MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Jacob deGromChris SaleRed Sox11411278109105997.5-2101:05 PM
    Lucas GiolitoDavid HessOrioles106103114101121949.01051:05 PM
    Thomas PannoneLance LynnYankees1039514299123929.5-2351:05 PM
    Mike FiersJalen BeeksRays92959794
    Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Jacob deGromChris SaleRed Sox11411278109105997.5-2101:05 PM
    Lucas GiolitoDavid HessOrioles106103114101121949.01051:05 PM
    Thomas PannoneLance LynnYankees1039514299123929.5-2351:05 PM
    Mike FiersJalen BeeksRays92959794901101:10 PM
    Francisco LirianoShane BieberIndians11411411010298949.0-2351:10 PM
    Tanner RoarkSean NewcombBraves1021061169881989.0-1401:35 PM
    Jose UrenaNick PivettaPhillies9895120971241091:35 PM
    Zack GreinkeJustin VerlanderAstros8393109941091017.5-1952:10 PM
    Trevor WilliamsJhoulys ChacinBrewers105103131961081038.5-1702:10 PM
    Kyle GibsonJakob JunisRoyals1031028510276948.5-1102:15 PM
    Luis CastilloJose QuintanaCubs989988981141002:20 PM
    Antonio SenzatelaDereck RodriguezGiants90975310074997.5-1054:05 PM
    Marco GonzalesJaime BarriaAngels919691961021098.51004:07 PM
    Mike MinorJacob NixPadres92978597971038.51104:10 PM
    Ross StriplingAdam WainwrightCardinals911029710082958.51308:08 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Jaime Barria (R)v SEA114.718.57.810.71.263.531.26$7,000$6,60010319.9
    Jalen Beeks (L)v OAK42.019.911.38.60.645.571.55$4,900$5,70010622.5
    Shane Bieber (R)v DET98.025.14.620.50.924.321.33$9,200$9,2008123.1
    Luis Castillo (R)at CHC244.025.37.517.81.444.091.18$8,600$8,20010221.1
    Jhoulys Chacin (R)v PIT353.320.09.111.00.873.721.23$7,300$7,7009819.0
    Jacob deGrom (R)at BOS396.330.16.523.60.842.631.07$11,800$11,90011718.3
    Mike Fiers (R)at TB 312.020.87.213.61.734.241.29$8,200$8,00010722.5
    Kyle Gibson (R)at KC 334.719.89.310.51.214.331.41$7,800$7,3009121.6
    Lucas Giolito (R)at BAL204.717.110.56.61.455.011.32$6,600$7,8008325.2
    Marco Gonzales (L)at LAA190.720.04.815.11.134.631.37$7,600$6,3009120.4
    Zack Greinke (R)at HOU390.325.75.320.41.203.161.06$9,700$9,60010619.2
    David Hess (R)v CWS87.015.17.87.31.665.171.41$5,000$6,8009625.6
    Jakob Junis (R)v MIN260.320.75.914.91.524.291.25$7,900$8,1009321.9
    Francisco Liriano (L)at CLE215.018.712.56.21.265.071.57$5,100$6,4009719.8
    Lance Lynn (R)v TOR330.021.010.510.51.124.121.37$7,000$7,40010522.2
    Mike Minor (L)at SD 223.723.26.217.01.133.621.08$8,600$8,3009723.7
    Sean Newcomb (L)v WAS255.323.011.811.20.924.021.41$8,400$7,50010022.4
    Jacob Nix (R)v TEX30.012.16.85.30.906.001.43$5,000$5,7009824.4
    Thomas Pannone (L)at NYY24.014.96.97.91.504.131.13$4,300$5,90011822.0
    Nick Pivetta (R)v MIA282.325.78.517.31.505.291.40$7,400$7,1008022.6
    Jose Quintana (L)v CIN343.023.78.715.01.134.071.27$8,800$8,50010821.4
    Tanner Roark (R)at ATL356.320.47.413.01.164.521.31$6,300$7,3009921.0
    Dereck Rodriguez (R)v COL103.319.36.912.40.522.351.05$9,400$7,9008123.2
    Chris Sale (L)v NYM361.337.25.331.90.852.520.92$11,000$11,5008125.5
    Antonio Senzatela (R)at SF 208.317.88.19.71.124.801.35$6,300$6,0008423.8
    Ross Stripling (R)at STL188.026.04.821.21.203.061.15$7,0009921.8
    Jose Urena (R)at PHI327.017.17.99.21.214.051.24$7,100$7,60010024.5
    Justin Verlander (R)v ARI401.029.56.622.91.213.051.06$12,300$11,7008823.3
    Adam Wainwright (R)v LAD146.317.49.08.41.115.041.54$6,50011622.1
    Trevor Williams (R)at MIL304.017.67.99.70.863.671.24$7,200$8,70010423.6

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Jaime Barria (R)v SEA19.96.813.10.760.27517.18.88.31.780.364
    Jalen Beeks (L)v OAK23.37.016.30.900.30318.912.66.30.560.354
    Shane Bieber (R)v DET26.17.218.91.080.38524.01.622.40.750.287
    Luis Castillo (R)at CHC23.88.215.61.840.34826.86.919.91.100.271
    Jhoulys Chacin (R)v PIT15.310.64.71.090.33424.17.316.80.660.276
    Jacob deGrom (R)at BOS25.96.819.00.700.28130.95.925.01.010.269
    Mike Fiers (R)at TB 19.68.011.61.520.32920.25.514.71.690.345
    Kyle Gibson (R)at KC 16.69.37.30.990.34620.58.711.81.410.328
    Lucas Giolito (R)at BAL15.211.04.21.570.34417.810.37.41.620.335
    Marco Gonzales (L)at LAA16.83.513.31.690.36120.65.115.51.020.334
    Zack Greinke (R)at HOU23.35.417.91.050.29124.75.619.11.410.300
    David Hess (R)v CWS15.28.36.91.900.33915.07.27.81.360.367
    Jakob Junis (R)v MIN18.36.811.51.350.33523.14.918.21.690.321
    Francisco Liriano (L)at CLE22.38.513.80.830.28720.113.17.01.480.360
    Lance Lynn (R)v TOR15.213.91.41.480.35826.07.718.30.850.284
    Mike Minor (L)at SD 28.34.923.40.870.26721.76.615.11.210.301
    Sean Newcomb (L)v WAS27.09.917.11.010.31021.812.49.40.890.316
    Jacob Nix (R)v TEX14.55.88.71.170.3379.57.91.60.610.345
    Thomas Pannone (L)at NYY31.84.527.30.000.38010.17.62.51.830.287
    Nick Pivetta (R)v MIA25.99.716.21.100.32725.67.418.21.840.353
    Jose Quintana (L)v CIN23.84.918.90.510.26822.78.514.21.220.313
    Tanner Roark (R)at ATL19.69.79.91.110.32421.06.015.00.910.286
    Dereck Rodriguez (R)v COL18.95.813.10.540.29319.78.011.70.510.262
    Chris Sale (L)v NYM33.53.330.20.750.23032.65.627.00.970.268
    Antonio Senzatela (R)at SF 17.08.98.11.120.31918.57.511.01.130.339
    Ross Stripling (R)at STL24.65.918.70.850.26921.75.416.21.320.326
    Jose Urena (R)at PHI12.97.95.01.400.33220.97.913.01.010.301
    Justin Verlander (R)v ARI32.87.924.91.320.27625.65.220.31.100.277
    Adam Wainwright (R)v LAD18.09.58.51.280.36018.56.412.10.850.322
    Trevor Williams (R)at MIL14.37.66.70.970.31620.88.212.60.910.297

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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