Collette Calls: Big Year Ahead for Power
Collette Calls: Big Year Ahead for Power

This article is part of our Collette Calls series.

Balls are flying out of yards all over the country early in the season. Opening Day saw the league tie a record with 46 home runs, and as I write this, the league hit 48 home runs on April 9, including a walk-off shot by known power hitter Jarrod Dyson off elite closer Jose Leclerc.

Simply put, something is up with the baseball again, and we do not need to withhold judgement on this. Buckle your seatbelts, because it is going to be a record-setting year for home runs.

Just over a full calendar year ago, I wrote an installment of this column citing that power was down after a three-year upswing and we should adjust our expectations accordingly. Rather than copy and paste the entire section, I will let you go back and read the piece, but I do want to bring forward a table from that piece:

That table shows that the early numbers for home runs per plate appearance have held up very well. I have updated that chart below to show where 2018 ended up and what kind of start we are off to in 2019:

SEASONEARLY
HR:PA
FULL SEASON
      HR:PA
DIFF
  2010  41.1        40.2 1.1
  2011 42.0        40.7 1.3
  2012 40.1        37.3 2.8
  2013 37.3        39.7-2.4
  2014 43.2        43.9-0.7
  2015 41.7
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jason Collette
Jason has been helping fantasy owners since 1999 at RotoJunkie, Fanball, Baseball Prospectus and now here at RotoWire. He covers the Tampa Bay Rays at theprocessreport.net. You can hear Jason weekly on many of the Sirius/XM Fantasy channel offerings throughout the season as well as on the Sleeper and the Bust podcast on iTunes. An eight-time FSWA finalist, Jason won the FSWA's Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year award in 2013 and the Baseball Series of the Year award in 2018 for Collette Calls.
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