Yahoo DFS Baseball: Saturday Picks
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Saturday Picks

This article is part of our Yahoo DFS Baseball series.

Saturday's MLB Main slate begins at 7:05 PM Eastern time and features 10 games. Below, you'll find which individual pitchers and hitters are primed to provide the best value, as well as the top lineup stacking options in this slate.

Pitching Overview 

With a dearth of other big-name arms in this slate, those who can afford Gerrit Cole ($62) are likely to get their money's worth. While St. Louis isn't the easiest place to pitch, Cole's 205 strikeouts in 133.1 innings this season and 2.03 ERA over his past 11 starts suggest he's a dominant force regardless of opponent.

Staying near the top of the price spectrum, Cleveland's Mike Clevinger ($52) should be a popular pick in Kansas City. Clevinger's 2.82 FIP and 2.45 xFIP suggest his 3.61 ERA is due to drop, and he promises gaudy strikeout upside with a 39.4 percent rate this season. Don't expect the 25th-ranked Royals offense to muster much against him.

With the Marlins and Tigers both playing earlier in the day, the distinction of "worst offense in this slate" goes to the White Sox. Twins southpaw Martin Perez ($43) has a high floor in this favorable matchup, as he does a good job of keeping the ball out of the air with a 20.4 percent strikeout rate and 48.9 percent ground ball rate.

If you're a believer in home/road splits, Steven Matz ($26) could be a sensible option against the Pirates. He comes in with a 2.53 ERA and .296 wOBA against in 39 innings at pitcher-friendly Citi Field, compared to 6.40 and .382 marks in 52 road frames.

Value Plays/Chalk

While plenty of Angels, Braves and Twins are primed for success in this slate, there's still value to be found outside of those three stackable lineups.

Rangers righty Adrian Sampson threw a gem against Oakland earlier this season, but his .388 wOBA allowed in righty-on-righty matchups suggests a repeat effort is unlikely. With a wOBA well over .400 against righties at home, third baseman Matt Chapman ($22) should help the A's get revenge.

If the Phillies are going to keep pace with Atlanta in this game, it will likely a require a strong performance from first baseman Rhys Hoskins ($18). The Braves are sending lefty Max Fried to the mound, and Hoskins boasts a whopping .440 wOBA against lefties this season.

Switch-hitting Cubs second baseman Robel Garcia ($18) has been terrific from the left side with a .444 wOBA over his small major-league sample size. That's where he'll bat against Brewers righty Chase Anderson, whose 4.82 xFIP suggests his 3.90 ERA is due for regression.

Stacks

Angels vs. Aaron Brooks (Orioles)

Mike Trout (OF - $27), Shohei Ohtani (OF - $22), Justin Upton (OF - $14)

The Angels are set to beat up on Brooks, who enters with a 5.16 ERA and 5.46 FIP in 59.1 innings this season for the lowly Orioles. He also isn't particularly stretched out, having last pitched four or more innings on May 11. Trout is making a strong case for MVP despite his team's middling results, and the sky's the limit for him against Brooks and the shaky Baltimore bullpen with the league's second-highest ERA behind Washington at 5.73. Ohtani's home wOBA against righties is .444, and Upton's season wOBA in righty-on-righty matchups registers just below .400 - albeit in a 27-game sample.

Braves vs. Zach Eflin (Phillies)

Freddie Freeman (1B - $20), Brian McCann (C - $11), Josh Donaldson (3B - $23)

Eflin is allowing a .357 wOBA to batters from the left side this season, and the right-hander has gone into a tailspin of late by allowing 26 runs - including 25 earned - in 24 innings over his last five starts. Freeman qualifies as Atlanta's best candidate to add to those struggles, as the left-handed slugger will own the platoon advantage and has a wOBA over .400 against righties. McCann also bats from the left side, fills the light-hitting catcher position and has a respectable .351 wOBA against righties this season. Donaldson won't enjoy the same edge as his two above teammates, but Atlanta's cleanup hitter has resurrected his career this season and has recorded a wOBA over .380 in righty-on-righty matchups. 

Twins vs. Ivan Nova (White Sox)

Jorge Polanco (SS - $15), Nelson Cruz (OF - $23), Eddie Rosario (OF - $20)

Perez should get plenty of support from a Twins' offense that has established itself as part of the top tier along with the Yankees and Red Sox. Facing Nova - who has struggled with a 5.49 ERA and 5.34 FIP - should only aid matters further. The right-handed Nova has been generous to batters from both sides, allowing a .365 wOBA from the right and a .367 mark from the left. With a wOBA over .400 against righties, the switch-hitting Polanco should cause Nova plenty of problems. Cruz is on a major power surge with eight home runs in his last seven games, and his road wOBA in righty-on-righty matchups is over .400. Rosario represents another player with a road wOBA around the .400 mark against righties, and the left-handed slugger will have the platoon advantage against Nova.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Sasha Yodashkin plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: Youngsash, DraftKings: Yashdogg,Yahoo: Sasha, Fanball: Yashdogg.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Sasha Yodashkin
Sasha has been contributing NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB and Tennis content to RotoWire since 2015, with an emphasis on DFS. He is a huge New York sports fan who has been playing fantasy sports since middle school.
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