FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Breakdown

This article is part of our FanDuel MLB series.

All 30 teams are included in Tuesday's main slate after a light Monday, so there's no shortage of options.

Pitching Breakdown

Trevor Bauer ($11,600) has surged his way to the top of the pitching options thanks to five 40+ FDP outings in his last seven starts, topping 60 in two of his last three. One of those came against Kansas City, who Bauer fanned a season-high 12 times in his last start. Kansas City has only a 22.8 percent K-rate, so a repeat may be unlikely, but the floor seems high too against the Royals' limited offense.

Mike Minor ($10,800) highlights a trio of intriguing lefty options Tuesday. He's failed to reach 30 FDP just four times all year and has averaged 46 FDP in two previous meetings with the Angels. LAA whiffs only 16.5 percent of the time against southpaws, but Minor has managed 12 K's across 15 innings against them. The ceiling is likely lower than Bauer's, but there should be stability at a slight discount. Patrick Corbin ($10,600) may be the opposite of Minor. He's allowed just one run in each of his last two outings, including his last start against the Marlins in which he fanned nine in seven frames. Miami's offense ranks 29th against southpaws with just a .276 wOBA and 71 wRC+, but it strikes out only 20.9 percent of the time. It's worth remembering Corbin allowed 16 runs in 12.2 innings prior to his two-game streak. He's going to be very popular here, and for that reason, I may look to pivot elsewhere. Matthew Boyd ($10,000) is the final five-figure LHP. He's showing signs of wearing down, allowing at least three runs in five straight starts and making it through seven frames just twice. There's still strikeout upside against a White Sox team that whiffs 25.1 percent of the time, and one that Boyd fanned nine times in six innings earlier this year.

Charlie Morton ($10,800) is mixed in amongst the lefties, and figures to be as chalky as Corbin in a plus matchup against the Orioles. Morton has turned in six quality starts in his last seven outings, while the O's have only a .300 wOBA and 85 wRC+ against righties.

A few matchups I don't love include James Paxton ($8,700) against the Mets and Aaron Nola ($9,000) at Atlanta. The Mets have been good against lefties, posting a .349 wOBA, and got to Paxton for six runs in 2.2 innings earlier in the year. Similarly, Nola faces a Braves team that put up five runs in 4.1 innings against him June 15, and while he's been great in two starts since, it doesn't seem worth the risk with so many other solid options available.

A few pitchers to consider if trying to save cap space Tuesday include Matt Strahm ($7,600) against San Francisco, and (gasp), Reynaldo Lopez ($6,600) against the Tigers. Strahm has been a bit strikeout dependent, fanning 19 in 12.0 innings in his last two starts that yielded double-digit points, and only 11 in 12.1 innings in three starts that yielded single-digit tallies. The Giants rank last against lefties with a .271 wOBA and 67 wRC+ though, fanning 24.1 percent of the time. Similarly, the Tigers rank last against righties, posting just a .282 wOBA, 73 wRC+ and 26.3 percent strikeout rate. They've faced Lopez twice this year and struck out 22 times in 12.0 innings, scoring just twice. He's been worth at least 15 FDP in four straight starts which, given his price, would still be close to 2.5x value, and the potential is there for much, much more. Ross Stripling ($6,500) figures to see his pitch count grow in his second start in place of Rich Hill, and while Dallas Keuchel ($6,200) has been far from dominant, he's showed small improvement from his first start to his second, and also figures to have a shot at 2-3x value given this low price.

Key Value/Chalk

Houston-Colorado has a huge 13-run total with German Marquez ($7,100) facing off against the debuting Jose Urquidy ($5,500). Marquez owns a 5.70 home ERA against only a 3.55 xFIP, but Coors Field can do that to you. That's no reason to look away from George Springer ($4,700), Alex Bregman ($4,500) or Yordan Alvarez ($4,300), all of whom have at least a .391 wOBA, 151 wRC+ and .250 ISO. Charlie Blackmon ($4,500) is the obvious Rockie standalone, though David Dahl ($3,700) and Chris Iannetta ($2,700) have favorable splits against righties and are surprisingly affordable.

