MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Alex CobbJ.A. HappYankees1039514299123928.5-3151:05 PM
    Blake SnellRyan BoruckiBlue Jays9910298101101978.01501:07 PM
    Brad KellerDaniel NorrisTigers103981041031011048.5-1251:10 PM
    Michael LorenzenTrevor RichardsMarlins84938691
    Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Alex CobbJ.A. HappYankees1039514299123928.5-3151:05 PM
    Blake SnellRyan BoruckiBlue Jays9910298101101978.01501:07 PM
    Brad KellerDaniel NorrisTigers103981041031011048.5-1251:10 PM
    Michael LorenzenTrevor RichardsMarlins84938691831038.01051:10 PM
    Aaron NolaAnibal SanchezBraves1021061169881981:35 PM
    Steven MatzErick FeddeNationals1009889105114989.0-1351:35 PM
    Wade MileyNick KinghamPirates969710110383948.01051:35 PM
    Kyle HendricksCarlos RodonWhite Sox9590122991101068.51702:10 PM
    Tyler SkaggsCharlie MortonAstros8393109941091018.0-2202:10 PM
    Andrew SuarezMiles MikolasCardinals911029710082957.5-2102:15 PM
    Wade LeBlancMartin PerezRangers117108107110106933:05 PM
    Kyle GibsonTrevor CahillAthletics9697849787968.5-1954:05 PM
    Kyle FreelandZack GodleyDiamondbacks1161091061051111008.0-1154:10 PM
    Joey LucchesiHyun-Jin RyuDodgers909511396901037.5-2454:10 PM
    Hector VelazquezAdam PlutkoIndians11411411010298949.5-1057:08 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Ryan Borucki (L)v TB 84.015.87.28.60.543.861.33$7,100$7,40010724.1
    Trevor Cahill (R)v MIN186.722.510.611.91.114.291.39$6,200$6,0009621.6
    Alex Cobb (R)at NYY331.716.46.210.21.254.231.31$5,100$7,40010722.1
    Erick Fedde (R)v NYM58.321.89.712.11.706.171.63$5,200$6,7009722.4
    Kyle Freeland (L)at ARI345.318.38.99.40.893.471.34$7,600$8,8009622.3
    Kyle Gibson (R)at OAK341.319.89.110.71.214.381.41$8,000$7,60011121.7
    Zack Godley (R)v COL322.324.89.415.40.874.101.30$7,100$7,1007923.6
    J.A. Happ (L)v BAL312.024.47.117.41.243.581.21$10,200$10,0007025.2
    Kyle Hendricks (R)at CWS323.021.06.214.81.093.341.18$9,200$9,1009625.7
    Brad Keller (R)at DET133.316.98.48.40.473.171.33$7,400$7,9007923.1
    Nick Kingham (R)v MIL71.020.86.814.01.904.691.23$7,300$7,00010323.7
    Wade LeBlanc (L)at TEX220.019.26.013.21.353.801.16$7,000$6,9009122.9
    Michael Lorenzen (R)at MIA154.320.09.710.30.823.791.33$6,400$5,6008122.9
    Joey Lucchesi (L)at LAD120.325.88.117.81.353.741.29$7,300$7,50010421.5
    Steven Matz (L)at WAS211.720.68.012.61.534.681.33$7,300$8,20010222.3
    Miles Mikolas (R)v SF 185.717.53.813.60.733.011.12$8,700$7,8008523.8
    Wade Miley (L)at PIT231.018.311.46.91.094.481.55$6,700$7,2008720.5
    Charlie Morton (R)v LAA309.727.68.718.90.933.371.18$10,000$8,00011320.5
    Aaron Nola (R)at ATL367.326.76.919.80.832.941.09$10,900$10,5009921.1
    Daniel Norris (L)v KC 136.320.59.610.91.195.411.56$5,500$6,5008324.0
