft MLB series.

PITCHER

David Price, BOS at LAA ($24,000): Price has scored over 30 fantasy points in two of his last three starts and faces an Angels team whose most dangerous hitters haven't historically had much success against him. Mike Trout has a .158 batting average over 22 plate appearances while Albert Pujols, Yunel Escobar, Andrelton Simmons and Cameron Maybin are no better than .240 in their careers. The Angels have also posted just a .277 wOBA versus southpaws at home in July, while Price appears to be hitting his stride, having compiled five consecutive quality starts.

Sean Manaea, OAK at NYM ($13,200): Manaea has racked up eight quality starts in his last 10 outings, scoring over 20 fantasy points five times, including twice with more than 30. He's also sporting a .229 BAA, .287 wOBA allowed and 46:15 K:BB over 46 road innings, and he'll now face a Mets team that's whiffed at a 33.8 percent rate against left-handed pitching at Citi Field in the last month while compiling a .252 wOBA.

INFIELD

Jake Lamb, ARI vs. WAS ($10,400): Nationals starter Tanner Roark has allowed a .372 wOBA (including 10 homers), 5.58 xFIP and 33.0 percent hard contact rate to left-handed hitters this season. Meanwhile, Lamb hit his 19th homer against a right-hander this season when he took Max Scherzer deep Friday, and he has a .393 wOBA, .279 ISO, 40.0 percent HR/FB rate and 40.0 percent hard contact rate versus righties at Chase Field. The Nationals bullpen makes for a good target as well, considering it has a 5.68 ERA while allowing a 38.9 percent hard contact rate and .384 wOBA to lefty bats on the road over the last month.

Manny Machado, BAL vs. HOU ($8,700): Astros starter Collin McHugh will make his first start of 2017 after allowing 14 homers to right-handed hitters a season ago. Meanwhile, Machado, who has a .357 batting average (including a double and a homer) over 14 plate appearances against McHugh, has a .328/.394/.516 line in 71 plate appearances in July, along with a 43.6 percent hard contact rate. His body of work against righties at Camden Yards includes a .341 wOBA and .221 ISO, while Astros relievers have a 5.09 ERA while allowing a 32.3 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters on the road over the last month.

Yonder Alonso, OAK at NYM ($7,200): Mets starter Zack Wheeler has allowed a .375 wOBA and 38.6 percent hard contact rate to left-handed hitters at Citi Field, while Alonso has a .400 wOBA, .288 ISO and 32.7 percent hard contact rate versus right-handed pitching, along with an impressive 17.4 wRAA. The Mets bullpen has also been a target for lefty hitters, considering they have a 7.50 ERA while allowing a .349 wOBA to them at home over the last month.

OUTFIELD

Charlie Blackmon, COL vs. PIT ($11,100): Blackmon's July tear includes a .511 wOBA, .387 ISO, 1.246 OPS and 47.9 percent hard contact rate, and he's tallied a .526 wOBA, .425 ISO and 47.7 percent hard contact versus righties at Coors Field this year. Left-handed hitters have hit well against Pirates starter Chad Kuhl, touching him up for a .416 wOBA and 40.7 percent hard contact rate away from PNC Park.

Andrew McCutchen, PIT at COL ($9,200): McCutchen has a .374/.469/.639 line, .458 wOBA and 37.0 percent hard contact rate since June 1, and he's tagged right-handed pitching for a .453 wOBA and 36.4 percent hard contact over that stretch. Meanwhile, Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela has allowed a .332 wOBA, 20.0 percent HR/FB rate and 31.5 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters at Coors Field. Additionally, Rockies relievers have a 7.29 ERA while allowing a .391 wOBA to right-handed hitters at home in the last month.

Christian Yelich, MIA at CIN ($7,600): Reds starter Robert Stephenson's brief major-league career has been largely defined by his struggles, which include a .453 wOBA, 5.23 xFIP, 33.3 percent HR/FB rate and 56.5 percent hard contact rate allowed to left-handed hitters this year (43-batter sample). Yelich has a .354 wOBA and 34.7 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching on the road, along with a .377 wOBA in 70 July plate appearances overall. The Reds bullpen has also struggled against left-handed hitters at home over the last month, posting a 7.57 ERA while allowing a .404 wOBA, including a majors-high 11 homers over that stretch.

UTILITY

Travis Shaw, MIL at PHI ($8,400): Phillies starter Jeremy Hellickson has yielded a .353 wOBA and 6.78 xFIP to left-handed hitters at home, along with a 34.2 percent hard contact rate to that handedness overall. He's also allowed a season-high in hard contact over his last three starts (43.1 percent), while Shaw has a .404 wOBA, .286 ISO, 26.1 percent HR/FB rate and 40.0 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching, including a .424 wOBA and .300 ISO over 57 July plate appearances.

Mike Moustakas, KC vs. CWS ($7,200): After belting another homer Friday, Moustakas boasts a career-high 26 round trippers and has a .363 wOBA, .279 ISO and 35.8 percent hard contact rate versus right-handed pitching. He also boasts a .412 batting average, including a double and two homers, in 21 plate appearances against White Sox starter Mike Pelfrey, who's allowied a .395 wOBA, 6.29 xFIP and 40.4 percent hard contact rate to left-handed hitters on the road.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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