Sunday's MLB slate features several compelling betting opportunities, and three wagers stand out thanks to favorable matchups and recent trends.
We've identified a hitter poised to capitalize in the thin air of Coors Field, a strikeout under featuring one of baseball's most efficient contact lineups and a total that points toward another low-scoring duel between two National League contenders.
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies: Jo Adell over 1.5 total bases (-137, Caesars)
Adell has provided an immediate spark since joining Cleveland, and he made his presence felt Saturday with a homer. Adell went 2-for-4 with a three-run homer, two runs scored and a strikeout during a 4-3 win over Colorado on Saturday, and it's clear the 27-year-old has picked it up offensively in his last seven games with Cleveland, slashing .375/.375/.708 with two homers and 11 RBI over 24 plate appearances. Sunday's matchup at Coors Field only enhances his outlook, as playing in baseball's most hitter-friendly park gives Adell even more upside, particularly against a Rockies pitching staff that has struggled to limit hard contact throughout the season. Whether it's a pair of singles, a double or another home run, Adell has multiple avenues to cash this prop, making over 1.5 total bases an attractive way to attack the series finale. He's hitting .246 with an .849 OPS since making his Guardians debut on Aug. 4.
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Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: Shota Imanaga under 5.5 strikeouts (-110, BetMGM)
While Imanaga has been one of the National League's most reliable starters, this number feels slightly inflated against a Seattle lineup that has shown improved discipline at the plate. The Mariners have emphasized putting the ball in play during the second half of the season, and Imanaga has relied more on efficiency than overwhelming strikeout totals during recent outings. If the Cubs' left-hander continues pitching to contact and generating quick outs, he could easily deliver another quality start without reaching six strikeouts. At an even 5.5, the under provides value, particularly if Chicago limits his workload by turning the game over to a rested bullpen after six innings. Imanaga has sat below this line in three of his five starts since the All-Star break, and while he owns an 8.9 K/9 in that span, that's partially inflated by his 10-strikeout performance against the White Sox this past Monday, Aug. 17.
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Atlanta vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Under 7.5 runs (-114, FanDuel)
Runs could be at a premium in this matchup between two clubs built around quality pitching. Milwaukee has continued to win with outstanding work from both its rotation and bullpen, posting a collective 3.42 ERA, second-best in baseball. Atlanta hasn't fared much worse, though, and its 3.61 ERA is fifth in the majors. Saturday's contest reinforced that trend, as the Brewers edged the Braves 4-1 following their 2-1 win Friday behind another dominant performance from Jacob Misiorowski. With both teams capable of matching zeroes for long stretches and every run carrying extra significance with a total of 7.5, and acknowledging the previous two games in this series have ended comfortably below this 7.5-run threshold, I'm backing the under here.
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MLB Picks Recap
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies: Jo Adell over 1.5 total bases (-137, Caesars)
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: Shota Imanaga under 5.5 strikeouts (-110, BetMGM)
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Under 7.5 runs (-114, FanDuel)
