Top MLB Prop Bets for September 11: Expert Picks & Insights
After a limited five-game slate Thursday, baseball follows it up with a loaded schedule Friday. Some top rivalries will be front and center, including the Atlanta Braves hosting the Philadelphia Phillies. Let's dig into the player prop side of things and highlight three wagers to consider.
Mike Barner's season record: 84-54-1 (+17.48 units)
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Best MLB Prop Bets September 11
Athletics 
vs. Seattle Mariners 
Betting Picks
- Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 total bases (-109) at DraftKings for 1 Unit
- George Kirby Over 5.5 hits allowed (-158) at DraftKings for 1 Unit
Kirby will face the Athletics for the second time in as many starts. In their last meeting, he gave up seven hits and four runs (three earned) over 100 innings. He has scuffled down the stretch, allowing 37 hits and 21 runs (20 earned) over his last 27.1 innings. After allowing 121 hits over 126 innings last season, Kirby has permitted 177 hits over 159.1 innings this year. One of the reasons why he has allowed more hits is that his strikeout rate has dropped from 26.1% last season to 19.9 percent this year.
With Kirby missing fewer bats, he has allowed at least six hits in 20 of his 27 starts. It won't help his cause that this game will be played at the Athletics' hitter-friendly home park. They are batting .263 at home, compared to just .228 on the road. There is plenty of juice that comes with betting Kirby to allow at least six hits, but it is still an appealing wager.
The Mariners are also in a favorable position to have a productive night at the plate. Starting for the Athletics is Jeffrey Springs, who logged seven shutout innings against them in his last start. However, that outing came in Seattle. Springs has a 1.27 WHIP on the road, compared to a 1.61 WHIP at home.
Raleigh has been a major disappointment this season, but he has turned things around lately. Over his last 15 games, he is 18-for-53 (.340) with a .830 slugging percentage. He produced five doubles to go along with his seven home runs during that span. Springs allows 2.3 HR/9, so it wouldn't be a surprise if Raleigh emerged from this game with a home run, let alone at least two total bases.
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Detroit Tigers 
vs. Colorado Rockies 
Betting Picks
- Kevin McGonigle Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-145) at DraftKings for 1 Unit
McGonigle continues to show an excellent eye at the plate, posting a 13.5 percent walk rate to go along with his 13.7 percent strikeout rate. That has helped him produce a .353 wOBA. With just over two weeks to go in the regular season, the rookie has scored 90 runs while serving as the Tigers' leadoff hitter.
McGonigle and the Tigers' lineup has the potential to score runs in bunches with Mason Adams on the mound for the Rockies. He hasn't thrown more than 78 pitches in any of his first three starts in the majors, recording a 1.61 WHIP along the way. Even if he has another short outing, the Tigers' bats might not slow down against a Rockies bullpen that has a 4.86 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP for the season. Sitting atop Detroit's lineup, McGonigle is in a favorable position to emerge from this matchup with at least two combined hits, runs and RBI.
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MLB Prop Picks Recap
- Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 total bases (-109) at DraftKings for 1 Unit
- George Kirby Over 5.5 hits allowed (-158) at DraftKings for 1 Unit
- Kevin McGonigle Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-145) at DraftKings for 1 Unit
