FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Breakdown

FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Breakdown

This article is part of our FanDuel MLB series.

There's plenty of DFS action throughout the day on FanDuel with a three-game "very early" slate starting at 1:05 p.m. EDT. Then there's an "early only" slate at 3:05 p.m. EDT with another three games. Finally the main slate starts at the usual 7:05 p.m. EDT with nine games on tap.

Pitching

The obvious pitching option tonight will be the Nationals' Patrick Corbin ($9,800), who will take on the Marlins in Florida. Miami's 20.5 percent strikeout rate against left-handed pitching is actually one of the best marks in baseball; it's their .274 wOBA that makes them a team to target. That's the second-worst mark among all teams and it actually drops to .265 when at home. Corbin has over 50 fantasy points in six of his 15 starts this season, and there's a decent chance he turns in No. 7 here.

The other high-priced option to consider is the Tigers' Matthew Boyd ($9,400). The attraction with Boyd is mainly in his matchup with the Rangers, who have struggled against left-handed pitching this season. They've struck out 27.4 percent of the time against southpaws, the highest mark in the league. Meanwhile Boyd is working on a breakout season and has an elite 30.1 percent strikeout rate this season. This appears to be a case of the stars aligning for Boyd considering the matchup and breakout.

A cheaper option to use in GPPs is the Marlins' Zac Gallen ($7,800). He didn't disappoint in his first outing of the season, scoring 30 fantasy points. His numbers in the minors were excellent as he posted a 1.77 ERA supported by a 0.71 WHIP, and he struck out 112 batters in only 91.1 innings. Upon first glance one would think the Nationals are a bad matchup, but their 23.0 percent strikeout rate and .310 wOBA against right-handed pitching are both below league average.

Key Values/Chalk

The Phillies' Scott Kingery ($3,400) seems to still be under the radar despite raking this season. His wOBA against lefties is up to .435 in a small sample (44 PAs) and he could find himself hitting high in the order this game against Jason Vargas. Not surprisingly Vargas has struggled more against right-handed hitting during his career, allowing a .325 wOBA to that side of the plate.

Despite swinging a hot bat, it seems like the price for the Mariners' J.P. Crawford ($2,900) hasn't risen to a respectable level since his return from the IL. He's averaging over 10 fantasy points per game and has a decent matchup in Milwaukee. The Brewers will send Adrian Houser to the mound and it's likely he'll be on a pitch count, meaning the Mariners should get to the Brewers' second-tier bullpen arms quickly.

The Angels' Tommy La Stella ($3,000) is one of the better stories in baseball and he appears to thrive getting regular at-bats. He's crushing right-handed pitching this season with a .378 wOBA and will face righty Tanner Roark. Roark comes into the contest giving up a .375 wOBA to left-handed hitters this season.

Second base is an ugly spot to pick a player, so using the Astros' Jose Altuve ($3,800) seems like a logical choice even at his price. Altuve will get a good home matchup against rookie Dario Agrazal, who allowed two earned runs against the Marlins in four innings in his only other start this season. Altuve actually had a reverse split last season with a .374 wOBA against right-handed pitching.

The Brewers' Jesus Aguilar ($2,400) is a great value given he's shown signs of life at the plate as of late and had a lot of success against left-handed pitching last season with a .389 wOBA. He should find himself in the lineup against Wade LeBlanc, who has surrendered a .345 wOBA to right-handed hitters this season.

Stacks

Phillies vs. Mets (Vargas)

Kingery, Bryce Harper (OF - $4,100), Rhys Hoskins (C/1B - $4,300), Jean Segura (SS - $3,600)

This game has the biggest over/under total at 10.5 runs and Philadelphia is slightly favored, leaving them with one of the highest expected team totals. Segura has a .429 wOBA against lefties this season so he's in play in any type of contest. While the Phillies are favored it's not by much, meaning a Mets' stack could be a good contrarian play considering Nick Pivetta hasn't been very consistent.

Astros vs. Pirates (Agrazal)

Altuve, Michael Brantley (OF - $3,900), Josh Reddick (OF - $2,800), Alex Bregman (3B - $4,000)

As already stated, it's tough to see Agrazal lasting too long on the road facing this potent lineup. The Astros are in play on any night and they have the second-lowest strikeout rate (18.1 percent) and the ninth-best wOBA (.334) against right-handed pitching.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Kevin Payne plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: Fanduel: kevinccp, Draft Kings: kevinccp, Yahoo: kevinccp.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Kevin Payne
Kevin has worked for RotoWire over a decade and has covered basketball, baseball and football. A glutton for punishment, he roots for his hometown Bills, Sabres and the New York Yankees. You can follow him on Twitter @KCPayne26.
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