30-Year-Old Designated Hitter – Free Agent
2018 Fantasy Baseball Outlook
There was no outlook written for Pedro Alvarez in 2018. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
Pedro Alvarez Contract Information:
Signed a one-year, $2 million minor-league contract with the Orioles in March of 2017 that includes up to $3.5 million in incentives.
Alvarez went 3-for-3 with a solo home run, two runs and two walks in Monday's loss to Boston.
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Pedro Alvarez: MLB Games Played By Position
Pedro Alvarez: Minor League Games Played By Position
Pedro Alvarez Split Stats (View Full Split Stats)
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Pedro Alvarez Defensive Stats
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2017 Stat Review for Pedro Alvarez As compared to the top 200 hitters in 2016 (min 410 PA)
Patience at the plate often leads to positive outcomes.
A couple of useful stats for evaluating a hitter.
Good contact skills often lead to better fantasy stats.
SLG and ISO are useful indicators of power.
Pedro Alvarez: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
There was no outlook written for Pedro Alvarez.
Believe it or not, the 2016 season was the first time Alvarez posted a slugging percentage over .500, which seems strange given that he's known for his power. He remains a three-true outcome player that can't hit lefties and can't play defense which limited his employment opportunities in free agency. He and his agent were hoping he could have a Nelson Cruz-like resurgence in Baltimore. While his slugging percentage has increased three straight seasons, he still carries quite a bit of risk. Given his issues against lefties, it is difficult to roster him in mixed leagues making him more of an AL-only power play with quite a bit of risk to the other scoring categories. Alvarez is also a notoriously slow starter which means he's usually available on the waiver wire if he's not drafted. After re-signing with Baltimore on a minor league contract mid-way through spring training, Alvarez is preparing for a role in the Orioles' outfield, and he figures to also see time at DH.
Following a disappointing 2014, Alvarez found his power stroke last year, clubbing 27 homers with 77 RBI and a .787 OPS in only 491 plate appearances. In the field, the move from third base (-13.8 UZR) to first base (-14.3 UZR) did little to endear him to the defensive-minded Pirates, and Alvarez ended up completing only 37 of his 119 games started because of the lackluster defense. He signed a one-year deal with the Orioles after being non-tendered by the Pirates, and figures to be Baltimore's DH against righties. His power plays in any park, but he could push for 30 homers in that loaded lineup, making him a cheap source of power later in drafts.
The big slugger with big power was a big bust in 2014. After tying for the NL home run lead with 36 in 2013, Alvarez attempted to hit the ball to all fields while improving upon his plate discipline with horrific results. Although his 0.40 BB/K rate represented a career best, he hit half as many homers (18) and saw his OPS drop from .770 to .719 (in 445 PA). Defensively, his 24 throwing errors in 95 starts at third base pushed him to the bench for several weeks before the Pirates moved him to first base. His best bet in 2015 is to serve as part of a first base platoon, as general manager Neal Huntington already confirmed Josh Harrison will start at third base. If Alvarez can return to form as a dead-pull hitter -- four of 36 homers went to right-or-center fields in 2013 as opposed to seven of 18 in 2014 -- he could provide value in an offensive landscape bereft of power hitters.
With 36 homers, Alvarez became the first Pirate to lead the NL in home runs since Willie Stargell smacked 44 in 1973. Alvarez tied Arizona's Paul Goldschmidt for that honor and also drove in 100 runs for the first time. The third baseman offers fantasy owners a predictable skillset: big-time pop, huge strikeout totals (186 in 2013, most in the NL), low batting average (.233 in 558 at-bats) and dependable health (149 and 152 games played the last two seasons). The surprisingly nimble Alvarez enters his age-27 season in 2014, and it wouldn't be shocking to see him flirt with .250 with some more lucky bounces. He's one of the streakiest players in the league, but at the end of the day he boasts reliable power numbers at a shallow position.
