MLB DFS: Wednesday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Wednesday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Wednesday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Ryan YarbroughTanner RoarkNationals1009889105114981:05 PM
    Chase AndersonCarlos CarrascoIndians11411411010298948.5-1901:10 PM
    Dylan BundyZack WheelerMets909310190921068.0-1201:10 PM
    Mike FoltynewiczMiguel DiazPadres92978597971033:40 PM
    Clay BuchholzChris StrattonGiants90975310074998.0-1353:45 PM
    Caleb FergusonTrevor WilliamsPirates969710110383948.5-1057:05 PM
    Sonny GraySam GaviglioBlue Jays9910298101101979.51257:07 PM
    Blaine HardyEduardo RodriguezRed Sox11411278109105999.0-2257:10 PM
    Jon GraySal RomanoReds104100119981081068.51157:10 PM
    Daniel MengdenBartolo ColonRangers1171081071101069310.51058:05 PM
    Aaron NolaJose QuintanaCubs989988981141008:05 PM
    Wade LeBlancLance McCullersAstros8393109941091018.0-2008:10 PM
    Hector SantiagoJake OdorizziTwins10510395105113939.0-1858:10 PM
    Wei-Yin ChenJack FlahertyCardinals911029710082958.5-2008:15 PM
    Ian KennedyShohei OhtaniAngels919691961021098.0-27010:07 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Chase Anderson (R)at CLE202.021.07.813.21.203.251.13$4,900$6,10010721.7
    Clay Buchholz (R)at SF 25.317.84.713.11.074.621.22$7,200$6,50010824.5
    Dylan Bundy (R)at NYM238.323.77.216.51.594.301.23$8,700$9,10010820.4
    Carlos Carrasco (R)v MIL276.026.95.921.11.043.621.12$10,000$9,40010223.7
    Wei-Yin Chen (L)at STL64.018.19.28.91.554.921.27$5,100$6,00010822.2
    Bartolo Colon (R)v OAK209.314.64.79.81.855.761.41$5,600$6,40010423.0
    Miguel Diaz (R)v ATL41.717.213.04.22.387.341.66$4,00010420.5
    Caleb Ferguson (L)at PIT0.00.00.00.000.000.00$7,100$5,50011419.1
    Jack Flaherty (R)v MIA55.724.58.316.21.294.041.26$10,200$7,8008122.7
    Mike Foltynewicz (R)at SD 223.022.89.113.71.014.001.38$11,600$9,0008625.4
    Sam Gaviglio (R)v NYY96.017.87.510.31.884.131.29$4,600$5,60012223.9
    Jon Gray (R)at CIN175.325.06.518.50.874.411.36$7,500$7,3009719.9
    Sonny Gray (R)at TOR218.021.79.112.61.074.051.31$7,000$7,5009823.7
    Blaine Hardy (L)at BOS59.318.48.010.31.374.551.50$5,800$5,9008024.7
    Ian Kennedy (R)at LAA214.720.28.911.31.935.581.41$4,300$6,20011019.8
    Wade LeBlanc (L)at HOU113.019.15.613.51.193.741.16$6,300$6,80011521.3
    Lance McCullers (R)v SEA188.025.78.417.30.674.121.25$10,500$8,80010819.1
    Daniel Mengden (R)at TEX117.316.53.612.90.922.991.00$8,400$8,4009024.3
    Aaron Nola (R)at CHC246.326.16.819.30.803.111.12$11,400$9,60011420.5
    Jake Odorizzi (R)v CWS206.321.510.011.61.924.141.27$7,300$7,00010123.7
    Shohei Ohtani (R)v KC 45.331.39.322.00.993.181.08$11,100$8,6009117.6
    Jose Quintana (L)v PHI247.325.38.616.71.134.181.27$8,800$8,5008822.6
    Tanner Roark (R)v TB 253.721.38.213.01.104.361.27$8,300$8,00010222.2
