MLB Picks Today: Expert MLB Picks for
Monday, September 14
There are 10 games on the schedule Monday, leaving us with plenty of betting opportunities to consider. We have some fun matchups to wager on, including the Chicago Cubs hosting the Atlanta Braves. Let's dive into the options and highlight three of the top bets to consider.
Mike Barner's season record: 85-56-1 (+16.11 units)
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MLB Picks Today: Expert Betting Tips and Analysis
New York Mets 
vs. Baltimore Orioles 
Betting Picks
- Mets team total 3.5 runs: Over (-132) at FanDuel for 1 Unit
Looking at season totals doesn't paint the current picture of the Mets. They are 21st in runs scored and 25th in OPS in baseball. However, injuries have hampered them. They are the healthiest that they have been in a while, especially with Juan Soto back in the lineup. Over 14 games since coming off the injured list, he has slugged four home runs. In those 14 games, the Mets scored at least four runs 10 times.
The Mets are in a favorable position to remain hot at the plate with Brandon Young pitching for the Orioles. In his last outing, he was roughed up for six runs over 3.2 innings against the Cleveland Guardians. His 3.71 ERA for the season looks nice, but his 4.41 xERA and 1.35 WHIP indicates that he hasn't pitched well. He's not fooling many hitters, generating an 18.5 percent strikeout rate. This is a matchup that a healthy Mets lineup can exploit.
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Chicago Cubs 
vs. Atlanta Braves 
Betting Picks
- Cubs team total 3.5 runs first 7 innings: Over (-115) at DraftKings for 1 Unit
The Cubs can hit. They have a +138 run differential, which is the third-highest mark in the majors. They lead baseball in runs scored, OPS, wOBA and ISO. NL MVP candidate Pete Crow-Armstrong is not slowing down, launching three home runs over the last 10 games. For the season, he has 41 home runs to go along with 36 stolen bases.
This game will be played in Chicago, where the Cubs have a .795 OPS. Starting for the Braves is Reynaldo Lopez, who will be making just his second appearance since coming off the IL. In his first start, he allowed six runs to the Rays over 4.2 innings. He gave up seven hits and three walks, increasing his WHIP to 1.39 for the season. The Cubs could get to him early, making this an appealing wager to consider.
Colorado Rockies 
vs. San Diego Padres 
Betting Picks
- Rockies team total 3.5 runs first 7 innings: Over (-125) at DraftKings for 1 Unit
This isn't an ideal travel situation for the Padres. They just played Sunday night against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park, a game in which they won 6-4. Their starter Nick Pivetta only logged four innings, forcing them to use five relievers. They are now traveling to Colorado to face a Rockies team that has a .774 OPS at home. When they played the Rockies there in April, Colorado scored at least eight runs in two of the three games.
Starting this matchup for the Padres is Casey Mize, who has not pitched well since being acquired from the Tigers. Over seven starts with his new team, he has a 6.34 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. In 32.2 innings, he gave up nine home runs and only had 22 strikeouts. The Padres have a really good bullpen with Adrian Morejon and Mason Miller locking down the eighth and ninth innings. Let's eliminate the potential for them to enter this game and shut the Rockies down. The Rockies can still score at least four runs against Mize and San Diego's lesser relievers through seven innings.
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MLB Picks Recap
- Mets team total 3.5 runs: Over (-132 FanDuel)
- Cubs team total 3.5 runs first 7 innings: Over (-115 DraftKings)
- Rockies team total 3.5 runs first 7 innings: Over (-125 DraftKings)
All Plays - 1 Unit