    Martin Perez (L)v SEA264.713.98.05.91.335.271.61$5,200$5,8009620.0
    Adam Plutko (R)v BOS70.019.36.412.82.445.271.30$6,20011518.5
    Trevor Richards (R)v CIN112.722.810.312.51.204.951.45$5,300$6,10010021.1
    Carlos Rodon (L)v CHC186.720.710.510.21.253.571.22$8,200$8,4009322.7
    Hyun-Jin Ryu (L)v SD 197.023.67.116.61.373.201.25$9,700$9,5009623.5
    Anibal Sanchez (R)v PHI231.023.36.816.41.564.561.32$8,900$8,60010124.5
    Tyler Skaggs (L)at HOU204.723.27.515.81.104.051.33$7,600$7,00011820.1
    Blake Snell (L)at TOR298.326.69.716.80.942.871.13$12,700$12,0008621.1
    Andrew Suarez (L)at STL153.019.96.713.21.354.241.26$7,800$7,30010422.6
    Hector Velazquez (R)at CLE104.015.37.47.90.953.121.39$5,50010918.9

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Ryan Borucki (L)v TB 16.33.812.50.470.28915.78.27.50.550.312
    Trevor Cahill (R)v MIN22.312.110.20.800.30723.010.312.71.290.321
    Alex Cobb (R)at NYY18.18.010.01.210.32814.84.710.11.370.333
    Erick Fedde (R)v NYM21.59.112.41.210.34722.110.311.82.200.408
    Kyle Freeland (L)at ARI28.07.120.90.670.26915.69.46.20.950.328
    Kyle Gibson (R)at OAK16.59.17.41.010.35020.68.612.01.400.326
    Zack Godley (R)v COL22.610.412.20.810.32224.37.716.51.160.312
    J.A. Happ (L)v BAL21.16.214.90.690.25023.47.515.91.280.307
    Kyle Hendricks (R)at CWS23.06.916.10.970.29120.55.415.10.930.274
    Brad Keller (R)at DET17.312.74.60.620.33116.54.711.80.360.267
    Nick Kingham (R)v MIL15.88.27.52.160.35725.55.619.91.670.304
    Wade LeBlanc (L)at TEX19.03.115.91.410.31819.66.513.11.530.304
    Michael Lorenzen (R)at MIA19.011.87.30.980.31422.56.516.00.720.282
    Joey Lucchesi (L)at LAD27.98.119.80.350.28725.38.117.21.620.334
    Steven Matz (L)at WAS17.87.710.10.470.31022.87.015.91.540.324
    Miles Mikolas (R)v SF 16.13.612.51.020.32519.14.115.00.400.231
    Wade Miley (L)at PIT17.911.26.60.440.29618.99.29.71.400.352
    Charlie Morton (R)v LAA34.09.724.30.940.28721.98.113.80.880.308
    Aaron Nola (R)at ATL24.68.815.80.910.29127.94.723.20.760.272
    Daniel Norris (L)v KC 25.69.416.11.610.34220.18.611.51.100.343
    Martin Perez (L)v SEA19.86.513.30.650.28211.58.82.71.230.363
    Adam Plutko (R)v BOS12.68.64.03.130.44825.24.920.21.930.298
    Trevor Richards (R)v CIN23.111.511.50.490.29722.69.213.41.880.379
    Carlos Rodon (L)v CHC24.67.916.71.110.29621.49.412.01.290.321
    Hyun-Jin Ryu (L)v SD 19.18.410.71.860.37324.96.718.31.230.302
    Anibal Sanchez (R)v PHI23.48.914.51.260.31920.75.615.02.030.361
    Tyler Skaggs (L)at HOU23.15.217.90.730.30623.29.014.21.170.330
    Blake Snell (L)at TOR28.99.919.00.240.23525.410.614.80.980.301
    Andrew Suarez (L)at STL19.93.116.80.210.23019.97.912.01.800.360
    Hector Velazquez (R)at CLE15.010.44.71.700.37315.65.310.20.450.303

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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