For a deep slate, there's a surprising lack of high run totals across the board. Milwaukee-Cincinnati is one of the few non-Coors options, with a total sitting at 10.5. The Brewers will send Chase Anderson ($6,900) to the mound, who has only one quality start to date all season. Derek Dietrich ($2,700) has only one homer since May 28, but still boasts a team-high .397 wOBA and .384 ISO against righties. Anderson has struggled with same-handed bats, however, so a pivot to Eugenio Suarez ($3,100, .215 ISO) or Curt Casali ($2,200, .367 wOBA) could offer some value. The Reds will send Tanner Roark ($7,700) to the hill, and while he's allowed only four runs in his last three starts, he's surrendering a .376 wOBA to lefties. That puts the Brewers top three of Christian Yelich ($4,800), Mike Moustakas ($3,600), and Yasmani Grandal ($3,500) in a great spot for success, and they aren't overly cost prohibitive if you want to stack.

Jose Suarez ($6,500) looks like a candidate to stack against, allowing a .369 wOBA and .894 OPS to lefties and a .370 wOBA and .893 OPS to righties, but the Rangers don't fare well against southpaws. The lone exception is Joey Gallo ($4,300), who has a .468 wOBA, 192 wRC+ and .426 ISO. I'm finding a way to get him into my lineup. The game has an 11-run total, assuming it's even played, and if we buy into Minor, some additional Ranger exposures make sense. There isn't an obvious matchup worth targeting, though.

Stacks

Yankees vs. Jason Vargas (Mets)

Aaron Judge (OF - $4,400), DJ LeMahieu (3B - $4,500), Edwin Encarnacion (1B - $4,000)

Its cost prohibitive, and Vargas did have some success against the Yankees on June 11 (three runs over six innings,) but the team swings so well against lefties a stack is difficult to ignore. While Judge hasn't gotten his power stroke going yet, he's still posting a .469 wOBA and 199 wRC+ against LHP. LeMahieu is on an unreal run, going for 15 or more FDP in 11 straight games and 12 of 13, and he carries a 14-game hit streak into the contest. The third spot is open for discussion, as Gary Sanchez has slightly better numbers but could be sidelined by a thumb injury. As such, Encarnacion and his .273 ISO against lefties makes for an easy pivot.

Rays vs. Dylan Bundy

Austin Meadows (OF - $3,500), Avisail Garcia (OF - $3,300), Brandon Lowe (2B - $3,300)

Bundy allows 2.03 homers per nine innings, and the Rays offense is very cheap, offering some upside while allowing you to spend freely elsewhere. Meadows' power stroke has completely left him, as he hasn't homered since May 28, but he still enjoys a .384 wOBA, 145 wRC+ and .236 ISO. Lowe isn't far behind, going .369/136/.262, and Garcia is a BvP target, going 6-of-12 with a long ball in his career against Bundy. 

Padres vs. Tyler Beede (Giants)

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SS - $4,100), Eric Hosmer (1B - $3,700), Franmil Reyes (OF - $3,000)

Beede and his 1.86 WHIP are always targetable. He allows a .421 wOBA and 1.017 OPS to lefties, immediately making Hosmer a top choice. Reyes is mainly a GPP target given his feast or famine nature, spotlighted by a .329 ISO and 26.4 percent strikeout rate. Tatis offers stability at a relatively affordable price, sporting a .407 wOBA, 155 wRC+ and .288 ISO.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Chris Bennett plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: k30kittles, DraftKings: k30kittles.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Bennett
Bennett covers baseball, college football and college basketball for RotoWire. Before turning to fantasy writing, he worked in scouting/player development for the Atlanta Braves and Montreal Expos. He's also a fan of the ACC.
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