    Eduardo Rodriguez (L)v DET197.726.58.418.21.234.101.26$9,400$8,10012318.3
    Sal Romano (R)v COL147.017.510.07.41.225.081.52$4,000$5,7007923.4
    Hector Santiago (L)at MIN118.017.511.06.51.985.421.51$5,300$5,8009124.6
    Chris Stratton (R)v ARI122.720.110.69.50.954.111.43$6,700$6,7006725.0
    Zack Wheeler (R)v BAL142.321.79.612.11.395.191.55$7,700$7,1008625.5
    Trevor Williams (R)v LAD218.317.88.09.80.874.001.28$6,600$6,60010422.2
    Ryan Yarbrough (L)at WAS53.323.47.715.81.183.381.13$5,600$6,3009222.1

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Chase Anderson (R)at CLE21.18.512.61.250.28619.07.611.41.530.348
    Clay Buchholz (R)at SF 14.610.64.00.820.33517.76.711.01.750.302
    Dylan Bundy (R)at NYM18.67.810.81.390.34027.57.719.91.700.308
    Carlos Carrasco (R)v MIL26.17.119.01.430.30726.44.721.70.890.288
    Wei-Yin Chen (L)at STL21.73.318.40.760.30918.26.911.31.780.335
    Bartolo Colon (R)v OAK14.65.78.91.660.34416.03.212.81.360.331
    Miguel Diaz (R)v ATL9.09.00.04.500.46622.815.87.01.050.337
    Caleb Ferguson (L)at PIT0.00.00.00.000.0000.00.00.00.000.000
    Jack Flaherty (R)v MIA17.09.87.11.730.35631.66.824.80.910.267
    Mike Foltynewicz (R)at SD 21.510.311.21.290.34522.96.416.50.970.303
    Sam Gaviglio (R)v NYY14.89.05.81.660.34520.46.214.22.050.342
    Jon Gray (R)at CIN24.47.516.90.990.31226.77.319.50.840.318
    Sonny Gray (R)at TOR21.08.712.20.790.30020.08.711.21.530.340
    Blaine Hardy (L)at BOS13.96.67.41.480.31120.310.010.40.990.346
    Ian Kennedy (R)at LAA20.19.410.71.750.33222.47.714.71.720.333
    Wade LeBlanc (L)at HOU16.23.712.61.430.32820.75.715.01.510.298
    Lance McCullers (R)v SEA30.68.921.70.560.28723.910.513.30.700.325
    Daniel Mengden (R)at TEX18.35.213.10.880.29418.87.211.51.110.313
    Aaron Nola (R)at CHC21.69.212.50.740.29629.74.025.70.870.275
    Jake Odorizzi (R)v CWS23.38.514.81.530.28920.28.611.61.770.337
    Shohei Ohtani (R)v KC 26.812.214.60.440.23935.07.028.01.460.290
    Jose Quintana (L)v PHI24.84.420.30.520.26623.38.315.11.200.314
    Tanner Roark (R)v TB 19.310.19.31.050.31722.26.715.50.820.273
    Eduardo Rodriguez (L)v DET30.18.221.90.930.32123.68.615.01.350.307
    Sal Romano (R)v COL17.410.76.61.070.36717.69.48.21.360.333
    Hector Santiago (L)at MIN16.316.30.02.250.40518.58.89.61.660.324
    Chris Stratton (R)v ARI16.612.73.91.060.34823.28.414.80.830.308
    Zack Wheeler (R)v BAL24.610.414.21.780.35219.58.910.61.100.339
    Trevor Williams (R)v LAD14.77.77.00.950.33120.68.412.20.990.301
    Ryan Yarbrough (L)at WAS27.68.619.02.570.31422.07.314.60.690.272

    The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Derek VanRiper plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: RotoWireDVR, DraftKings: BentleysChair, Yahoo: d.vanriper,.
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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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