Alvarez put up pretty good numbers in his first season as a major league regular. He hit .244/.317/.467 with 30 homers and 85 RBI at a third base position lacking fantasy depth. The left-handed hitter's splits against southpaws and righties (.207/.257) proved predictable as was his predication for striking out (57:180 BB:K ratio). Whether Alvarez's day/night OPS was a fluke remains to be seen, but it's worth noting he compiled a 1.007 OPS during the day and a .670 OPS at night. Numbers like these might drive fantasy owners crazy, but it's important to note that he's far from a finished protect. Only Chase Headley (31) hit more homers among NL third basemen than Alvarez last season. He epitomizes the relationship between high-risk, high-reward players.
In a year of pleasant surprises, Alvarez proved to be a huge disappointment for the Bucs. The 2008 first-round draft pick compiled a slash line of .191/.272/.289 with four homers and 19 RBI in 235 at-bats. Dogged by reports of offseason weight gain, the third baseman injured a quad in April and battled to stay healthy. The Pirates demoted him to Triple-A after a trip to the disabled list, where his .797 OPS was nearly 100 points lower than his previous season (.896). He platooned at third base with Josh Harrison in September, finishing his disappointing sophomore campaign with a 24:80 BB:K ratio. General manager Neal Huntington has promised Alvarez competition for the starting job in 2012 and the team's acquisition of Casey McGehee supports that, but the low-budget Bucs have invested more than $6 million in the enigmatic power hitter and he'll get plenty of chances to show that 2011 was the outlier season and not the norm.
It wasn't surprising when Alvarez won the NL Rookie of the Month award in September because he gets better with experience wherever he plays. That bodes well for Alvarez in 2011, though he and several other Pittsburgh youngsters will need to be ready when big league pitchers adjust their approach. The husky third baseman hit 16 homers and drove in 64 runs in 95 big league games, totaling 29 dingers and 117 RBI between Triple-A and the Bucs. At times, he appeared overwhelmed in the big leagues, as evidenced by a 66 percent contact rate and 37:119 BB:K ratio at the plate along with a .938 fielding percentage and -6.2 UZR rating at third base. Fantasy owners who are looking for power, however, have come to the right place. Alvarez, combined with the short right-field porch at PNC Park, figures to put up the best power numbers Pittsburgh has seen in a long time. It's a coincidence Barry Bonds and Alvarez both hit 16 home runs as rookies, but the Bucs might have their most potent offensive weapon of the last 20 years at the hot corner.
Arguably Pittsburgh's best hitting prospect since Barry Bonds, Alvarez has a good chance of making his major league debut in 2010. The first-round draft pick exceeded expectations in his first professional season last summer, smacking 27 homers and driving in 95 runs while compiling a .913 OPS in 465 at-bats split between High-A and Double-A. The Pirates will most likely wait until at least June to bring him up, especially since the plan worked well with Andrew McCutchen. It almost seems inevitable that he winds up at first base in the long run, but he'll stay at third for as long as his conditioning holds up, according to general manager Neal Huntington. Alvarez's offense actually improved as his competition improved. At High-A, he hit .247/.342/.486 with a 37:70 BB:K ratio. He then put together a .333/.419/.590 mark and 34:59 BB:K ratio for Double-A Altoona. Right now, Alvarez seems like a can't miss prospect whom not even the Pirates can mess up.
With off-field distractions behind him that only agent Scott Boras can wreak (his contract was re-negotiated after a technicality), Alvarez will embark on what the Pirates hope is a quick ascent through their minor-league system in 2009 after a broken hamate bone in his right hand last spring sapped his power numbers a bit last season. The third baseman, who hit 40 home runs with a .340 average his first two seasons with Vanderbilt, hit .317 with nine homers in 2008. Still, the 2008 first-round draft pick has the potential to become Pittsburgh's first 40-home run hitter since Willie Stargell in 1973. While it remains to be seen whether Alvarez can reach those lofty expectations, there's no denying that he has the most power potential at the hot corner for Pittsburgh since Aramis Ramirez.